0xbd0477e08d82d35a855ff19644a88a9213d8fbb0
no username
TRACKEDT14 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_copyable|local:god_system_wallets_api|local:ultimate_addresses_only|local:ultimate_copyable
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$144.5k
71 open · unrealized -$87.0k · 💰 92 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
0%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$3.3k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
562
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -
🟢 Live open positions
71 live · $144,502 current value · unrealized -$87.0k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 78,159 | $0.339 | $0.755 | 33.9% | 75.5% | $26,493 | $59,010 | $+32,518 | +122.7% | 2026-06-30 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 202… | Yes | 253,321 | $0.086 | $0.090 | 8.6% | 9.0% | $21,866 | $22,926 | $+1,059 | +4.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | 27,619 | $0.269 | $0.245 | 26.9% | 24.5% | $7,434 | $6,767 | $-667 | -9.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 20,877 | $0.288 | $0.267 | 28.8% | 26.7% | $6,008 | $5,574 | $-433 | -7.2% | 2026-06-15 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 6,500 | $0.759 | $0.733 | 75.9% | 73.3% | $4,933 | $4,764 | $-169 | -3.4% | 2026-06-15 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | Yes | 102,499 | $0.042 | $0.045 | 4.2% | 4.5% | $4,303 | $4,612 | $+309 | +7.2% | 2026-06-13 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 32,242 | $0.331 | $0.135 | 33.1% | 13.5% | $10,659 | $4,353 | $-6,306 | -59.2% | 2026-05-31 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 38,862 | $0.258 | $0.105 | 25.8% | 10.5% | $10,019 | $4,080 | $-5,938 | -59.3% | 2026-07-31 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 31,610 | $0.169 | $0.105 | 16.9% | 10.5% | $5,327 | $3,319 | $-2,007 | -37.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end … | Yes | 10,211 | $0.297 | $0.265 | 29.7% | 26.5% | $3,036 | $2,706 | $-330 | -10.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 3… | Yes | 37,967 | $0.106 | $0.070 | 10.6% | 7.0% | $4,018 | $2,658 | $-1,360 | -33.8% | 2026-07-01 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the St… | Yes | 17,282 | $0.052 | $0.132 | 5.2% | 13.2% | $908 | $2,281 | $+1,373 | +151.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | No | 26,654 | $0.369 | $0.085 | 36.9% | 8.5% | $9,843 | $2,266 | $-7,577 | -77.0% | 2026-08-31 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | No | 25,564 | $0.277 | $0.085 | 27.7% | 8.5% | $7,077 | $2,173 | $-4,904 | -69.3% | 2026-05-15 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 202… | No | 32,933 | $0.195 | $0.045 | 19.5% | 4.5% | $6,416 | $1,482 | $-4,934 | -76.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 9,748 | $0.119 | $0.110 | 11.9% | 11.0% | $1,162 | $1,072 | $-89 | -7.7% | 2026-06-30 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 9,773 | $0.403 | $0.100 | 40.3% | 10.0% | $3,942 | $977 | $-2,964 | -75.2% | 2026-06-30 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | Yes | 956 | $0.167 | $0.995 | 16.7% | 99.5% | $159 | $951 | $+791 | +496.5% | 2026-05-29 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Yes | 3,361 | $0.148 | $0.270 | 14.8% | 27.0% | $496 | $907 | $+411 | +82.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | No | 12,438 | $0.176 | $0.070 | 17.6% | 7.0% | $2,196 | $871 | $-1,325 | -60.4% | 2026-05-15 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30… | Yes | 90,679 | $0.015 | $0.009 | 1.5% | 0.9% | $1,321 | $861 | $-460 | -34.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31… | Yes | 5,000 | $0.287 | $0.160 | 28.7% | 16.0% | $1,438 | $800 | $-638 | -44.4% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | Yes | 5,197 | $0.146 | $0.105 | 14.6% | 10.5% | $762 | $546 | $-216 | -28.4% | 2026-07-01 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | No | 114,507 | $0.162 | $0.004 | 16.2% | 0.4% | $18,544 | $515 | $-18,029 | -97.2% | 2026-06-14 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? | Yes | 1,298 | $0.514 | $0.395 | 51.4% | 39.5% | $668 | $513 | $-155 | -23.2% | 2027-01-01 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | No | 5,347 | $0.062 | $0.095 | 6.2% | 9.5% | $332 | $508 | $+176 | +53.0% | 2026-07-19 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026… | No | 6,889 | $0.303 | $0.070 | 