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0x85d575c99b977e9e39543747c859c83b727aaece

no username
TRACKEDVPST25 SOURCES
Sources: vps:active_manifest|vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:filter_3.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
+$117.1k
117W / 53L · WR 68.8%
Open exposure (live)
$66.7k
11 open · unrealized -$18.6k
Lifetime turnover
$666.8k
249 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$80.3k
−$7.9k
Realized
+$117.1k
Unrealized (local approx)
-$18.6k
Profit capture (brain)
-
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$0.00
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
2
local DB
First → Last trade
2025-07-13
→ 2026-04-29

🟢 Live open positions

11 live · $66,664 current value · unrealized -$18.6k
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No23,500$0.938$0.99593.8%99.5%$22,043$23,371$+1,328+6.0%2026-06-30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No10,000$0.890$0.96989.0%96.9%$8,900$9,685$+785+8.8%2026-06-30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No8,950$0.969$0.98096.9%98.0%$8,671$8,767$+96+1.1%2026-07-01
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 202…No8,000$0.942$0.83694.2%83.5%$7,536$6,684$-852-11.3%2026-06-30
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15…No5,000$0.920$0.97592.0%97.5%$4,600$4,875$+275+6.0%2026-06-15
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colomb…Yes5,000$0.870$0.87587.0%87.5%$4,350$4,375$+25+0.6%2026-06-21
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30…No5,000$0.910$0.82391.0%82.3%$4,550$4,115$-435-9.6%2026-06-30
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win…No3,000$0.680$0.68568.0%68.5%$2,040$2,055$+15+0.7%2026-07-20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No15,000$0.940$0.13694.0%13.6%$14,100$2,032$-12,068-85.6%2026-06-15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No10,000$0.840$0.06584.0%6.5%$8,400$650$-7,750-92.3%2026-05-31
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win th…Yes316$0.100$0.17510.0%17.5%$32$55$+24+75.0%1970-01-01

