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0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b

T1
TRACKEDVPST14 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_wallets|local:god_system_wallets_api|local:unique_wallets|vps:active_manifest
Total PnL (lifetime)
+$1.37M
5553W / 3141L · WR 63.9%
Open exposure (live)
$260.5k
157 open · unrealized +$21.0k · 💰 7 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$162.24M
4452 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$33.1k
−$41.1k
Realized
+$1.37M
Unrealized (local approx)
+$19.3k
Profit capture (brain)
38%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$5.0k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
1,592
local DB
First → Last trade
2024-02-12
→ 2026-06-14

🟢 Live open positions

157 live · $260,491 current value · unrealized +$21.0k
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes28,778$0.472$0.79547.2%79.5%$13,586$22,879$+9,293+68.4%2026-05-31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No25,228$0.798$0.84579.8%84.5%$20,142$21,318$+1,176+5.8%2026-12-31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No14,927$0.679$0.90567.9%90.5%$10,136$13,509$+3,373+33.3%2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Ele…No10,316$0.970$0.98697.0%98.6%$10,006$10,166$+160+1.6%2028-11-07
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by Dece…No9,622$0.912$0.94591.2%94.5%$8,776$9,092$+316+3.6%2026-12-31
Netanyahu out by June 30?No8,483$0.917$0.98991.7%98.9%$7,780$8,385$+605+7.8%2026-06-30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes14,878$0.225$0.55422.5%55.5%$3,344$8,250$+4,906+146.7%2026-06-15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio…Yes16,622$0.673$0.48567.3%48.5%$11,197$8,062$-3,135-28.0%2026-06-14
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No10,000$0.850$0.77585.0%77.5%$8,500$7,750$-750-8.8%2026-07-01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end …Yes33,054$0.253$0.22525.3%22.5%$8,377$7,437$-940-11.2%2026-06-30
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes9,444$0.414$0.70541.4%70.5%$3,913$6,658$+2,745+70.1%2026-06-30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio…Yes7,242$0.984$0.86098.4%86.0%$7,124$6,228$-897-12.6%2026-06-30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States …Yes5,555$0.950$0.94095.0%94.0%$5,277$5,222$-56-1.1%2026-07-31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 202…Yes5,465$0.904$0.93590.4%93.5%$4,938$5,109$+171+3.5%2026-12-31
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayora…No5,000$0.899$0.99189.9%99.1%$4,494$4,952$+459+10.2%2026-06-02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio…No5,000$0.959$0.97695.9%97.6%$4,797$4,880$+83+1.7%2026-06-13
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?No5,136$0.454$0.88445.4%88.4%$2,333$4,542$+2,209+94.7%2026-06-16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 3…Yes9,444$0.442$0.47044.2%47.0%$4,178$4,439$+261+6.3%2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States …Yes5,555$0.960$0.72596.0%72.5%$5,333$4,027$-1,305-24.5%2026-06-30
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end…Yes4,964$0.343$0.78834.3%78.8%$1,703$3,911$+2,208+129.6%2026-12-31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2…No4,000$0.926$0.95692.6%95.5%$3,705$3,822$+117+3.1%2026-12-31
