SMART-MONEY HOLDERS DATABASE

V298 paginated extraction · V288 quality scoring · V289 HOLDER_AGGREGATE bot
overview   mart-sim   btc-updown   exactly

🧠 BRAIN INTELLIGENCE cross-fleet signals · discoveries · consensus · edge attribution

🔍 New discoveries first seen in last hour with $100+ volume
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🎯 Current alpha focus top-20 alpha wallets on currently-open BTC 5m markets
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🤝 Cross-bot consensus 2+ holder bots same side, same market, last 30 min
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🏆 Edge attribution recent bot wins — which alpha wallets were on the same side
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Database stats updates every 15s · daemon polls /v1/market-positions every 30s

Total wallets
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Profitable
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Active (1h)
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Recurring (5+ markets)
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copy-trade candidates
Total volume
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all tracked wallets
Markets scanned
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distinct conditions

TOP 20 ALPHA WALLETS profitable, NON-hedgers, ranked by ROI × log(markets) × log(volume)

Filter: $50+ bought, positive PnL, fewer than 1/3 of their markets had two-sided positions (hedge). The lower the Hedged column, the more directional. Alpha score rewards edge density × breadth × capital — high alpha = real signal.
#WalletLifetime PnLVolumeROIMktsObsHedgedAlphaLast seen
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Phase 2 · wallet_quality Bayesian-shrunk WR × log(PnL) × recency × calibration

#WalletQualityShrunk WRPnLBets
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Updated every 5 min via polybot-wallet-quality.timer. Beta(10,20) prior shrinks small samples toward 0.5 WR.

Phase 3 · HOLDER_AGGREGATE bot account 207 · $25 flat · 1:1 fills

Cash
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Realized PnL
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Bets
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Win rate
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Reads /api/holders-snapshot, weights each top holder by wallet_quality.quality_score, fires on weighted skew. Routes through paper_trading.buy() for full L2/slip/lag/fee model.

Recent activity

WhenSideStakePnLTruthMarket
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BOT FLEET — live tracker 6 holder-driven strategies, real Polymarket fills via paper_trading.buy()

BotVerCashPnLWR BetsW/LLast betLast
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HOLDER_AGGREGATE (V289): weighted skew of top holders. HOLDER_SKEW (V301): quality-weighted UP/DOWN sum. WHALE_BURST (V302): 3+ top-100 wallets opening same side <60s. EXIT_CASCADE (V303): 3+ top holders shrink ≥30% <30s, bet opposite. CONC_FLIP (V304): Herfindahl ≥0.20 + whale exit, bet opposite. ALPHA_MIRROR (V305): 2+ top-20 alpha wallets open same side <90s. All flat $5, $125 bankroll, route through V279 realistic fill.

FLEET ACTIVITY every bet across all 10 holder bots (incl. 4 inverse A/B variants) · entry + live slip price + MTM

The Slip @ Buy column is the canonical V279 fill price (L2 walk + slippage + lag + fee). The Slip Now column is the live CLOB midpoint via ws_book Redis cache — same 1:1 polymarket pricing infra the dashboard uses everywhere. Open positions show real-time MTM; resolved bets show settled PnL.
WhenBotSideStakeSlip @ BuySlip NowStatusPnLMarket
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Live BTC 5m market skews real-time top holders on each open market

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