Polymarket Monitor

v2
live · auto-refresh - ↻ reload
wallets SLA431 / 48,935 (1%)trades 1m4,220agents alive24/46 (U 24/24 · C 0/22)copies 1h0 (U 0 · C 0)proxies0 / 0proxy quota-
← back

0xb7ef580a13f0463561170074bece5fb7bbd3812c

no username
TRACKEDVPST24 SOURCES
Sources: vps:active_manifest|vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$39.6k
12 open · unrealized +$117.01 · 💰 2 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
50%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$1.2k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
152
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -

🟢 Live open positions

12 live · $39,648 current value · unrealized +$117.01
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June…No34,556$0.986$0.98798.6%98.7%$34,083$34,089$+6+0.0%2026-06-30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June…No3,255$0.948$0.98894.8%98.8%$3,086$3,214$+128+4.1%2026-06-30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No757$0.815$0.83481.5%83.4%$617$631$+14+2.3%2026-06-30
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by Jun…No580$0.921$0.97392.1%97.2%$534$564$+30+5.6%2026-07-01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio…Yes380$0.782$0.99878.2%99.8%$297$379$+82+27.5%2026-06-30
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by Ju…No299$0.967$0.99296.7%99.2%$289$296$+7+2.5%2026-07-01
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presid…Yes13,001$0.020$0.0192.0%1.9%$263$254$-9-3.5%2028-11-07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes657$0.178$0.17517.8%17.5%$117$115$-2-1.6%2026-07-01
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Mon…Down205$0.530$0.49553.0%49.5%$109$101$-7-6.6%2026-07-01
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0…Yes8$0.290$0.38529.0%38.5%$2$3$+1+32.8%2026-07-01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio…No370$0.364$0.00536.4%0.5%$135$2$-133-98.5%2026-06-19
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second DayUp0$0.460$0.81046.0%81.0%$0$0$+0+76.0%1970-01-01

💰 Resolved · pending claim

2 markets settled · $0 unclaimed
MarketSideSharesCostValuePnLResolved
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of May 25 2…Yes200$5$0$-52026-05-29
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No1,375$33$0$-332026-06-30

