0x6d9fc316c3b8377060a44b852ba664adbfd59790
MEPP
TRACKEDT23 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_wallets|local:god_system_wallets_api|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$449.3k
66 open · unrealized +$87.5k · 💰 15 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
0%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$14.1k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
489
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -
🟢 Live open positions
66 live · $449,273 current value · unrealized +$87.5k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 90,195 | $0.826 | $0.934 | 82.6% | 93.5% | $74,480 | $84,287 | $+9,807 | +13.2% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 32,854 | $0.691 | $0.994 | 69.1% | 99.4% | $22,718 | $32,640 | $+9,922 | +43.7% | 2026-06-30 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 29,773 | $0.278 | $0.846 | 27.8% | 84.5% | $8,290 | $25,173 | $+16,883 | +203.7% | 2026-06-15 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 27,625 | $0.810 | $0.905 | 81.0% | 90.5% | $22,385 | $25,001 | $+2,615 | +11.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpil… | No | 25,855 | $0.760 | $0.915 | 76.0% | 91.5% | $19,661 | $23,657 | $+3,997 | +20.3% | 2026-07-31 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 20… | No | 24,682 | $0.810 | $0.950 | 81.0% | 95.0% | $19,988 | $23,448 | $+3,459 | +17.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 25,000 | $0.644 | $0.895 | 64.4% | 89.5% | $16,100 | $22,375 | $+6,275 | +39.0% | 2026-12-31 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpil… | No | 20,999 | $0.849 | $0.962 | 84.9% | 96.2% | $17,819 | $20,191 | $+2,372 | +13.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31… | No | 15,983 | $0.754 | $0.865 | 75.4% | 86.5% | $12,052 | $13,825 | $+1,773 | +14.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormu… | No | 18,427 | $0.689 | $0.685 | 68.9% | 68.5% | $12,701 | $12,622 | $-79 | -0.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Decemb… | No | 15,839 | $0.635 | $0.780 | 63.5% | 78.0% | $10,054 | $12,354 | $+2,300 | +22.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | No | 13,021 | $0.719 | $0.906 | 71.9% | 90.6% | $9,368 | $11,797 | $+2,429 | +25.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | No | 10,859 | $0.814 | $0.971 | 81.4% | 97.0% | $8,844 | $10,539 | $+1,695 | +19.2% | 2026-06-13 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 11,250 | $0.813 | $0.935 | 81.3% | 93.5% | $9,150 | $10,519 | $+1,369 | +15.0% | 2026-12-31 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 202… | Yes | 52,334 | $0.088 | $0.190 | 8.8% | 19.0% | $4,587 | $9,943 | $+5,356 | +116.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | 9,935 | $0.760 | $0.992 | 76.0% | 99.2% | $7,550 | $9,855 | $+2,305 | +30.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? | No | 8,747 | $0.887 | $0.990 | 88.7% | 99.0% | $7,758 | $8,655 | $+898 | +11.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 9,848 | $0.670 | $0.845 | 67.0% | 84.5% | $6,598 | $8,321 | $+1,723 | +26.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpil… | No | 11,408 | $0.496 | $0.705 | 49.6% | 70.5% | $5,661 | $8,042 | $+2,382 | +42.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 6,873 | $0.723 | $0.915 | 72.3% | 91.5% | $4,967 | $6,289 | $+1,321 | +26.6% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end… | Yes | 7,322 | $0.629 | $0.835 | 62.9% | 83.5% | $4,607 | $6,114 | $+1,507 | +32.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 6,400 | $0.628 | $0.875 | 62.8% | 87.5% | $4,019 | $5,600 | $+1,581 | +39.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027… | No | 6,500 | $0.800 | $0.820 | 80.0% | 82.0% | $5,200 | $5,330 | $+130 | +2.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Irani… | Yes | 11,685 | $0.237 | $0.455 | 23.7% | 45.5% | $2,766 | $5,317 | $+2,551 | +92.2% | 2026-06-30 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before… | No | 6,270 | $0.810 | $0.840 | 81.0% | 84.0% | $5,079 | $5,267 | $+188 | +3.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | No | 5,154 | $0.857 | $0.875 | 85.7% | 87.5% | $4,416 | $4,510 | $+94 | +2.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 5,000 | $0.640 | $0.875 | 64.0% | 87.5% | $3,200 | $4,375 | $+1,175 | +36.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 4,000 | $0.620 | $0.875 | 62.0% | 87.5% | $2,480 | $3,500 | $+1,020 | +41.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 202… | No | 3,501 | $0.770 | $0.982 | 77.0% | 98.2% | $2,696 | $3,436 | $+740 | +27.5% | 2027-06-30 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Swi… | Yes | 4,302 | $0.096 | $0.717 | 9.6% | 71.7% | $413 | $3,084 | $+2,671 | +646.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| Kurds declare independence from Iran? | No | 3,000 | $0.680 | $0.979 | 68.0% | 97.9% | $2,040 | $2,937 | $+897 | +44.