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presiden…Yes3,674$0.880$0.98988.0%98.9%$3,233$3,632$+399+12.3%2026-06-07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States …Yes5,555$0.000$0.6500.0%65.0%$0$3,611$+3,611+0.0%2026-06-15
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?Yes3,587$0.990$0.99399.0%99.2%$3,553$3,561$+8+0.2%2026-06-30
Iran Nuke before 2027?No3,211$0.881$0.92688.1%92.7%$2,828$2,975$+147+5.2%2026-12-31
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31…No3,063$0.910$0.94991.0%94.8%$2,787$2,905$+119+4.3%2025-12-31
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?Yes2,934$0.982$0.97998.2%97.9%$2,882$2,871$-11-0.4%2026-06-30
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?No3,101$0.870$0.92587.0%92.5%$2,698$2,869$+171+6.3%2026-07-01
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No3,000$0.959$0.95295.9%95.2%$2,877$2,856$-21-0.7%2026-07-20
Iran coup attempt by June 30?No2,554$0.680$0.97868.0%97.8%$1,736$2,497$+761+43.8%2026-06-30
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?Yes2,222$0.980$0.99198.0%99.1%$2,178$2,201$+23+1.1%2026-06-30
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No2,314$0.926$0.94092.6%94.0%$2,143$2,174$+31+1.5%2026-12-31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Ele…Yes15,000$0.194$0.14319.4%14.3%$2,905$2,152$-752-25.9%2028-11-07
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?No2,112$0.948$0.99694.8%99.6%$2,002$2,104$+102+5.1%2026-06-30
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No2,063$0.879$0.98887.9%98.8%$1,814$2,038$+224+12.4%2026-06-15
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes7,984$0.257$0.25525.7%25.5%$2,048$2,036$-12-0.6%2027-01-01
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the…Yes3,000$0.710$0.61071.0%61.0%$2,130$1,830$-300-14.1%2026-09-30
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?No1,744$0.930$0.98193.0%98.1%$1,622$1,711$+89+5.5%2026-06-14
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 3…No1,892$0.789$0.88578.9%88.5%$1,493$1,674$+181+12.1%2026-07-01
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezue…No1,755$0.910$0.95391.0%95.2%$1,598$1,672$+74+4.6%2026-12-31
Trump goes to space in 2026?No1,676$0.955$0.97095.5%97.0%$1,600$1,624$+25+1.6%2026-12-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end …No2,002$0.710$0.77571.0%77.5%$1,421$1,552$+130+9.2%2026-06-30
NATO dissolves before 2027?No1,605$0.930$0.95693.0%95.5%$1,493$1,534$+41+2.7%2026-12-31
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes1,544$0.896$0.94589.6%94.5%$1,383$1,459$+76+5.5%2026-12-31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 202…No20,508$0.212$0.06521.2%6.5%$4,353$1,333$-3,020-69.4%2026-12-31
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No1,373$0.662$0.95766.2%95.7%$909$1,314$+405+44.6%2026-06-30
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases b…No1,936$0.422$0.65542.2%65.5%$817$1,268$+451+55.1%2026-06-30
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes5,541$0.250$0.22525.0%22.5%$1,385$1,247$-139-10.0%2026-07-01
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 202…Yes9,405$0.065$0.1236.5%12.3%$610$1,157$+547+89.6%2026-06-30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States …Yes1,592$0.975$0.69597.5%69.5%$1,551$1,106$-445-28.7%2026-06-21

