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0x9efda3d6354152901fc4706c3b1a9ce50b45ad00

Istaroth
TRACKEDT24 SOURCES
Sources: vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:filter_3.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$2.1k
1 open · unrealized +$322.50
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
0%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$997.62
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
38
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -

🟢 Live open positions

1 live · $2,051 current value · unrealized +$322.50
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2,318$0.746$0.88574.6%88.5%$1,729$2,051$+323+18.7%2026-12-31

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-15 04:00TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo15,895$0.700$11.1k0x35bbc5…
2026-06-15 04:00TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo20$0.700$14.000xa7cace…
2026-06-15 04:00TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo20$0.700$14.000xb2bf7c…
2026-06-15 04:00TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo2,716$0.700$1.9k0x58e8cc…
2026-06-15 04:00TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo24$0.700$16.500x7c7d4a…
2026-06-15 04:00TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo0$0.700$0.070xb4619b…
2026-06-15 04:00TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo21$0.700$14.790x4455e7…
2026-06-15 03:59TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo247$0.700$172.560x094374…
2026-06-15 03:59TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo30$0.700$21.000x8117be…
2026-06-15 03:59TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo0$0.700$0.240xf9a2f5…
2026-06-15 03:59TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo4$0.700$2.500x1e5464…
2026-06-15 03:59TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo20$0.700$14.000x9ce668…
2026-06-15 03:59TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo0$0.700$0.260x22b8ba…
2026-06-15 03:59TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo36,004$0.700$25.2k0x2f2bdd…
2026-06-15 03:56TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo55,000$0.710$39.0k0x4e6329…
2026-06-15 00:15REWARD--19$0.000$19.470x666049…
2026-06-15 00:15REWARD--0$0.000$0.130x3dc329…
2026-06-15 00:00REWARD--1,483$0.000$1.5k0x7a2a2d…
2026-06-14 17:32TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2No25,248$0.116$2.9k0xa1641c…
2026-06-14 17:30TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2No6$0.150$0.880x8c77ad…
2026-06-14 17:30TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2No1$0.150$0.180xd17efd…
2026-06-14 17:30TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2No25,241$0.150$3.8k0xfcacac…
2026-06-14 17:23TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo83$0.800$66.580xb0d934…
2026-06-14 16:08TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo83$0.830$69.090x246943…
2026-06-14 13:10TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo4,836$0.904$4.4k0x601c16…
2026-06-14 13:00TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo164$0.940$153.920x66e1d3…
2026-06-14 12:57TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo5,000$0.949$4.7k0x2d1a19…
2026-06-14 12:48TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes5,000$0.678$3.4k0x6a8e76…
2026-06-14 12:47TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes5,000$0.700$3.5k0xe3668a…
2026-06-14 12:44TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No55,000$0.961$52.9k0x1215d4…
2026-06-14 12:43TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No55,000$0.969$53.3k0xb3384f…
2026-06-14 10:32TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enYes14,440$0.210$3.0k0x4f5320…
2026-06-14 10:32TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enYes41$0.210$8.580xcfee8c…
2026-06-14 10:31TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enYes15,519$0.210$3.3k0xf1390b…
2026-06-14 10:31TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enYes30,000$0.210$6.3k0x8d5219…
2026-06-14 04:59TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No10,000$0.340$3.4k0xcf6254…
2026-06-14 04:57TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No10,000$0.340$3.4k0x7412e4…
2026-06-14 00:15REWARD--17$0.000$16.550x05bf4c…
2026-06-14 00:15REWARD--0$0.000$0.180xb404e8…
2026-06-14 00:00REWARD--1,191$0.000$1.2k0xe29445…
2026-06-13 04:04TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2No18$0.210$3.840x3c8147…
2026-06-13 04:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2No18$0.220$4.020x0d1b05…
2026-06-13 00:15REWARD--11$0.000$10.960xbda6bd…
2026-06-13 00:15REWARD--0$0.000$0.200xee0d43…
2026-06-13 00:00REWARD--1,048$0.000$1.0k0x2adfb3…
2026-06-12 17:43TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Yes562$0.805$449.370xc63794…
2026-06-12 15:56TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Yes562$0.947$532.660xdee0f4…
2026-06-12 05:21TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo16,462$0.800$13.2k0x67c41e…
2026-06-12 05:20TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo66$0.820$53.910xf77304…
2026-06-12 05:20TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo16,397$0.820$13.4k0xdbb653…
2026-06-12 00:15REWARD--8$0.000$8.260x0102fe…
2026-06-12 00:00REWARD--467$0.000$467.310xb38096…
2026-06-11 19:43TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2,364$0.840$2.0k0xd79041…
2026-06-11 19:37TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3$0.840$2.810xde590d…
2026-06-11 19:35TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No22$0.840$18.480xc7a906…
2026-06-11 19:34TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3$0.840$2.490x863f1f…
2026-06-11 19:33TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No10$0.840$8.610x20418d…
2026-06-11 19:32TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1,717$0.840$1.4k0x9bcd86…
2026-06-11 17:30TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No12,462$0.780$9.7k0x6d30a0…
2026-06-11 17:30TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No18,899$0.770$14.6k0xeed070…
2026-06-11 14:32TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of JuNo5,000$0.979$4.9k0xdb2678…
2026-06-11 13:39TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No111$0.730$81.110x4347fe…
2026-06-11 13:39TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No0$0.730$0.010x81a2dd…
2026-06-11 13:38TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No7,688$0.730$5.6k0x50e5aa…
2026-06-11 12:48TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No19,996$0.750$15.0k0xe72d11…
2026-06-11 12:46TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No20$0.750$15.000x748234…
2026-06-11 12:46TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No150$0.750$112.500x7ef6c8…
2026-06-11 12:45TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No300$0.750$225.000x4fc3ed…
2026-06-11 12:44TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No360$0.750$270.000x7a87eb…
2026-06-11 12:44TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No36$0.750$27.000xc862ea…
2026-06-11 12:43TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No20$0.750$15.000xde7650…
2026-06-11 12:43TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No200$0.750$150.000x4723fe…
2026-06-11 12:42TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No100$0.750$75.000x28c1b3…
2026-06-11 12:36TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1,000$0.750$750.000x26f8b5…
2026-06-11 12:33TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1,900$0.750$1.4k0xafca81…
2026-06-11 12:33TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No8$0.750$6.000xfd39d6…
2026-06-11 12:33TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No50$0.750$37.500x3f0ed2…
2026-06-11 12:32TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2,600$0.750$1.9k0x3cafc5…
2026-06-11 12:31TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No60$0.750$45.000x17af62…
2026-06-11 12:31TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1,200$0.750$900.000x9b4137…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