30.3% | 7.0% | $2,085 | $482 | $-1,603 | -76.9% | 2026-10-31 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States … | No | 42,674 | $0.116 | $0.011 | 11.6% | 1.1% | $4,929 | $448 | $-4,481 | -90.9% | 2026-06-15 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | No | 432 | $0.369 | $0.973 | 36.9% | 97.3% | $159 | $420 | $+261 | +163.5% | 2026-06-16 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 4,183 | $0.203 | $0.100 | 20.3% | 10.0% | $849 | $418 | $-430 | -50.7% | 2026-06-16 |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Re… | Yes | 500 | $0.742 | $0.810 | 74.2% | 81.0% | $371 | $405 | $+34 | +9.1% | 2026-06-16 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by Ju… | No | 420 | $0.854 | $0.955 | 85.4% | 95.5% | $359 | $401 | $+43 | +11.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Yes | 29,128 | $0.179 | $0.013 | 17.9% | 1.3% | $5,209 | $379 | $-4,830 | -92.7% | 2026-06-15 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 1… | Yes | 73,553 | $0.120 | $0.005 | 12.0% | 0.5% | $8,806 | $368 | $-8,438 | -95.8% | 2026-06-16 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14? | Yes | 27,907 | $0.040 | $0.013 | 4.0% | 1.3% | $1,125 | $363 | $-763 | -67.8% | 2026-06-14 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? | Yes | 1,355 | $0.198 | $0.215 | 19.8% | 21.5% | $268 | $291 | $+23 | +8.5% | 2026-08-01 |
| Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 1,730 | $0.483 | $0.165 | 48.3% | 16.5% | $835 | $285 | $-550 | -65.8% | 2026-08-01 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by August 31? | Yes | 965 | $0.286 | $0.255 | 28.6% | 25.5% | $276 | $246 | $-30 | -10.8% | 2026-09-01 |
| Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July … | No | 400 | $0.507 | $0.585 | 50.7% | 58.5% | $203 | $234 | $+31 | +15.3% | 2026-08-01 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | No | 220 | $0.366 | $0.988 | 36.6% | 98.8% | $81 | $217 | $+137 | +170.1% | 2026-06-15 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? | Yes | 1,307 | $0.191 | $0.150 | 19.1% | 15.0% | $249 | $196 | $-53 | -21.3% | 2026-07-16 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States … | No | 37,922 | $0.347 | $0.005 | 34.7% | 0.5% | $13,174 | $190 | $-12,984 | -98.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Yes | 14,434 | $0.083 | $0.013 | 8.3% | 1.3% | $1,193 | $188 | $-1,005 | -84.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | No | 48,960 | $0.253 | $0.004 | 25.3% | 0.4% | $12,406 | $171 | $-12,235 | -98.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States … | No | 21,339 | $0.014 | $0.007 | 1.4% | 0.8% | $308 | $160 | $-148 | -48.1% | 2026-06-18 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Elec… | Yes | 2,000 | $0.066 | $0.076 | 6.6% | 7.6% | $131 | $153 | $+22 | +16.7% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by Jun… | No | 510 | $0.453 | $0.265 | 45.3% | 26.5% | $231 | $135 | $-96 | -41.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of J… | Yes | 1,500 | $0.167 | $0.065 | 16.7% | 6.5% | $251 | $98 | $-153 | -61.1% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvia… | Yes | 9,106 | $0.012 | $0.011 | 1.2% | 1.1% | $111 | $96 | $-15 | -13.9% | 2026-06-07 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | Yes | 4,111 | $0.032 | $0.017 | 3.2% | 1.7% | $132 | $68 | $-64 | -48.4% | 2026-06-30 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
92 markets settled · $0 unclaimed📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
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Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-14 22:57:05
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 22:51
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
61 openClosed positions
most recent 50| Exit when | Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Exit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 21:30 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United St… | No | 11054 | 0.331 | 0.040 | -$3.2k |
| 2026-06-14 13:50 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | Yes | 458 | 0.349 | 0.253 | -$43.51 |
| 2026-06-12 19:13 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | Yes | 2110 | 0.105 | 0.077 | -$58.66 |
Recent trades
100 of 562 shownBy category (closed only)
| Category | N closed | Realized PnL |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | -$102.17 |
| Politics | 1 | -$3.2k |