💰 Resolved · pending claim

7 markets settled · $0 unclaimed
MarketSideSharesCostValuePnLResolved
Knicks vs. SpursSpurs111$10$0$-102026-06-14
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland?Yes250$15$0$-152026-06-14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?Yes2,000$20$0$-202026-06-10
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Curaçao200$32$0$-322026-06-14
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?Yes222$51$0$-512026-06-14
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Yes3,000$86$0$-862026-06-12
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes2,198$502$0$-5022026-06-13

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-14 21:30TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes5,555$0.860$4.8k0x0fe058…
2026-06-14 21:30TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo2,002$0.710$1.4k0x0c51bb…
2026-06-14 21:30TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enYes952$0.290$275.980x0c51bb…
2026-06-14 21:30TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes5,555$0.729$4.0k0x831121…
2026-06-14 21:30TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes5,555$0.960$5.3k0x2420f2…
2026-06-14 21:30TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes5,555$0.950$5.3k0x47f693…
2026-06-14 21:30TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes1,592$0.975$1.6k0x4e54e6…
2026-06-14 21:30TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enYes328$0.290$95.190xa1b3a2…
2026-06-14 21:30TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes914$0.960$877.110x17553c…
2026-06-14 21:30TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes38$0.960$36.000x47d3b3…
2026-06-14 21:30TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes38$0.960$36.000x038729…
2026-06-14 21:30TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes78$0.960$74.880xb83897…
2026-06-14 21:29TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes6,846$0.951$6.5k0x4d9669…
2026-06-14 21:28TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes296$0.030$8.870x62a18f…
2026-06-14 21:28TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes295$0.056$16.540x62a18f…
2026-06-14 21:28TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes1,483$0.056$83.020x97eb27…
2026-06-14 21:28TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes1,111$0.960$1.1k0xda8119…
2026-06-14 21:28TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes102$0.056$5.710x656ad2…
2026-06-14 21:25TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes346$0.830$287.390x8cc1ba…
2026-06-14 21:25TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes212$0.056$11.860x7a6769…
2026-06-14 21:25TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes564$0.056$31.600x817838…
2026-06-14 21:24TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes1$0.830$1.240x570de8…
2026-06-14 21:24TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes763$0.830$633.500xfdff78…
2026-06-14 21:24TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateNo1,845$0.310$571.950x388df5…
2026-06-14 21:23TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes235$0.990$232.500x2297fd…
2026-06-14 21:23TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes7,005$0.984$6.9k0xaa1a78…
2026-06-14 21:23TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes1$0.990$1.250x63ba2a…
2026-06-14 21:23MERGE-US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?-4,444$0.000$4.4k0x0b5628…
2026-06-14 21:22TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No4,444$0.520$2.3k0x46e921…
2026-06-14 21:22TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes1,111$0.790$877.690xfb69c0…
2026-06-14 21:22TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes1,892$0.056$105.940x39b039…
2026-06-14 21:20TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes1,007$0.056$56.410x0e59c9…
2026-06-14 21:20TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enYes345$0.290$100.000x054690…
2026-06-14 21:20TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enYes25$0.290$7.130x32b335…
2026-06-14 21:20TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes122$0.356$43.330xf1f8d5…
2026-06-14 21:20TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes13$0.356$4.470xf8e9e8…
2026-06-14 21:20TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes155$0.356$55.280xe749a1…
2026-06-14 21:20TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes155$0.356$55.280x26821c…
2026-06-14 21:20TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes133$0.356$47.320xf35986…
2026-06-14 21:20TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes4,875$0.356$1.7k0x06fefd…
2026-06-14 21:20TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes102$0.356$36.400xa37705…
2026-06-14 21:19TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enYes2,795$0.290$810.460x3db880…
2026-06-14 21:19TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes857$0.103$88.320xc7b5ae…
2026-06-14 21:19TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes254$0.103$26.120x51254a…
2026-06-14 21:19MERGE-US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?-3,333$0.000$3.3k0xc527ea…
2026-06-14 21:18TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes355$0.920$326.600x81d00c…
2026-06-14 21:18TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes7,777$0.850$6.6k0xd1a67b…
2026-06-14 21:18TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes2,222$0.830$1.8k0xd1a67b…
2026-06-14 21:18TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes711$0.890$633.130x26aa14…
2026-06-14 21:18TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes3,013$0.880$2.7k0x26aa14…
2026-06-14 21:18TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes2,260$0.870$2.0k0x26aa14…
2026-06-14 21:18TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes1,907$0.860$1.6k0xd1a67b…
2026-06-14 21:18TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes7,777$0.790$6.1k0x804515…
2026-06-14 21:18TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes1,111$0.780$866.580x804515…
2026-06-14 21:18TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes1,111$0.770$855.470x804515…
2026-06-14 21:18TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes1,111$0.760$844.360x804515…
2026-06-14 21:18TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes1,111$0.750$833.250x804515…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2Yes2,000$0.910$1.8k0x9144c3…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2Yes3,465$0.900$3.1k0x6bae9e…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes10$0.920$9.200x9ab28c…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes10$0.920$9.200xfa9745…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes10$0.920$9.200x6a062e…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes10$0.920$9.200x4d91cc…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes10$0.920$9.200x080ca5…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes150$0.920$138.000x9700c0…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No3,333$0.460$1.5k0xf30655…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes1,111$0.910$1.0k0x61b521…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes1,111$0.900$999.900xa83972…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes170$0.890$151.020xa83972…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes1$0.890$1.280xc3fef1…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes3$0.890$2.290x5ae24c…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes342$0.890$304.610xfe9443…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes8$0.890$7.190xe7e706…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes23$0.890$20.450xaf493a…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes562$0.890$499.880xb1a9d4…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes160$0.890$142.530x52fe17…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes50$0.890$44.370x668b5c…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes200$0.890$178.000x3d126a…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes410$0.890$364.500x431341…
2026-06-14 21:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes0$0.890$0.200x341488…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

