0x8a9777a7d3079e208afc08de2ccdf744de78593d
no username
TRACKEDVPST24 SOURCES
Sources: vps:active_manifest|vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
+$142.37
15W / 3L · WR 83.3%
Open exposure (live)
$19.3k
25 open · unrealized -$3.4k · 💰 10 pending claim ($0.16)
Lifetime turnover
$1.9k
34 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$102.60
−$18.44
Realized
+$142.37
Unrealized (local approx)
-$3.4k
Profit capture (brain)
100%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$0.00
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
109
local DB
First → Last trade
2025-12-17
→ 2025-12-20
🟢 Live open positions
25 live · $19,339 current value · unrealized -$3.4k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June… | Yes | 4,027 | $0.991 | $0.998 | 99.1% | 99.8% | $3,990 | $4,017 | $+27 | +0.7% | 2026-06-15 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June… | Yes | 3,288 | $0.990 | $0.994 | 99.0% | 99.4% | $3,255 | $3,266 | $+12 | +0.4% | 2026-06-16 |
| GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 3,559 | $0.864 | $0.835 | 86.4% | 83.5% | $3,075 | $2,972 | $-103 | -3.4% | 2028-01-01 |
| Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 2,679 | $0.791 | $0.715 | 79.1% | 71.5% | $2,121 | $1,916 | $-205 | -9.7% | 2027-01-01 |
| Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 1,746 | $0.865 | $0.908 | 86.5% | 90.8% | $1,510 | $1,585 | $+76 | +5.0% | 2027-07-01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June… | No | 1,523 | $0.993 | $0.997 | 99.3% | 99.7% | $1,512 | $1,519 | $+6 | +0.4% | 2026-06-15 |
| Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,118 | $0.563 | $0.690 | 56.3% | 69.0% | $629 | $771 | $+142 | +22.6% | 2027-01-01 |
| Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 947 | $0.840 | $0.770 | 84.0% | 77.0% | $795 | $729 | $-66 | -8.3% | 2028-01-01 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 520 | $0.628 | $0.645 | 62.8% | 64.5% | $327 | $336 | $+9 | +2.7% | 2027-01-01 |
| Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 400 | $0.680 | $0.835 | 68.0% | 83.5% | $272 | $334 | $+62 | +22.8% | 2027-07-01 |
| Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale? | Yes | 4,314 | $0.638 | $0.076 | 63.8% | 7.6% | $2,752 | $328 | $-2,424 | -88.1% | 2026-07-01 |
| Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 202… | Yes | 392 | $0.591 | $0.770 | 59.1% | 77.0% | $232 | $302 | $+70 | +30.3% | 2027-01-01 |
| GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 500 | $0.590 | $0.505 | 59.0% | 50.5% | $295 | $252 | $-42 | -14.4% | 2028-01-01 |
| o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 300 | $0.790 | $0.760 | 79.0% | 76.0% | $237 | $228 | $-9 | -3.8% | 2028-01-01 |
| Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 300 | $0.610 | $0.655 | 61.0% | 65.5% | $183 | $196 | $+14 | +7.4% | 2028-01-01 |
| Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 164 | $0.860 | $0.885 | 86.0% | 88.5% | $141 | $145 | $+4 | +2.9% | 2028-01-01 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 200 | $0.490 | $0.495 | 49.0% | 49.5% | $98 | $99 | $+1 | +1.0% | 2027-01-01 |
| Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027… | Yes | 138 | $0.518 | $0.615 | 51.8% | 61.5% | $72 | $85 | $+13 | +18.6% | 2027-07-01 |
| Will Arcium launch a token by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 121 | $0.482 | $0.650 | 48.2% | 65.0% | $58 | $79 | $+20 | +34.9% | 2026-07-01 |
| Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale? | Yes | 1,344 | $0.397 | $0.045 | 39.6% | 4.5% | $533 | $60 | $-472 | -88.7% | 2026-07-01 |
| Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale? | Yes | 853 | $0.653 | $0.070 | 65.3% | 7.0% | $557 | $60 | $-497 | -89.3% | 2026-07-01 |
| Will Ritual launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.400 | $0.650 | 40.0% | 65.0% | $16 | $26 | $+10 | +62.5% | 2027-01-01 |
| StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 26 | $0.630 | $0.660 | 63.0% | 66.0% | $16 | $17 | $+1 | +4.8% | 2027-01-01 |
| Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 13 | $0.530 | $0.815 | 53.0% | 81.5% | $7 | $10 | $+4 | +53.8% | 2028-01-01 |
| Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 178 | $0.132 | $0.032 | 13.2% | 3.2% | $24 | $6 | $-18 | -75.8% | 2026-07-01 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
10 markets settled · $0 unclaimed| Market | Side | Shares | Cost | Value | PnL | Resolved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June… | Yes | 0 | $0 | $0 | $+0 | 2026-06-08 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $… | Yes | 0 | $0 | $0 | $-0 | 2026-02-16 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on Dece… | Yes | 3 | $2 | $0 | $-2 | 2025-12-19 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? | Yes | 510 | $5 | $0 | $-5 | 2026-02-01 |
| No airdrop in 2025? | Yes | 500 | $6 | $0 | $-6 | 2025-12-31 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 31? | Yes | 500 | $10 | $0 | $-10 | 2025-12-31 |
| Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | No | 383 | $48 | $0 | $-48 | 2026-05-01 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM E… | Up | 100 | $80 | $0 | $-80 | 2026-02-16 |
| Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | No | 300 | $99 | $0 | $-99 | 2026-05-01 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | Down | 300 | $234 | $0 | $-234 | 2026-02-16 |
📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-15 05:05:02
Latest trade ts
2026-06-15 03:02
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
6 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on… | No | 1523 | 0.993 | - | $0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on… | Yes | 3288 | 0.990 | - | $0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on… | Yes | 4027 | 0.991 | - | $0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on… | Yes | 0 | 131787.140 | - | $0.00 |
| Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale… | Yes | 149 | 0.064 | - | $0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on… | Yes | 0 | 235882.920 | - | $0.00 |
Closed positions
most recent 50| Exit when | Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Exit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 16:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on… | Yes | 1705 | 0.995 | 0.998 | +$5.11 |
Recent trades
100 of 109 shownBy category (closed only)
| Category | N closed | Realized PnL |
|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 1 | +$5.11 |
Coordinated-buy involvement
events that included this wallet| When | Market | Wallets | Notional | Diversity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 15:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on… | 3 | $1.3k | 0.95 |
| 2026-06-01 15:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on… | 3 | $1.9k | 0.95 |
| 2026-05-31 14:49 | Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027? | 3 | $286.78 | 0.64 |