0x8f42ae0a01c0383c7ca8bd060b86a645ee74b88f
Schizoaffective.On.Acid
TRACKEDVPST24 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_wallets|local:god_system_wallets_api|local:positions_users|vps:active_manifest
Total PnL (lifetime)
+$499.1k
700W / 254L · WR 73.4%
Open exposure (live)
$145.0k
17 open · unrealized +$13.1k · 💰 8 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$248.36M
706 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$69.6k
−$18.7k
Realized
+$499.1k
Unrealized (local approx)
+$13.1k
Profit capture (brain)
33%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$5.4k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
85
local DB
First → Last trade
2024-09-28
→ 2026-05-12
🟢 Live open positions
17 live · $145,020 current value · unrealized +$13.1k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | 80,931 | $0.865 | $0.992 | 86.5% | 99.2% | $70,022 | $80,243 | $+10,220 | +14.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | No | 15,837 | $0.885 | $0.987 | 88.5% | 98.7% | $14,020 | $15,623 | $+1,604 | +11.4% | 2026-06-30 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 13,332 | $0.863 | $0.931 | 86.3% | 93.2% | $11,510 | $12,419 | $+909 | +7.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 202… | No | 8,936 | $0.728 | $0.905 | 72.8% | 90.5% | $6,508 | $8,087 | $+1,579 | +24.3% | 2026-07-31 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | No | 7,777 | $0.780 | $0.875 | 78.0% | 87.5% | $6,066 | $6,805 | $+739 | +12.2% | 2026-07-31 |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? | No | 6,018 | $0.977 | $0.995 | 97.7% | 99.5% | $5,877 | $5,984 | $+107 | +1.8% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Irani… | Yes | 5,252 | $0.757 | $1.000 | 75.8% | 100.0% | $3,979 | $5,250 | $+1,271 | +31.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian pre… | No | 4,298 | $0.660 | $0.885 | 66.0% | 88.5% | $2,837 | $3,804 | $+967 | +34.1% | 2026-06-21 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 202… | No | 2,469 | $0.848 | $0.961 | 84.8% | 96.0% | $2,095 | $2,372 | $+277 | +13.2% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | No | 1,212 | $0.870 | $0.971 | 87.0% | 97.1% | $1,055 | $1,177 | $+122 | +11.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? | Yes | 4,674 | $0.600 | $0.170 | 60.0% | 17.0% | $2,805 | $795 | $-2,010 | -71.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? | No | 741 | $0.800 | $0.940 | 80.0% | 94.0% | $593 | $697 | $+104 | +17.5% | 2026-07-31 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31? | Yes | 987 | $0.568 | $0.665 | 56.8% | 66.5% | $560 | $656 | $+96 | +17.2% | 2026-07-31 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 4,865 | $0.470 | $0.095 | 47.0% | 9.5% | $2,286 | $462 | $-1,824 | -79.8% | 2026-12-31 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Yes | 1,499 | $0.168 | $0.285 | 16.8% | 28.5% | $252 | $427 | $+175 | +69.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | 178 | $0.960 | $0.993 | 96.0% | 99.3% | $171 | $177 | $+6 | +3.4% | 2026-06-30 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by Ju… | Yes | 7,777 | $0.160 | $0.005 | 16.0% | 0.5% | $1,244 | $43 | $-1,202 | -96.6% | 2026-06-30 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
8 markets settled · $0 unclaimed| Market | Side | Shares | Cost | Value | PnL | Resolved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | No | 0 | $0 | $0 | $-0 | 2026-12-31 |
| United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 40 | $10 | $0 | $-10 | 2026-06-19 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | Yes | 833 | $100 | $0 | $-100 | 2026-05-06 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | Yes | 476 | $100 | $0 | $-100 | 2026-05-30 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026? | Yes | 1,111 | $163 | $0 | $-163 | 2026-04-25 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026? | Yes | 555 | $444 | $0 | $-444 | 2026-04-23 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 202… | No | 11,111 | $778 | $0 | $-778 | 2026-12-31 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | Yes | 12,340 | $1,626 | $0 | $-1,626 | 2026-05-31 |
📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
Sun
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Thu
Fri
Sat
Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-21 12:32:06
Latest trade ts
2026-06-20 18:22
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
13 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31? | Yes | 987 | 0.568 | - | $0.00 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Yes | 1499 | 0.168 | - | $0.00 |
| United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Sc… | Yes | 40 | 0.250 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the … | Yes | 5252 | 0.758 | - | $0.00 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026… | No | 178 | 0.960 | - | $0.00 |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? | No | 6018 | 0.977 | - | $0.00 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31… | No | 8936 | 0.728 | - | $0.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20… | Yes | 0 | 307049.200 | - | $0.00 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 202… | No | 7777 | 0.780 | - | $0.00 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 202… | No | 15837 | 0.885 | - | $0.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31… | No | 11111 | 0.070 | - | $0.00 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 9869 | 0.675 | - | $0.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 20… | Yes | 7814 | 0.733 | - | $0.00 |
Closed positions
most recent 50| Exit when | Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Exit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 23:44 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by … | No | 127 | 30.579 | 0.960 | -$3.8k |
| 2026-06-14 23:24 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20… | Yes | 15434 | 0.894 | 0.940 | +$710.73 |
| 2026-06-14 21:53 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20… | Yes | 9990 | 0.888 | 0.727 | -$1.6k |
Recent trades
85 of 85 shownBy category (closed only)
| Category | N closed | Realized PnL |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 3 | -$4.7k |
Coordinated-buy involvement
events that included this wallet| When | Market | Wallets | Notional | Diversity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 16:40 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30… | 3 | $3.8k | 1.00 |