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Sun
Mon
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Thu
Fri
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Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-14 21:11:40
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 21:06
Backfill
✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])
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Open positions

73 open
MarketOutcomeSharesEntryLastUnrealized
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes15440.896-$0.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by…Yes23830.235-$0.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…No18450.830-$0.00
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Netherlands2000.090-$0.00
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Netherlands2000.250-$0.00
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes5000.490-$0.00
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes112080.595-$0.00
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No77570.803-$0.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes3000.905-$0.00
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Curaçao2000.160-$0.00
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes32460.280-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No29980.943-$0.00
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?Yes22220.980-$0.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No20630.879-$0.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?No17440.930-$0.00
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Ju…Yes29340.982-$0.00
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce b…Yes20.380-$0.00
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?No64851.062-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No121650.289-$0.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes56660.594-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes34550.302-$0.00
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initia…No5000.990-$0.00
Knicks vs. SpursSpurs1110.090-$0.00
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5Under2220.430-$0.00
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?Yes2220.230-$0.00
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland?Yes2500.060-$0.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No10000.923-$0.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes21980.228-$0.00
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes6130.870-$0.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes187260.009-$0.00
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes55410.250-$0.00
Will US announce location or date of US and I…Yes4380.970-$0.00
Will US announce location or date of US and I…Yes10310.950-$0.00
Will US announce location or date of US and I…Yes14130.979-$0.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31…No105080.150-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes65440.868-$0.00
Will Trump praise Emmanuel Macron by June 30?Yes240.758-$0.00
Will the United Kingdom send warships through…Yes970.089-$0.00
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?Yes32680.993-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes31360.733-$0.00
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in J…Yes5230.936-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No155550.909-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No163550.853-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes209760.410-$0.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on …Yes3360.759-$0.00
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes6920.210-$0.00
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30…Yes2222220.999-$0.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 8-14?Yes55550.006-$0.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by D…No2000.750-$0.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes4429.955-$0.00

Closed positions

most recent 50
Exit whenMarketOutcomeSharesEntryExitRealized
2026-06-13 13:52US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes25460.6490.312-$859.84
2026-06-12 21:25Will United States win on 2026-06-12?No20000.5450.540-$10.00
2026-06-12 19:01Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes10000.5300.520-$10.00
2026-06-12 16:36US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes16623.6840.790-$3.8k
2026-06-12 16:33SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes10000.6220.762+$139.95
2026-06-12 16:18US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes842.0150.630-$116.70
2026-06-12 15:03US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes2090.6360.600-$7.58
2026-06-12 15:02US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…Yes2220.9470.149-$177.13
2026-06-12 14:57US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes6000.2900.450+$96.00
2026-06-12 14:56US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes10730.3610.550+$203.16
2026-06-12 14:53US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes890.1570.110-$4.20
2026-06-12 14:05US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes11110.0310.046+$16.66
2026-06-12 14:01US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…Yes22220.0900.128+$84.44

