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0xa8c63f775ddbbe66b56614191747def3021444e8

okokokok12
TRACKEDT22 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_wallets|local:god_system_wallets_api
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$251.1k
179 open · unrealized +$16.2k · 💰 20 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
23%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$33.6k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
1,776
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -

🟢 Live open positions

179 live · $251,083 current value · unrealized +$16.2k
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Electio…No30,000$0.500$0.84950.0%84.9%$15,000$25,470$+10,470+69.8%2028-11-07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No17,117$0.820$0.87582.0%87.5%$14,027$14,977$+950+6.8%2026-12-31
Iran Nuke before 2027?No15,852$0.900$0.92790.0%92.8%$14,275$14,703$+427+3.0%2026-12-31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No9,851$0.849$0.91584.9%91.5%$8,363$9,014$+651+7.8%2026-12-31
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-elect…Yes10,648$0.032$0.7353.2%73.5%$342$7,827$+7,485+2189.9%1970-01-01
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No7,153$0.874$0.94987.4%94.8%$6,253$6,785$+532+8.5%2026-12-31
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayora…No6,454$0.930$0.99193.0%99.1%$6,006$6,393$+387+6.4%2026-06-02
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of …No6,030$0.876$0.95787.6%95.7%$5,282$5,768$+486+9.2%2026-12-31
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No5,850$0.946$0.96594.6%96.5%$5,533$5,645$+112+2.0%2026-12-31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes5,857$0.614$0.91561.4%91.5%$3,593$5,359$+1,766+49.1%2026-05-15
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No5,935$0.856$0.87585.6%87.5%$5,080$5,193$+113+2.2%2026-12-31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No5,000$0.986$0.99398.6%99.2%$4,930$4,962$+33+0.7%2026-06-30
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 20…No5,109$0.822$0.95082.2%95.0%$4,198$4,853$+655+15.6%2026-12-31
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Electio…Yes32,030$0.499$0.15149.9%15.1%$15,996$4,837$-11,159-69.8%2028-11-07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No5,000$0.859$0.90585.9%90.5%$4,295$4,525$+230+5.4%2026-12-31
Iran coup attempt by June 30?No4,531$0.866$0.97986.6%97.9%$3,923$4,436$+513+13.1%2026-06-30
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Decemb…No5,504$0.605$0.78560.5%78.5%$3,330$4,321$+990+29.7%2026-12-31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No3,659$0.836$0.98783.6%98.7%$3,060$3,610$+549+17.9%2026-05-15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by Dece…Yes4,091$0.810$0.87581.0%87.5%$3,312$3,580$+267+8.1%2026-12-31
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in Californ…No5,183$0.647$0.67064.8%67.0%$3,356$3,472$+116+3.5%2026-11-03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes4,250$0.820$0.81082.0%81.0%$3,484$3,445$-39-1.1%2026-06-15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No3,655$0.838$0.89583.8%89.5%$3,064$3,271$+208+6.8%2026-12-31
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes20,000$0.166$0.16216.6%16.2%$3,310$3,230$-80-2.4%2026-07-20
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before…No3,841$0.785$0.79078.5%79.0%$3,016$3,034$+19+0.6%2026-12-31
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezue…No3,037$0.909$0.95690.9%95.6%$2,762$2,903$+141+5.1%2026-12-31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September…No3,000$0.920$0.95592.0%95.5%$2,760$2,865$+105+3.8%2026-09-30
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No3,092$0.729$0.90672.9%90.6%$2,254$2,801$+547+24.3%2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 202…No3,000$0.920$0.92592.0%92.5%$2,760$2,775$+15+0.5%2026-10-10
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezu…No2,712$0.761$0.88576.1%88.5%$2,065$2,400$+335+16.2%2026-12-31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpil…No2,500$0.834$0.91083.4%91.0%$2,085$2,275$+190+9.1%2026-07-31
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No2,357$0.917$0.94991.7%94.8%$2,162$2,235$+74+3.4%2026-12-31
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No2,218$0.851$0.95585.1%95.5%$1,889$2,118$+230+12.2%2026-12-31
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes30,000$0.072$0.0687.2%6.8%$2,160$2,025$-135-6.2%2026-07-20
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-elec…Yes7,500$0.030$0.2653.0%26.5%$227$1,988$+1,760+774.5%1970-01-01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by Ju…No2,000$0.961$0.99096.1%99.0%$1,923$1,979$+56+2.9%2026-06-30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end o…Yes2,225$0.729$0.88372.9%88.3%$1,622$1,966$+344+21.2%2026-06-30
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No1,882$0.936$0.94093.6%94.0%$1,761$1,768$+7+0.4%2026-12-31
Iran leadership change by June 30?No1,766$0.933$0.97693.3%97.6%$1,648$1,723$+76+4.6%2026-06-30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 3…No3,220$0.556$0.52555.6%52.5%$1,790$1,690$-100-5.6%2026-12-31
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No1,717$0.918$0.95191.8%95.1%$1,575$1,632$+57+3.6%2026-06-30
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-e…No1,652$0.982$0.98698.2%98.6%$1,621$1,628$+6+0.4%1970-01-01
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 202…No1,730$0.883$0.93588.3%93.5%$1,527$1,617$+91+5.9%2026-03-31
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No1,848$0.851$0.84085.1%84.0%$1,573$1,553$-20-1.3%2026-12-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end …No2,000$0.720$0.73572.0%73.5%$1,440$1,470$+30+2.1%2026-06-30
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before…No1,710$0.788$0.83578.8%83.5%$1,347$1,428$+81+6.0%2026-12-31
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes167,776$0.009$0.0090.9%0.9%$1,438$1,426$-12-0.8%2026-07-20
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 3…No1,390$0.889$0.96888.9%96.8%$1,236$1,345$+109+8.8%2026-06-30
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end…Yes1,800$0.665$0.73166.5%73.0%$1,196$1,315$+119+9.9%2026-12-31
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No1,500$0.818$0.80581.8%80.5%$1,227$1,208$-19-1.6%2026-06-30
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?No1,298$0.866$0.93086.6%93.0%$1,124$1,207$+83+7.4%2026-12-31

