0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35
SCD-807
TRACKEDT22 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_wallets|local:god_system_wallets_api
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$1.24M
336 open · unrealized +$191.9k · 💰 3 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
50%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$18.28
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
1,631
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -
🟢 Live open positions
336 live · $1,239,195 current value · unrealized +$191.9k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 125,795 | $0.874 | $0.995 | 87.4% | 99.5% | $109,917 | $125,104 | $+15,187 | +13.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 142,391 | $0.139 | $0.774 | 13.9% | 77.5% | $19,770 | $110,282 | $+90,512 | +457.8% | 2026-06-15 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 109,087 | $0.455 | $0.755 | 45.5% | 75.5% | $49,671 | $82,361 | $+32,690 | +65.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazil… | Yes | 166,106 | $0.437 | $0.495 | 43.7% | 49.5% | $72,623 | $82,223 | $+9,600 | +13.2% | 2026-10-04 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presiden… | Yes | 80,276 | $0.863 | $0.982 | 86.3% | 98.2% | $69,285 | $78,831 | $+9,546 | +13.8% | 2026-06-07 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 61,502 | $0.730 | $0.895 | 73.0% | 89.5% | $44,877 | $55,044 | $+10,167 | +22.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | Yes | 54,598 | $0.336 | $0.995 | 33.6% | 99.5% | $18,361 | $54,325 | $+35,963 | +195.9% | 2026-05-29 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after … | No | 53,251 | $0.797 | $0.825 | 79.7% | 82.5% | $42,462 | $43,932 | $+1,470 | +3.5% | 2026-11-03 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 45,354 | $0.453 | $0.895 | 45.3% | 89.5% | $20,552 | $40,592 | $+20,040 | +97.5% | 2026-05-31 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | Yes | 33,661 | $0.690 | $0.996 | 69.0% | 99.6% | $23,218 | $33,509 | $+10,291 | +44.3% | 2026-06-14 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 202… | Yes | 333,192 | $0.130 | $0.090 | 13.0% | 9.0% | $43,357 | $30,154 | $-13,203 | -30.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic preside… | Yes | 358,567 | $0.044 | $0.073 | 4.4% | 7.3% | $15,883 | $26,355 | $+10,472 | +65.9% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidenti… | Yes | 79,241 | $0.447 | $0.333 | 44.7% | 33.2% | $35,426 | $26,348 | $-9,078 | -25.6% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential El… | Yes | 467,044 | $0.028 | $0.051 | 2.8% | 5.1% | $13,252 | $24,053 | $+10,800 | +81.5% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States … | Yes | 22,041 | $0.722 | $0.995 | 72.2% | 99.5% | $15,916 | $21,931 | $+6,015 | +37.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 23,578 | $0.803 | $0.895 | 80.3% | 89.5% | $18,926 | $21,102 | $+2,176 | +11.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2… | No | 20,259 | $0.984 | $0.982 | 98.4% | 98.2% | $19,935 | $19,884 | $-51 | -0.3% | 2026-11-04 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presi… | Yes | 74,700 | $0.332 | $0.266 | 33.2% | 26.6% | $24,808 | $19,870 | $-4,938 | -19.9% | 2026-10-04 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after … | Yes | 20,699 | $0.801 | $0.825 | 80.1% | 82.5% | $16,582 | $17,077 | $+495 | +3.0% | 2026-11-03 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | No | 15,306 | $0.955 | $0.987 | 95.5% | 98.7% | $14,610 | $15,107 | $+497 | +3.4% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Electio… | Yes | 98,920 | $0.232 | $0.150 | 23.2% | 15.0% | $22,998 | $14,888 | $-8,110 | -35.3% | 2028-11-07 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Yes | 17,046 | $0.612 | $0.835 | 61.2% | 83.5% | $10,435 | $14,233 | $+3,798 | +36.4% | 2026-12-31 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 24,516 | $0.361 | $0.415 | 36.1% | 41.5% | $8,852 | $10,174 | $+1,323 | +14.9% | 2026-11-03 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 12,081 | $0.847 | $0.835 | 84.7% | 83.5% | $10,231 | $10,088 | $-143 | -1.4% | 2026-11-03 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 27,114 | $0.374 | $0.365 | 37.4% | 36.5% | $10,132 | $9,897 | $-235 | -2.3% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presid… | No | 9,079 | $0.957 | $0.934 | 95.7% | 93.5% | $8,687 | $8,484 | $-203 | -2.3% | 2028-11-07 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Yes | 9,998 | $0.466 | $0.770 | 46.6% | 77.0% | $4,657 | $7,698 | $+3,042 | +65.3% | 2026-06-21 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31… | No | 8,916 | $0.733 | $0.840 | 73.3% | 84.0% | $6,537 | $7,490 | $+953 | +14.6% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after… | Yes | 15,424 | $0.394 | $0.445 | 39.4% | 44.5% | $6,077 | $6,864 | $+787 | +12.9% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Irani… | Yes | 11,131 | $0.432 | $0.585 | 43.2% | 58.5% | $4,813 | $6,512 | $+1,699 | +35.