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-13 17:08TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No1,500$0.990$1.5k0x7cc1b9…
2026-06-13 17:07TRADESELLWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 20Yes1,500$0.995$1.5k0x35df38…
2026-06-12 10:04TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No855$0.966$825.780xec2fb4…
2026-06-12 10:02TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No39$0.966$37.770x214148…
2026-06-12 08:10TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No106$0.966$102.450x400a3f…
2026-06-12 07:28TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No2,000$0.966$1.9k0xc80626…
2026-06-12 00:00REWARD--4$0.000$3.790x3b3d51…
2026-06-11 22:14TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No950$0.966$917.700x14d6ff…
2026-06-11 09:42TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No5,740$0.840$4.8k0x50955d…
2026-06-11 09:37TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No156$0.840$131.250x39f0ad…
2026-06-11 09:36TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No15$0.840$12.600x8c7a1c…
2026-06-11 09:28TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No4$0.840$3.190x10d8fe…
2026-06-11 08:59TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No1,000$0.840$840.000x16f43a…
2026-06-11 08:59TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No1,000$0.840$840.000xdfafa9…
2026-06-11 08:58TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No62$0.840$52.500x3d5aa4…
2026-06-11 08:56TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No6$0.840$5.250x44c297…
2026-06-11 08:56TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No6$0.840$5.250x8aa1a6…
2026-06-11 08:54TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No6$0.840$5.250xe291e4…
2026-06-11 08:54TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No6$0.840$5.040x5dc421…
2026-06-11 08:53TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No6$0.840$5.250x6db1c9…
2026-06-11 08:52TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No6$0.840$5.250x6a0ae7…
2026-06-11 08:46TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No200$0.840$168.000x82d43c…
2026-06-11 08:40TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No1,765$0.840$1.5k0x399799…
2026-06-11 08:39TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No20$0.840$16.800x4dbea9…
2026-06-11 04:51TRADESELLWill Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 20No1,500$0.997$1.5k0xfb7e89…
2026-06-10 00:45MAKER_REBATE--1$0.000$1.410xd28007…
2026-06-09 16:11TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June No3,302$0.910$3.0k0x1dc1c1…
2026-06-09 15:20TRADEBUYWill A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup WNo3,000$0.680$2.0k0xf1df50…
2026-06-09 14:42TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No4,435$0.971$4.3k0x3db2d2…
2026-06-09 13:46TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June No1,698$0.910$1.5k0x09fbae…
2026-06-09 12:40TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No565$0.971$548.460xb8d543…
2026-06-08 21:48TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No5,000$0.940$4.7k0xfd85ab…
2026-06-08 17:55TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2No5,000$0.966$4.8k0xb1aa31…
2026-06-08 06:04REDEEM-US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?-10,000$0.000$10.0k0x2f498e…
2026-06-07 19:54TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No10,000$0.940$9.4k0xe5d6ba…
2026-06-04 06:47REDEEM-Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral -1,267$0.000$1.3k0x682567…
2026-06-04 06:38REDEEM-Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral -3,000$0.000$3.0k0xb10bf3…
2026-06-04 05:36REDEEM-Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Pr-2,000$0.000$2.0k0x6c57b0…
2026-06-04 05:34REDEEM-Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province g-4,200$0.000$4.2k0x2b2cbb…
2026-06-04 05:33REDEEM-Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province g-2,500$0.000$2.5k0x8cec19…
2026-06-04 05:31REDEEM-Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam P-2,500$0.000$2.5k0xade1d8…
2026-06-04 04:30REDEEM-Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the -3,000$0.000$3.0k0x0e734b…
2026-06-04 04:04REDEEM-Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk P-1,000$0.000$1.0k0xb40a97…
2026-06-04 00:45MAKER_REBATE--5$0.000$4.700xf96bbc…
2026-06-03 21:00TRADESELLWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectNo6,318$0.340$2.1k0x273b59…
2026-06-03 20:59TRADESELLWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes15,954$0.333$5.2k0xb8cd05…
2026-06-03 17:46TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes160$0.921$147.360x72909b…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes300$0.921$276.300x9d4760…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes150$0.921$138.150x487140…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes260$0.921$239.460x1531bb…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes330$0.921$303.930xa7820f…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes50$0.921$46.050x93879a…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes42$0.921$38.360x445150…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes350$0.921$322.350x6d0995…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes53$0.921$48.810x053e24…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes640$0.921$589.380x85eae7…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes433$0.921$398.940x50af04…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes150$0.921$138.150x82636d…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes75$0.921$69.080xd58a1c…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes150$0.921$138.150x6bf3e5…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes20$0.921$18.420x14447b…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes60$0.921$55.260xf6589a…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes284$0.921$261.560xcaea8a…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes20$0.921$18.420x99cba8…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes25$0.921$23.050x68f248…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes30$0.921$27.630x39fba3…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes30$0.921$27.630xf27a22…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes53$0.921$48.850x30ea86…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes831$0.921$765.350xca4d15…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes200$0.921$184.200x0db39e…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes53$0.921$48.810x9687d8…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes75$0.921$69.080x20f00b…
2026-06-03 17:45TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes166$0.921$153.070x1fbf18…
2026-06-03 17:43TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes2,653$0.937$2.5k0xe5e965…
2026-06-03 17:37TRADEBUYWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectNo4,718$0.937$4.4k0x34144a…
2026-06-03 17:37TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral EleYes5,411$0.929$5.0k0xb7fc68…
2026-06-03 00:45MAKER_REBATE--6$0.000$5.700x20f95d…
2026-06-03 00:38TRADEBUYWill Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gYes270$0.950$256.500xde8fd5…
2026-06-03 00:38TRADEBUYWill Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gYes664$0.950$630.330xc8edff…
2026-06-03 00:32TRADEBUYWill Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gYes12$0.950$11.430x0540d1…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

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Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat

Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-15 09:54:03
Latest trade ts
2026-06-13 17:08
Backfill
✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])
0.7
0.8

Recent trades

2 of 2 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-13 17:08SELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No15000.990$1.5k0x7cc1b9…
2026-06-13 17:07SELLWill Civil Contract win the most seats i…Yes15000.995$1.5k0x35df38…

Coordinated-buy involvement

events that included this wallet
WhenMarketWalletsNotionalDiversity
2026-06-03 17:28Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral …3$12.4k0.66
2026-06-01 22:09US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 202…3$22.3k0.83
2026-06-01 22:02US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 202…3$31.9k0.83