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0xab19716584931d81cd9e7763402673a64baa4876

semi
TRACKEDT23 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_copyable|local:god_system_wallets|local:god_system_wallets_api
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$288.8k
15 open · unrealized +$17.9k
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
0%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$40.2k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
442
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -

🟢 Live open positions

15 live · $288,849 current value · unrealized +$17.9k
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No101,729$0.855$0.90585.5%90.5%$87,022$92,065$+5,043+5.8%2026-12-31
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 1…No83,801$0.902$0.99390.2%99.3%$75,627$83,214$+7,587+10.0%2026-06-16
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio…No75,791$0.939$0.96093.9%96.0%$71,179$72,759$+1,580+2.2%2026-06-13
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?No7,729$0.700$0.99170.0%99.1%$5,411$7,659$+2,249+41.6%2026-06-30
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 3…No7,967$0.890$0.93589.0%93.5%$7,091$7,449$+359+5.1%2026-07-01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by Ju…No5,687$0.903$0.98790.3%98.7%$5,134$5,611$+476+9.3%2026-06-30
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No7,454$0.695$0.70069.5%70.0%$5,181$5,218$+37+0.7%2026-12-31
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No5,000$0.850$0.87585.0%87.5%$4,250$4,375$+125+2.9%2026-12-31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September…No4,479$0.940$0.95594.0%95.5%$4,210$4,277$+67+1.6%2026-09-30
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-e…No3,361$0.966$0.98696.6%98.6%$3,247$3,313$+66+2.0%1970-01-01
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes3,281$0.730$0.82073.0%82.0%$2,396$2,690$+294+12.3%2026-12-31
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?No113$0.708$0.99270.8%99.2%$80$113$+32+40.2%2026-06-30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31…No146$0.670$0.69567.0%69.5%$98$101$+4+3.7%2026-12-31
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No6$0.784$0.94478.4%94.3%$5$5$+1+20.4%2026-06-30
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No0$0.781$0.92978.1%93.0%$0$0$+0+18.9%2026-12-31

