0xa17325d33b095b6bb48d475a3578fecbdff73315
no username
TRACKEDVPST24 SOURCES
Sources: vps:active_manifest|vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
-$1.2k
59W / 45L · WR 56.7%
Open exposure (live)
$67.7k
46 open · unrealized +$2.6k · 💰 1 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$8.2k
196 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$140.14
−$350.19
Realized
-$1.2k
Unrealized (local approx)
+$2.6k
Profit capture (brain)
-
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$0.00
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
117
local DB
First → Last trade
2024-06-09
→ 2025-12-18
🟢 Live open positions
46 live · $67,682 current value · unrealized +$2.6k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the… | Yes | 15,000 | $0.622 | $0.600 | 62.2% | 60.0% | $9,324 | $9,000 | $-324 | -3.5% | 2026-09-30 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 6,375 | $0.796 | $0.994 | 79.6% | 99.4% | $5,072 | $6,334 | $+1,261 | +24.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the … | Yes | 5,940 | $0.954 | $0.960 | 95.4% | 96.0% | $5,669 | $5,699 | $+30 | +0.5% | 2026-09-30 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-e… | No | 5,000 | $0.960 | $0.988 | 96.0% | 98.8% | $4,801 | $4,937 | $+137 | +2.8% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 50,085 | $0.114 | $0.097 | 11.3% | 9.7% | $5,685 | $4,833 | $-852 | -15.0% | 2026-07-20 |
| Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 5,000 | $0.580 | $0.940 | 58.0% | 94.0% | $2,900 | $4,700 | $+1,800 | +62.1% | 2028-01-01 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2… | No | 5,000 | $0.910 | $0.905 | 91.0% | 90.5% | $4,550 | $4,525 | $-25 | -0.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | 4,000 | $0.856 | $0.992 | 85.6% | 99.2% | $3,423 | $3,968 | $+545 | +15.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 4,119 | $0.510 | $0.495 | 51.0% | 49.5% | $2,103 | $2,039 | $-64 | -3.1% | 2028-01-01 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 2,000 | $0.881 | $0.948 | 88.1% | 94.8% | $1,762 | $1,895 | $+133 | +7.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 2,199 | $0.733 | $0.855 | 73.3% | 85.5% | $1,613 | $1,881 | $+268 | +16.6% | 2028-01-01 |
| GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 2,499 | $0.698 | $0.695 | 69.8% | 69.5% | $1,745 | $1,737 | $-8 | -0.5% | 2028-01-01 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 2,689 | $0.668 | $0.615 | 66.8% | 61.5% | $1,797 | $1,654 | $-144 | -8.0% | 2028-01-01 |
| Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | 1,954 | $0.779 | $0.845 | 77.9% | 84.5% | $1,522 | $1,651 | $+130 | +8.5% | 2027-01-01 |
| GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 2,000 | $0.823 | $0.795 | 82.3% | 79.5% | $1,647 | $1,590 | $-57 | -3.5% | 2028-01-01 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presiden… | Yes | 1,500 | $0.937 | $0.982 | 93.7% | 98.2% | $1,405 | $1,473 | $+68 | +4.8% | 2026-06-07 |
| Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 2,000 | $0.575 | $0.585 | 57.5% | 58.5% | $1,150 | $1,170 | $+20 | +1.7% | 2028-01-01 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end … | Yes | 3,300 | $0.539 | $0.295 | 53.9% | 29.5% | $1,779 | $974 | $-805 | -45.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 1,091 | $0.762 | $0.845 | 76.2% | 84.5% | $831 | $922 | $+90 | +10.9% | 2027-01-01 |
| Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 1,095 | $0.772 | $0.810 | 77.2% | 81.0% | $846 | $887 | $+41 | +4.8% | 2027-01-01 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 1,230 | $0.636 | $0.517 | 63.6% | 51.7% | $783 | $636 | $-146 | -18.7% | 2027-01-01 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end… | Yes | 722 | $0.366 | $0.835 | 36.6% | 83.5% | $264 | $603 | $+339 | +128.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? | No | 500 | $0.963 | $0.996 | 96.3% | 99.6% | $481 | $498 | $+16 | +3.4% | 2026-06-30 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 500 | $0.864 | $0.926 | 86.4% | 92.6% | $432 | $463 | $+31 | +7.2% | 2028-01-01 |
| Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | No | 500 | $0.870 | $0.865 | 87.0% | 86.5% | $435 | $432 | $-2 | -0.6% | 2026-07-20 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 1,297 | $0.542 | $0.330 | 54.2% | 33.0% | $704 | $428 | $-276 | -39.2% | 2028-01-01 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 816 | $0.632 | $0.500 | 63.2% | 50.0% | $516 | $408 | $-108 | -20.9% | 2027-01-01 |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Yes | 500 | $0.640 | $0.690 | 64.0% | 69.0% | $320 | $345 | $+25 | +7.8% | 2027-01-01 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 202… | Yes | 1,750 | $0.040 | $0.190 | 4.0% | 19.0% | $70 | $332 | $+262 | +375.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | No | 600 | $0.252 | $0.480 | 25.2% | 48.0% | $151 | $288 | $+137 | +90.4% | 2027-01-01 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.855 | $0.934 | 85.5% | 93.5% | $256 | $280 | $+24 | +9.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezue… | No | 277 | $0.850 | $0.959 | 85.0% | 95.9% | $236 | $266 | $+30 | +12.8% | 2026-12-31 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31… | No | 222 | $0.867 | $0.949 | 86.7% | 94.8% | $192 | $211 | $+18 | +9.4% | 2025-12-31 |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 100,000 | $0.001 | $0.002 | 0.1% | 0.1% | $100 | $150 | $+50 | +50.0% | 2026-07-20 |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race i… | No | 100 | $0.834 | $0.863 | 83.4% | 86.3% | $83 | $86 | $+3 | +3.5% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-elect… | Yes | 100 | $0.730 | $0.735 | 73.0% | 73.5% | $73 | $74 | $+0 | +0.7% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 150 | $0.649 | $0.455 | 64.9% | 45.5% | $97 | $68 | $-29 | -29.9% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic preside… | Yes | 7,126 | $0.016 | $0.007 | 1.6% | 0.8% | $114 | $53 | $-61 | -53.1% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 89 | $0.560 | $0.555 | 56.0% | 55.5% | $50 | $50 | $-0 | -0.9% | 2026-06-19 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by Dece… | Yes | 54 | $0.631 | $0.865 | 63.1% | 86.5% | $34 | $46 | $+13 | +37.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential… | Yes | 2,976 | $0.008 | $0.011 | 0.8% | 1.1% | $24 | $34 | $+10 | +43.7% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential … | Yes | 3,705 | $0.006 | $0.006 | 0.6% | 0.7% | $22 | $24 | $+2 | +8.3% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 15 | $0.934 | $0.939 | 93.4% | 93.8% | $14 | $14 | $+0 | +0.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 12 | $0.951 | $0.914 | 95.1% | 91.4% | $11 | $11 | $-0 | -3.9% | 2027-01-01 |
| Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 16 | $0.490 | $0.580 | 49.0% | 58.0% | $8 | $9 | $+1 | +18.4% | 2028-01-01 |
| StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 5 | $0.639 | $0.630 | 63.9% | 63.0% | $3 | $3 | $-0 | -1.5% | 2027-01-01 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
1 markets settled · $0 unclaimed| Market | Side | Shares | Cost | Value | PnL | Resolved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | No | 20,000 | $18,760 | $0 | $-18,760 | 2026-05-31 |
📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-15 05:31:58
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 22:24
Backfill
✓ done
Open positions
6 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 100000 | 0.001 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 89 | 0.560 | - | $0.00 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December … | No | 5000 | 0.910 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0 | 5813.954 | - | $0.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 2000 | 0.990 | - | $0.00 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in… | Yes | 935 | 0.959 | - | $0.00 |
Recent trades
100 of 117 shownCoordinated-buy involvement
events that included this wallet| When | Market | Wallets | Notional | Diversity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-02 22:13 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 9 | $409.7k | 0.71 |
| 2026-06-01 00:46 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Ta… | 3 | $602.53 | 0.33 |
| 2026-06-01 00:38 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carl… | 3 | $659.88 | 0.33 |
| 2026-06-01 00:37 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Ta… | 3 | $1.6k | 0.33 |
| 2026-06-01 00:26 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Ta… | 3 | $941.00 | 0.93 |
| 2026-06-01 00:21 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carl… | 3 | $793.98 | 0.68 |
| 2026-06-01 00:19 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Ta… | 3 | $790.19 | 0.68 |
| 2026-06-01 00:11 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carl… | 3 | $438.33 | 0.68 |
| 2026-05-31 23:50 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on … | 3 | $1.0k | 0.68 |
| 2026-05-31 23:33 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Ta… | 3 | $506.94 | 0.64 |
| 2026-05-31 23:32 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Ta… | 3 | $666.17 | 0.54 |