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0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418

T1
TRACKEDT22 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_wallets|local:god_system_wallets_api
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$1.78M
500 open · unrealized -$68.5k
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
26%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$308.9k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
9,848
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -

🟢 Live open positions

500 live · $1,779,169 current value · unrealized -$68.5k
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Electio…No400,000$0.500$0.85050.0%85.0%$200,000$339,800$+139,800+69.9%2028-11-07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end …No300,180$0.893$0.85589.3%85.5%$268,167$256,654$-11,513-4.3%2026-06-30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No127,088$0.965$0.97896.5%97.8%$122,659$124,228$+1,569+1.3%2026-06-30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates afte…Yes67,978$0.922$0.92592.2%92.5%$62,689$62,879$+190+0.3%2026-07-29
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Electio…Yes400,000$0.500$0.15050.0%15.0%$200,000$60,200$-139,800-69.9%2028-11-07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 202…Yes53,051$0.737$0.82573.7%82.5%$39,084$43,767$+4,683+12.0%2026-12-31
Fed rate hike in 2026?No59,280$0.560$0.61556.0%61.5%$33,200$36,457$+3,256+9.8%2026-12-09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No31,300$0.940$0.92394.0%92.3%$29,431$28,906$-526-1.8%2026-07-01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No27,902$0.852$0.88485.2%88.4%$23,761$24,665$+904+3.8%2026-06-15
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Yes31,572$0.800$0.75080.0%75.0%$25,249$23,679$-1,569-6.2%2026-07-20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by Ju…No22,938$0.972$0.96997.2%96.9%$22,294$22,215$-79-0.4%2026-06-30
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No35,674$0.499$0.62049.9%62.0%$17,795$22,118$+4,322+24.3%2026-03-31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No21,556$0.935$0.98593.5%98.5%$20,156$21,222$+1,066+5.3%2026-05-15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No34,857$0.680$0.59568.0%59.5%$23,696$20,740$-2,957-12.5%2026-05-31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No20,406$0.968$0.99796.8%99.7%$19,763$20,345$+582+2.9%2026-05-15
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the St…No19,529$0.940$0.93994.0%93.9%$18,350$18,338$-12-0.1%2026-06-30
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium …No19,000$0.945$0.94594.5%94.5%$17,952$17,955$+3+0.0%2026-06-30
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 3…No18,807$0.901$0.89590.1%89.5%$16,939$16,832$-107-0.6%2026-07-01
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplom…No17,120$0.948$0.95494.8%95.3%$16,230$16,324$+93+0.6%2026-06-30
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor El…Yes18,002$0.831$0.88683.1%88.6%$14,962$15,950$+988+6.6%2026-11-03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No35,189$0.505$0.45050.5%45.0%$17,757$15,835$-1,922-10.8%2026-05-15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No32,888$0.574$0.45057.4%45.0%$18,869$14,799$-4,070-21.6%2026-07-31
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No14,709$0.709$0.83070.9%83.0%$10,436$12,208$+1,773+17.0%2026-12-31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes18,108$0.712$0.66071.2%66.0%$12,889$11,951$-938-7.3%2026-05-15
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes21,208$0.508$0.55550.8%55.5%$10,775$11,770$+995+9.2%2026-06-30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States …No14,536$0.780$0.80078.0%80.0%$11,343$11,629$+285+2.5%2026-06-15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?No13,805$0.908$0.83590.8%83.5%$12,533$11,527$-1,005-8.0%2026-07-01
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 202…Yes9,995$0.981$0.97698.1%97.6%$9,807$9,755$-52-0.5%2026-06-28
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes466,802$0.011$0.0211.1%2.1%$5,162$9,569$+4,407+85.4%2026-07-20
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No13,340$0.818$0.70681.8%70.5%$10,915$9,411$-1,503-13.8%2026-06-15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio…Yes10,132$0.707$0.84070.7%84.0%$7,163$8,511$+1,348+18.8%2026-06-30
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezu…No9,309$0.798$0.88579.8%88.5%$7,432$8,238$+806+10.8%2026-12-31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by…No8,757$0.950$0.93695.0%93.6%$8,318$8,196$-122-1.5%2026-08-01
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral…No13,000$0.629$0.60862.9%60.8%$8,176$7,897$-278-3.4%2026-06-02
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June …No8,449$0.845$0.89384.5%89.3%$7,135$7,549$+414+5.8%2026-06-30
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by Decembe…No15,604$0.809$0.46581.0%46.5%$12,632$7,256$-5,377-42.6%2027-01-01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by Ju…No7,317$0.979$0.98297.9%98.2%$7,164$7,182$+17+0.2%2026-06-30
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any …No9,049$0.839$0.76583.9%76.5%$7,592$6,922$-670-8.8%2026-06-30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No8,596$0.694$0.74569.4%74.5%$5,969$6,404$+436+7.3%2026-06-21
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any …No7,471$0.846$0.84084.6%84.0%$6,319$6,276$-43-0.7%2026-06-30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by Ju…No6,219$0.944$0.94594.4%94.5%$5,872$5,877$+4+0.1%2026-06-30
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local g…Yes7,070$0.746$0.82074.6%82.0%$5,275$5,798$+522+9.9%1970-01-01
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?No7,660$0.957$0.69095.7%69.0%$7,328$5,282$-2,046-27.9%2026-06-16
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?No5,000$0.992$1.00099.2%100.0%$4,962$4,997$+36+0.7%2026-06-14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026…Yes6,546$0.687$0.76068.7%76.0%$4,499$4,975$+476+10.6%2026-10-31
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Gover…No11,695$0.734$0.40473.4%40.4%$8,588$4,719$-3,869-45.1%2026-06-09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?No5,000$0.916$0.93591.6%93.5%$4,580$4,675$+95+2.1%2026-07-01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by Au…No5,000$0.920$0.93092.0%93.0%$4,600$4,650$+50+1.1%2026-06-30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States …Yes5,836$0.768$0.78576.8%78.5%$4,485$4,581$+96+2.1%2026-07-31
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral e…Yes6,886$0.548$0.60054.8%60.0%$3,772$4,131$+359+9.5%2026-06-02