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 7,470 | $0.858 | $0.861 | 85.8% | 86.1% | $6,411 | $6,428 | $+17 | +0.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican president… | Yes | 26,058 | $0.188 | $0.231 | 18.8% | 23.1% | $4,907 | $6,006 | $+1,099 | +22.4% | 2028-11-07 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | Yes | 5,394 | $0.626 | $0.997 | 62.6% | 99.7% | $3,377 | $5,376 | $+1,999 | +59.2% | 2026-06-30 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 5,852 | $0.676 | $0.915 | 67.6% | 91.5% | $3,956 | $5,355 | $+1,398 | +35.3% | 2026-05-15 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomat… | Yes | 6,395 | $0.539 | $0.812 | 53.9% | 81.2% | $3,450 | $5,196 | $+1,746 | +50.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | Yes | 5,053 | $0.973 | $0.999 | 97.3% | 99.9% | $4,918 | $5,046 | $+128 | +2.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Ele… | Yes | 34,583 | $0.163 | $0.143 | 16.3% | 14.3% | $5,637 | $4,963 | $-675 | -12.0% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium … | No | 5,213 | $0.925 | $0.938 | 92.5% | 93.8% | $4,824 | $4,890 | $+66 | +1.4% | 2026-06-30 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15… | Yes | 47,179 | $0.098 | $0.103 | 9.8% | 10.3% | $4,609 | $4,859 | $+250 | +5.4% | 2026-06-15 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by Decem… | Yes | 7,846 | $0.571 | $0.615 | 57.0% | 61.5% | $4,477 | $4,825 | $+349 | +7.8% | 2026-12-31 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 21,357 | $0.190 | $0.226 | 19.0% | 22.6% | $4,059 | $4,816 | $+757 | +18.6% | 2026-06-15 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | No | 4,844 | $0.946 | $0.994 | 94.6% | 99.4% | $4,581 | $4,813 | $+231 | +5.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | Yes | 103,772 | $0.083 | $0.045 | 8.3% | 4.5% | $8,579 | $4,670 | $-3,909 | -45.6% | 2026-06-13 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military stri… | Yes | 4,423 | $0.902 | $0.991 | 90.2% | 99.1% | $3,989 | $4,381 | $+391 | +9.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presiden… | No | 4,453 | $0.955 | $0.980 | 95.5% | 98.0% | $4,253 | $4,362 | $+109 | +2.6% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Swi… | Yes | 5,121 | $0.041 | $0.798 | 4.1% | 79.8% | $211 | $4,086 | $+3,875 | +1833.4% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States … | Yes | 4,088 | $0.788 | $0.994 | 78.8% | 99.4% | $3,223 | $4,063 | $+840 | +26.1% | 2026-06-21 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? | No | 4,061 | $0.823 | $0.945 | 82.3% | 94.5% | $3,343 | $3,836 | $+493 | +14.8% | 2026-01-31 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by Jun… | Yes | 5,200 | $0.434 | $0.735 | 43.4% | 73.5% | $2,258 | $3,822 | $+1,564 | +69.2% | 2026-06-30 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? | Yes | 4,872 | $0.619 | $0.770 | 61.9% | 77.0% | $3,018 | $3,752 | $+734 | +24.3% | 2026-07-31 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
3 markets settled · $0 unclaimed| Market | Side | Shares | Cost | Value | PnL | Resolved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Over | 100 | $48 | $0 | $-48 | 2026-06-13 |
| Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 600 | $84 | $0 | $-84 | 2026-06-20 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals… | Yes | 17,581 | $4,187 | $0 | $-4,187 | 2026-07-01 |
📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
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Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-14 22:34:49
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 22:29
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
121 openClosed positions
most recent 50| Exit when | Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Exit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 01:40 | FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expir… | Yes | 125 | 0.990 | 0.999 | +$1.13 |
| 2026-06-13 17:05 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Yes | 525 | 0.044 | 0.009 | -$18.28 |
Recent trades
100 of 1,631 shownBy category (closed only)
| Category | N closed | Realized PnL |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | -$17.15 |