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wallets SLA401 / 48,910 (1%)trades 1m1,516agents alive24/46 (U 24/24 · C 0/22)copies 1h3 (U 3 · C 0)proxies0 / 0proxy quota-
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0x5ccf62ac8155e49bc7d021a1a66e9ef18f5579d7

lata
TRACKEDVPST25 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_wallets|vps:active_manifest|vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$38.0k
12 open · unrealized +$23.7k · 💰 4 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
12%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$14.4k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
618
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -

🟢 Live open positions

12 live · $38,005 current value · unrealized +$23.7k
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes40,000$0.186$0.77418.6%77.5%$7,442$30,980$+23,538+316.3%2026-06-15
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-e…No4,000$0.971$0.98997.1%98.9%$3,886$3,956$+70+1.8%1970-01-01
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes5,332$0.168$0.19516.8%19.5%$893$1,040$+147+16.4%2026-06-30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Swi…Yes1,203$0.080$0.7988.0%79.8%$96$960$+864+897.5%2026-06-30
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 3…No600$0.965$0.96596.5%96.5%$579$579$+0+0.0%2026-06-30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in ano…Yes3,891$0.216$0.04221.6%4.2%$840$163$-677-80.6%2026-06-30
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 202…Yes1,200$0.107$0.09010.7%9.0%$128$109$-20-15.3%2026-06-30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes8,024$0.034$0.0133.4%1.3%$273$104$-168-61.8%2026-06-30
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the St…Yes378$0.127$0.12912.7%12.9%$48$49$+1+1.2%2026-06-30
Will France send warships through the Strait of Ho…Yes196$0.109$0.19010.9%19.0%$21$37$+16+74.4%2026-06-30
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes1,340$0.031$0.0173.1%1.7%$42$22$-20-47.5%2026-06-30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kaz…Yes12,216$0.002$0.0010.2%0.1%$24$6$-18-75.0%2026-06-30

💰 Resolved · pending claim

4 markets settled · $0 unclaimed
MarketSideSharesCostValuePnLResolved
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini Internat…No195$4$0$-42026-06-13
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes139$8$0$-82026-06-10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio…Yes12,000$31$0$-312026-06-30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio…Yes20,784$294$0$-2942026-06-30

