Polymarket Monitor

v2
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wallets SLA1,858 / 50,282 (4%)trades 1m539agents alive24/46 (U 24/24 · C 0/22)copies 1h0 (U 0 · C 0)proxies0 / 0proxy quota-
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0xd1acd3925d895de9aec98ff95f3a30c5279d08d5

SirHarryOakes
TRACKEDT16 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_copyable|local:god_system_wallets|local:god_system_wallets_api|local:ultimate_addresses_only|local:ultimate_copyable|local:unique_wallets
Total PnL (lifetime)
+$1.39M
1059W / 767L · WR 58.0%
Open exposure (live)
$190.7k
8 open · unrealized +$21.1k · 💰 58 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$835.92M
1110 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$128.4k
−$182.1k
Realized
+$1.39M
Unrealized (local approx)
+$21.5k
Profit capture (brain)
0%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$1.5k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
214
local DB
First → Last trade
2022-11-09
→ 2026-05-31

🟢 Live open positions

8 live · $190,675 current value · unrealized +$21.1k
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvia…No141,449$0.913$0.98891.3%98.8%$129,196$139,681$+10,484+8.1%2026-06-07
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presiden…Yes26,741$0.949$0.98294.9%98.2%$25,382$26,247$+865+3.4%2026-06-07
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor El…Yes20,526$0.349$0.88234.9%88.2%$7,172$18,104$+10,933+152.4%2026-11-03
Will the Democratic Party control the House after …No21,221$0.210$0.17521.0%17.5%$4,448$3,714$-735-16.5%2026-11-03
Will the Republican Party control the House after …Yes15,856$0.207$0.17520.7%17.5%$3,281$2,775$-506-15.4%2026-11-03
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Se…No136$0.594$0.99159.4%99.1%$81$135$+54+66.6%2026-05-16
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026…No23$0.800$0.86080.0%86.0%$18$20$+1+7.5%2026-12-31
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Electi…Yes10$0.211$0.00221.1%0.1%$2$0$-2-99.3%2026-11-03

💰 Resolved · pending claim

58 markets settled · $0 unclaimed
MarketSideSharesCostValuePnLResolved
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025…Yes0$0$0$-02025-10-29
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after Janua…Yes0$0$0$-02026-01-28
Will Trump resign today?Yes270$0$0$-02025-09-02
Colts vs. SteelersColts1$1$0$-12025-11-09
Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?No224$1$0$-12025-12-31
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July …Yes40$2$0$-22025-07-30
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referen…Yes906$3$0$-32026-04-21
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes15$5$0$-52025-12-31
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before…No1,000$5$0$-52025-07-31
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterwei…Joaquin Buckley12$6$0$-62026-05-10
MetaMask airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes191$6$0$-62025-09-30
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referen…Yes5,680$11$0$-112026-04-21
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for …No43$11$0$-112026-06-09
Dodgers vs. Blue JaysDodgers2,818$14$0$-142025-11-01
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at leas…No115$18$0$-182026-04-12
Dvalishvili vs. SandhagenSandhagen1,000$20$0$-202025-10-11
Will the Texas House vote on HB 4 by August 19?Yes384$23$0$-232025-08-19
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this…No1,790$41$0$-412025-12-31
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on G…Yes5,000$50$0$-502025-12-31
Texans vs. PatriotsTexans50,000$50$0$-502026-01-18
Will Jim Harbaugh be fired by February 28?Yes1,399$70$0$-702026-02-28
Luigi Mangione mistrial?Yes655$88$0$-882025-12-31
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?Yes250$97$0$-972025-12-31
TikTok sale announced by September 30?Yes345$107$0$-1072025-12-31
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump …Yes773$126$0$-1261970-01-01