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-14 19:58TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No188$0.760$143.120x6104f0…
2026-06-14 19:57TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo124$0.470$58.280xc0d70f…
2026-06-14 19:57TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo76$0.470$35.720x2b1b4d…
2026-06-14 19:56TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No1,540$0.940$1.4k0x84ee97…
2026-06-14 19:56TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2No101$0.905$91.210x4cd0e2…
2026-06-14 19:56TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo200$0.410$82.000xe85bd0…
2026-06-14 19:55TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo500$0.740$370.000xcd1daf…
2026-06-14 19:55TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo500$0.750$375.000xcd1daf…
2026-06-14 19:55TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at theYes8$0.070$0.530x6352f2…
2026-06-14 19:55TRADEBUYWill Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No69$0.940$64.450x0fffd7…
2026-06-14 19:55TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by DeYes1,105$0.840$928.470x6e5815…
2026-06-14 19:53TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by JuneNo1,000$0.870$870.000xc7fce2…
2026-06-14 19:53TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2No5,000$0.890$4.4k0xbb139f…
2026-06-14 19:52TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370x6cf4f4…
2026-06-14 19:52TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370x6cdecc…
2026-06-14 19:52TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370x312fef…
2026-06-14 19:52TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370xa18051…
2026-06-14 19:52TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370x8ca57f…
2026-06-14 19:52TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370xa3e8d5…
2026-06-14 19:52TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370xaa0118…
2026-06-14 19:52TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" during UFC 250?No100$0.690$69.000x97c6cf…
2026-06-14 19:52TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370xa89d16…
2026-06-14 19:52TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes0$0.430$0.110x7a9464…
2026-06-14 19:52TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting ocYes5$0.449$2.250xcd189e…
2026-06-14 19:52TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150xf78844…
2026-06-14 19:52TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370xdd1d5d…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370x5540bd…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150x40ff7e…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting ocYes5$0.449$2.250x1a8b7f…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370xf4dfce…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150x9bcc59…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150x0f9c39…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting ocYes5$0.449$2.250x6db8bb…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370x678cea…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370x26a8b5…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150x66b293…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370x80e913…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150x66d337…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150x7578ad…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370xd2c764…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370x18657d…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150x1b951f…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150x6d8d82…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370x8ae950…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370x3e2ae3…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150xd379e6…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150xca518d…
2026-06-14 19:51TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370xc2a6e8…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370x22e9d7…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150x758edd…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by June 3No6$0.840$5.040x330af3…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150xad3bb9…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370x01085a…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 PeruYes747$0.014$10.460x07bfc4…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370xf4c074…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150x5820e3…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150x4f9f1c…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370xbb681a…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370x6efc45…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150x69e363…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoralYes2$0.590$0.960x6279c3…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370x6cb9e7…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150x63aed3…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No956$0.440$420.430x30f1e8…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No30$0.440$13.380x56bf00…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370xe027ce…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150x512364…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No802$0.580$465.050x28a773…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150x47aef6…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370x16fc32…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150xf1b7d3…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370x6e0cda…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370xa78aa2…
2026-06-14 19:50TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150x1f376b…
2026-06-14 19:49TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150x05f5ca…
2026-06-14 19:49TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370xa1bc1a…
2026-06-14 19:49TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370x945444…
2026-06-14 19:49TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 anYes5$0.430$2.150x31edaa…
2026-06-14 19:49TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No142$0.460$65.140x46771c…
2026-06-14 19:49TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 anYes5$0.074$0.370x8fb11b…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