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-14 22:57TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes10,000$0.847$8.5k0x86f2c1…
2026-06-14 22:56TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes10,000$0.728$7.3k0x716a24…
2026-06-14 22:54TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes2,629$0.778$2.0k0x0db35f…
2026-06-14 22:54TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes5,000$0.765$3.8k0xdba201…
2026-06-14 22:54TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes5,000$0.765$3.8k0x7a2a0a…
2026-06-14 22:54TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes9,509$0.758$7.2k0x97692b…
2026-06-14 22:53TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes36$0.758$27.080x43db28…
2026-06-14 22:53TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes77$0.758$58.000x8eb008…
2026-06-14 22:53TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes135$0.758$102.670xf46826…
2026-06-14 22:53TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes243$0.758$184.440x77b6a0…
2026-06-14 22:52TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes7,371$0.744$5.5k0x11c882…
2026-06-14 22:45TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by SeptembNo56$0.960$54.010x672330…
2026-06-14 22:27TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by SeptembNo43$0.960$41.150x6a3e5b…
2026-06-14 22:17TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by SeptembNo48$0.960$45.770x73688d…
2026-06-14 22:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes6,292$0.727$4.6k0x3ceb47…
2026-06-14 22:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes5$0.727$3.970xa3a63e…
2026-06-14 22:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1$0.727$0.410x11a559…
2026-06-14 22:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes147$0.727$106.520xa3a5de…
2026-06-14 22:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes3,000$0.727$2.2k0xf8d41f…
2026-06-14 22:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes55$0.727$39.950xfe8afe…
2026-06-14 22:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes7$0.727$5.330x4896c5…
2026-06-14 22:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes18$0.727$13.320x1d8316…
2026-06-14 22:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes55$0.727$39.950x590736…
2026-06-14 22:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes20$0.727$14.310x3ad7d1…
2026-06-14 22:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes190$0.727$138.480x84f79d…
2026-06-14 22:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes37$0.727$26.630xc0c5c6…
2026-06-14 22:00TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes92$0.727$66.580xdecdd0…
2026-06-14 22:00TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes40$0.727$29.290x257ddc…
2026-06-14 22:00TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes37$0.727$26.630xe8e769…
2026-06-14 22:00TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes4$0.727$3.060x706ac0…
2026-06-14 21:54TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes10,000$0.727$7.3k0x43cca8…
2026-06-14 21:54TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes645$0.727$469.240x43cca8…
2026-06-14 21:53TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes4$0.727$2.720x4d0932…
2026-06-14 21:53TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes5$0.727$3.740x232e69…
2026-06-14 21:53TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes6$0.727$4.590x92309a…
2026-06-14 21:53TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1$0.727$0.790x6654ea…
2026-06-14 21:53TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes18$0.727$13.320x37a124…
2026-06-14 21:53TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes198$0.727$143.690xd0ee25…
2026-06-14 21:53TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes317$0.727$230.790xb5854e…
2026-06-14 21:53TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes34$0.727$24.940x5d18b8…
2026-06-14 21:53TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes71$0.727$51.390xe3beb4…
2026-06-14 21:53TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes3$0.727$2.180xa723b9…
2026-06-14 21:53TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes8,692$0.727$6.3k0x5e6378…
2026-06-14 21:53TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes4$0.727$3.170x631b49…
2026-06-14 21:53MERGE-US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?-10,000$0.000$10.0k0x7dbc6a…
2026-06-14 21:52TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes13$0.730$9.590x6f1269…
2026-06-14 21:52TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes21$0.730$15.300x7a40f5…
2026-06-14 21:52TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1$0.730$1.040x39e2ff…
2026-06-14 21:52TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes7$0.730$5.400x94d0c3…
2026-06-14 21:52TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes0$0.730$0.100x5d06dc…
2026-06-14 21:52TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes36$0.730$26.310xb819ae…
2026-06-14 21:52TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes2$0.730$1.570xdf0587…
2026-06-14 21:52TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes21$0.730$15.560xbb464b…
2026-06-14 21:52TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,193$0.730$870.960xae0950…
2026-06-14 21:52TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes5,000$0.730$3.6k0xae0950…
2026-06-14 21:52TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1$0.730$0.460x3cedb7…
2026-06-14 21:52TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes3,704$0.730$2.7k0xceaf9d…
2026-06-14 21:49TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by JuneNo3$0.890$3.050x2ba4c8…
2026-06-14 21:46TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo1,502$0.030$45.050xf00586…
2026-06-14 21:45TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo120$0.030$3.610x121095…
2026-06-14 21:31TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by SeptembNo40$0.960$38.230x42a802…
2026-06-14 21:29TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by JuneNo462$0.890$411.590xacdd8d…
2026-06-14 21:28TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by SeptembNo3$0.960$3.000x6476ff…
2026-06-14 21:27TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by JuneNo77$0.890$68.770x54d47a…
2026-06-14 21:24TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by JuneNo155$0.890$137.550x9fd58d…
2026-06-14 21:07TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by JuneNo2,836$0.890$2.5k0x4712b9…
2026-06-14 21:06TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by JuneNo194$0.890$173.020xa7a888…
2026-06-14 21:06TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by JuneNo5,000$0.890$4.5k0xa7a888…
2026-06-14 21:06TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by JuneNo3,359$0.890$3.0k0xa7a888…
2026-06-14 21:04TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by JuneNo1,029$0.890$915.810x313328…
2026-06-14 21:03TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No2,500$0.722$1.8k0x557597…
2026-06-14 21:02TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No2,500$0.722$1.8k0xb7dffd…
2026-06-14 21:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No5,000$0.758$3.8k0x67fee5…
2026-06-14 20:35TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by JuneNo20$0.890$17.800x2cd166…
2026-06-14 20:32TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo549$0.974$534.760x157308…
2026-06-14 20:25TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo6$0.974$5.360x0baaf8…
2026-06-14 20:24TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by JuneNo300$0.890$267.000x7b504d…
2026-06-14 20:23TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by JuneNo31$0.890$27.590x43733b…
2026-06-14 20:19TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by SeptembNo55$0.960$52.340xab482b…
2026-06-14 20:02TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo841$0.974$819.140x3b15b5…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

-

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat

Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-14 23:02:26
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 22:57
Backfill
✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])
0.7
0.8

Open positions

4 open
MarketOutcomeSharesEntryLastUnrealized
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by J…No1500.944-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No453991.376-$0.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…Yes159742.776-$0.00
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by J…No100.995-$0.00

