Polymarket Monitor

v2
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wallets SLA610 / 60,619 (1%)trades 1m240agents alive24/46 (U 24/24 · C 0/22)copies 1h0 (U 0 · C 0)proxies0 / 0proxy quota-
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0x631c2b93ff03c21d29b2b73af4ff965e88ea450f

T1
TRACKEDVPST25 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_wallets|vps:active_manifest|vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$66.1k
4 open · unrealized +$1.1k · 💰 3 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
100%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$0.00
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
43
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -

🟢 Live open positions

4 live · $66,098 current value · unrealized +$1.1k
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Electio…No45,000$0.500$0.83450.0%83.4%$22,500$37,508$+15,008+66.7%2028-11-07
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military stri…Yes21,203$0.944$0.99594.4%99.5%$20,011$21,097$+1,085+5.4%2026-06-30
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Electio…Yes45,000$0.500$0.16750.0%16.7%$22,500$7,492$-15,008-66.7%2028-11-07
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes6$0.300$0.28530.0%28.5%$2$2$-0-5.0%2026-12-31

💰 Resolved · pending claim

3 markets settled · $0 unclaimed
MarketSideSharesCostValuePnLResolved
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15,…No10$8$0$-82026-06-15
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026…Yes120$14$0$-142026-05-31
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31,…Yes397$36$0$-362026-05-31