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Sun
Mon
Tue
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Thu
Fri
Sat

Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-14 19:58:38
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 19:53
Backfill
✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])
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Open positions

504 open
MarketOutcomeSharesEntryLastUnrealized
Will Trump say "Biden" during UFC 250?No1000.690-$0.00
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be be…No1000.786-$0.00
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0…Yes1950.370-$0.00
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at …Yes2340.070-$0.00
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office…No2000.820-$0.00
World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record B…No100.900-$0.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes30000.260-$0.00
Will Virgil van Dijk score a goal at the 2026…No2000.560-$0.00
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through …No1370.650-$0.00
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic mee…No540.370-$0.00
Will Florian Wirtz score 1+ goals during the …Yes90.770-$0.00
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in June?No360.890-$0.00
Japan leading at halftime?Yes10000.220-$0.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US custom…No9900.884-$0.00
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by…Yes4050.044-$0.00
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by…No2000.860-$0.00
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at…Yes10000.080-$0.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium sto…No14140.910-$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°…No2000.001-$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 2…No2000.001-$0.00
Germany vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?No10000.960-$0.00
Curaçao leading at halftime?No30002.259-$0.00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and …Yes1000.150-$0.00
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on…No2000.510-$0.00
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be i…No8340.798-$0.00
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Semifin…No20.965-$0.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 2…No2000.001-$0.00
Will Switzerland be the highest-scoring team …Yes480.450-$0.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026…No20000.835-$0.00
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes031023.484-$0.00
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Yes4000.455-$0.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…No49000.700-$0.00
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be i…No11540.878-$0.00
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?No7000.941-$0.00
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 3…No1821.770-$0.00
World Cup Goals H2H: Neymar vs. Vinicius Jr. Vinicius1640.935-$0.00
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup fin…Yes20680.041-$0.00
Will Lautaro Martínez be in Argentina's Start…No800.410-$0.00
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stag…Yes20000.886-$0.00
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No400.610-$0.00
Will South Africa be the worst-placed African…No120.820-$0.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control …No73171.244-$0.00
Will David Raum be in Germany's Starting 11?No3620.977-$0.00
Will Pervis Estupiñán score a goal at the 202…No2000.750-$0.00
Will DR Congo be an advancing Group Stage thi…No2000.750-$0.00
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x I…No8000.905-$0.00
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by …Yes7940.038-$0.00
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 202…No5000.370-$0.00
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?No720.838-$0.00
Will Fred Pacheco win the Governor of Rio de …Yes160.125-$0.00

