wallets SLA469 / 48,938 (1%)trades 1m4,115agents alive24/46 (U 24/24 · C 0/22)copies 1h0 (U 0 · C 0)proxies0 / 0proxy quota-

0x5d0f03cf1243a3e21262d6cf844795afd9fff0ad

no username

TRACKEDT22 SOURCES

Sources: local:ultimate_addresses_only|local:ultimate_copyable

PolymarketScan ↗ PolygonScan ↗ Polymarket ↗ 📋 Copy address

Total PnL (lifetime)

$0.00

0W / 0L · WR -

Open exposure (live)

$299.5k

8 open · unrealized -$759.5k · 💰 1 pending claim ($0.00)

Lifetime turnover

$0.00

0 unique markets traded

Biggest win / loss

+$0.00

−$0.00

Realized

$0.00

Unrealized (local approx)

$0.00

Profit capture (brain)

of peak kept

Giveback (brain)

$12.9k

peak minus realized

Trades ingested

199

local DB

First → Last trade

→ -

🟢 Live open positions

8 live · $299,459 current value · unrealized -$759.5k

Market	Side	Shares	Avg price	Cur price	Entry odds	Cur odds	Cost	Value	PnL	PnL %	Expires
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	1,149,680	$0.850	$0.226	85.0%	22.6%	$977,564	$259,253	$-718,311	-73.5%	2026-06-15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	136,502	$0.390	$0.105	39.0%	10.5%	$53,225	$14,333	$-38,892	-73.1%	2026-05-31
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the…	No	32,879	$0.399	$0.395	39.9%	39.5%	$13,133	$12,987	$-146	-1.1%	2026-09-30
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the ne…	Yes	40,763	$0.307	$0.298	30.8%	29.8%	$12,537	$12,168	$-370	-2.9%	2026-09-30
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	39,497	$0.061	$0.016	6.1%	1.6%	$2,412	$632	$-1,780	-73.8%	2026-06-30
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	339	$0.230	$0.225	23.0%	22.5%	$78	$76	$-2	-2.2%	2026-12-31
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 20…	Yes	18	$0.380	$0.550	38.0%	55.0%	$7	$10	$+3	+44.7%	2027-01-01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2…	No	0	$0.890	$0.964	89.0%	96.4%	$0	$0	$+0	+8.3%	2026-12-31

💰 Resolved · pending claim

1 markets settled · $0 unclaimed

Market	Side	Shares	Cost	Value	PnL	Resolved
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-…	No	4,500	$1,868	$0	$-1,868	2026-05-19

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet

When	Type	Side	Market	Outcome	Shares	Price	USD	Tx
2026-06-14 23:12	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	10	$0.070	$0.70	0xdf947a…
2026-06-14 23:12	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	205	$0.070	$14.32	0x86d3f3…
2026-06-14 23:12	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	50	$0.070	$3.50	0x607e3c…
2026-06-14 23:11	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	54	$0.070	$3.76	0x50914b…
2026-06-14 23:11	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	54	$0.070	$3.76	0x8965b3…
2026-06-14 23:11	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.02	0xa645cb…
2026-06-14 23:11	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.03	0x5d77f6…
2026-06-14 23:11	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	1	$0.070	$0.05	0x3176ca…
2026-06-14 23:11	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	10	$0.070	$0.70	0xb1a86f…
2026-06-14 23:11	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0xeef46f…
2026-06-14 23:11	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	6,157	$0.070	$430.99	0x76b8ca…
2026-06-14 23:11	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0xa1b64b…
2026-06-14 23:11	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0xefc06d…
2026-06-14 23:11	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x631242…
2026-06-14 23:11	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x14b540…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x76cd50…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x69e65a…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x444874…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x0cab15…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x31616a…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x134185…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x71ed00…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0xe1ad64…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0xeeed3d…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x6c2aa8…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0xe9f3da…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x45f86e…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x6c95ab…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0xd54f26…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	200	$0.070	$14.00	0x6cf476…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x5760e0…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x970739…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x2e6f8f…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x2346f0…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x509924…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0x20164b…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0xce1e36…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	4	$0.070	$0.28	0x3ac85e…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	6	$0.070	$0.42	0x812a2f…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	3	$0.070	$0.24	0x24bb06…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0x1b690a…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0x6fcd6e…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0x3d4dcc…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0xa6dc68…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0xf0484a…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0x5f1724…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0x539291…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0x48bc64…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0x5e4231…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0xa0a777…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0x38465d…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x8de48a…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0x570e5d…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0xf8047a…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0x217726…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0x8e80cc…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0x4c500c…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0x48ebb9…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0xc62f0c…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0xaf3c4a…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x4e7768…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x2d6696…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0xec878c…
2026-06-14 23:10	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x42b0bc…
2026-06-14 23:09	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x0161d4…
2026-06-14 23:09	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0xb317b7…
2026-06-14 23:09	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0x12fb9a…
2026-06-14 23:09	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.01	0xd13132…
2026-06-14 23:09	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	62,167	$0.156	$9.7k	0xc5fcb2…
2026-06-14 23:09	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0x9c385f…
2026-06-14 23:09	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0x386ab5…
2026-06-14 23:09	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	1,000	$0.070	$70.00	0x15a9fa…
2026-06-14 23:09	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	0	$0.070	$0.00	0xaf608a…
2026-06-14 23:09	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	766	$0.156	$119.49	0xb21d99…
2026-06-14 23:09	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	55	$0.156	$8.60	0x856ed6…
2026-06-14 23:09	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	641	$0.156	$100.00	0xaef66f…
2026-06-14 23:09	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	8	$0.156	$1.32	0xc3d4f4…
2026-06-14 23:08	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	0	$0.156	$0.03	0xae70dd…
2026-06-14 23:08	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	1,363	$0.156	$212.58	0x04dbe8…
2026-06-14 23:08	TRADE	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	1	$0.070	$0.06	0xca1767…

