0xd44e974a3edb232aa4aedbdcc59792b76a5f67e2
0X
TRACKEDVPST27 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_wallets|local:god_system_wallets_api|vps:active_manifest|vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:filter_3.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
+$263.3k
489W / 245L · WR 66.6%
Open exposure (live)
$249.0k
28 open · unrealized +$34.5k
Lifetime turnover
$40.34M
662 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$20.1k
−$15.4k
Realized
+$263.3k
Unrealized (local approx)
+$33.9k
Profit capture (brain)
33%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$1.4k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
256
local DB
First → Last trade
2024-10-05
→ 2026-05-01
🟢 Live open positions
28 live · $249,002 current value · unrealized +$34.5k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 30,505 | $0.600 | $0.885 | 60.0% | 88.5% | $18,305 | $26,997 | $+8,692 | +47.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 28,014 | $0.720 | $0.865 | 72.0% | 86.5% | $20,163 | $24,232 | $+4,069 | +20.2% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June … | No | 23,429 | $0.926 | $0.981 | 92.6% | 98.0% | $21,704 | $22,972 | $+1,268 | +5.8% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia bef… | No | 26,966 | $0.685 | $0.845 | 68.5% | 84.5% | $18,479 | $22,786 | $+4,307 | +23.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by Decem… | No | 39,722 | $0.572 | $0.565 | 57.2% | 56.5% | $22,732 | $22,439 | $-293 | -1.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 23,008 | $0.635 | $0.735 | 63.5% | 73.5% | $14,608 | $16,911 | $+2,303 | +15.8% | 2026-12-31 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | No | 16,839 | $0.942 | $0.983 | 94.2% | 98.3% | $15,857 | $16,553 | $+696 | +4.4% | 2026-06-30 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormu… | No | 22,151 | $0.687 | $0.660 | 68.7% | 66.0% | $15,216 | $14,620 | $-596 | -3.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? | No | 12,756 | $0.539 | $0.978 | 53.9% | 97.8% | $6,878 | $12,469 | $+5,590 | +81.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 12,757 | $0.795 | $0.805 | 79.5% | 80.5% | $10,140 | $10,270 | $+129 | +1.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its te… | No | 9,433 | $0.885 | $0.895 | 88.5% | 89.5% | $8,348 | $8,442 | $+94 | +1.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces befor… | No | 9,185 | $0.548 | $0.890 | 54.8% | 89.0% | $5,033 | $8,174 | $+3,141 | +62.4% | 2026-12-31 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpil… | No | 6,894 | $0.774 | $0.959 | 77.4% | 95.9% | $5,334 | $6,608 | $+1,274 | +23.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 6,106 | $0.940 | $0.973 | 94.0% | 97.2% | $5,739 | $5,938 | $+199 | +3.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by … | No | 6,013 | $0.659 | $0.986 | 65.9% | 98.6% | $3,962 | $5,926 | $+1,964 | +49.6% | 2026-12-31 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31… | No | 8,027 | $0.682 | $0.705 | 68.2% | 70.5% | $5,478 | $5,659 | $+181 | +3.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | No | 4,560 | $0.842 | $0.973 | 84.2% | 97.3% | $3,841 | $4,437 | $+596 | +15.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June … | No | 6,421 | $0.727 | $0.660 | 72.7% | 66.0% | $4,666 | $4,238 | $-429 | -9.2% | 2026-06-30 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 3… | No | 8,003 | $0.479 | $0.520 | 47.9% | 52.0% | $3,831 | $4,162 | $+331 | +8.6% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 3,089 | $0.778 | $0.815 | 77.8% | 81.5% | $2,404 | $2,517 | $+113 | +4.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 1,764 | $0.499 | $0.935 | 49.9% | 93.5% | $880 | $1,650 | $+769 | +87.4% | 2026-05-31 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | No | 495 | $0.800 | $0.964 | 80.0% | 96.4% | $396 | $477 | $+81 | +20.5% | 2026-06-13 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 490 | $0.680 | $0.685 | 68.0% | 68.5% | $333 | $336 | $+2 | +0.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine bef… | No | 99 | $0.831 | $0.835 | 83.1% | 83.5% | $83 | $83 | $+0 | +0.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026? | No | 63 | $0.810 | $0.915 | 81.0% | 91.5% | $51 | $58 | $+7 | +13.0% | 2026-06-18 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 59 | $0.602 | $0.615 | 60.2% | 61.5% | $36 | $36 | $+1 | +2.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | No | 12 | $0.596 | $0.625 | 59.6% | 62.5% | $7 | $8 | $+0 | +4.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31… | No | 7 | $0.860 | $0.790 | 86.0% | 79.0% | $6 | $6 | $-0 | -8.1% | 2026-12-31 |
📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-15 06:23:21
Latest trade ts
2026-06-15 04:54
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
13 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 202… | No | 2750 | 0.789 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 32 | 0.610 | - | $0.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 20… | No | 490 | 0.680 | - | $0.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20… | No | 0 | 400162.600 | - | $0.00 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026… | No | 63 | 0.810 | - | $0.00 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by … | No | 2421 | 3.414 | - | $0.00 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through … | No | 22151 | 0.687 | - | $0.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by… | Yes | 0 | 471204.200 | - | $0.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20… | Yes | 0 | 357003.780 | - | $0.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | No | 12491 | 0.283 | - | $0.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | No | 495 | 4.849 | - | $0.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20… | Yes | 1764 | 1.996 | - | $0.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | No | 3776 | 0.583 | - | $0.00 |
Closed positions
most recent 50| Exit when | Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Exit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 04:54 | UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topu… | Justin Gaethje | 346 | 0.780 | 0.500 | -$96.85 |
| 2026-06-13 17:24 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | No | 4567 | 0.668 | 0.390 | -$1.3k |
| 2026-06-13 07:18 | Will US announce location or date of US and I… | No | 85 | 0.650 | 0.715 | +$5.53 |
Recent trades
100 of 256 shownBy category (closed only)
| Category | N closed | Realized PnL |
|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | -$96.85 |
| Other | 2 | -$1.3k |
Coordinated-buy involvement
events that included this wallet| When | Market | Wallets | Notional | Diversity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 14:56 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United St… | 3 | $8.5k | 0.87 |
Alerts for this wallet
| When | Type | Severity |
|---|---|---|
| - | whale_tracked_wallet | info |