0xc02147dee42356b7a4edbb1c35ac4ffa95f61fa8
0X
TRACKEDVPST26 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_copyable|local:god_system_wallets|local:god_system_wallets_api|local:ultimate_addresses_only|local:ultimate_copyable|vps:active_manifest
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$472.0k
135 open · unrealized +$35.5k · 💰 20 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
25%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$16.6k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
497
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -
🟢 Live open positions
135 live · $472,014 current value · unrealized +$35.5k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30… | No | 130,086 | $0.968 | $0.994 | 96.8% | 99.4% | $125,977 | $129,305 | $+3,328 | +2.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 63,922 | $0.794 | $0.875 | 79.4% | 87.5% | $50,752 | $55,932 | $+5,180 | +10.2% | 2026-12-31 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | No | 46,867 | $0.974 | $0.989 | 97.4% | 98.9% | $45,640 | $46,328 | $+688 | +1.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31… | No | 30,678 | $0.747 | $0.840 | 74.7% | 84.0% | $22,921 | $25,770 | $+2,848 | +12.4% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidenti… | Yes | 74,494 | $0.376 | $0.332 | 37.6% | 33.1% | $28,033 | $24,695 | $-3,338 | -11.9% | 2028-11-07 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 28,370 | $0.827 | $0.805 | 82.7% | 80.5% | $23,448 | $22,838 | $-610 | -2.6% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 17,171 | $0.982 | $0.993 | 98.2% | 99.2% | $16,868 | $17,042 | $+175 | +1.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the… | Yes | 28,003 | $0.605 | $0.605 | 60.5% | 60.5% | $16,929 | $16,942 | $+13 | +0.1% | 2026-09-30 |
| Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19,747 | $0.384 | $0.715 | 38.4% | 71.5% | $7,586 | $14,119 | $+6,533 | +86.1% | 2026-06-27 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 15,264 | $0.678 | $0.812 | 67.8% | 81.2% | $10,343 | $12,402 | $+2,058 | +19.9% | 2026-06-15 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end… | Yes | 13,830 | $0.117 | $0.731 | 11.7% | 73.0% | $1,621 | $10,103 | $+8,482 | +523.2% | 2026-12-31 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 10,769 | $0.632 | $0.915 | 63.2% | 91.5% | $6,808 | $9,854 | $+3,046 | +44.7% | 2026-05-31 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end… | Yes | 10,601 | $0.443 | $0.837 | 44.3% | 83.7% | $4,699 | $8,868 | $+4,168 | +88.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 10,357 | $0.635 | $0.835 | 63.5% | 83.5% | $6,576 | $8,648 | $+2,072 | +31.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 16,759 | $0.282 | $0.425 | 28.2% | 42.5% | $4,728 | $7,122 | $+2,395 | +50.7% | 2026-11-03 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by Ju… | No | 6,177 | $0.944 | $0.990 | 94.4% | 99.0% | $5,830 | $6,112 | $+282 | +4.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 15,413 | $0.207 | $0.365 | 20.7% | 36.5% | $3,194 | $5,626 | $+2,432 | +76.1% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 5,000 | $0.898 | $0.889 | 89.8% | 88.9% | $4,490 | $4,447 | $-42 | -0.9% | 2026-07-20 |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 4,606 | $0.697 | $0.845 | 69.7% | 84.5% | $3,210 | $3,892 | $+683 | +21.3% | 2027-01-31 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? | No | 3,835 | $0.938 | $0.961 | 93.8% | 96.1% | $3,598 | $3,685 | $+87 | +2.4% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela en… | Yes | 17,755 | $0.299 | $0.170 | 29.9% | 17.0% | $5,305 | $3,018 | $-2,286 | -43.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 3,000 | $0.832 | $0.895 | 83.2% | 89.5% | $2,497 | $2,685 | $+188 | +7.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | No | 2,656 | $0.893 | $0.979 | 89.3% | 97.9% | $2,373 | $2,600 | $+228 | +9.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 3… | No | 3,453 | $0.535 | $0.525 | 53.5% | 52.5% | $1,848 | $1,813 | $-35 | -1.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after … | No | 2,000 | $0.840 | $0.825 | 84.0% | 82.5% | $1,680 | $1,650 | $-30 | -1.8% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 65,842 | $0.015 | $0.021 | 1.5% | 2.1% | $963 | $1,350 | $+387 | +40.1% | 2026-07-20 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 6,230 | $0.142 | $0.195 | 14.2% | 19.5% | $885 | $1,215 | $+330 | +37.2% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race i… | No | 1,347 | $0.773 | $0.864 | 77.3% | 86.4% | $1,041 | $1,163 | $+122 | +11.7% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 47,203 | $0.031 | $0.025 | 3.1% | 2.5% | $1,483 | $1,156 | $-327 | -22.0% | 2026-07-20 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 202… | No | 1,891 | $0.609 | $0.590 | 60.9% | 59.0% | $1,151 | $1,116 | $-36 | -3.1% | 1970-01-01 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by Ju… | No | 1,000 | $0.965 | $0.992 | 96.5% | 99.2% | $965 | $992 | $+27 | +2.