Closed positions

most recent 50
Exit whenMarketOutcomeSharesEntryExitRealized
2026-06-14 21:06Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by J…No34651.3610.890-$1.6k
2026-06-14 03:39US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20…Yes40785.2560.500-$19.4k
2026-06-13 20:25US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20…Yes76951.0070.530-$3.7k
2026-06-13 18:41US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No90122.1420.998-$10.3k
2026-06-13 17:55US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20…Yes100001.0300.560-$4.7k
2026-06-13 17:50US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes101050.0700.040-$300.40
2026-06-13 11:31US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…No17500.9000.801-$173.25

Recent trades

100 of 442 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-14 22:57SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes100000.847$8.5k0x86f2c1…
2026-06-14 22:56BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes100000.728$7.3k0x716a24…
2026-06-14 22:54SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes26290.778$2.0k0x0db35f…
2026-06-14 22:54SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes50000.765$3.8k0xdba201…
2026-06-14 22:54SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes50000.765$3.8k0x7a2a0a…
2026-06-14 22:54SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes95090.758$7.2k0x97692b…
2026-06-14 22:53SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes360.758$27.080x43db28…
2026-06-14 22:53SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes770.758$58.000x8eb008…
2026-06-14 22:53SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes1350.758$102.670xf46826…
2026-06-14 22:53SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes2430.758$184.440x77b6a0…
2026-06-14 22:52SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes73710.744$5.5k0x11c882…
2026-06-14 22:45SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by…No560.960$54.010x672330…
2026-06-14 22:27SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by…No430.960$41.150x6a3e5b…
2026-06-14 22:17SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by…No480.960$45.770x73688d…
2026-06-14 22:01BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes62920.727$4.6k0x3ceb47…
2026-06-14 22:01BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes50.727$3.970xa3a63e…
2026-06-14 22:01BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes10.727$0.410x11a559…
2026-06-14 22:01BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes1470.727$106.520xa3a5de…
2026-06-14 22:01BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes30000.727$2.2k0xf8d41f…
2026-06-14 22:01BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes550.727$39.950xfe8afe…
2026-06-14 22:01BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes70.727$5.330x4896c5…
2026-06-14 22:01BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes180.727$13.320x1d8316…
2026-06-14 22:01BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes550.727$39.950x590736…
2026-06-14 22:01BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes200.727$14.310x3ad7d1…
2026-06-14 22:01BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes1900.727$138.480x84f79d…
2026-06-14 22:01BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes370.727$26.630xc0c5c6…
2026-06-14 22:00BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes920.727$66.580xdecdd0…
2026-06-14 22:00BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes400.727$29.290x257ddc…
2026-06-14 22:00BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes370.727$26.630xe8e769…
2026-06-14 22:00BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes40.727$3.060x706ac0…
2026-06-14 21:54BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes100000.727$7.3k0x43cca8…
2026-06-14 21:54BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes6450.727$469.240x43cca8…
2026-06-14 21:53BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes40.727$2.720x4d0932…
2026-06-14 21:53BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes50.727$3.740x232e69…
2026-06-14 21:53BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes60.727$4.590x92309a…
2026-06-14 21:53BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes10.727$0.790x6654ea…
2026-06-14 21:53BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes180.727$13.320x37a124…
2026-06-14 21:53BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes1980.727$143.690xd0ee25…
2026-06-14 21:53BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes3170.727$230.790xb5854e…
2026-06-14 21:53BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes340.727$24.940x5d18b8…
2026-06-14 21:53BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes710.727$51.390xe3beb4…
2026-06-14 21:53BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes30.727$2.180xa723b9…
2026-06-14 21:53BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes86920.727$6.3k0x5e6378…
2026-06-14 21:53BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes40.727$3.170x631b49…
2026-06-14 21:52BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes130.730$9.590x6f1269…
2026-06-14 21:52BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes210.730$15.300x7a40f5…
2026-06-14 21:52BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes10.730$1.040x39e2ff…
2026-06-14 21:52BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes70.730$5.400x94d0c3…
2026-06-14 21:52BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes00.730$0.100x5d06dc…
2026-06-14 21:52BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes360.730$26.310xb819ae…

By category (closed only)

CategoryN closedRealized PnL
Politics1-$1.6k
Other6-$38.6k

Coordinated-buy involvement

events that included this wallet
WhenMarketWalletsNotionalDiversity
2026-06-05 00:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…3$21.5k0.74
2026-06-03 19:58MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…3$224.5k0.71
2026-06-03 19:51MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…3$234.5k0.71
2026-06-02 19:50MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…7$345.2k0.66
2026-06-02 19:48MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…7$352.2k0.75
2026-06-02 19:45MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…4$211.9k0.45