Polymarket Monitor

v2
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wallets SLA1,177 / 48,433 (2%)trades 1m597agents alive24/46 (U 24/24 · C 0/22)copies 1h0 (U 0 · C 0)proxies0 / 0proxy quota-
Open positions (12):12 future0 awaiting PM0 stuck >24h
T1/T2/T3 polled fresh0/306 · 558/562 · 623/47569user-side evals (lifetime)17,599,942user-side errors (lifetime)0user-side alive24/24

Agent Leaderboard

24 agents - hover the (?) on any row for that strategy's thesis + sizing. Live Polymarket prices.
#AgentBankrollROIRealizedUnrealizedCashOpen$TradesOpenW/LWRavg edge_netEvalsErrsStaleLast Act
1🎯 Sharp Followers COPY?
🎯 Sharp Followers
🎓 Plain EnglishWatches the 30 best-performing trader wallets on Polymarket (top by win rate). When one of them buys, this bot buys the same thing within minutes. Idea: smart traders making smart picks - just follow them.
Mirror the top 30 wallets by historical win rate. High-WR wallets pick winners — copy their entries within 10 min.
sizing: pct 2.0% | max open: 50 | loss cap: $500.0 | edge_net thr: +0.000

COPY_SHARP
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,308013s1d
2🐋 Whale Tracker (0.20-0.40 band) COPY?
🐋 Whale Tracker (0.20-0.40 band)
🎓 Plain EnglishWatches the biggest wallets (≥$500k lifetime profit). When they enter a market at prices between 20¢ and 40¢, this bot copies. Idea: rich traders bet asymmetric setups - ride them.
Follow top wallets by lifetime PnL (≥$500k). Entry filtered to 0.20-0.40 band where whale picks have +$371 historical PnL.
sizing: pct 3.0% | max open: 40 | loss cap: $500.0 | edge_net thr: +0.000

COPY_WHALE
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,333013s1h
3🤝 Consensus 2+ COPY?
🤝 Consensus 2+
🎓 Plain EnglishWaits until 2+ quality wallets independently bet the SAME way on the SAME market before joining. Idea: when smart traders agree without coordinating, it's a strong signal.
PAUSED — see comment. Original: Bet when >=2 quality wallets enter same outcome within 4h.
sizing: pct 4.0% | max open: 30 | loss cap: $500.0 | edge_net thr: +0.000

COPY_CONSENSUS
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,333013s5s
4🔥 Hot Hand COPY?
🔥 Hot Hand
🎓 Plain EnglishWatches the top 5 wallets by their last 7 DAYS of profit (the currently-hot ones). Follows their trades. Idea: hot streaks tend to keep going - recency matters.
Follow the top 5 wallets by rolling 7-day PnL. Whoever's hot RIGHT NOW. Reranked daily.
sizing: pct 5.0% | max open: 30 | loss cap: $500.0 | edge_net thr: +0.000

COPY_HOTHAND
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,333013s2h
5🪞 Contrarian Fade COPY?
🪞 Contrarian Fade
🎓 Plain EnglishBets the OPPOSITE of retail crowds. When 3+ losing wallets all buy the same side, bets the OTHER side. Idea: amateur traders are often wrong - fade them.
Bet the OPPOSITE of retail piles. ≥3 retail wallets (neg PnL or low WR) entering same cheap outcome → fade.
sizing: pct 3.0% | max open: 30 | loss cap: $500.0 | edge_net thr: +0.000

COPY_FADE
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,333013s1h
6Lambda Tail Harvest BRAIN?
Lambda Tail Harvest
🎓 Plain EnglishWatches for any quality wallet buying very-long-shot outcomes (low probability tails). Brain research says these are systemically mispriced by amateurs. Small risk, huge potential payoff if hit.
Brain §3 / jc-builds: aggregate edge is in TAILS. Buy any quality-wallet entry at price <=0.15 OR >=0.85. Small bets, many of them. Honest OOS: +7.7% on $1k / 3mo (~30% annualized).
sizing: kelly 20% | max open: 60 | loss cap: $500.0 | edge_net thr: +0.005

AGENT_LAMBDA_TAIL
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,333013s6s
7Nothing Ever Happens BRAIN?
Nothing Ever Happens
🎓 Plain EnglishBets NO on dramatic political / cultural binary markets when priced cheap. Most scary headlines resolve NO - the market overpays for fear and uncertainty. Reliable harvest pattern.
Brain §3 productive harvest: systematically BUY THE NO side of dramatic political/geo/cultural binaries priced cheap. Most scary events resolve NO.
sizing: kelly 20% | max open: 30 | loss cap: $500.0 | edge_net thr: +0.010