Closed positions

most recent 50
Exit whenMarketOutcomeSharesEntryExitRealized
2026-06-14 19:50Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0…Yes233.4170.430-$73.05
2026-06-14 19:45Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office…Yes516.4000.300-$80.50
2026-06-14 19:19Will Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11…No816.4380.400-$128.79
2026-06-14 19:03Spread: Germany (-3.5)Curaçao20000.5000.001-$998.00
2026-06-14 18:32World Cup: Any Team to Score 10+ Goals in the…Yes413.0860.750-$95.72
2026-06-14 18:07Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 P…Yes15000.0340.013-$31.50
2026-06-14 18:07Will Paraguay concede the most goals in the 2…No199.2230.860-$161.40
2026-06-14 17:52Will Kai Havertz score 3+ goals during the 20…Yes2000.5500.560+$1.92
2026-06-14 17:50Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium sto…Yes1570.5590.090-$73.53
2026-06-14 17:03Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the …No5000.6200.640+$10.00
2026-06-14 16:44Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be be…No585.5210.692-$281.47
2026-06-14 16:39Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Ira…No4740.4220.210-$100.54
2026-06-14 16:28Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor…No1180.9100.932+$2.61
2026-06-14 16:22Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US custom…No3227.2180.890-$855.09
2026-06-14 16:21Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be i…No9021.0280.830-$1.8k
2026-06-14 16:13Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Yes1117.2410.330-$67.81
2026-06-14 16:04Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through …No2002.1200.630-$297.99
2026-06-14 16:00Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in …No313.7970.890-$90.04
2026-06-14 16:00Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíb…Yes2000.4950.380-$23.00
2026-06-14 15:51US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes3861.4310.820-$236.10
2026-06-14 15:41US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes111151.6380.513-$12.5k
2026-06-14 15:32Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes15001.5030.900-$904.99
2026-06-14 15:20Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…No3933.4010.730-$1.0k
2026-06-14 15:04Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No90850.8360.835-$9.08
2026-06-14 15:03Putin out as President of Russia by December …No100000.9000.900$0.00
2026-06-14 14:16Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes20000.1950.200+$10.00
2026-06-14 13:57Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of J…No20002.7070.850-$3.7k
2026-06-14 12:06Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…No4000.5050.510+$2.00
2026-06-14 11:30Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes1232.7710.450-$392.53
2026-06-14 10:47US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No29223.9650.999-$8.7k
2026-06-14 10:30Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the …No746.7280.640-$450.14
2026-06-14 10:25Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by…No1076.8420.730-$656.58
2026-06-14 09:55Will Ecuador go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA Wor…No2000.6900.650-$8.00
2026-06-14 09:27US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026…No2570.7480.800+$13.42
2026-06-14 09:15Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?No1770.8100.820+$1.77
2026-06-14 08:31Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office…Yes218.7760.150-$44.14
2026-06-14 07:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in Jun…Yes355.8130.500-$185.63
2026-06-14 07:39Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be be…Yes48.5390.150-$37.33
2026-06-14 07:35US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026…Yes5002.2500.730-$760.00
2026-06-14 07:28Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Yes2000.2300.230$0.00
2026-06-14 07:00US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes3056.5860.880-$1.7k
2026-06-14 06:40Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?No2000.4000.008-$78.40
2026-06-14 06:38Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No2000.7400.820+$16.00
2026-06-14 06:20Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be i…No2057.9460.846-$1.5k
2026-06-14 06:01Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by J…No21552.6940.987-$3.7k
2026-06-14 05:53Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes1000.6100.480-$13.00
2026-06-14 05:49Will Jérémy Doku score a goal at the 2026 FIF…Yes100.7200.700-$0.20
2026-06-14 05:49Will Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 20…Yes2000.6100.610$0.00
2026-06-14 05:47World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?No315.8230.500-$162.72
2026-06-14 05:21Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by Ju…Yes9050.0690.039-$27.22

