0xa4b366ad22fc0d06f1e934ff468e8922431a87b8
0X
TRACKEDT22 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_wallets|local:god_system_wallets_api
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$189.7k
74 open · unrealized -$413.87
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
80%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$10.00
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
480
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -
🟢 Live open positions
74 live · $189,682 current value · unrealized -$413.87| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Elec… | No | 180,000 | $0.500 | $0.843 | 50.0% | 84.3% | $90,000 | $151,740 | $+61,740 | +68.6% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Elec… | Yes | 180,000 | $0.500 | $0.157 | 50.0% | 15.7% | $90,000 | $28,260 | $-61,740 | -68.6% | 2028-11-07 |
| Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? | No | 2,338 | $0.899 | $0.997 | 89.9% | 99.7% | $2,102 | $2,329 | $+228 | +10.8% | 2026-06-17 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of… | No | 1,737 | $0.989 | $0.991 | 98.9% | 99.1% | $1,717 | $1,721 | $+3 | +0.2% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 … | No | 1,206 | $0.883 | $0.955 | 88.3% | 95.5% | $1,064 | $1,151 | $+86 | +8.1% | 2026-05-31 |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Isr… | No | 844 | $0.877 | $0.857 | 87.7% | 85.7% | $740 | $723 | $-17 | -2.3% | 2026-10-27 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru p… | Yes | 500 | $0.043 | $0.946 | 4.3% | 94.5% | $22 | $473 | $+451 | +2074.7% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the… | No | 464 | $0.798 | $0.995 | 79.8% | 99.5% | $370 | $461 | $+91 | +24.6% | 2026-05-31 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 495 | $0.668 | $0.702 | 66.8% | 70.2% | $331 | $347 | $+17 | +5.0% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three d… | Yes | 341 | $0.929 | $0.997 | 92.9% | 99.7% | $316 | $340 | $+23 | +7.4% | 2026-06-17 |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.976 | $0.975 | 97.5% | 97.5% | $293 | $292 | $-0 | -0.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by… | Yes | 300 | $0.760 | $0.957 | 76.0% | 95.7% | $228 | $287 | $+59 | +25.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru pr… | No | 227 | $0.997 | $1.000 | 99.7% | 100.0% | $226 | $227 | $+1 | +0.3% | 2026-06-07 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 498 | $0.296 | $0.230 | 29.6% | 23.0% | $147 | $114 | $-33 | -22.4% | 2026-06-17 |
| Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? | No | 113 | $0.760 | $0.976 | 76.0% | 97.6% | $86 | $110 | $+24 | +28.4% | 2026-06-17 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvia… | No | 100 | $0.939 | $0.990 | 93.9% | 99.0% | $94 | $99 | $+5 | +5.4% | 2026-06-07 |
| Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance b… | No | 100 | $0.768 | $0.985 | 76.8% | 98.5% | $77 | $98 | $+22 | +28.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presiden… | Yes | 100 | $0.944 | $0.979 | 94.4% | 97.9% | $94 | $98 | $+3 | +3.7% | 2026-06-07 |
| Will voter turnout be 51-54% in the first round of… | No | 93 | $0.990 | $0.982 | 99.0% | 98.2% | $92 | $91 | $-1 | -0.9% | 2026-05-31 |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June… | No | 94 | $0.934 | $0.930 | 93.4% | 93.0% | $88 | $88 | $-0 | -0.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by Dece… | No | 92 | $0.772 | $0.735 | 77.2% | 73.5% | $71 | $67 | $-3 | -4.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decis… | No | 63 | $0.981 | $0.998 | 98.1% | 99.8% | $61 | $62 | $+1 | +1.7% | 2026-09-16 |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Isra… | Yes | 15,452 | $0.002 | $0.004 | 0.2% | 0.4% | $31 | $54 | $+23 | +75.0% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania inclu… | No | 50 | $0.975 | $0.986 | 97.5% | 98.6% | $49 | $49 | $+1 | +1.1% | 2026-05-31 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania inclu… | No | 50 | $0.980 | $0.952 | 98.0% | 95.2% | $49 | $48 | $-1 | -2.9% | 2026-05-31 |
| Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 202… | No | 36 | $0.990 | $0.995 | 99.0% | 99.5% | $36 | $36 | $+0 | +0.4% | 2026-05-31 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round … | Yes | 33 | $0.190 | $0.989 | 19.0% | 98.9% | $6 | $32 | $+26 | +420.5% | 2026-05-31 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates afte… | Yes | 41 | $0.200 | $0.715 | 20.0% | 71.5% | $8 | $29 | $+21 | +257.5% | 2026-09-16 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three dec… | No | 26 | $0.811 | $0.996 | 81.1% | 99.6% | $21 | $26 | $+5 | +22.7% | 2026-06-17 |
| Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 202… | Yes | 900 | $0.078 | $0.024 | 7.8% | 2.4% | $71 | $22 | $-49 | -69.4% | 2026-05-31 |
| Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? | No | 20 | $0.880 | $0.990 | 88.0% | 99.0% | $18 | $20 | $+2 | +12.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Isr… | Yes | 4,381 | $0.003 | $0.004 | 0.3% | 0.4% | $14 | $20 | $+5 | +36.4% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win t… | No | 19 | $0.989 | $0.997 | 98.9% | 99.7% | $19 | $19 | $+0 | +0.7% | 2026-05-31 |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presiden… | Yes | 2,431 | $0.005 | $0.007 | 0.5% | 0.8% | $13 | $18 | $+5 | +40.3% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Isra… | Yes | 5,000 | $0.002 | $0.003 | 0.2% | 0.3% | $10 | $15 | $+5 | +50.0% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru p… | Yes | 500 | $0.043 | $0.028 | 4.3% | 2.8% | $22 | $14 | $-8 | -35.6% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayora… | No | 10 | $0.775 | $0.991 | 77.5% | 99.1% | $8 | $10 | $+2 | +27.8% | 2026-06-02 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world … | Yes | 300 | $0.113 | $0.030 | 11.3% | 3.0% | $34 | $9 | $-25 | -73.4% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru p… | Yes | 500 | $0.043 | $0.016 | 4.3% | 1.6% | $22 | $8 | $-14 | -63.2% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps aft… | Yes | 2,835 | $0.200 | $0.003 | 20.0% | 0.2% | $567 | $7 | $-560 | -98.8% | 2026-06-17 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps aft… | Yes | 41 | $0.200 | $0.155 | 20.0% | 15.5% | $8 | $6 | $-2 | -22.5% | 2026-09-16 |
| Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026… | No | 6 | $0.991 | $0.995 | 99.1% | 99.5% | $6 | $6 | $+0 | +0.4% | 2026-05-31 |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Isr… | Yes | 1,473 | $0.004 | $0.004 | 0.4% | 0.4% | $6 | $5 | $-1 | -12.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania inclu… | No | 5 | $0.992 | $0.996 | 99.2% | 99.6% | $5 | $5 | $+0 | +0.4% | 2026-05-31 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | No | 5 | $0.981 | $0.991 | 98.1% | 99.1% | $5 | $5 | $+0 | +1.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Is… | Yes | 630 | $0.002 | $0.007 | 0.2% | 0.8% | $1 | $5 | $+3 | +249.0% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by … | Yes | 300 | $0.030 | $0.015 | 3.0% | 1.5% | $9 | $4 | $-4 | -50.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out befo… | No | 5 | $0.812 | $0.898 | 81.2% | 89.8% | $4 | $4 | $+0 | +10.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps af… | Yes | 2,835 | $0.200 | $0.002 | 20.0% | 0.1% | $567 | $4 | $-563 | -99.2% | 2026-06-17 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 39 | $0.134 | $0.087 | 13.4% | 8.8% | $5 | $3 | $-2 | -34.7% | 2026-06-17 |
📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
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Thu
Fri
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Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-15 03:21:00
Latest trade ts
2026-06-15 01:49
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
7 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | No | 200 | 0.974 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of… | Yes | 5000 | 0.002 | - | $0.00 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | No | 0 | 177309.580 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 0 | 4126.564 | - | $0.00 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15? | Yes | 505 | 0.010 | - | $0.00 |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by… | No | 30 | 0.956 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister o… | Yes | 3239 | 0.003 | - | $0.00 |
Closed positions
most recent 50| Exit when | Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Exit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 22:15 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister… | No | 467 | 0.652 | 0.631 | -$10.00 |
| 2026-06-13 19:25 | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 484 | 0.011 | 0.014 | +$1.27 |
| 2026-06-13 09:30 | Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of… | Yes | 200 | 0.003 | 0.005 | +$0.40 |
| 2026-06-13 09:30 | Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of… | Yes | 27 | 0.002 | 0.005 | +$0.08 |
| 2026-06-13 09:30 | Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of… | Yes | 2 | 0.002 | 0.005 | +$0.01 |
Recent trades
100 of 480 shownBy category (closed only)
| Category | N closed | Realized PnL |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 5 | -$8.24 |
Coordinated-buy involvement
events that included this wallet| When | Market | Wallets | Notional | Diversity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 00:25 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 7 | $1.71M | 0.65 |
| 2026-06-04 00:17 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 3 | $69.8k | 0.93 |
| 2026-06-03 21:33 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 16 | $1.32M | 0.75 |
| 2026-06-03 21:32 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 4 | $120.1k | 0.80 |
| 2026-06-03 21:23 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 6 | $7.08M | 0.84 |
| 2026-06-03 21:22 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 5 | $7.08M | 0.80 |
| 2026-06-03 21:20 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 5 | $7.08M | 0.80 |
| 2026-06-03 21:17 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 3 | $270.0k | 0.68 |