AGENT_NOTHING_HAPPENS
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,333013s-
8Sports Favorite-Longshot (CFB only) BRAIN?
Sports Favorite-Longshot (CFB only)
🎓 Plain EnglishSports favorite-longshot bias on COLLEGE FOOTBALL only. Bets on favorites priced 55¢-60¢ in markets ending within 14 days. Highest-edge sports pattern in the brain research (+25.8pp edge).
Brain §1 strongest edge (z=7.6, +25.8pp). Sports favorites in [0.55, 0.60] bucket, <=14d lifespan, >=$5k volume. CFB-only weight (>= 0.85) — pro-league noise was diluting.
sizing: kelly 25% | max open: 40 | loss cap: $500.0 | edge_net thr: +0.050

AGENT_SPORTS_FLB
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,333013s-
9Hold-to-Settlement Favorite BRAIN?
Hold-to-Settlement Favorite
🎓 Plain EnglishWhen a quality wallet buys a favorite at ≥85¢ very late in a market, this bot copies and HOLDS to settlement (doesn't sell early). Brain research §1.3 + §7 - quality-late-entry signal.
Brain §1.3 + §7 nugget: when a quality wallet enters at price >=0.85 (near-certain outcome), copy and hold to resolution. Sharp zone calibration: 97.7% WR in [0.85, 0.95) bucket.
sizing: kelly 30% | max open: 30 | loss cap: $500.0 | edge_net thr: +0.003

AGENT_HOLD_TO_SETTLE
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,308013s19m
10Edge-Net Kelly Disciplined (3pp gate) BRAIN?
Edge-Net Kelly Disciplined (3pp gate)
🎓 Plain EnglishQuality wallet entries gated by a strict 3-percentage-point edge requirement AFTER fees and slippage. Only acts when the math says edge is real. Bet size from Kelly criterion (the math-optimal fraction of bankroll).
Brain §A + §10 + §20: disciplined gate. Copy a quality wallet ONLY when edge_net = raw - exact_fee - slippage - copy_drift > 3pp. Sizes by fractional Kelly (0.25). Tightened after -28% ROI on 1pp.
sizing: kelly 25% | max open: 30 | loss cap: $500.0 | edge_net thr: +0.030

AGENT_EDGE_NET_KELLY
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,333013s5s
11Big Ticket Tracker (0.30-0.40 band) COPY?
Big Ticket Tracker (0.30-0.40 band)
🎓 Plain EnglishWatches for any wallet putting $500+ on a single trade. Size = conviction. Copies their direction at 30¢-40¢ prices.
Any wallet's >=$500 trade — size signals conviction. Entry filtered to 0.30-0.40 band (was full range, lost -26% ROI).
sizing: pct 2.5% | max open: 30 | loss cap: $400.0 | edge_net thr: +0.000

COPY_BIG_TICKET
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,333013s44m
12Cheap Upside (<=0.30) COPY?
Cheap Upside (<=0.30)
🎓 Plain EnglishQuality-pool entries priced ≤30¢. Cheap odds with high-multiplier payoff. Asymmetric upside trades.
Quality pool entries at price <=0.30. Asymmetric payoff.
sizing: pct 2.0% | max open: 40 | loss cap: $400.0 | edge_net thr: +0.000

COPY_LOW_PRICE
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,333013s4s
13Late Resolve (<=24h) COPY?
Late Resolve (<=24h)
🎓 Plain EnglishWatches markets that take ≤24 hours to settle. Quick-resolving markets have less time for narrative shifts and surprises.
Quality pool entries in markets resolving within 24h. Late-info edge.
sizing: pct 2.0% | max open: 30 | loss cap: $400.0 | edge_net thr: +0.000

COPY_LATE_RESOLVE
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,333013s5s
14HotHand Fast (<=2min) COPY?
HotHand Fast (<=2min)
🎓 Plain EnglishHotHand strategy (top wallets by 7-day PnL) but only acts within 2 minutes of the source trade. Speed-first.
Hothand pool, 2min lag cap. Speed-of-light reaction to hot wallets.
sizing: pct 2.5% | max open: 30 | loss cap: $400.0 | edge_net thr: +0.000

COPY_HOTHAND_FAST
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,333013s46m
15Volume $1K+ (0.30-0.40 band) COPY?
Volume $1K+ (0.30-0.40 band)
🎓 Plain EnglishWallets with $1k+ trade volume entering at 30¢-40¢ price range. Mid-tier conviction trades.
ANY wallet's >=$1,000 trade. Entry filtered to 0.30-0.40 band where historical WR=45% / +$378 (vs net -27% across full price range).
sizing: pct 3.0% | max open: 25 | loss cap: $400.0 | edge_net thr: +0.000

COPY_VOLUME_1K
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,333013s44m
16Sports Quality COPY?
Sports Quality
🎓 Plain EnglishQuality-pool wallet entries, but only on sports markets. Sports-specialist filter.
Quality pool, sports markets only — NFL/NBA/NHL/MLB, tennis (ATP/WTA/Wimbledon/Roland Garros), golf (PGA/Masters), UFC/MMA/boxing, F1/NASCAR, esports (LoL/Dota/CS/Valorant), World Cup, Olympics. Per-category specialization. (OPT-133)
sizing: pct 2.5% | max open: 30 | loss cap: $400.0 | edge_net thr: +0.000