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-14 21:15TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes1,000$0.430$430.000xd7401a…
2026-06-14 20:31TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes157$0.250$39.190x105ed6…
2026-06-14 20:31TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes66$0.250$16.400xa3de14…
2026-06-14 20:31TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes1,122$0.031$34.780x5b4a61…
2026-06-14 20:31TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes12$0.250$3.000x28a1e6…
2026-06-14 20:31TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes29$0.250$7.250xff5aea…
2026-06-14 20:31TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes737$0.250$184.170x93d82e…
2026-06-14 20:30TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes3,000$0.031$93.000x95f815…
2026-06-14 20:28TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes555$0.240$133.200x0199a5…
2026-06-14 20:26TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes5$0.031$0.160x4788bf…
2026-06-14 20:25TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes500$0.300$150.000xbe5186…
2026-06-14 20:24TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes3,000$0.033$98.950xc3628a…
2026-06-14 20:24TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes1,127$0.032$36.020x667389…
2026-06-14 20:23TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes55$0.210$11.550x8a1c6e…
2026-06-14 19:22TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes3,607$0.131$472.520x42061d…
2026-06-14 19:21TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,039$0.130$135.070xdd77ac…
2026-06-14 19:00TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No221$0.440$97.460x4a7abc…
2026-06-14 19:00TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No35$0.440$15.590x1b206b…
2026-06-14 19:00TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No80$0.440$35.300x2014d9…
2026-06-14 19:00TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No318$0.440$140.000xafbf47…
2026-06-14 19:00TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No52$0.440$22.660x3ee043…
2026-06-14 19:00TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No50$0.440$22.000x31c8fc…
2026-06-14 19:00TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No200$0.440$88.000xc7fda5…
2026-06-14 19:00TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No50$0.440$22.000x98b3d7…
2026-06-14 19:00TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No5$0.440$2.200x9663bf…
2026-06-14 19:00TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No5$0.440$2.200x8053e5…
2026-06-14 19:00TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No94$0.440$41.320x321f0a…
2026-06-14 19:00TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No5$0.440$2.200x931d8a…
2026-06-14 19:00TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No79$0.440$34.610x41e219…
2026-06-14 19:00TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No551$0.466$256.790x99bb79…
2026-06-14 19:00TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No41$0.440$18.040x3460ee…
2026-06-14 18:59TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No440$0.396$174.110xbffedc…
2026-06-14 18:59TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No1,347$0.396$533.320x22642c…
2026-06-14 18:59TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No711$0.330$234.790xc7b021…
2026-06-14 18:59TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No100$0.330$33.000x50573d…
2026-06-14 18:59TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No13$0.330$4.300xce31f8…
2026-06-14 18:58TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No1,912$0.297$567.860x6a35c7…
2026-06-14 18:58TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No88$0.297$26.140xd16f91…
2026-06-14 18:57TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No2,132$0.297$633.270x8803bf…
2026-06-14 18:57TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No0$0.297$0.070xfcdbab…
2026-06-14 18:55TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No1,329$0.310$412.140x3f8a1e…
2026-06-14 18:55TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No4,357$0.309$1.3k0xd6caca…
2026-06-14 18:55TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No1$0.309$0.450xe9919c…
2026-06-14 18:55TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No2,842$0.302$858.270x00ddfa…
2026-06-14 18:47TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No5,115$0.158$807.890xc51aa0…
2026-06-14 18:45TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No759$0.280$212.430xa4ada6…
2026-06-14 18:45TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No241$0.280$67.570x02b902…
2026-06-14 18:44TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No90$0.300$26.980x1e7ad4…
2026-06-14 18:44TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No356$0.300$106.710xa132d6…
2026-06-14 18:44TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No300$0.300$90.000x76eb67…
2026-06-14 18:44TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No254$0.300$76.300x1ffb22…
2026-06-14 18:43TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No1,000$0.300$300.000x202965…
2026-06-14 18:23TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No1,000$0.560$559.990xc68ff3…
2026-06-14 18:21TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No1,000$0.540$539.990xb47bce…
2026-06-14 18:07TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No115$0.500$57.640x2aeeb6…
2026-06-14 18:06TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes300$0.500$150.000x82f476…
2026-06-14 18:03TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes300$0.340$102.000x7acc61…
2026-06-14 18:00TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes5,000$0.180$899.990x029a8d…
2026-06-14 18:00TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,302$0.177$230.180x6b1c4d…
2026-06-14 18:00TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes665$0.179$119.080xd524a3…
2026-06-14 18:00TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes695$0.169$117.430x56a053…
2026-06-14 17:58TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes539$0.175$94.510x7f2bad…
2026-06-14 17:57TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,230$0.178$218.970x4d814a…
2026-06-14 17:57TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes150$0.180$27.000x6e56e8…
2026-06-14 17:57TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,110$0.182$201.680x239ba7…
2026-06-14 17:40TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes2,747$0.249$682.770xe64815…
2026-06-14 17:40TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,016$0.251$255.090xe58bb7…
2026-06-14 13:31TRADEBUYWill France send warships through the Strait of Yes124$0.120$14.850x42c793…
2026-06-14 13:09TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes2,152$0.110$236.750x2d460e…
2026-06-14 12:59TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes2,200$0.091$200.220xa57d21…
2026-06-14 12:58TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes133$0.097$12.820x01b665…
2026-06-14 12:36TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes648$0.139$90.070xb9f4eb…
2026-06-14 12:36TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes4,351$0.138$600.460x1897c2…
2026-06-14 12:13TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes5,000$0.171$855.000x540d35…
2026-06-14 11:34TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,000$0.205$205.000x1ecf44…
2026-06-14 11:26TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes2,000$0.200$400.000xb28c58…
2026-06-14 11:23TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,000$0.212$212.000x1d41cc…
2026-06-14 11:22TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,000$0.212$212.000x9ad396…
2026-06-14 10:43TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes500$0.225$112.500x01fa16…
2026-06-14 10:43TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes2,500$0.225$562.370x33e17e…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

-

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat

Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-14 22:33:34
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 21:15
Backfill
✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.9

Open positions

15 open
MarketOutcomeSharesEntryLastUnrealized
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No0203563.120-$0.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…Yes200041.385-$0.00
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes13400.031-$0.00
Will France send warships through the Strait …Yes1960.109-$0.00
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be i…Yes12030.080-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes048550.910-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes031882.895-$0.00
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be i…Yes27640.233-$0.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…Yes0197044.060-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes026466184.000-$0.00
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?No9250.991-$0.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 3…Yes80240.034-$0.00
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in t…Yes3780.127-$0.00
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30…Yes12000.107-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes0148369.660-$0.00

Closed positions

most recent 50
Exit whenMarketOutcomeSharesEntryExitRealized
2026-06-14 18:06Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes3000.3400.500+$48.00
2026-06-13 21:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by…Yes19262.8780.240-$5.1k
2026-06-13 13:50US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No2391.4860.730-$922.19
2026-06-13 13:11US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes550.3900.260-$7.16
2026-06-13 13:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by…Yes50000.4260.220-$1.0k
2026-06-13 11:24US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…Yes16930.9200.214-$4.1k
2026-06-12 19:56US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…Yes11413.0590.190-$3.3k
2026-06-12 17:02US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes34890.0840.080-$11.57