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-18 00:44SPLIT-Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Elect-45,000$0.500$45.0k0x5098ef…
2026-06-18 00:38REDEEM-US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 202-5,446$0.000$5.4k0x2a61b5…
2026-06-18 00:32REDEEM-US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?-44,781$0.000$44.8k0x06d78c…
2026-06-18 00:16TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes423$0.999$422.570xdcde28…
2026-06-18 00:15TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes21$0.999$20.860xc060e6…
2026-06-18 00:15TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes31$0.999$30.900xafe692…
2026-06-18 00:15TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes20$0.999$19.490xbeb888…
2026-06-18 00:15TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes20$0.999$20.300x0188f1…
2026-06-18 00:15TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes21$0.999$20.850x0b389f…
2026-06-18 00:15TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes439$0.999$438.960x25ed25…
2026-06-17 19:35TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No1,000$0.972$972.000xdf73d0…
2026-06-17 07:56TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 202Yes5,446$0.995$5.4k0x7f2ae7…
2026-06-17 00:14YIELD--2$0.000$1.930x60b9fb…
2026-06-16 20:52TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No1,000$0.920$920.000x1c1891…
2026-06-16 13:20TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes333$0.991$330.330xec4ea1…
2026-06-16 13:20TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes592$0.991$586.540x116ec0…
2026-06-16 13:19TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes810$0.991$802.710x93f4e2…
2026-06-16 13:17TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes177$0.990$175.210x25946d…
2026-06-16 13:16TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No4,903$0.993$4.9k0xd98779…
2026-06-16 13:16TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes2,000$0.990$2.0k0x3a653b…
2026-06-16 13:15TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes865$0.990$856.680xc028d4…
2026-06-16 13:10TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,958$0.990$1.9k0xb3cf0e…
2026-06-16 13:10TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes2,598$0.991$2.6k0xb3cf0e…
2026-06-16 13:10TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes68$0.992$67.050xb3cf0e…
2026-06-16 13:10TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes329$0.992$326.120x7d4c2d…
2026-06-16 13:10TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes625$0.992$620.000x26cd31…
2026-06-16 13:10TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes125$0.992$124.000x89c867…
2026-06-16 13:09TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes871$0.992$864.280x0e4b6c…
2026-06-16 13:09TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes2,967$0.992$2.9k0x5bc14c…
2026-06-16 13:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes3,000$0.991$3.0k0x9d6fc4…
2026-06-16 13:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes4,000$0.991$4.0k0x14a032…
2026-06-16 13:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes402$0.991$398.800x968548…
2026-06-16 13:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes699$0.991$692.400x968548…
2026-06-16 13:01TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes127$0.991$125.860x42b52f…
2026-06-16 13:00TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes122$0.991$121.120x41b71f…
2026-06-16 13:00TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes5,000$0.991$5.0k0x1f782b…
2026-06-16 13:00TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes2$0.991$1.980x9a6991…
2026-06-16 13:00TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes111$0.991$110.110x4df438…
2026-06-16 12:59TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes50$0.991$49.550x34f31e…
2026-06-16 12:58TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes12,086$0.993$12.0k0xd592d9…
2026-06-16 12:58TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes222$0.991$220.220x133e3a…
2026-06-16 12:58TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes111$0.991$110.110xd6ecaf…
2026-06-16 12:58TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes3,333$0.991$3.3k0x9f9a60…
2026-06-16 12:58TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes111$0.991$110.110x8c4acf…
2026-06-16 12:58TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes0$0.991$0.020x6ca259…
2026-06-16 12:58TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes0$0.991$0.010x19b230…
2026-06-16 12:58TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes111$0.991$110.110xfd2c5c…
2026-06-16 12:56MERGE-Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Elect-40,000$0.000$40.0k0x108697…
2026-06-16 00:14YIELD--4$0.000$3.560xaf2285…
2026-06-15 00:11YIELD--4$0.000$3.560x0c18a6…
2026-06-14 00:14YIELD--4$0.000$3.560x4a0b88…
2026-06-13 00:12YIELD--4$0.000$3.560x41605b…
2026-06-12 00:12YIELD--4$0.000$3.560x5a9a73…
2026-06-11 00:14YIELD--4$0.000$3.560xedfa86…
2026-06-10 00:13YIELD--4$0.000$3.560x58b1c3…
2026-06-09 00:15YIELD--4$0.000$3.560x01b8be…
2026-06-08 00:10YIELD--1$0.000$1.340x36320f…
2026-06-07 15:19SPLIT-Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Elect-40,000$0.500$40.0k0x4ac986…
2026-06-07 13:56TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes93$0.050$4.640xca2a89…
2026-06-04 17:21TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027Yes6$0.300$1.810xd82ad3…
2026-06-04 17:20TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes93$0.026$2.380x3acc8d…
2026-06-04 00:34REDEEM-MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?-44,875$0.000$44.9k0x0a6db7…
2026-06-03 00:45MAKER_REBATE--1$0.000$1.420x31a970…
2026-06-02 11:29TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No1,698$0.988$1.7k0xa88467…
2026-06-02 11:28TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 3No1,000$0.995$994.500x29813d…
2026-06-02 10:29TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No374$0.989$370.010xcb5e20…
2026-06-02 10:29TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No9,579$0.989$9.5k0xd7fcd1…
2026-06-02 10:29TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No26$0.989$25.690xd8c32d…
2026-06-02 10:29TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No2,545$0.989$2.5k0xea37fa…
2026-06-02 10:28TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No518$0.989$512.540xf4965b…
2026-06-02 00:45TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June No751$0.901$676.840x11149b…
2026-06-01 18:31TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June No10$0.898$8.990xb34118…
2026-06-01 18:31TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June No200$0.897$179.400xb34118…
2026-06-01 18:31TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June No200$0.896$179.200xb34118…
2026-06-01 18:31TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June No100$0.895$89.500xb34118…
2026-06-01 18:31TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June No4$0.894$3.510xb34118…
2026-06-01 18:30TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June No96$0.894$85.890xd3f8b5…
2026-06-01 18:30TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June No100$0.893$89.300xd3f8b5…
2026-06-01 18:14TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June No190$0.898$170.610x1f68e2…
2026-06-01 17:01TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No30,135$0.997$30.0k0x229bd1…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

-

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat

Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-18 09:49:07
Latest trade ts
2026-06-18 00:16
Backfill
✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.8

Open positions

2 open
MarketOutcomeSharesEntryLastUnrealized
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, …Yes54460.995-$0.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…Yes447810.992-$0.00

Closed positions

most recent 50
Exit whenMarketOutcomeSharesEntryExitRealized
2026-06-17 19:35Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 202…No10000.9200.972+$52.00

