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0x5685bf6758facce7d1221d3cc3ab0fdb836a62e2

SirHarryOakes
TRACKEDVPST25 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_wallets|vps:active_manifest|vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
+$40.4k
197W / 45L · WR 81.4%
Open exposure (live)
$76.4k
19 open · unrealized +$10.5k · 💰 1 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$78.31M
308 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$3.3k
−$6.6k
Realized
+$40.4k
Unrealized (local approx)
+$10.5k
Profit capture (brain)
-
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$0.00
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
17
local DB
First → Last trade
2024-08-06
→ 2026-05-23

🟢 Live open positions

19 live · $76,415 current value · unrealized +$10.5k
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?No17,028$0.778$0.99377.8%99.3%$13,247$16,909$+3,662+27.6%2026-06-30
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No14,721$0.679$0.87567.9%87.5%$10,003$12,881$+2,879+28.8%2026-12-31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No12,565$0.884$0.99388.4%99.2%$11,104$12,471$+1,367+12.3%2026-06-30
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for F…Yes7,217$0.852$0.94085.2%94.0%$6,150$6,784$+635+10.3%2026-08-18
Kurds declare independence from Iran?No6,219$0.872$0.97987.2%97.9%$5,424$6,089$+665+12.3%2026-06-30
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian president…No6,680$0.848$0.86184.8%86.1%$5,667$5,748$+81+1.4%2026-10-04
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No3,921$0.935$0.90093.5%90.0%$3,667$3,529$-137-3.7%2026-06-30
Iran leadership change by June 30?No3,155$0.953$0.97695.3%97.5%$3,008$3,078$+70+2.3%2026-06-30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpil…No2,764$0.811$0.95681.1%95.6%$2,241$2,642$+401+17.9%2026-06-30
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No2,978$0.672$0.82567.2%82.5%$2,000$2,456$+456+22.8%2026-12-31
Iran leadership change by December 31?No2,787$0.718$0.83571.8%83.5%$2,000$2,327$+327+16.3%2026-12-31
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate r…Yes1,275$0.784$0.83578.4%83.5%$1,000$1,065$+65+6.5%1970-01-01
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in …Yes232$0.864$0.86586.4%86.5%$200$200$+0+0.1%1970-01-01
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes141$0.709$0.74570.9%74.5%$100$105$+5+5.1%2026-12-31
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-0…Yes112$0.894$0.86089.4%86.0%$100$96$-4-3.8%2026-08-11
Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire G…Yes29$0.795$0.97279.5%97.2%$23$29$+5+22.1%2026-09-08
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Se…Yes3$0.900$0.95590.0%95.5%$3$3$+0+6.1%2026-05-16
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate ra…Yes1$0.790$0.82579.0%82.5%$1$1$+0+4.4%1970-01-01
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presid…No1$0.880$0.87588.0%87.5%$1$1$-0-0.6%2027-04-30

💰 Resolved · pending claim

1 markets settled · $0 unclaimed
MarketSideSharesCostValuePnLResolved
49ers vs. EaglesEagles33$25$0$-252026-01-11