Recent trades

100 of 618 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-14 21:15SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes10000.430$430.000xd7401a…
2026-06-14 20:31BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes1570.250$39.190x105ed6…
2026-06-14 20:31BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes660.250$16.400xa3de14…
2026-06-14 20:31SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes11220.031$34.780x5b4a61…
2026-06-14 20:31BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes120.250$3.000x28a1e6…
2026-06-14 20:31BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes290.250$7.250xff5aea…
2026-06-14 20:31BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes7370.250$184.170x93d82e…
2026-06-14 20:30SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes30000.031$93.000x95f815…
2026-06-14 20:28SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes5550.240$133.200x0199a5…
2026-06-14 20:26SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes50.031$0.160x4788bf…
2026-06-14 20:25BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes5000.300$150.000xbe5186…
2026-06-14 20:24BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes30000.033$98.950xc3628a…
2026-06-14 20:24BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes11270.032$36.020x667389…
2026-06-14 20:23BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes550.210$11.550x8a1c6e…
2026-06-14 19:22BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes36070.131$472.520x42061d…
2026-06-14 19:21BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes10390.130$135.070xdd77ac…
2026-06-14 19:00SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No2210.440$97.460x4a7abc…
2026-06-14 19:00SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No350.440$15.590x1b206b…
2026-06-14 19:00SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No800.440$35.300x2014d9…
2026-06-14 19:00SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No3180.440$140.000xafbf47…
2026-06-14 19:00SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No520.440$22.660x3ee043…
2026-06-14 19:00SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No500.440$22.000x31c8fc…
2026-06-14 19:00SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No2000.440$88.000xc7fda5…
2026-06-14 19:00SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No500.440$22.000x98b3d7…
2026-06-14 19:00SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No50.440$2.200x9663bf…
2026-06-14 19:00SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No50.440$2.200x8053e5…
2026-06-14 19:00SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No940.440$41.320x321f0a…
2026-06-14 19:00SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No50.440$2.200x931d8a…
2026-06-14 19:00SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No790.440$34.610x41e219…
2026-06-14 19:00SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No5510.466$256.790x99bb79…
2026-06-14 19:00SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No410.440$18.040x3460ee…
2026-06-14 18:59SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No4400.396$174.110xbffedc…
2026-06-14 18:59SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No13470.396$533.320x22642c…
2026-06-14 18:59SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No7110.330$234.790xc7b021…
2026-06-14 18:59SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No1000.330$33.000x50573d…
2026-06-14 18:59SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No130.330$4.300xce31f8…
2026-06-14 18:58SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No19120.297$567.860x6a35c7…
2026-06-14 18:58SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No880.297$26.140xd16f91…
2026-06-14 18:57SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No21320.297$633.270x8803bf…
2026-06-14 18:57SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No00.297$0.070xfcdbab…
2026-06-14 18:55BUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No13290.310$412.140x3f8a1e…
2026-06-14 18:55BUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No43570.309$1.3k0xd6caca…
2026-06-14 18:55BUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No10.309$0.450xe9919c…
2026-06-14 18:55BUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No28420.302$858.270x00ddfa…
2026-06-14 18:47SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No51150.158$807.890xc51aa0…
2026-06-14 18:45BUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No7590.280$212.430xa4ada6…
2026-06-14 18:45BUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No2410.280$67.570x02b902…
2026-06-14 18:44BUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No900.300$26.980x1e7ad4…
2026-06-14 18:44BUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No3560.300$106.710xa132d6…
2026-06-14 18:44BUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No3000.300$90.000x76eb67…

By category (closed only)

CategoryN closedRealized PnL
Other8-$14.4k

Coordinated-buy involvement

events that included this wallet
WhenMarketWalletsNotionalDiversity
2026-06-05 16:15Iran closes its airspace by June 8?3$5.8k0.93
2026-06-04 18:52Iran closes its airspace by June 8?3$2.8k0.78
2026-06-04 14:27Iran closes its airspace by June 30?3$1.9k0.81
2026-06-04 00:34Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension …3$12.0k0.92
2026-06-04 00:03MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…3$5.5k0.71
2026-06-04 00:01MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…4$7.5k0.71
2026-06-03 23:54MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…6$356.6k0.72
2026-06-03 23:43MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…3$8.0k0.94
2026-06-03 23:08Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension …3$1.6k0.65
2026-06-03 23:06Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension …3$6.1k0.65
2026-06-03 22:50Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension …4$7.2k0.79
2026-06-03 20:14US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…3$15.8k0.80
2026-06-03 20:13US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…3$17.8k0.81
2026-06-02 20:38MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…5$106.0k0.85
2026-06-02 12:51Will Google have the best AI model at the end…3$515.160.82
2026-06-02 12:47Will Google have the best AI model at the end…3$528.070.82
2026-06-02 12:42Will Google have the best AI model at the end…3$647.410.96
2026-06-02 11:32MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…3$21.8k0.91
2026-06-02 11:29MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…4$23.4k0.91
2026-06-02 11:22MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…5$61.0k0.90