0x614dc8d3542c12103d2c6a3553fd761e391d1546
no username
TRACKEDVPST22 SOURCES
Sources: local:unique_wallets|vps:active_manifest
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$743.8k
28 open · unrealized +$196.3k · 💰 3 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
0%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$5.3k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
216
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -
🟢 Live open positions
28 live · $743,812 current value · unrealized +$196.3k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvia… | No | 117,168 | $0.850 | $0.990 | 85.0% | 99.0% | $99,563 | $115,997 | $+16,434 | +16.5% | 2026-06-07 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 125,000 | $0.422 | $0.755 | 42.2% | 75.5% | $52,792 | $94,375 | $+41,583 | +78.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 95,277 | $0.191 | $0.774 | 19.1% | 77.5% | $18,188 | $73,792 | $+55,605 | +305.7% | 2026-06-15 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 80,000 | $0.698 | $0.895 | 69.8% | 89.5% | $55,870 | $71,600 | $+15,730 | +28.2% | 2026-12-31 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 80,000 | $0.590 | $0.825 | 59.0% | 82.5% | $47,237 | $66,000 | $+18,763 | +39.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end… | Yes | 57,093 | $0.535 | $0.734 | 53.5% | 73.4% | $30,535 | $41,878 | $+11,343 | +37.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presiden… | Yes | 41,680 | $0.827 | $0.982 | 82.7% | 98.2% | $34,479 | $40,930 | $+6,450 | +18.7% | 2026-06-07 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | No | 43,546 | $0.883 | $0.925 | 88.3% | 92.5% | $38,453 | $40,280 | $+1,827 | +4.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end… | Yes | 48,820 | $0.650 | $0.800 | 65.0% | 80.0% | $31,719 | $39,080 | $+7,362 | +23.2% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-e… | No | 37,000 | $0.958 | $0.989 | 95.8% | 98.9% | $35,461 | $36,593 | $+1,132 | +3.2% | 1970-01-01 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpil… | No | 25,654 | $0.661 | $0.685 | 66.1% | 68.5% | $16,969 | $17,573 | $+604 | +3.6% | 2026-12-31 |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 3… | No | 19,621 | $0.548 | $0.865 | 54.8% | 86.5% | $10,758 | $16,972 | $+6,213 | +57.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | No | 15,000 | $0.765 | $0.984 | 76.5% | 98.4% | $11,473 | $14,760 | $+3,287 | +28.7% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the… | Yes | 20,000 | $0.574 | $0.605 | 57.4% | 60.5% | $11,473 | $12,100 | $+626 | +5.5% | 2026-09-30 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru p… | Yes | 12,823 | $0.789 | $0.939 | 78.9% | 93.9% | $10,117 | $12,040 | $+1,924 | +19.0% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colomb… | Yes | 12,500 | $0.793 | $0.885 | 79.3% | 88.5% | $9,913 | $11,062 | $+1,150 | +11.6% | 2026-06-21 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Ma… | No | 10,720 | $0.954 | $0.969 | 95.4% | 96.9% | $10,225 | $10,388 | $+162 | +1.6% | 2026-06-18 |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Irani… | Yes | 11,714 | $0.323 | $0.705 | 32.3% | 70.5% | $3,786 | $8,258 | $+4,472 | +118.1% | 2026-06-30 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June … | Yes | 13,003 | $0.304 | $0.315 | 30.4% | 31.5% | $3,950 | $4,096 | $+146 | +3.7% | 2026-06-30 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | 5,000 | $0.675 | $0.805 | 67.5% | 80.5% | $3,376 | $4,025 | $+649 | +19.2% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 Calif… | Yes | 4,000 | $0.940 | $0.987 | 94.0% | 98.7% | $3,760 | $3,948 | $+188 | +5.0% | 2026-06-02 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpil… | No | 2,274 | $0.850 | $0.910 | 85.0% | 91.0% | $1,933 | $2,069 | $+136 | +7.1% | 2026-07-31 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | No | 2,000 | $0.900 | $0.960 | 90.0% | 96.0% | $1,800 | $1,920 | $+120 | +6.7% | 2026-06-13 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | No | 1,500 | $0.900 | $1.000 | 90.0% | 100.0% | $1,350 | $1,499 | $+149 | +11.1% | 2026-05-29 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by J… | No | 1,600 | $0.920 | $0.935 | 92.0% | 93.5% | $1,472 | $1,496 | $+24 | +1.6% | 2026-08-01 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor El… | Yes | 975 | $0.611 | $0.886 | 61.1% | 88.6% | $596 | $864 | $+268 | +45.0% | 2026-11-03 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpil… | No | 219 | $0.930 | $0.950 | 93.0% | 95.0% | $204 | $208 | $+4 | +2.2% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidentia… | Yes | 18,152 | $0.006 | $0.001 | 0.6% | 0.1% | $109 | $9 | $-100 | -91.7% | 2026-06-07 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
3 markets settled · $0 unclaimed| Market | Side | Shares | Cost | Value | PnL | Resolved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score | No | 500 | $360 | $0 | $-360 | 2026-06-14 |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Curaçao | 1,000 | $460 | $0 | $-460 | 2026-06-14 |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 | Under | 5,000 | $850 | $0 | $-850 | 2026-06-14 |
📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
Sun
Mon
Tue
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Thu
Fri
Sat
Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-14 23:01:33
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 21:56
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
16 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by … | Yes | 4201 | 0.529 | - | $0.00 |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 | Under | 5000 | 0.170 | - | $0.00 |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score | No | 500 | 0.720 | - | $0.00 |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Curaçao | 1000 | 0.460 | - | $0.00 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium sto… | No | 219 | 0.930 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the … | Yes | 8714 | 0.362 | - | $0.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | No | 2000 | 0.900 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal… | No | 1600 | 0.920 | - | $0.00 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 9998 | 1.649 | - | $0.00 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium sto… | No | 2274 | 0.850 | - | $0.00 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 202… | No | 14300 | 0.880 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 20… | No | 4597 | 0.936 | - | $0.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | No | 1500 | 0.900 | - | $0.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20… | Yes | 65313 | 0.279 | - | $0.00 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium sto… | No | 19713 | 0.660 | - | $0.00 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? | No | 2449 | 0.983 | - | $0.00 |
Closed positions
most recent 50| Exit when | Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Exit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 07:55 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30… | No | 4560 | 1.449 | 0.897 | -$2.5k |
| 2026-06-12 17:01 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | No | 500 | 2.000 | 0.078 | -$960.86 |
| 2026-06-12 16:57 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | No | 1698 | 1.409 | 0.350 | -$1.8k |
Recent trades
100 of 216 shownBy category (closed only)
| Category | N closed | Realized PnL |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 3 | -$5.3k |
Coordinated-buy involvement
events that included this walletAlerts for this wallet
| When | Type | Severity |
|---|---|---|
| - | whale_tracked_wallet | info |