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-15 00:13YIELD--1$0.000$1.150xe1aa93…
2026-06-14 21:30REDEEM-Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?-2,344$0.000$2.3k0xab48d6…
2026-06-14 04:15TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpNo254$0.950$241.700xb2630c…
2026-06-14 04:14TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presideNo115$0.867$100.530x64ccf0…
2026-06-14 04:13TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes213$0.938$200.370xe7f5a2…
2026-06-14 04:10TRADEBUYWill Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MNYes56$0.900$50.200x61ede0…
2026-06-14 04:02TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes1,066$0.938$1.0k0x418e36…
2026-06-14 03:57TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoNo1,610$0.990$1.6k0x83719c…
2026-06-14 00:17YIELD--1$0.000$1.150x36a6f0…
2026-06-13 14:42TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No629$0.940$591.690x7d4256…
2026-06-13 14:40TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes1,065$0.939$1.0k0x534c07…
2026-06-13 14:33TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoNo1,610$0.990$1.6k0x14a6b7…
2026-06-13 01:10TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presideNo35$0.874$30.950x93e7cf…
2026-06-13 01:08TRADEBUYWill Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MNYes45$0.889$40.180xe2577e…
2026-06-13 01:08TRADEBUYWill Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MNYes10$0.880$9.040x3fc29e…
2026-06-13 01:06TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race iYes115$0.867$100.530xffe553…
2026-06-13 00:53TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presideNo2,300$0.870$2.0k0x522e56…
2026-06-13 00:52TRADEBUYWill Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MNYes1$0.880$1.000x3fb55f…
2026-06-13 00:36TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No1,053$0.950$1000.000xab0d26…
2026-06-13 00:34TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoNo3,220$0.991$3.2k0x0c1dbd…
2026-06-13 00:12YIELD--1$0.000$1.150x03ee77…
2026-06-12 02:47TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presideNo1,173$0.850$1.0k0xf0c3a7…
2026-06-12 02:45TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoNo1,020$0.984$1.0k0x9e7794…
2026-06-12 02:41TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presideNo4$0.846$3.490x9381a0…
2026-06-12 00:13YIELD--1$0.000$1.170x104979…
2026-06-11 00:10YIELD--1$0.000$1.170xb23f72…
2026-06-10 00:15YIELD--1$0.000$1.150x6d4b51…
2026-06-09 16:49TRADEBUYWill Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee forYes22$0.910$19.730xbd7fb3…
2026-06-09 16:47TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presideNo60$0.829$50.340x4f61c1…
2026-06-09 16:46TRADEBUYWill Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee forYes11$0.910$10.040x611a38…
2026-06-09 16:45TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No11$0.950$10.000x55bc1f…
2026-06-09 16:45TRADEBUYWill Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New HampshireYes13$0.796$10.080xaf50a1…
2026-06-09 16:43TRADESELLWill Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?No101$0.992$100.190xba82fe…
2026-06-09 16:32TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presideNo2$0.826$1.690x6ab475…
2026-06-09 16:30TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presideNo2,401$0.827$2.0k0xf91814…
2026-06-09 16:30TRADEBUYWill Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee forYes2$0.910$2.110xb914b6…
2026-06-09 16:28TRADEBUYWill Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee forYes93$0.910$85.310x45744d…
2026-06-09 16:25TRADESELLWill Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?No2,100$0.994$2.1k0xfc7547…
2026-06-09 00:51TRADEBUYWill Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New HampshireYes4$0.780$3.370xc8d00e…
2026-06-09 00:15YIELD--1$0.000$1.130x7a631e…
2026-06-08 00:13YIELD--1$0.000$1.120x38f140…
2026-06-07 00:11YIELD--1$0.000$1.120xd2e5a5…
2026-06-06 03:06TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No68$0.950$64.820x6bfc88…
2026-06-06 03:05TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes126$0.716$90.000x287166…
2026-06-06 03:04TRADEBUYWill Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New HampshireYes10$0.800$8.060x018aea…
2026-06-06 03:02TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presideNo240$0.834$201.330xc8cc56…
2026-06-06 03:01TRADESELLWill a candidate win the 2026 Colombian presidenNo363$0.999$362.800xf5cbca…
2026-06-06 03:00TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presNo1$0.880$1.000xf4aa73…
2026-06-06 02:56TRADEBUYWill Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New HampshireYes2$0.800$2.020x4bf413…
2026-06-06 00:16YIELD--1$0.000$1.110x4be149…
2026-06-05 00:14YIELD--1$0.000$1.110x5e583e…
2026-06-04 00:13YIELD--1$0.000$1.110xe5bb2f…
2026-06-03 00:13YIELD--1$0.000$1.100x1c56ff…
2026-06-02 02:21TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoNo1$0.770$1.120x391074…
2026-06-02 02:20TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoNo996$0.770$773.880xe3abe0…
2026-06-02 02:11TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No2,161$0.926$2.0k0x3bc5ce…
2026-06-02 02:04TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the North Carolina SenateYes233$0.860$201.120xb72f11…
2026-06-02 02:01TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate Yes1$0.790$1.010x24d659…
2026-06-02 01:57TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race iYes116$0.860$100.560x08440b…
2026-06-02 01:56TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presideNo246$0.855$211.220xba95fe…
2026-06-02 01:55TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?No1,370$0.730$1000.000x9812f8…
2026-06-02 01:55TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoNo1,299$0.770$1.0k0x6d4199…
2026-06-02 01:52TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoNo2,597$0.770$2.0k0x6c1645…
2026-06-02 01:23TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?No2,083$0.960$2.0k0x7149ff…
2026-06-02 01:16REDEEM-Iran leadership change by May 31?-9,311$0.000$9.3k0x4a4cdb…
2026-06-02 00:10YIELD--1$0.000$1.240x77e17c…
2026-06-01 00:12YIELD--1$0.000$1.330x242b1f…
2026-05-31 00:11YIELD--1$0.000$1.310x259da1…
2026-05-30 00:12YIELD--1$0.000$1.310x4827f0…
2026-05-29 17:13TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?No2$0.940$2.140xa90f4e…
2026-05-29 17:12TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presideNo59$0.845$50.310xf96e45…
2026-05-29 17:11TRADEBUYWill Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee forYes1,099$0.910$1.0k0x42b81a…
2026-05-29 17:09TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoNo2,469$0.810$2.0k0x55a6ff…
2026-05-29 17:08TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No3,301$0.930$3.1k0xdf9946…
2026-05-29 17:08TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpNo2,510$0.797$2.0k0x742e94…
2026-05-29 17:04TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoNo69$0.810$56.430x250b27…
2026-05-29 17:02TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presideNo24$0.845$20.120x0e2d5f…
2026-05-29 17:00TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?No1,064$0.940$1000.000xdc7c1d…
2026-05-29 16:59TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No3,301$0.932$3.1k0x75ce11…
2026-05-29 16:55TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoNo3$0.810$2.710x740a7d…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