💰 Resolved · pending claim

20 markets settled · $0 unclaimed
MarketSideSharesCostValuePnLResolved
Will Lisa Su be announced as the next CEO of Tesla…Yes51$0$0$-02025-12-31
Will Dara Khosrowshahi be announced as the next CE…Yes73$0$0$-02025-12-31
Will Lei Jun be announced as the next CEO of Tesla…Yes100$1$0$-12025-12-31
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last less tha…Yes50$2$0$-22025-12-31
Will Trump say "Hindu" or "Hinduism" during Diwali…No50$8$0$-81970-01-01
Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago…No24$14$0$-142026-01-03
Wisconsin judge convicted for obstructing immigrat…No25$17$0$-172025-12-31
Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Holocaust" during the Ha…No50$19$0$-192025-12-16
Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during his Mar-a-La…No47$19$0$-192026-01-03
Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on Nov…Yes30$21$0$-212025-11-02
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 4…Yes99$30$0$-302026-03-21
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?No900$34$0$-342026-06-30
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during trophy prese…No100$38$0$-382026-03-20
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?No93$42$0$-422026-03-31
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?Yes57$43$0$-431970-01-01
Will Trump say "ISIS" at Rocky Mount events on Fri…No92$55$0$-552025-12-19
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U…No100$74$0$-742025-12-31
Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with PM…No100$80$0$-802025-10-07
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?No500$250$0$-2502026-06-30
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?No1,350$969$0$-9692026-01-31

