0x71abe97b83eaba3f06cb04fd4d9a03ee37d2f015
no username
TRACKEDVPST25 SOURCES
Sources: vps:active_manifest|vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:filter_3.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$94.9k
43 open · unrealized +$15.2k · 💰 20 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
-
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$0.00
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
253
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -
🟢 Live open positions
43 live · $94,888 current value · unrealized +$15.2k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30… | No | 24,085 | $0.856 | $0.968 | 85.6% | 96.8% | $20,620 | $23,314 | $+2,694 | +13.1% | 2026-04-30 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July… | No | 35,410 | $0.324 | $0.365 | 32.4% | 36.5% | $11,487 | $12,925 | $+1,438 | +12.5% | 2026-07-31 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end … | No | 13,000 | $0.666 | $0.735 | 66.6% | 73.5% | $8,660 | $9,555 | $+895 | +10.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by Septemb… | No | 8,131 | $0.707 | $0.835 | 70.7% | 83.5% | $5,751 | $6,789 | $+1,038 | +18.1% | 2026-04-30 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July… | No | 12,028 | $0.428 | $0.500 | 42.8% | 50.0% | $5,146 | $6,014 | $+868 | +16.9% | 2026-07-15 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June… | No | 5,173 | $0.349 | $0.976 | 34.9% | 97.6% | $1,803 | $5,049 | $+3,245 | +180.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 5,716 | $0.855 | $0.861 | 85.5% | 86.1% | $4,885 | $4,919 | $+34 | +0.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by Ju… | No | 4,800 | $0.924 | $0.987 | 92.4% | 98.7% | $4,435 | $4,735 | $+300 | +6.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by Decemb… | No | 4,141 | $0.627 | $0.830 | 62.7% | 83.0% | $2,598 | $3,437 | $+839 | +32.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by Septem… | No | 3,396 | $0.688 | $0.915 | 68.8% | 91.5% | $2,336 | $3,107 | $+771 | +33.0% | 2026-09-30 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June… | No | 3,047 | $0.456 | $0.985 | 45.6% | 98.5% | $1,390 | $2,999 | $+1,609 | +115.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15… | No | 2,589 | $0.946 | $0.997 | 94.6% | 99.7% | $2,450 | $2,580 | $+131 | +5.3% | 2026-06-15 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22… | No | 1,630 | $0.903 | $0.981 | 90.3% | 98.0% | $1,472 | $1,598 | $+126 | +8.6% | 2026-06-22 |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026… | Yes | 3,136 | $0.156 | $0.465 | 15.6% | 46.5% | $489 | $1,458 | $+970 | +198.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 1,400 | $0.737 | $0.775 | 73.7% | 77.5% | $1,032 | $1,085 | $+53 | +5.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | Yes | 4,061 | $0.262 | $0.203 | 26.2% | 20.2% | $1,063 | $822 | $-240 | -22.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any … | Yes | 1,008 | $0.315 | $0.715 | 31.5% | 71.5% | $318 | $721 | $+403 | +127.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? | Yes | 706 | $0.547 | $0.865 | 54.7% | 86.5% | $386 | $611 | $+224 | +58.1% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June… | No | 500 | $0.540 | $0.988 | 54.0% | 98.8% | $270 | $494 | $+224 | +82.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 500 | $0.780 | $0.845 | 78.0% | 84.5% | $390 | $422 | $+32 | +8.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily tran… | Yes | 2,152 | $0.052 | $0.140 | 5.2% | 14.0% | $113 | $301 | $+189 | +167.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June… | No | 307 | $0.088 | $0.950 | 8.8% | 95.0% | $27 | $292 | $+265 | +976.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June? | No | 278 | $0.860 | $0.991 | 86.0% | 99.1% | $239 | $275 | $+36 | +15.2% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily tran… | Yes | 1,374 | $0.036 | $0.163 | 3.6% | 16.3% | $49 | $224 | $+174 | +352.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 202… | Yes | 191 | $0.760 | $0.955 | 76.0% | 95.5% | $145 | $182 | $+37 | +25.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz betw… | No | 400 | $0.200 | $0.405 | 20.0% | 40.5% | $80 | $162 | $+82 | +102.5% | 2026-06-14 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 1,413 | $0.082 | $0.110 | 8.2% | 11.0% | $115 | $155 | $+40 | +34.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | No | 154 | $0.699 | $0.992 | 69.9% | 99.2% | $108 | $153 | $+45 | +41.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 765 | $0.138 | $0.190 | 13.8% | 19.0% | $105 | $145 | $+40 | +37.9% | 2026-07-31 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily tran… | Yes | 500 | $0.100 | $0.195 | 10.0% | 19.5% | $50 | $98 | $+48 | +95.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of… | Yes | 323 | $0.028 | $0.229 | 2.8% | 22.9% | $9 | $74 | $+65 | +720.1% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? | No | 65 | $0.300 | $0.665 | 30.0% | 66.5% | $19 | $43 | $+24 | +121.7% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? | Yes | 2,980 | $0.050 | $0.011 | 5.0% | 1.1% | $149 | $33 | $-116 | -77.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | Yes | 200 | $0.400 | $0.150 | 40.0% | 15.0% | $80 | $30 | $-50 | -62.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | Yes | 941 | $0.084 | $0.021 | 8.4% | 2.1% | $79 | $20 | $-59 | -74.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final t… | Yes | 14 | $0.872 | $0.948 | 87.2% | 94.8% | $12 | $14 | $+1 | +8.7% | 2026-06-30 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 14 | $0.930 | $0.915 | 93.0% | 91.5% | $13 | $13 | $-0 | -1.6% | 2026-08-31 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June? | Yes | 2,448 | $0.048 | $0.005 | 4.8% | 0.5% | $118 | $12 | $-106 | -89.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? | Yes | 1,005 | $0.035 | $0.008 | 3.5% | 0.8% | $35 | $8 | $-27 | -77.1% | 2026-06-30 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | No | 1,500 | $0.780 | $0.004 | 78.0% | 0.4% | $1,170 | $7 | $-1,163 | -99.4% | 2026-06-14 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz betw… | Yes | 329 | $0.008 | $0.018 | 0.8% | 1.8% | $3 | $6 | $+3 | +118.6% | 2026-06-14 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $56 on the final t… | Yes | 5 | $0.930 | $0.977 | 93.0% | 97.7% | $5 | $5 | $+0 | +5.1% | 2026-06-30 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | No | 1,000 | $0.030 | $0.002 | 3.0% | 0.1% | $30 | $2 | $-28 | -95.0% | 2026-06-30 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
20 markets settled · $0 unclaimed📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
Sun
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Thu
Fri
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Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-14 22:33:34
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 22:21
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
7 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by… | No | 13000 | 0.666 | - | $0.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | No | 1000 | 0.030 | - | $0.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | No | 1500 | 0.780 | - | $0.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by… | No | 8005 | 0.442 | - | $0.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by… | No | 35410 | 0.324 | - | $0.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | No | 0 | 723684.200 | - | $0.00 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by Se… | No | 1089 | 0.812 | - | $0.00 |
Recent trades
100 of 253 shownCoordinated-buy involvement
events that included this wallet| When | Market | Wallets | Notional | Diversity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 15:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by… | 3 | $8.0k | 0.93 |