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-15 00:15REWARD--0$0.000$0.110x201a0c…
2026-06-15 00:13YIELD--1$0.000$0.580xef1030…
2026-06-15 00:00REWARD--6$0.000$5.820x407adb…
2026-06-14 23:09REDEEM-Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insid-5$0.000$4.630x302d85…
2026-06-14 23:09REDEEM-Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March -45$0.000$44.590x147239…
2026-06-14 23:09REDEEM-Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob-200$0.000$200.000x147239…
2026-06-14 23:09REDEEM-Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for K-296$0.000$296.060x147239…
2026-06-14 23:09REDEEM-Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the nex-895$0.000$894.650x147239…
2026-06-14 23:09REDEEM-Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)-2,489$0.000$2.5k0x147239…
2026-06-14 23:09REDEEM-US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?-9,447$0.000$9.4k0x147239…
2026-06-14 23:09REDEEM-Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Pr-14,648$0.000$14.6k0x147239…
2026-06-14 23:09REDEEM-Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federa-17,801$0.000$17.8k0x147239…
2026-06-14 23:09REDEEM-Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP-44,703$0.000$44.7k0x147239…
2026-06-14 23:09REDEEM-Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 N-101,750$0.000$101.8k0x147239…
2026-06-14 22:54TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes2,067$0.900$1.9k0x46aa2a…
2026-06-14 22:54TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes17$0.900$15.300xf9158b…
2026-06-14 22:54TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes333$0.900$300.000xe700a1…
2026-06-14 22:53TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes1,561$0.900$1.4k0x22c437…
2026-06-14 22:53TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes2$0.900$2.040xf4ae89…
2026-06-14 22:53TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes2$0.900$1.820x87ab93…
2026-06-14 22:53TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes2$0.900$2.180x3b9057…
2026-06-14 22:53TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes1,376$0.900$1.2k0x1f7471…
2026-06-14 22:53TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes1,535$0.900$1.4k0x06918d…
2026-06-14 22:53TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes575$0.900$517.500xce29ed…
2026-06-14 22:53TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes104$0.900$93.300xe91539…
2026-06-14 22:53TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes67$0.900$60.000x66124c…
2026-06-14 22:52TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes454$0.900$408.600x3c1672…
2026-06-14 22:51TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.100xfda34f…
2026-06-14 22:51TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.080xde155d…
2026-06-14 22:51TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.100x1eb93b…
2026-06-14 22:51TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.100x31ce34…
2026-06-14 22:51TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.100x35e1a0…
2026-06-14 22:51TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.100x7879ab…
2026-06-14 22:51TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.080x168df2…
2026-06-14 22:51TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.100x6bccff…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.100x111ac0…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.080x4cbd2d…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.100x90b494…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.100x2696ab…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.080x995621…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.100xd898f9…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes53$0.900$48.140x2d661d…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.040x235808…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.050x57438f…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.050xcec4fa…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.050x0ba448…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.040x9d9a38…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.050x90a3ff…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.040xf65778…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.050x7c03a8…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.040xb94657…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.050x60cd66…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.050x43b506…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.040xa0fdb0…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.050x5a38da…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.050xedd375…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.050x590103…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.040xa7f663…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.050xa446a1…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes3$0.900$2.410x963865…
2026-06-14 22:50TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes24$0.900$21.300xd0472d…
2026-06-14 22:49TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.070xaee89a…
2026-06-14 22:49TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes2$0.900$1.450x311f9b…
2026-06-14 22:49TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.120x0a889d…
2026-06-14 22:49TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.070x0bd0d7…
2026-06-14 22:49TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes2$0.900$1.360x43fe63…
2026-06-14 22:49TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.110xb0573e…
2026-06-14 22:49TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes2$0.900$1.450xac73ad…
2026-06-14 22:49TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.120x6360a4…
2026-06-14 22:49TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.070x09b5c7…
2026-06-14 22:49TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.060xa222cb…
2026-06-14 22:49TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes2$0.900$1.360xddab75…
2026-06-14 22:49TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.100xa7722b…
2026-06-14 22:49TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.120x526374…
2026-06-14 22:49TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.110xb985cb…
2026-06-14 22:49TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.100x7e5e46…
2026-06-14 22:49TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.030x0ee604…
2026-06-14 22:49TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.020xea2493…
2026-06-14 22:49TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.030x0003da…
2026-06-14 22:49TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes0$0.900$0.030x8cd36d…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

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Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat

Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-15 09:00:06
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 22:54
Backfill
✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.7
0.8
0.9

Open positions

2 open
MarketOutcomeSharesEntryLastUnrealized
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…Yes012389869.000-$0.00
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian pre…Yes17410.960-$0.00

Closed positions

most recent 50
Exit whenMarketOutcomeSharesEntryExitRealized
2026-06-14 21:53US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20…Yes21791.1650.850-$687.27
2026-06-12 19:14US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes25080.3560.044-$783.71

Recent trades

100 of 214 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-14 22:54SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes20670.900$1.9k0x46aa2a…
2026-06-14 22:54SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes170.900$15.300xf9158b…
2026-06-14 22:54SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes3330.900$300.000xe700a1…
2026-06-14 22:53SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes15610.900$1.4k0x22c437…
2026-06-14 22:53SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes20.900$2.040xf4ae89…
2026-06-14 22:53SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes20.900$1.820x87ab93…
2026-06-14 22:53SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes20.900$2.180x3b9057…
2026-06-14 22:53SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes13760.900$1.2k0x1f7471…
2026-06-14 22:53SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes15350.900$1.4k0x06918d…
2026-06-14 22:53SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes5750.900$517.500xce29ed…
2026-06-14 22:53SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes1040.900$93.300xe91539…
2026-06-14 22:53SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes670.900$60.000x66124c…
2026-06-14 22:52SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes4540.900$408.600x3c1672…
2026-06-14 22:51SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.100xfda34f…
2026-06-14 22:51SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.080xde155d…
2026-06-14 22:51SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.100x1eb93b…
2026-06-14 22:51SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.100x31ce34…
2026-06-14 22:51SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.100x35e1a0…
2026-06-14 22:51SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.100x7879ab…
2026-06-14 22:51SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.080x168df2…
2026-06-14 22:51SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.100x6bccff…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.100x111ac0…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.080x4cbd2d…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.100x90b494…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.100x2696ab…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.080x995621…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.100xd898f9…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes530.900$48.140x2d661d…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.040x235808…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.050x57438f…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.050xcec4fa…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.050x0ba448…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.040x9d9a38…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.050x90a3ff…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.040xf65778…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.050x7c03a8…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.040xb94657…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.050x60cd66…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.050x43b506…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.040xa0fdb0…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.050x5a38da…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.050xedd375…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.050x590103…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.040xa7f663…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.050xa446a1…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes30.900$2.410x963865…
2026-06-14 22:50SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes240.900$21.300xd0472d…
2026-06-14 22:49SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.070xaee89a…
2026-06-14 22:49SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes20.900$1.450x311f9b…
2026-06-14 22:49SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes00.900$0.120x0a889d…

By category (closed only)

CategoryN closedRealized PnL
Other2-$1.5k