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-15 02:19REDEEM-US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extens-2,000$0.000$2.0k0xcb0885…
2026-06-15 02:01TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?Yes1,235$0.041$50.640x03adf8…
2026-06-15 01:50TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes415$0.008$3.320x6bff74…
2026-06-15 01:48TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes16$0.008$0.130x62b18d…
2026-06-15 01:46TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes779$0.008$6.230x0c78d5…
2026-06-15 01:34TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes100$0.008$0.800x821dd7…
2026-06-15 01:32TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo1,000$0.740$740.000x955d7a…
2026-06-15 01:23TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5$0.008$0.040xbd8b3e…
2026-06-15 01:17TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes60$0.008$0.480xfc5fe1…
2026-06-15 01:11TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes91$0.008$0.730x58404a…
2026-06-15 01:09TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes247$0.008$1.980x19d66c…
2026-06-15 01:05TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9$0.008$0.070xada7cc…
2026-06-15 01:04TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes102$0.008$0.810xe86e3b…
2026-06-15 01:00TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,000$0.815$815.000xb65444…
2026-06-15 00:58TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5$0.008$0.040x9a9e2d…
2026-06-15 00:54TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes1,526$0.910$1.4k0xd81dce…
2026-06-15 00:54TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes54$0.008$0.440x94485f…
2026-06-15 00:51TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes100$0.910$91.000x5904a1…
2026-06-15 00:51TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes829$0.900$745.840xa73057…
2026-06-15 00:49TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes55$0.008$0.440xb36ccb…
2026-06-15 00:48TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes193$0.008$1.550xca0428…
2026-06-15 00:46TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes627$0.008$5.020x262b01…
2026-06-15 00:45MAKER_REBATE--163$0.000$163.430x5c985f…
2026-06-15 00:33TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes151$0.008$1.200xa2d314…
2026-06-15 00:32TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes981$0.008$7.840x21453d…
2026-06-15 00:31TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes59$0.008$0.470x1dfc5e…
2026-06-15 00:25REDEEM-Will Donald Trump announce that the United State-9$0.000$9.270x798f35…
2026-06-15 00:25REDEEM-Will Donald Trump announce that the United State-267$0.000$267.320x600e67…
2026-06-15 00:24TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes111$0.008$0.890x685f97…
2026-06-15 00:22REDEEM-US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extens-1,000$0.000$1.0k0xf43b14…
2026-06-15 00:22REDEEM-Will Donald Trump announce that the United State-5,145$0.000$5.1k0xe92cd5…
2026-06-15 00:22REDEEM-US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extens-1,500$0.000$1.5k0x38380d…
2026-06-15 00:15REWARD--4$0.000$3.560x57ce2c…
2026-06-15 00:13TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No1,000$0.171$171.000x90fd13…
2026-06-15 00:12TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,000$0.818$818.000xd0b192…
2026-06-15 00:12TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,000$0.820$820.000xd0b192…
2026-06-15 00:12TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes244$0.826$201.460x7ef7b0…
2026-06-15 00:12TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes6$0.826$4.920x1fa7cc…
2026-06-15 00:12TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes987$0.824$812.900xe10abc…
2026-06-15 00:11YIELD--3$0.000$3.450xe3ecaa…
2026-06-15 00:11TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes13$0.824$11.100x988247…
2026-06-15 00:10TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes47$0.008$0.370x2d9f78…
2026-06-15 00:07TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No744$0.927$689.970x9a617f…
2026-06-15 00:07TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No212$0.960$203.740xad211d…
2026-06-15 00:05TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2,000$0.880$1.8k0x2de2b9…
2026-06-15 00:04MERGE-US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?-569$0.000$568.810xf21e30…
2026-06-15 00:04TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes569$0.837$476.250x03e610…
2026-06-15 00:03TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes18$0.900$16.170x47ae57…
2026-06-15 00:01MERGE-US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?-10,000$0.000$10.0k0x69c12f…
2026-06-15 00:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No9,941$0.174$1.7k0x1a5d1e…
2026-06-15 00:00TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No5$0.174$0.910xe04db7…
2026-06-15 00:00TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No48$0.174$8.390xe09fe6…
2026-06-15 00:00TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No6$0.174$1.050x82f53e…
2026-06-15 00:00REWARD--323$0.000$323.360xbdc2d5…
2026-06-14 23:59TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes52$0.008$0.420xebcb6a…
2026-06-14 23:59TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes3,000$0.831$2.5k0x415716…
2026-06-14 23:56TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes82$0.900$73.800x5a5534…
2026-06-14 23:54TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes714$0.008$5.710x93cecc…
2026-06-14 23:53TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes44$0.008$0.350xc90198…
2026-06-14 23:52TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes127$0.008$1.020xe82298…
2026-06-14 23:52TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No49$0.176$8.620x58f527…
2026-06-14 23:52TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No515$0.176$90.600x86c1ed…
2026-06-14 23:51TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes16$0.008$0.130xbab1df…
2026-06-14 23:51TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes52$0.900$46.800x3df83f…
2026-06-14 23:51TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes48$0.900$43.230xc7e6c9…
2026-06-14 23:49TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes4,000$0.824$3.3k0x5826e0…
2026-06-14 23:48MERGE-US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?-4,995$0.000$5.0k0xebdd74…
2026-06-14 23:47TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes3,000$0.825$2.5k0x65d3d7…
2026-06-14 23:47TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes16$0.008$0.130x93ee9c…
2026-06-14 23:47TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Yes358$0.820$293.530xd1abfa…
2026-06-14 23:43TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No3,000$0.160$480.000x956d18…
2026-06-14 23:41TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes234$0.008$1.880x6befbf…
2026-06-14 23:38TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No2,000$0.173$346.000x7c8ecf…
2026-06-14 23:38TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes848$0.816$691.620xa1d1cd…
2026-06-14 23:38TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,152$0.816$940.380x39d428…
2026-06-14 23:35MERGE-US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?-2,000$0.000$2.0k0x62b686…
2026-06-14 23:34TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes310$0.008$2.480x80d7a9…
2026-06-14 23:33TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5$0.008$0.040x4f67b2…
2026-06-14 23:33TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes92$0.008$0.730x7ad182…
2026-06-14 23:29TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No917$0.195$178.840x5335c1…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