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the … | Yes | 1,000 | $0.953 | $0.941 | 95.3% | 94.0% | $953 | $940 | $-12 | -1.3% | 2026-06-28 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in … | No | 1,989 | $0.386 | $0.455 | 38.6% | 45.5% | $768 | $905 | $+137 | +17.9% | 1970-01-01 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 911 | $0.578 | $0.925 | 57.8% | 92.5% | $526 | $842 | $+316 | +60.1% | 2026-07-31 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | 835 | $0.977 | $0.989 | 97.7% | 98.9% | $815 | $825 | $+10 | +1.2% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10,000 | $0.087 | $0.081 | 8.7% | 8.1% | $870 | $805 | $-65 | -7.5% | 2026-07-20 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by Dece… | No | 849 | $0.664 | $0.910 | 66.4% | 91.0% | $563 | $772 | $+209 | +37.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay | Yes | 4,965 | $0.191 | $0.155 | 19.1% | 15.5% | $947 | $770 | $-177 | -18.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic preside… | Yes | 94,144 | $0.019 | $0.007 | 1.9% | 0.8% | $1,789 | $706 | $-1,083 | -60.5% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomat… | Yes | 882 | $0.852 | $0.774 | 85.2% | 77.5% | $751 | $683 | $-68 | -9.1% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral… | Yes | 1,717 | $0.046 | $0.395 | 4.6% | 39.5% | $79 | $678 | $+599 | +759.6% | 2026-06-02 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican preside… | Yes | 49,336 | $0.009 | $0.013 | 0.9% | 1.4% | $471 | $666 | $+195 | +41.3% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 17,429 | $0.035 | $0.035 | 3.5% | 3.5% | $603 | $617 | $+14 | +2.4% | 2026-12-31 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpil… | Yes | 2,000 | $0.385 | $0.295 | 38.5% | 29.5% | $770 | $590 | $-180 | -23.4% | 2026-12-31 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | 531 | $0.920 | $0.988 | 92.0% | 98.8% | $489 | $525 | $+36 | +7.4% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2… | Yes | 864 | $0.625 | $0.600 | 62.5% | 60.0% | $540 | $518 | $-22 | -4.0% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7,625 | $0.090 | $0.068 | 9.0% | 6.8% | $686 | $515 | $-172 | -25.0% | 2026-07-20 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate s… | No | 456 | $0.983 | $0.985 | 98.3% | 98.5% | $449 | $449 | $+1 | +0.2% | 1970-01-01 |
| Kurds declare independence from Iran? | No | 458 | $0.890 | $0.979 | 89.0% | 97.9% | $408 | $449 | $+41 | +10.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.710 | $0.805 | 71.0% | 80.5% | $355 | $402 | $+48 | +13.4% | 2026-06-30 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
20 markets settled · $0 unclaimed📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
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Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-15 02:01:39
Latest trade ts
2026-06-15 01:25
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
9 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 3… | No | 684 | 2.520 | - | $0.00 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 3… | No | 2000 | 0.977 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at… | Yes | 1000 | 0.953 | - | $0.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20… | Yes | 15264 | 0.825 | - | $0.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20… | Yes | 10769 | 0.659 | - | $0.00 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by Ju… | No | 201 | 87.999 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | No | 4000 | 1.246 | - | $0.00 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by Decemb… | No | 880 | 3.145 | - | $0.00 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 557 | 0.030 | - | $0.00 |
Closed positions
most recent 50| Exit when | Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Exit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 17:24 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 3… | No | 451 | 11.771 | 0.983 | -$4.9k |
| 2026-06-14 14:47 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican pr… | Yes | 342 | 0.009 | 0.010 | +$0.34 |
| 2026-06-14 05:59 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20… | No | 500 | 0.782 | 0.781 | -$0.56 |
| 2026-06-14 04:02 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 3… | No | 1025 | 1.824 | 0.950 | -$896.28 |
| 2026-06-13 01:29 | Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World C… | Yes | 350 | 1.030 | 0.480 | -$192.21 |
| 2026-06-13 00:22 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 248 | 8.633 | 0.830 | -$1.9k |
| 2026-06-12 18:44 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1148 | 8.432 | 0.820 | -$8.7k |
| 2026-06-12 16:56 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 3… | No | 2074 | 0.976 | 0.977 | +$2.07 |
Recent trades
100 of 497 shownBy category (closed only)
| Category | N closed | Realized PnL |
|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | +$0.34 |
| Other | 7 | -$16.6k |