-

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat

Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-15 05:32:51
Latest trade ts
2026-06-15 04:00
Backfill
✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])
0.9

Open positions

3 open
MarketOutcomeSharesEntryLastUnrealized
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31…No0585714.700-$0.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by…No02411335.000-$0.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by…Yes02202797.200-$0.00

Closed positions

most recent 50
Exit whenMarketOutcomeSharesEntryExitRealized
2026-06-14 13:10US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No48360.9810.904-$371.43
2026-06-14 12:48US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes50000.7000.678-$108.76
2026-06-14 12:44Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control …No550000.9690.961-$437.48
2026-06-14 04:59US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No100000.3400.340$0.00
2026-06-13 04:04US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31…No180.2200.210-$0.18
2026-06-12 17:43Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 20…Yes5620.9470.805-$79.76

Recent trades

38 of 38 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-15 04:00SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No158950.700$11.1k0x35bbc5…
2026-06-15 04:00SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No200.700$14.000xa7cace…
2026-06-15 04:00SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No200.700$14.000xb2bf7c…
2026-06-15 04:00SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No27160.700$1.9k0x58e8cc…
2026-06-15 04:00SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No240.700$16.500x7c7d4a…
2026-06-15 04:00SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No00.700$0.070xb4619b…
2026-06-15 04:00SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No210.700$14.790x4455e7…
2026-06-15 03:59SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No2470.700$172.560x094374…
2026-06-15 03:59SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No300.700$21.000x8117be…
2026-06-15 03:59SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No00.700$0.240xf9a2f5…
2026-06-15 03:59SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No40.700$2.500x1e5464…
2026-06-15 03:59SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No200.700$14.000x9ce668…
2026-06-15 03:59SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No00.700$0.260x22b8ba…
2026-06-15 03:59SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No360040.700$25.2k0x2f2bdd…
2026-06-15 03:56BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No550000.710$39.0k0x4e6329…
2026-06-14 17:32SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Decemb…No252480.116$2.9k0xa1641c…
2026-06-14 17:30BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Decemb…No60.150$0.880x8c77ad…
2026-06-14 17:30BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Decemb…No10.150$0.180xd17efd…
2026-06-14 17:30BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Decemb…No252410.150$3.8k0xfcacac…
2026-06-14 17:23SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No830.800$66.580xb0d934…
2026-06-14 16:08BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No830.830$69.090x246943…
2026-06-14 13:10SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No48360.904$4.4k0x601c16…
2026-06-14 13:00SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No1640.940$153.920x66e1d3…
2026-06-14 12:57BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No50000.949$4.7k0x2d1a19…
2026-06-14 12:48SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes50000.678$3.4k0x6a8e76…
2026-06-14 12:47BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes50000.700$3.5k0xe3668a…
2026-06-14 12:44SELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian con…No550000.961$52.9k0x1215d4…
2026-06-14 12:43BUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian con…No550000.969$53.3k0xb3384f…
2026-06-14 10:32SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…Yes144400.210$3.0k0x4f5320…
2026-06-14 10:32SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…Yes410.210$8.580xcfee8c…
2026-06-14 10:31SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…Yes155190.210$3.3k0xf1390b…
2026-06-14 10:31BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…Yes300000.210$6.3k0x8d5219…
2026-06-14 04:59SELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No100000.340$3.4k0xcf6254…
2026-06-14 04:57BUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No100000.340$3.4k0x7412e4…
2026-06-13 04:04SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Decemb…No180.210$3.840x3c8147…
2026-06-13 04:01BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Decemb…No180.220$4.020x0d1b05…
2026-06-12 17:43SELLWill Karen Bass win the first round of t…Yes5620.805$452.900xc63794…
2026-06-12 15:56BUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of t…Yes5620.947$532.660xdee0f4…

By category (closed only)

CategoryN closedRealized PnL
Politics1-$79.76
Other5-$917.86

Coordinated-buy involvement

events that included this wallet
WhenMarketWalletsNotionalDiversity
2026-06-05 06:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by…3$46.2k0.70
2026-06-01 03:38US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 202…3$88.7k0.42
2026-06-01 03:33US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 202…3$187.5k0.42
2026-06-01 03:29US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 202…3$147.8k0.42