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 3,130 | $0.738 | $0.878 | 73.8% | 87.8% | $2,308 | $2,748 | $+440 | +19.0% | 2026-12-31 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 3,000 | $0.650 | $0.800 | 65.0% | 80.0% | $1,950 | $2,400 | $+450 | +23.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2… | No | 2,392 | $0.809 | $0.976 | 80.9% | 97.5% | $1,936 | $2,333 | $+397 | +20.5% | 2025-12-31 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | No | 10,014 | $0.477 | $0.150 | 47.8% | 15.0% | $4,783 | $1,502 | $-3,281 | -68.6% | 2026-05-15 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June… | No | 1,505 | $0.810 | $0.995 | 81.0% | 99.5% | $1,219 | $1,497 | $+278 | +22.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | No | 1,521 | $0.621 | $0.875 | 62.1% | 87.5% | $944 | $1,331 | $+386 | +40.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 3… | No | 1,079 | $0.800 | $0.988 | 80.0% | 98.8% | $864 | $1,067 | $+203 | +23.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | No | 1,079 | $0.820 | $0.972 | 82.0% | 97.2% | $885 | $1,049 | $+164 | +18.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by Jun… | No | 2,139 | $0.593 | $0.365 | 59.3% | 36.5% | $1,269 | $781 | $-488 | -38.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | No | 604 | $0.776 | $0.989 | 77.6% | 98.9% | $469 | $597 | $+129 | +27.4% | 2026-06-15 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | No | 6,894 | $0.410 | $0.085 | 41.0% | 8.5% | $2,824 | $586 | $-2,238 | -79.3% | 2026-05-15 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 756 | $0.610 | $0.745 | 61.0% | 74.5% | $461 | $563 | $+102 | +22.2% | 2026-12-31 |
| Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | No | 500 | $0.890 | $0.985 | 89.0% | 98.5% | $445 | $492 | $+48 | +10.7% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before … | No | 526 | $0.805 | $0.910 | 80.5% | 91.0% | $423 | $479 | $+55 | +13.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occu… | Yes | 3,098 | $0.272 | $0.139 | 27.2% | 13.9% | $843 | $429 | $-414 | -49.1% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? | No | 436 | $0.819 | $0.980 | 81.9% | 98.0% | $357 | $427 | $+70 | +19.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? | No | 383 | $0.707 | $0.925 | 70.7% | 92.5% | $271 | $354 | $+83 | +30.8% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 256 | $0.832 | $0.939 | 83.2% | 93.8% | $213 | $240 | $+27 | +12.8% | 2026-12-31 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 202… | No | 276 | $0.730 | $0.725 | 73.0% | 72.5% | $202 | $200 | $-1 | -0.7% | 2026-07-31 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
15 markets settled · $0 unclaimed📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
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Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-15 05:32:34
Latest trade ts
2026-06-15 05:00
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
12 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the … | Yes | 1685 | 0.664 | - | $0.00 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium sto… | No | 5000 | 0.910 | - | $0.00 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through … | No | 11557 | 0.686 | - | $0.00 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Yes | 0 | 591937.400 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | No | 66 | 0.200 | - | $0.00 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14? | Yes | 0 | 60094.440 | - | $0.00 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026… | No | 0 | 4170510.000 | - | $0.00 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31… | No | 276 | 0.730 | - | $0.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20… | Yes | 797 | 31.627 | - | $0.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | No | 3879 | 1.108 | - | $0.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | No | 14776 | 1.516 | - | $0.00 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30… | Yes | 24335 | 0.112 | - | $0.00 |
Closed positions
most recent 50| Exit when | Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Exit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 22:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 20… | No | 2566 | 0.678 | 0.130 | -$1.4k |
| 2026-06-14 21:31 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | No | 6722 | 0.623 | 0.080 | -$3.7k |
| 2026-06-14 19:49 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | No | 1723 | 2.241 | 0.780 | -$2.5k |
| 2026-06-14 16:08 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be i… | Yes | 1191 | 0.290 | 0.158 | -$157.69 |
| 2026-06-14 09:21 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | No | 1731 | 4.595 | 0.950 | -$6.3k |
| 2026-06-13 07:11 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through … | No | 142 | 1.415 | 0.770 | -$91.59 |
Recent trades
100 of 489 shownBy category (closed only)
| Category | N closed | Realized PnL |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 6 | -$14.1k |