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-14 22:57TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of JuneNo48$0.839$40.680x8856e2…
2026-06-14 22:52TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes136$0.170$23.130x23add5…
2026-06-14 22:33TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of JuneNo188$0.815$154.010x43c6e5…
2026-06-14 22:33TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of JuneNo521$0.813$426.650xe53156…
2026-06-14 22:16TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First MDown205$0.530$108.650x830fd9…
2026-06-14 19:05TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of JuNo2,000$0.988$2.0k0x34bd36…
2026-06-14 19:05TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of JuNo925$0.988$913.650x34bd36…
2026-06-14 18:24TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes44$0.180$7.920x1a5059…
2026-06-14 17:50TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes2$0.180$0.360xfd8de9…
2026-06-14 17:49TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes9$0.180$1.620x50e2d1…
2026-06-14 17:33TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes48$0.180$8.640xc8132b…
2026-06-14 17:21TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes80$0.790$63.200x99afb5…
2026-06-14 17:20TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo70$0.340$23.970xad9b84…
2026-06-14 17:10TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes300$0.780$234.000x2d6654…
2026-06-14 17:10TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo300$0.370$111.000xa7e887…
2026-06-14 16:53TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo55$0.670$36.860x94e6a3…
2026-06-14 16:53TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo48$0.670$32.260x94e6a3…
2026-06-14 16:51TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo55$0.660$36.300xa469f2…
2026-06-14 16:50TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo48$0.670$32.270x9fe31a…
2026-06-14 16:40TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?No104$0.800$82.850x134f62…
2026-06-14 16:25TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes20$0.180$3.720x9f5461…
2026-06-14 16:23TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo75$0.700$52.490x2667bc…
2026-06-14 16:22TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo75$0.670$50.240xb65122…
2026-06-14 16:14TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes398$0.180$74.000x6eb5c7…
2026-06-14 15:38TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of JuNo155$0.988$153.550xf933ec…
2026-06-14 12:15TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of JuNo2,253$0.988$2.2k0x6cca21…
2026-06-14 00:45MAKER_REBATE--2$0.000$1.960xa0329b…
2026-06-14 00:15REWARD--0$0.000$0.240x2fe5f5…
2026-06-14 00:12YIELD--0$0.000$0.020xc2c2e9…
2026-06-14 00:00REWARD--28$0.000$27.560x5e5450…
2026-06-13 22:21TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?No212$0.800$169.440xad2c8f…
2026-06-13 18:09TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First MDown239$0.540$128.930x9db0fb…
2026-06-13 14:36TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First MDown6$0.540$3.070x47d2a6…
2026-06-13 14:36TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First MDown6$0.540$3.070x8f1d11…
2026-06-13 14:35TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First MDown194$0.540$102.760x91ab36…
2026-06-13 14:12TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?Yes157$0.250$39.190x5a4d15…
2026-06-13 09:34TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3No49$0.865$42.790x4eb1a3…
2026-06-13 08:52TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3No26$0.865$22.230xeca2c5…
2026-06-13 08:17TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3No5$0.865$4.330x525aa4…
2026-06-13 07:11TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of JuNo18,218$0.990$18.0k0x0a0ab7…
2026-06-13 07:01TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3No60$0.857$51.420x12677d…
2026-06-13 05:35TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First MDown77$0.530$40.950xab4006…
2026-06-13 05:20TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes203$0.700$142.100x86a47b…
2026-06-13 04:49TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3No7$0.857$5.990x619b54…
2026-06-13 03:22TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First MDown17$0.530$9.100xda25bc…
2026-06-13 03:16TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First MDown4$0.530$2.140x5a3280…
2026-06-13 02:53TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First MDown2$0.530$0.800x43f164…
2026-06-13 02:53TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First MDown22$0.540$11.880x067113…
2026-06-13 02:53TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First MDown22$0.550$12.100x067113…
2026-06-13 01:03TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes5$0.690$3.450x9c1bef…
2026-06-13 00:45MAKER_REBATE--10$0.000$9.810xc7b147…
2026-06-13 00:39MERGE-Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3-42$0.000$41.820x9222aa…
2026-06-13 00:39TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3No55$0.919$50.550x962e64…
2026-06-13 00:37TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes5$0.690$3.450xccda97…
2026-06-13 00:35TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes7$0.690$4.830x16cf4b…
2026-06-13 00:16TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2No52$0.560$29.120x8ba345…
2026-06-13 00:15REWARD--0$0.000$0.230xd774c7…
2026-06-13 00:14YIELD--0$0.000$0.020x93c131…
2026-06-13 00:00REWARD--43$0.000$43.070x511174…
2026-06-12 23:47TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2Yes226$0.300$67.780xf41e57…
2026-06-12 23:37TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First MDown83$0.520$43.000x2c4f5c…
2026-06-12 23:32TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes200$0.690$138.000x827a95…
2026-06-12 23:29TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2No46$0.550$25.330x4c7812…
2026-06-12 23:25TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second DayUp0$0.460$0.090x6183f8…
2026-06-12 23:09TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First MDown17$0.520$9.000x484632…
2026-06-12 22:53TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2Yes8$0.290$2.320xa5fd7c…
2026-06-12 22:49TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First MDown100$0.560$56.000x76bcf7…
2026-06-12 22:46TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2No6$0.550$3.270x9f26a0…
2026-06-12 22:22TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First MDown100$0.580$58.000x46cc8e…
2026-06-12 22:20REDEEM-SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?-3,914$0.000$3.9k0xa86ec9…
2026-06-12 22:20REDEEM-SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?-5,287$0.000$5.3k0xc423e4…
2026-06-12 22:20REDEEM-SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?-14,004$0.000$14.0k0x442d3b…
2026-06-12 21:36TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?No85$0.790$67.490x8accc9…
2026-06-12 21:35TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2Yes53$0.290$15.380x6d5955…
2026-06-12 21:35TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2Yes93$0.290$26.960x6d5955…
2026-06-12 21:35TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2No50$0.570$28.500xa82865…
2026-06-12 21:28TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2Yes7$0.290$2.040xdec8b0…
2026-06-12 21:02TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of JuNo347$0.966$334.970x307228…
2026-06-12 20:02TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No10$0.998$9.980xfdc299…
2026-06-12 19:58TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No1$0.998$1.210x940075…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

-

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat

Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-14 23:01:28
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 22:57
Backfill
✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.9

Open positions

14 open
MarketOutcomeSharesEntryLastUnrealized
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of J…No7570.815-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes3800.782-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No3700.364-$0.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in Jun…Yes6570.178-$0.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of…No155511.499-$0.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and…No422.581-$0.00
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second DayUp00.460-$0.00
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of Firs…Down2051.715-$0.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of…No3470.966-$0.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No140040.999-$0.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and…Yes420.060-$0.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and…Yes88.480-$0.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?No5280.986-$0.00
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its firs…Yes0163271.690-$0.00