Recent trades

43 of 43 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-18 00:16BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes4230.999$422.570xdcde28…
2026-06-18 00:15BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes210.999$20.860xc060e6…
2026-06-18 00:15BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes310.999$30.900xafe692…
2026-06-18 00:15BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes200.999$19.490xbeb888…
2026-06-18 00:15BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes200.999$20.300x0188f1…
2026-06-18 00:15BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes210.999$20.850x0b389f…
2026-06-18 00:15BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes4390.999$438.960x25ed25…
2026-06-17 19:35SELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30…No10000.972$972.000xdf73d0…
2026-06-17 07:56BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August…Yes54460.995$5.4k0x7f2ae7…
2026-06-16 20:52BUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30…No10000.920$920.000x1c1891…
2026-06-16 13:20BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes3330.991$330.330xec4ea1…
2026-06-16 13:20BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes5920.991$586.540x116ec0…
2026-06-16 13:19BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes8100.991$802.710x93f4e2…
2026-06-16 13:17BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes1770.990$175.210x25946d…
2026-06-16 13:16SELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No49030.993$4.9k0xd98779…
2026-06-16 13:16BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes20000.990$2.0k0x3a653b…
2026-06-16 13:15BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes8650.990$856.680xc028d4…
2026-06-16 13:10BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes19580.990$1.9k0xb3cf0e…
2026-06-16 13:10BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes25980.991$2.6k0xb3cf0e…
2026-06-16 13:10BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes680.992$67.050xb3cf0e…
2026-06-16 13:10BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes3290.992$326.120x7d4c2d…
2026-06-16 13:10BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes6250.992$620.000x26cd31…
2026-06-16 13:10BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes1250.992$124.000x89c867…
2026-06-16 13:09BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes8710.992$864.280x0e4b6c…
2026-06-16 13:09BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes29670.992$2.9k0x5bc14c…
2026-06-16 13:01BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes30000.991$3.0k0x9d6fc4…
2026-06-16 13:01BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes40000.991$4.0k0x14a032…
2026-06-16 13:01BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes4020.991$398.800x968548…
2026-06-16 13:01BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes6990.991$692.400x968548…
2026-06-16 13:01BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes1270.991$125.860x42b52f…
2026-06-16 13:00BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes1220.991$121.120x41b71f…
2026-06-16 13:00BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes50000.991$5.0k0x1f782b…
2026-06-16 13:00BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes20.991$1.980x9a6991…
2026-06-16 13:00BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes1110.991$110.110x4df438…
2026-06-16 12:59BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes500.991$49.550x34f31e…
2026-06-16 12:58BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes120860.993$12.0k0xd592d9…
2026-06-16 12:58BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes2220.991$220.220x133e3a…
2026-06-16 12:58BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes1110.991$110.110xd6ecaf…
2026-06-16 12:58BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes33330.991$3.3k0x9f9a60…
2026-06-16 12:58BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes1110.991$110.110x8c4acf…
2026-06-16 12:58BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes00.991$0.020x6ca259…
2026-06-16 12:58BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes00.991$0.010x19b230…
2026-06-16 12:58BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes1110.991$110.110xfd2c5c…

By category (closed only)

CategoryN closedRealized PnL
Other1+$52.00

Coordinated-buy involvement

events that included this wallet
WhenMarketWalletsNotionalDiversity
2026-06-02 11:29MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…4$23.4k0.91
2026-06-02 11:22MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…5$61.0k0.90
2026-06-02 11:19MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…4$51.1k0.90
2026-06-02 10:28MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…4$20.0k0.96
2026-06-02 10:27MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…3$72.3k0.91
2026-06-02 10:27MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…4$151.5k0.77
2026-06-01 16:57MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…10$611.4k0.71
2026-06-01 16:54MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…6$290.6k0.77
2026-06-01 16:52MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…12$489.1k0.74
2026-05-30 07:40Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control …3$32.9k0.99
2026-05-29 20:40Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control …3$7.5k0.84