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Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
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Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-15 02:03:20
Latest trade ts
2026-06-15 01:50
Backfill
✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])
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Open positions

57 open
MarketOutcomeSharesEntryLastUnrealized
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026…No7440.927-$0.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026…No2120.960-$0.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…No150380.553-$0.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by…No11691.848-$0.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…Yes2670.984-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes20000.987-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes15000.970-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes10000.980-$0.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20…No0354555.470-$0.00
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting…Yes0845098.060-$0.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes300000.072-$0.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 20…No0308446.160-$0.00
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No0877604.940-$0.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…Yes41001.462-$0.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…Yes218141.021-$0.00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential…Yes870.146-$0.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No50000.862-$0.00
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1000000.013-$0.00
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1541120.009-$0.00
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes200000.166-$0.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by…No0188932.640-$0.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US custom…No2001.915-$0.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by…Yes31172.993-$0.00
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in t…No6000.882-$0.00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes017873.102-$0.00
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayo…Yes10000.600-$0.00
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of ura…No10000.833-$0.00
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles m…No40000.991-$0.00
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through …No6000.760-$0.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…Yes9181.225-$0.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No6150.132-$0.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No4070.948-$0.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes64421.215-$0.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…No5000.952-$0.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium sto…No25000.834-$0.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium sto…No5100.919-$0.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?No5001.992-$0.00
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No8091.007-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No6602.561-$0.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?No20000.998-$0.00
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield…No213171.160-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No09757971.000-$0.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20…Yes15373.773-$0.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No55016.606-$0.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes13722.673-$0.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes5000.996-$0.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes8001.602-$0.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No10000.968-$0.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No9201.498-$0.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes49132.411-$0.00