COPY_SPORTS_QUALITY
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,333013s5s
17Crypto Quality COPY?
Crypto Quality
🎓 Plain EnglishQuality-pool wallet entries, but only on cryptocurrency markets. Crypto-specialist filter.
Quality pool, crypto markets — BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP/ADA/BNB/MATIC/AVAX/DOT/LTC + altcoin/stablecoin/DeFi/NFT/L2/rollup/memecoin/halving themes. (OPT-133)
sizing: pct 2.5% | max open: 30 | loss cap: $400.0 | edge_net thr: +0.000

COPY_CRYPTO_QUALITY
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,333013s5s
18🪙 Crypto-Pure Elite (top-10) COPY?
🪙 Crypto-Pure Elite (top-10)
Mirror the top-10 crypto-pure traders (Crypto% >= 80% in the 2026-06-05 polymarket-traders snapshot). Equal-weight fan-in across all 10. Copies their BUYs on ANY market — these wallets focus on crypto markets but the alpha can transfer.
sizing: pct 2.0% | max open: 30 | loss cap: $500.0 | edge_net thr: +0.000

COPY_CRYPTO_ELITE
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,333013s57m
19★ Copy rwo / Marx.Carney (BTC only) COPY?
★ Copy rwo / Marx.Carney (BTC only)
Single-wallet copy of rwo (0xd189664c) on BTC up/down markets ONLY. Our BTC-only study showed rwo at +$4,006, 54.5% WR on 435 BTC markets. Their broader PM track record is +$637K alpha=111, suggesting real edge that consistently transfers to BTC 5m.
sizing: pct 0.5% | max open: 6 | loss cap: $200.0 | edge_net thr: +0.000

COPY_RWO_BTC
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,333013s10h
20🔄 Inverse Sharky6999 (BTC only) COPY?
🔄 Inverse Sharky6999 (BTC only)
Single-wallet INVERSE-copy of Sharky6999 (0x751a2b86) on BTC up/down ONLY. Our BTC-only study showed Sharky at -$1,785 over 30 markets — an arbitrage/scalp bot with elite PM alpha ($871K total) that doesn't transfer to BTC 5m. Bets OPPOSITE outcome of each Sharky BUY.
sizing: pct 0.5% | max open: 6 | loss cap: $200.0 | edge_net thr: +0.000

INVERSE_SHARKY_BTC
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,333013s1h
21🔄 Inverse 0X 0x0c16 (BTC only) COPY?
🔄 Inverse 0X 0x0c16 (BTC only)
Single-wallet INVERSE-copy of 0X (0x0c16485a0e61) on BTC up/down ONLY. Our BTC-only study: -$824 PnL over 109 BTC markets, 78.7% per-market 'WR' but losing dollar-weighted — DOWN-biased entries at expensive prices. Bets OPPOSITE outcome of each 0X BUY.
sizing: pct 0.5% | max open: 6 | loss cap: $200.0 | edge_net thr: +0.000

INVERSE_0X_0C16
$5,000.00+0.00%--$5,000.00-000/0--733,333013s-
22Locked-In (>=0.70) COPY?
Locked-In (>=0.70)
🎓 Plain EnglishWallets buying favorites at ≥70¢ - high probability, low payoff. Idea: smart money knows when a 'sure thing' is mispriced.
Quality pool entries at price >=0.70. High-probability already priced.
sizing: pct 4.0% | max open: 30 | loss cap: $400.0 | edge_net thr: +0.000

COPY_HIGH_PRICE
$4,988.67-0.23%$-2.00$-9.33$4,798.00$190.67110/0-+0.0380733,333013s4s
23Fast Quality (<=5min lag) COPY?
Fast Quality (<=5min lag)
🎓 Plain EnglishQuality-pool wallet entries, but only acts within 5 minutes of the original trade. Speed-first - late copies eat slippage.
Quality pool but only act within 5min of source trade. Speed > size.
sizing: pct 2.0% | max open: 40 | loss cap: $400.0 | edge_net thr: +0.000

COPY_FAST_QUALITY
$4,955.20-0.90%$-40.23$-4.57$4,861.80$93.40310/10.0%+0.0230733,333013s5s
24Fresh Markets (<48h) COPY?
Fresh Markets (<48h)
🎓 Plain EnglishWatches markets that just listed (<48 hours old). Fresh markets often have mispricing as the crowd figures them out.
Quality pool in markets opened <48h ago. Early-listing edge.
sizing: pct 2.0% | max open: 25 | loss cap: $400.0 | edge_net thr: +0.000

COPY_NEW_LISTING
$4,955.20-0.90%$-40.23$-4.57$4,861.80$93.40310/10.0%+0.0230733,333013s58m