Closed positions

most recent 50
Exit whenMarketOutcomeSharesEntryExitRealized
2026-06-14 16:53US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No481.4240.670-$36.31
2026-06-14 16:23US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No750.6700.700+$2.25
2026-06-13 22:21Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?No850.7900.800+$0.85
2026-06-13 05:20US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes2030.7140.700-$2.80
2026-06-13 00:16Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and…No520.5500.560+$0.52
2026-06-12 21:35Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and…No500.5500.570+$1.00
2026-06-12 17:43SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?No10402.1070.996-$1.2k
2026-06-12 16:26SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes8980.0300.020-$8.98

Recent trades

100 of 152 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-14 22:57BUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end…No480.839$40.420x8856e2…
2026-06-14 22:52BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 i…Yes1360.170$23.130x23add5…
2026-06-14 22:33BUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end…No1880.815$152.880x43c6e5…
2026-06-14 22:33BUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end…No5210.813$423.480xe53156…
2026-06-14 22:16BUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of…Down2050.530$108.650x830fd9…
2026-06-14 19:05BUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by e…No20000.988$2.0k0x34bd36…
2026-06-14 19:05BUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by e…No9250.988$913.650x34bd36…
2026-06-14 18:24BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 i…Yes440.180$7.920x1a5059…
2026-06-14 17:50BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 i…Yes20.180$0.360xfd8de9…
2026-06-14 17:49BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 i…Yes90.180$1.620x50e2d1…
2026-06-14 17:33BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 i…Yes480.180$8.640xc8132b…
2026-06-14 17:21BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes800.790$63.200x99afb5…
2026-06-14 17:20BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No700.340$23.970xad9b84…
2026-06-14 17:10BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes3000.780$234.000x2d6654…
2026-06-14 17:10BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No3000.370$111.000xa7e887…
2026-06-14 16:53SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No550.670$36.860x94e6a3…
2026-06-14 16:53SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No480.670$32.260x94e6a3…
2026-06-14 16:51BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No550.660$36.300xa469f2…
2026-06-14 16:50BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No480.670$32.270x9fe31a…
2026-06-14 16:40SELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in Jun…No1040.800$82.850x134f62…
2026-06-14 16:25BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 i…Yes200.180$3.600x9f5461…
2026-06-14 16:23SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No750.700$52.490x2667bc…
2026-06-14 16:22BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No750.670$50.240xb65122…
2026-06-14 16:14BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 i…Yes3980.180$71.650x6eb5c7…
2026-06-14 15:38BUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by e…No1550.988$153.550xf933ec…
2026-06-14 12:15BUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by e…No22530.988$2.2k0x6cca21…
2026-06-13 22:21SELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in Jun…No2120.800$169.440xad2c8f…
2026-06-13 18:09SELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of…Down2390.540$128.930x9db0fb…
2026-06-13 14:36SELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of…Down60.540$3.070x47d2a6…
2026-06-13 14:36SELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of…Down60.540$3.070x8f1d11…
2026-06-13 14:35SELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of…Down1940.540$104.690x91ab36…
2026-06-13 14:12SELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in Jun…Yes1570.250$39.190x5a4d15…
2026-06-13 09:34SELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5…No490.865$42.790x4eb1a3…
2026-06-13 08:52SELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5…No260.865$22.230xeca2c5…
2026-06-13 08:17SELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5…No50.865$4.330x525aa4…
2026-06-13 07:11BUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by e…No182180.990$18.0k0x0a0ab7…
2026-06-13 07:01BUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5…No600.857$51.420x12677d…
2026-06-13 05:35BUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of…Down770.530$40.950xab4006…
2026-06-13 05:20SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes2030.700$142.100x86a47b…
2026-06-13 04:49BUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5…No70.857$5.990x619b54…
2026-06-13 03:22BUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of…Down170.530$9.100xda25bc…
2026-06-13 03:16BUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of…Down40.530$2.140x5a3280…
2026-06-13 02:53BUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of…Down20.530$0.800x43f164…
2026-06-13 02:53BUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of…Down220.540$11.880x067113…
2026-06-13 02:53BUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of…Down220.550$12.100x067113…
2026-06-13 01:03BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes50.690$3.450x9c1bef…
2026-06-13 00:39BUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5…No550.919$50.550x962e64…
2026-06-13 00:37BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes50.690$3.450xccda97…
2026-06-13 00:35SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes70.690$4.830x16cf4b…
2026-06-13 00:16SELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0…No520.560$29.120x8ba345…

By category (closed only)

CategoryN closedRealized PnL
Other8-$1.2k

Coordinated-buy involvement

events that included this wallet
WhenMarketWalletsNotionalDiversity
2026-05-29 17:29US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…3$822.510.62
2026-05-28 14:24US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 202…3$2.0k0.86
2026-05-28 14:19US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 202…3$2.1k0.86
2026-05-28 14:13US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 202…3$3.7k0.94