Closed positions

most recent 50
Exit whenMarketOutcomeSharesEntryExitRealized
2026-06-14 21:56US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026…No661.6850.160-$101.03
2026-06-14 21:32US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No11320.9900.030-$1.1k
2026-06-14 21:32US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No1624.9860.020-$806.75
2026-06-14 20:29US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No3790.6440.440-$77.24
2026-06-14 20:27Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…No11325.3190.682-$5.2k
2026-06-14 18:41Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes300.1210.149+$0.84
2026-06-14 17:10World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?Yes5000.0860.048-$19.00
2026-06-14 14:47Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes500000.0080.009+$50.00
2026-06-14 14:18US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…Yes34240.4370.093-$1.2k
2026-06-14 14:00Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…Yes3983.0880.772-$922.41
2026-06-14 13:59US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31…Yes5680.8100.800-$5.68
2026-06-14 09:48US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No2000.6200.350-$54.00
2026-06-14 08:02US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20…No10000.4900.490$0.00
2026-06-14 07:02Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No10356.2210.850-$5.6k
2026-06-14 04:57US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes10411.1200.820-$312.32
2026-06-14 01:56US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Yes1931.7130.710-$193.24
2026-06-13 22:56US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes13661.1490.770-$518.00
2026-06-13 21:58US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes2939.1890.880-$2.4k
2026-06-13 21:48US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No2174.6410.560-$883.73
2026-06-13 21:39US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes3958.0050.800-$2.8k
2026-06-13 21:25Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…Yes4910.0970.850-$452.16
2026-06-13 07:16Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-…Yes5000.7300.750+$10.00
2026-06-13 06:12Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by J…No8910.7860.978-$873.86
2026-06-13 02:13US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No3692.9570.810-$791.42
2026-06-12 23:23Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by J…No4417.3490.890-$725.38
2026-06-12 20:41US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026…No2200.6470.650+$0.60
2026-06-12 19:35Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by…No5529.1740.810-$1.6k
2026-06-12 18:43SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?No14950.9980.999+$1.00
2026-06-12 17:01Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by…No15901.5760.820-$1.2k
2026-06-12 16:39SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No10000.6250.620-$5.00
2026-06-12 16:07SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?No4581.7950.997-$365.50
2026-06-12 16:04SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?No5860.9860.996+$5.86
2026-06-12 15:32SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes10000.7250.590-$135.00
2026-06-12 15:29SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes10340.7890.341-$463.07
2026-06-12 15:18SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?No20000.9910.994+$6.00
2026-06-12 15:13SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes4943.0140.740-$1.1k
2026-06-12 15:07US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20…Yes3303.6960.360-$1.1k
2026-06-12 14:56SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes10000.9150.920+$5.00
2026-06-12 14:28SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No4552.2460.670-$717.84
2026-06-12 14:23SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes11123.8180.640-$1.3k
2026-06-12 14:19SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?Yes2000.0800.090+$2.00
2026-06-12 14:15US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No3632.1770.790-$503.36
2026-06-12 14:10US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…No2000.8610.897+$7.20

