0x8597ca63e722d6216bfc3057591fdc67ec49daee
Larynqz
TRACKEDVPST28 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_copyable|local:god_system_wallets|local:unique_wallets|vps:active_manifest|vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:filter_3.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$118.7k
28 open · unrealized +$22.9k · 💰 4 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
-
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$0.00
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
42
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -
🟢 Live open positions
28 live · $118,722 current value · unrealized +$22.9k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 25,223 | $0.331 | $0.895 | 33.1% | 89.5% | $8,361 | $22,574 | $+14,213 | +170.0% | 2026-05-31 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by Dece… | Yes | 16,000 | $0.747 | $0.865 | 74.7% | 86.5% | $11,956 | $13,840 | $+1,884 | +15.8% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 10,500 | $0.814 | $0.895 | 81.4% | 89.5% | $8,550 | $9,397 | $+848 | +9.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31… | No | 11,119 | $0.773 | $0.845 | 77.3% | 84.5% | $8,592 | $9,396 | $+804 | +9.4% | 2026-12-31 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 9,047 | $0.697 | $0.825 | 69.7% | 82.5% | $6,307 | $7,464 | $+1,157 | +18.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Ma… | No | 7,208 | $0.946 | $0.969 | 94.6% | 96.9% | $6,818 | $6,985 | $+167 | +2.4% | 2026-06-18 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 7,644 | $0.262 | $0.774 | 26.2% | 77.5% | $2,004 | $5,920 | $+3,916 | +195.4% | 2026-06-15 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by Ju… | No | 4,907 | $0.913 | $0.987 | 91.3% | 98.7% | $4,479 | $4,841 | $+362 | +8.1% | 2026-06-30 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Decemb… | No | 5,387 | $0.579 | $0.785 | 57.9% | 78.5% | $3,119 | $4,229 | $+1,110 | +35.6% | 2026-12-31 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 3… | No | 4,500 | $0.830 | $0.935 | 83.0% | 93.5% | $3,735 | $4,208 | $+472 | +12.7% | 2026-07-01 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormu… | No | 5,994 | $0.855 | $0.690 | 85.5% | 69.0% | $5,125 | $4,135 | $-990 | -19.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-e… | No | 4,000 | $0.972 | $0.989 | 97.2% | 98.9% | $3,888 | $3,956 | $+68 | +1.7% | 1970-01-01 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | No | 4,000 | $0.946 | $0.984 | 94.6% | 98.4% | $3,784 | $3,936 | $+152 | +4.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 3,973 | $0.625 | $0.740 | 62.5% | 74.0% | $2,483 | $2,940 | $+456 | +18.4% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | No | 2,719 | $0.772 | $0.976 | 77.2% | 97.5% | $2,100 | $2,652 | $+552 | +26.3% | 2026-06-16 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | No | 2,647 | $0.933 | $0.925 | 93.3% | 92.5% | $2,469 | $2,448 | $-21 | -0.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colomb… | Yes | 2,592 | $0.860 | $0.885 | 86.0% | 88.5% | $2,229 | $2,294 | $+65 | +2.9% | 2026-06-21 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | No | 2,500 | $0.860 | $0.815 | 86.0% | 81.5% | $2,150 | $2,037 | $-113 | -5.2% | 2026-07-31 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 1,895 | $0.890 | $0.889 | 89.0% | 88.9% | $1,687 | $1,686 | $-1 | -0.1% | 2026-07-20 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | No | 1,644 | $0.924 | $0.985 | 92.4% | 98.5% | $1,519 | $1,619 | $+99 | +6.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Swi… | Yes | 1,500 | $0.260 | $0.827 | 26.0% | 82.7% | $390 | $1,240 | $+850 | +217.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before… | No | 859 | $0.830 | $0.835 | 83.0% | 83.5% | $713 | $717 | $+5 | +0.6% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pak… | Yes | 3,469 | $0.939 | $0.034 | 93.9% | 3.4% | $3,257 | $118 | $-3,139 | -96.4% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? | No | 114 | $0.360 | $0.575 | 36.0% | 57.5% | $41 | $66 | $+25 | +59.7% | 2027-01-01 |
| Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diploma… | No | 17 | $0.892 | $0.875 | 89.2% | 87.5% | $15 | $15 | $-0 | -1.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? | No | 8 | $0.959 | $0.965 | 95.9% | 96.5% | $8 | $8 | $+0 | +0.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Tom Holland announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 500 | $0.050 | $0.002 | 5.0% | 0.1% | $25 | $1 | $-24 | -97.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oma… | Yes | 30 | $0.031 | $0.005 | 3.1% | 0.5% | $1 | $0 | $-1 | -82.3% | 2026-06-30 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
4 markets settled · $0 unclaimed| Market | Side | Shares | Cost | Value | PnL | Resolved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | Yes | 1,075 | $398 | $0 | $-398 | 2026-05-30 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30? | Yes | 3,952 | $1,533 | $0 | $-1,533 | 1970-01-01 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 9,230 | $6,612 | $0 | $-6,612 | 2026-06-30 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | No | 7,500 | $7,011 | $0 | $-7,011 | 2026-06-08 |
📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
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Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-14 23:00:44
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 22:23
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
7 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 202… | No | 1500 | 0.920 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? | No | 114 | 0.360 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | No | 2719 | 0.772 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 1500 | 0.891 | - | $0.00 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 202… | No | 2500 | 0.860 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 20… | No | 3708 | 0.941 | - | $0.00 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be i… | Yes | 1500 | 0.260 | - | $0.00 |