-

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat

Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-15 03:20:00
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 04:15
Backfill
✓ done

Open positions

6 open
MarketOutcomeSharesEntryLastUnrealized
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium sto…No2540.950-$0.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes23440.938-$0.00
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate rac…Yes1150.867-$0.00
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian pres…No24500.870-$0.00
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for…Yes1120.894-$0.00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 202…No16820.946-$0.00

Recent trades

17 of 17 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-14 04:15BUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uraniu…No2540.950$241.700xb2630c…
2026-06-14 04:14BUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian…No1150.867$100.000x64ccf0…
2026-06-14 04:13BUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes2130.938$200.000xe7f5a2…
2026-06-14 04:10BUYWill Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nomine…Yes560.900$50.000x61ede0…
2026-06-14 04:02BUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes10660.938$1.0k0x418e36…
2026-06-14 03:57SELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Ange…No16100.990$1.6k0x83719c…
2026-06-13 14:42BUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30…No6290.940$591.690x7d4256…
2026-06-13 14:40BUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes10650.939$1.0k0x534c07…
2026-06-13 14:33SELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Ange…No16100.990$1.6k0x14a6b7…
2026-06-13 01:10BUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian…No350.874$30.790x93e7cf…
2026-06-13 01:08BUYWill Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nomine…Yes450.889$40.000xe2577e…
2026-06-13 01:08BUYWill Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nomine…Yes100.880$9.000x3fc29e…
2026-06-13 01:06BUYWill the Democrats win the Georgia Senat…Yes1150.867$100.000xffe553…
2026-06-13 00:53BUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian…No23000.870$2.0k0x522e56…
2026-06-13 00:52BUYWill Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nomine…Yes10.880$1.000x3fb55f…
2026-06-13 00:36BUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30…No10530.950$1.0k0xab0d26…
2026-06-13 00:34SELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Ange…No32200.991$3.2k0x0c1dbd…