Performance breakdown

-1M

Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

-

Sun

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled

2026-06-14 23:02:09

Latest trade ts

2026-06-14 22:32

Backfill

✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])

0.8

Open positions

1 open

Market	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Last	Unrealized
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20…	No	105436	0.433	-	$0.00

Closed positions

most recent 50

Exit when	Market	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Exit	Realized
2026-06-14 22:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…	No	6824	2.113	0.226	-$12.9k

Recent trades

100 of 199 shown

When	Side	Market	Outcome	Shares	Price	USD	Tx
2026-06-14 22:32	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	3093	0.293	$906.33	0xbe1bd4…
2026-06-14 22:32	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	129094	0.293	$37.8k	0x811092…
2026-06-14 22:32	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	24246	0.293	$7.1k	0x8050b0…
2026-06-14 22:32	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	3000	0.293	$879.00	0x6f6333…
2026-06-14 22:30	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…	No	3655	0.180	$657.96	0xa3cbed…
2026-06-14 22:29	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…	No	263	0.180	$47.37	0x09e249…
2026-06-14 22:29	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…	No	4579	0.180	$824.27	0xac4cf4…
2026-06-14 22:29	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…	No	1675	0.180	$301.47	0x0771f7…
2026-06-14 22:28	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	3	0.293	$1.00	0xe505da…
2026-06-14 22:28	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	72	0.293	$21.12	0x908ce8…
2026-06-14 22:28	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	184	0.293	$53.88	0xb911b7…
2026-06-14 22:28	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	2	0.293	$0.47	0x636d68…
2026-06-14 22:28	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	4	0.293	$1.04	0xaf5fb9…
2026-06-14 22:28	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	1	0.293	$0.41	0xa62a60…
2026-06-14 22:28	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	71	0.293	$20.72	0x33455c…
2026-06-14 22:28	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	1	0.293	$0.34	0x4c5802…
2026-06-14 22:28	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	1	0.293	$0.41	0x81b186…
2026-06-14 22:28	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	4	0.293	$1.25	0xeb3813…
2026-06-14 22:28	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	49	0.293	$14.42	0xa140cb…
2026-06-14 22:28	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	3	0.293	$0.94	0x783874…
2026-06-14 22:28	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	35	0.293	$10.29	0x505375…
2026-06-14 22:28	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	105	0.293	$30.85	0x5dd3ea…
2026-06-14 22:28	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	22	0.293	$6.45	0xd43771…
2026-06-14 22:28	BUY	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	9	0.293	$2.50	0x93813f…
2026-06-14 22:27	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	42814	0.254	$10.9k	0x6b241b…
2026-06-14 22:27	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	17186	0.254	$4.4k	0xe093c5…
2026-06-14 22:27	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	6934	0.241	$1.7k	0xcb4daf…
2026-06-14 22:27	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	4	0.241	$1.00	0x25d45d…
2026-06-14 22:27	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	2996	0.241	$722.06	0x512b44…
2026-06-14 22:26	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	79880	0.241	$19.3k	0x13b87c…
2026-06-14 22:26	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	166	0.241	$40.00	0x0dcc0b…
2026-06-14 22:25	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	20	0.241	$4.82	0x11d953…
2026-06-14 22:18	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	9251	0.244	$2.3k	0x145e5c…
2026-06-14 22:18	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	506	0.244	$123.56	0xb07652…
2026-06-14 22:18	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	6	0.244	$1.58	0x0c9b04…
2026-06-14 22:18	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	32	0.244	$7.79	0xf8c24b…
2026-06-14 22:16	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	748	0.241	$180.15	0x86d38c…
2026-06-14 22:16	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	84252	0.241	$20.3k	0x0169be…
2026-06-14 22:16	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	62174	0.235	$14.6k	0x0169be…
2026-06-14 22:16	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	21	0.235	$5.00	0x0e5e72…
2026-06-14 22:16	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	1	0.235	$0.18	0x5f9bea…
2026-06-14 22:16	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	213	0.235	$50.00	0x49c1f5…
2026-06-14 22:16	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	0	0.235	$0.01	0x40f595…
2026-06-14 22:16	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	56	0.235	$13.11	0xacd836…
2026-06-14 22:16	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	12535	0.235	$2.9k	0x28b4bd…
2026-06-14 22:12	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	205	0.244	$50.00	0x58b54e…
2026-06-14 22:12	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	820	0.244	$200.00	0x67124c…
2026-06-14 22:12	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	1778	0.244	$433.81	0x8382d8…
2026-06-14 22:12	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	15995	0.244	$3.9k	0x714f0e…
2026-06-14 22:12	SELL	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…	No	871	0.244	$212.41	0xfd3ce5…

By category (closed only)

Category	N closed	Realized PnL
Other	1	-$12.9k

Coordinated-buy involvement

events that included this wallet

When	Market	Wallets	Notional	Diversity
2026-06-01 17:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…	3	$3.9k	0.90
2026-05-31 01:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 202…	3	$29.3k	0.95