Recent trades

100 of 9,848 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-14 19:53BUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over…No10000.870$870.000xc7fce2…
2026-06-14 19:53SELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by Ju…No50000.890$4.4k0xbb139f…
2026-06-14 19:52SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370x6cf4f4…
2026-06-14 19:52SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370x6cdecc…
2026-06-14 19:52SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370x312fef…
2026-06-14 19:52SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370xa18051…
2026-06-14 19:52SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370x8ca57f…
2026-06-14 19:52SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370xa3e8d5…
2026-06-14 19:52SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370xaa0118…
2026-06-14 19:52BUYWill Trump say "Biden" during UFC 250?No1000.690$69.000x97c6cf…
2026-06-14 19:52SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370xa89d16…
2026-06-14 19:52SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes00.430$0.110x7a9464…
2026-06-14 19:52SELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran me…Yes50.449$2.250xcd189e…
2026-06-14 19:52SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.430$2.150xf78844…
2026-06-14 19:52SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370xdd1d5d…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370x5540bd…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.430$2.150x40ff7e…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran me…Yes50.449$2.250x1a8b7f…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370xf4dfce…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.430$2.150x9bcc59…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.430$2.150x0f9c39…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran me…Yes50.449$2.250x6db8bb…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370x678cea…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370x26a8b5…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.430$2.150x66b293…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370x80e913…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.430$2.150x66d337…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.430$2.150x7578ad…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370xd2c764…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370x18657d…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.430$2.150x1b951f…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.430$2.150x6d8d82…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370x8ae950…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370x3e2ae3…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.430$2.150xd379e6…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.430$2.150xca518d…
2026-06-14 19:51SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370xc2a6e8…
2026-06-14 19:50SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370x22e9d7…
2026-06-14 19:50SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.430$2.150x758edd…
2026-06-14 19:50SELLRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa b…No60.840$5.040x330af3…
2026-06-14 19:50SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.430$2.150xad3bb9…
2026-06-14 19:50SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370x01085a…
2026-06-14 19:50SELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2…Yes7470.014$10.460x07bfc4…
2026-06-14 19:50SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370xf4c074…
2026-06-14 19:50SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.430$2.150x5820e3…
2026-06-14 19:50SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.430$2.150x4f9f1c…
2026-06-14 19:50SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370xbb681a…
2026-06-14 19:50SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.074$0.370x6efc45…
2026-06-14 19:50SELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between…Yes50.430$2.150x69e363…
2026-06-14 19:50BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles…Yes20.590$0.960x6279c3…

By category (closed only)

CategoryN closedRealized PnL
Crypto2-$0.27
Sports5-$4.6k
Politics32-$9.7k
Other156-$293.9k

Coordinated-buy involvement

events that included this wallet
WhenMarketWalletsNotionalDiversity
2026-06-05 16:25US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…3$5.8k0.94
2026-06-05 15:05SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?3$1.6k0.82
2026-06-05 13:48Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles m…3$213.330.94
2026-06-05 13:27Will Gianluca Tittarelli win the 2026 Macerat…3$29.850.67
2026-06-05 13:25Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles m…3$7.0k0.93
2026-06-05 12:53US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 20…3$8.6k0.91
2026-06-05 09:14Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium sto…3$27.7k0.83
2026-06-05 06:41SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?3$2.5k0.73
2026-06-05 06:41SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?3$3.0k0.73
2026-06-05 06:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by…3$46.2k0.70
2026-06-05 00:38US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?3$1.9k0.89
2026-06-05 00:32US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?3$2.0k0.89
2026-06-05 00:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…3$21.5k0.74
2026-06-04 22:38Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Pe…3$7.6k0.97
2026-06-04 22:09Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian pre…3$15.6k0.74
2026-06-04 21:45Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino by June 30…3$388.180.44
2026-06-04 21:11Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to th…3$9.8k0.64
2026-06-04 20:21US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 3…3$99.2k0.78
2026-06-04 20:14US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 3…3$72.4k0.78
2026-06-04 18:52Iran closes its airspace by June 8?3$2.8k0.78

Alerts for this wallet

WhenTypeSeverity
-whale_tracked_walletinfo
-whale_tracked_walletinfo