Recent trades

100 of 1,592 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-14 21:06BUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes15440.896$1.4k0x2aa42b…
2026-06-14 21:03BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…Yes27950.200$558.940xc8f902…
2026-06-14 21:02BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No22220.540$1.2k0x2e767d…
2026-06-14 20:58SELLWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…No5550.680$377.400xcb16b1…
2026-06-14 20:57BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No3910.640$250.520xfca6c0…
2026-06-14 20:57BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No30.640$1.960x409b25…
2026-06-14 20:57BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No30.640$1.960x770730…
2026-06-14 20:57BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No30.640$1.960x9a0540…
2026-06-14 20:57BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No30.640$1.960x885efb…
2026-06-14 20:57BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No30.640$1.960xdc07c0…
2026-06-14 20:57BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No2400.660$158.080xb351a6…
2026-06-14 20:57BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No5550.650$360.750xb351a6…
2026-06-14 20:57BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No1260.640$80.890xd3f1f9…
2026-06-14 20:57BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No60.640$4.040xb70c61…
2026-06-14 20:57BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No30.640$1.960xeb9ef2…
2026-06-14 20:57BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No120.640$8.000xf27b97…
2026-06-14 20:57BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No300.660$19.700xb10e48…
2026-06-14 20:57BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No1000.660$66.000xa69c89…
2026-06-14 20:57BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No1860.660$122.510x4cb07e…
2026-06-14 20:48BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No5150.680$350.200xffcc93…
2026-06-14 20:48BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No5550.670$371.850xffcc93…
2026-06-14 20:48BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No400.680$27.200x7773c7…
2026-06-14 20:46BUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes5550.247$137.090x74a643…
2026-06-14 20:38BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…No22220.768$1.7k0x22e5b8…
2026-06-14 20:36BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No7690.676$519.650xe8b0e9…
2026-06-14 20:36BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No3420.690$236.170x9438e7…
2026-06-14 20:35BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…No2000.600$120.000x8ee3c2…
2026-06-14 20:35BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…No2000.610$122.000x8ee3c2…
2026-06-14 20:35BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…No2000.620$124.000x8ee3c2…
2026-06-14 20:35BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…No2000.630$126.000x8ee3c2…
2026-06-14 20:35BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…No40.640$2.280x8ee3c2…
2026-06-14 20:35BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…No1960.640$125.720x76e424…
2026-06-14 20:35BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…No2000.650$130.000x76e424…
2026-06-14 20:35BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…No2000.660$132.000x76e424…
2026-06-14 20:35BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…No2000.670$134.000x76e424…
2026-06-14 20:27BUYWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy …Yes3260.940$306.490x50b776…
2026-06-14 20:27BUYWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy …Yes5300.980$519.640x50b776…
2026-06-14 20:25SELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes12170.011$13.390x584731…
2026-06-14 20:25BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No5320.700$372.120x118db5…
2026-06-14 20:25BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No5000.700$350.000xbe5186…
2026-06-14 20:24BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…No790.700$55.580xa0efe8…
2026-06-14 20:18BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…No2000.630$126.000x2efbe9…
2026-06-14 20:18BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…No2000.640$128.000x117e73…
2026-06-14 20:18SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes10100.190$191.840x98664f…
2026-06-14 20:15BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…No2000.650$130.000x742d41…
2026-06-14 20:15BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…No1300.660$85.530x6a34dd…
2026-06-14 20:15BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…No700.660$46.470x07cac6…
2026-06-14 20:04BUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes1370.298$40.900xe2a0ad…
2026-06-14 20:04BUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes4180.297$123.990x52f8d8…
2026-06-14 20:04SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes1000.230$23.070x69c077…

By category (closed only)

CategoryN closedRealized PnL
Other13-$4.5k

Coordinated-buy involvement

events that included this wallet
WhenMarketWalletsNotionalDiversity
2026-06-05 16:12Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5?3$3.0k1.00
2026-06-05 16:06Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5?3$2.5k1.00
2026-06-05 15:36Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 5?3$21.0k0.98
2026-06-05 15:35Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 5?3$21.9k0.98
2026-06-05 04:16Iran Nuke before 2027?3$4.6k0.91
2026-06-04 02:04Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension …3$458.150.66
2026-06-04 02:00Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension …3$171.030.66
2026-06-04 01:32Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension …3$703.300.88
2026-06-04 01:27Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension …3$903.320.88
2026-06-04 01:26Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension …3$1.1k0.88
2026-06-04 01:23Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension …3$1.7k0.88
2026-06-04 01:16Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension …3$738.760.88
2026-06-04 00:34Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension …3$12.0k0.92
2026-06-04 00:17MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…3$69.8k0.93
2026-06-04 00:13MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…3$74.8k0.65
2026-06-03 22:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…3$2.3k0.81
2026-06-03 21:44MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…9$232.6k0.69
2026-06-03 21:42MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…11$337.1k0.70
2026-06-03 21:41MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…18$724.9k0.78
2026-06-03 20:13US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…3$17.8k0.81