0x6640bd87f6e4b6e8d62457448bd1b3a4711a2202
no username
TRACKEDVPST25 SOURCES
Sources: vps:active_manifest|vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:filter_3.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
+$97.2k
17W / 15L · WR 53.1%
Open exposure (live)
$130.8k
28 open · unrealized +$14.4k · 💰 4 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$168.3k
42 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$4.7k
−$3.2k
Realized
+$97.2k
Unrealized (local approx)
+$14.4k
Profit capture (brain)
-
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$0.00
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
102
local DB
First → Last trade
2026-06-03
→ 2026-06-15
🟢 Live open positions
28 live · $130,815 current value · unrealized +$14.4k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 31,140 | $0.743 | $0.895 | 74.3% | 89.5% | $23,141 | $27,870 | $+4,729 | +20.4% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-e… | No | 19,275 | $0.921 | $0.988 | 92.2% | 98.8% | $17,764 | $19,034 | $+1,270 | +7.2% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-elect… | Yes | 19,595 | $0.641 | $0.735 | 64.1% | 73.5% | $12,554 | $14,402 | $+1,849 | +14.7% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvia… | No | 13,728 | $0.857 | $0.991 | 85.7% | 99.1% | $11,767 | $13,598 | $+1,831 | +15.6% | 2026-06-07 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 13,251 | $0.666 | $0.845 | 66.6% | 84.5% | $8,829 | $11,197 | $+2,367 | +26.8% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presiden… | Yes | 10,765 | $0.821 | $0.982 | 82.1% | 98.2% | $8,840 | $10,566 | $+1,726 | +19.5% | 2026-06-07 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 9,653 | $0.370 | $0.852 | 37.0% | 85.2% | $3,575 | $8,219 | $+4,644 | +129.9% | 2026-06-15 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | No | 5,606 | $0.830 | $0.983 | 83.0% | 98.2% | $4,655 | $5,508 | $+852 | +18.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end … | Yes | 15,622 | $0.285 | $0.305 | 28.5% | 30.5% | $4,459 | $4,765 | $+306 | +6.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 4,800 | $0.476 | $0.925 | 47.6% | 92.5% | $2,285 | $4,440 | $+2,155 | +94.3% | 2026-05-31 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the… | Yes | 7,007 | $0.591 | $0.595 | 59.1% | 59.5% | $4,143 | $4,169 | $+25 | +0.6% | 2026-09-30 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 6,100 | $0.433 | $0.435 | 43.3% | 43.5% | $2,642 | $2,654 | $+12 | +0.4% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the ne… | No | 2,492 | $0.646 | $0.702 | 64.6% | 70.2% | $1,609 | $1,748 | $+139 | +8.7% | 2026-09-30 |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sach… | Yes | 3,000 | $0.396 | $0.445 | 39.6% | 44.5% | $1,188 | $1,335 | $+147 | +12.3% | 2026-09-06 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presi… | Yes | 4,000 | $0.382 | $0.271 | 38.2% | 27.1% | $1,528 | $1,082 | $-446 | -29.2% | 2026-10-04 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral e… | Yes | 100 | $0.520 | $0.585 | 52.0% | 58.5% | $52 | $59 | $+7 | +12.5% | 2026-06-02 |
| Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Pri… | Yes | 54 | $0.150 | $0.986 | 15.0% | 98.6% | $8 | $53 | $+45 | +557.3% | 2026-05-19 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2… | Yes | 111 | $0.510 | $0.470 | 51.0% | 47.0% | $56 | $52 | $-4 | -7.8% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Electi… | Yes | 13,788 | $0.232 | $0.002 | 23.2% | 0.1% | $3,195 | $21 | $-3,174 | -99.4% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in… | No | 41 | $0.510 | $0.460 | 51.0% | 46.0% | $21 | $19 | $-2 | -9.8% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru p… | Yes | 10 | $0.110 | $0.940 | 11.0% | 94.0% | $1 | $10 | $+8 | +754.1% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian preside… | Yes | 10,513 | $0.139 | $0.001 | 13.9% | 0.1% | $1,463 | $5 | $-1,458 | -99.6% | 2026-06-07 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presiden… | Yes | 7,157 | $0.234 | $0.001 | 23.4% | 0.1% | $1,676 | $4 | $-1,673 | -99.8% | 2026-04-12 |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidentia… | Yes | 3,875 | $0.158 | $0.001 | 15.8% | 0.1% | $613 | $2 | $-611 | -99.7% | 2026-06-07 |
| Will Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-electi… | Yes | 3,000 | $0.030 | $0.001 | 3.0% | 0.1% | $91 | $2 | $-89 | -98.3% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Simon Finkelstein win the 2026 Makerfield by-… | Yes | 3,000 | $0.030 | $0.001 | 3.0% | 0.1% | $91 | $2 | $-89 | -98.3% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will James Thomas Bryer win the 2026 Makerfield by… | Yes | 3,000 | $0.030 | $0.001 | 3.0% | 0.1% | $91 | $2 | $-89 | -98.3% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will John Skipworth win the 2026 Makerfield by-ele… | Yes | 3,000 | $0.030 | $0.001 | 3.0% | 0.1% | $91 | $2 | $-89 | -98.3% | 1970-01-01 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
4 markets settled · $0 unclaimed| Market | Side | Shares | Cost | Value | PnL | Resolved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California G… | Yes | 2,184 | $714 | $0 | $-714 | 2026-06-02 |
| Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California… | No | 2,951 | $1,148 | $0 | $-1,148 | 2026-06-02 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Yes | 4,231 | $1,346 | $0 | $-1,346 | 2026-06-07 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,500 | $1,630 | $0 | $-1,630 | 2026-05-31 |
📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-15 06:51:50
Latest trade ts
2026-06-15 05:26
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
5 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 1100 | 0.420 | - | $0.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by… | Yes | 11122 | 0.259 | - | $0.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20… | Yes | 9653 | 0.370 | - | $0.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20… | Yes | 3800 | 0.748 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-… | Yes | 855 | 0.730 | - | $0.00 |