Recent trades

100 of 1,776 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-15 01:50BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes4150.008$3.320x6bff74…
2026-06-15 01:48BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes160.008$0.130x62b18d…
2026-06-15 01:46BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes7790.008$6.230x0c78d5…
2026-06-15 01:34BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes1000.008$0.800x821dd7…
2026-06-15 01:32SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No10000.740$740.000x955d7a…
2026-06-15 01:23BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes50.008$0.040xbd8b3e…
2026-06-15 01:17BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes600.008$0.480xfc5fe1…
2026-06-15 01:11BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes910.008$0.730x58404a…
2026-06-15 01:09BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes2470.008$1.980x19d66c…
2026-06-15 01:05BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes90.008$0.070xada7cc…
2026-06-15 01:04BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes1020.008$0.810xe86e3b…
2026-06-15 01:00BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes10000.815$815.000xb65444…
2026-06-15 00:58BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes50.008$0.040x9a9e2d…
2026-06-15 00:54SELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes15260.910$1.4k0xd81dce…
2026-06-15 00:54BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes540.008$0.440x94485f…
2026-06-15 00:51SELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes1000.910$91.000x5904a1…
2026-06-15 00:51SELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes8290.900$745.840xa73057…
2026-06-15 00:49BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes550.008$0.440xb36ccb…
2026-06-15 00:48BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes1930.008$1.550xca0428…
2026-06-15 00:46BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes6270.008$5.020x262b01…
2026-06-15 00:33BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes1510.008$1.200xa2d314…
2026-06-15 00:32BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes9810.008$7.840x21453d…
2026-06-15 00:31BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes590.008$0.470x1dfc5e…
2026-06-15 00:24BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes1110.008$0.890x685f97…
2026-06-15 00:13BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…No10000.171$171.000x90fd13…
2026-06-15 00:12BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes10000.818$818.000xd0b192…
2026-06-15 00:12BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes10000.820$820.000xd0b192…
2026-06-15 00:12BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes2440.826$201.460x7ef7b0…
2026-06-15 00:12BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes60.826$4.920x1fa7cc…
2026-06-15 00:12BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes9870.824$812.900xe10abc…
2026-06-15 00:11BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes130.824$11.100x988247…
2026-06-15 00:10BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes470.008$0.370x2d9f78…
2026-06-15 00:07BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17,…No7440.927$689.970x9a617f…
2026-06-15 00:07BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16,…No2120.960$203.740xad211d…
2026-06-15 00:05BUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No20000.880$1.8k0x2de2b9…
2026-06-15 00:04BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes5690.837$476.250x03e610…
2026-06-15 00:03BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31,…Yes180.900$16.170x47ae57…
2026-06-15 00:01BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…No99410.174$1.7k0x1a5d1e…
2026-06-15 00:00BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…No50.174$0.910xe04db7…
2026-06-15 00:00BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…No480.174$8.390xe09fe6…
2026-06-15 00:00BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…No60.174$1.050x82f53e…
2026-06-14 23:59BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes520.008$0.420xebcb6a…
2026-06-14 23:59BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes30000.831$2.5k0x415716…
2026-06-14 23:56BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31,…Yes820.900$73.800x5a5534…
2026-06-14 23:54BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes7140.008$5.710x93cecc…
2026-06-14 23:53BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes440.008$0.350xc90198…
2026-06-14 23:52BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes1270.008$1.020xe82298…
2026-06-14 23:52BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…No490.176$8.620x58f527…
2026-06-14 23:52BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…No5150.176$90.600x86c1ed…
2026-06-14 23:51BUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World…Yes160.008$0.130xbab1df…

By category (closed only)

CategoryN closedRealized PnL
Politics6-$8.2k
Other37-$25.3k

Coordinated-buy involvement

events that included this wallet
WhenMarketWalletsNotionalDiversity
2026-06-05 16:43US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…3$1.2k0.73
2026-06-05 12:53US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 20…3$8.6k0.91
2026-06-05 09:40US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…3$3.7k0.75
2026-06-05 06:41SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?3$2.5k0.73
2026-06-05 06:41SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?3$3.0k0.73
2026-06-05 04:16Iran Nuke before 2027?3$4.6k0.91
2026-06-04 17:02Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles m…3$15.8k0.80
2026-06-04 16:54Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles m…3$15.6k0.80
2026-06-04 16:52Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles m…4$10.8k0.75
2026-06-04 14:39US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026…3$4.6k0.90
2026-06-04 13:01Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles m…3$3.7k0.94
2026-06-04 12:53Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles m…3$2.5k0.94
2026-06-04 06:23US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…3$134.020.94
2026-06-03 21:42MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…11$337.1k0.70
2026-06-03 21:41MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…18$724.9k0.78
2026-06-03 21:33MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…16$1.32M0.75
2026-06-03 20:13US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 202…4$30.1k0.86
2026-06-03 20:09US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…5$20.5k0.67
2026-06-03 20:08US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 202…4$30.1k0.86
2026-06-02 23:07MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…4$97.5k0.63

Alerts for this wallet

WhenTypeSeverity
-whale_tracked_walletinfo