0x4da76bbf120899fc10fa6e0aad4bffdd19a7355e
no username
TRACKEDVPST25 SOURCES
Sources: vps:active_manifest|vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:filter_3.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$143.2k
16 open · unrealized +$46.7k
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
0%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$4.4k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
251
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -
🟢 Live open positions
16 live · $143,179 current value · unrealized +$46.7k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end … | No | 54,000 | $0.720 | $0.735 | 72.0% | 73.5% | $38,869 | $39,690 | $+821 | +2.1% | 2026-06-30 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 30,446 | $0.177 | $0.733 | 17.7% | 73.3% | $5,400 | $22,317 | $+16,917 | +313.3% | 2026-06-15 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 19,383 | $0.424 | $0.895 | 42.4% | 89.5% | $8,223 | $17,347 | $+9,124 | +111.0% | 2026-05-31 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 15,000 | $0.310 | $0.895 | 31.0% | 89.5% | $4,650 | $13,425 | $+8,775 | +188.7% | 2026-07-31 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 16,312 | $0.364 | $0.755 | 36.4% | 75.5% | $5,944 | $12,315 | $+6,372 | +107.2% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-e… | No | 9,313 | $0.969 | $0.989 | 96.9% | 98.9% | $9,024 | $9,210 | $+186 | +2.1% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 9,673 | $0.740 | $0.895 | 74.0% | 89.5% | $7,161 | $8,657 | $+1,496 | +20.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office b… | No | 5,591 | $0.761 | $0.997 | 76.1% | 99.7% | $4,255 | $5,574 | $+1,319 | +31.0% | 2026-06-15 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayora… | No | 5,000 | $0.766 | $0.991 | 76.6% | 99.1% | $3,829 | $4,952 | $+1,123 | +29.3% | 2026-06-02 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the… | Yes | 7,784 | $0.540 | $0.605 | 54.0% | 60.5% | $4,203 | $4,709 | $+506 | +12.0% | 2026-09-30 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June … | Yes | 8,000 | $0.345 | $0.315 | 34.5% | 31.5% | $2,760 | $2,520 | $-240 | -8.7% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presiden… | Yes | 1,898 | $0.830 | $0.982 | 83.0% | 98.2% | $1,575 | $1,864 | $+288 | +18.3% | 2026-06-07 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 202… | Yes | 5,000 | $0.079 | $0.090 | 7.8% | 9.0% | $392 | $452 | $+60 | +15.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | Yes | 2,000 | $0.080 | $0.045 | 8.0% | 4.5% | $160 | $90 | $-70 | -43.8% | 2026-06-13 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States … | Yes | 36 | $0.670 | $0.995 | 67.0% | 99.5% | $24 | $36 | $+12 | +48.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be g… | Yes | 117 | $0.130 | $0.165 | 13.0% | 16.5% | $15 | $19 | $+4 | +26.9% | 2026-06-22 |
📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
Sun
Mon
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Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-14 22:33:33
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 22:04
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
9 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 1000 | 0.550 | - | $0.00 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by … | Yes | 8000 | 0.345 | - | $0.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | Yes | 2000 | 0.080 | - | $0.00 |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office… | Yes | 117 | 0.130 | - | $0.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20… | Yes | 30446 | 0.445 | - | $0.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by… | No | 48000 | 0.716 | - | $0.00 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? | No | 2012 | 0.992 | - | $0.00 |
| Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Off… | No | 5716 | 0.932 | - | $0.00 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30… | Yes | 5000 | 0.157 | - | $0.00 |
Closed positions
most recent 50| Exit when | Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Exit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 18:43 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | No | 1094 | 0.654 | 0.281 | -$407.83 |
| 2026-06-14 02:14 | Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Off… | Yes | 164 | 1.951 | 0.203 | -$286.71 |
| 2026-06-13 17:51 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 1303 | 3.517 | 0.660 | -$3.7k |
Recent trades
100 of 251 shownBy category (closed only)
| Category | N closed | Realized PnL |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 3 | -$4.4k |