0x40cfb29411d29f4fa0908f2a121297042cccd21d
0X
TRACKEDVPST26 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_wallets|vps:active_manifest|vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:filter_3.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$115.7k
55 open · unrealized +$13.3k · 💰 2 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
8%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$10.1k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
296
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -
🟢 Live open positions
55 live · $115,668 current value · unrealized +$13.3k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presiden… | Yes | 24,636 | $0.825 | $0.982 | 82.5% | 98.2% | $20,333 | $24,193 | $+3,859 | +19.0% | 2026-06-07 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-e… | No | 11,223 | $0.890 | $0.989 | 89.0% | 98.9% | $9,985 | $11,099 | $+1,115 | +11.2% | 1970-01-01 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 48,736 | $0.201 | $0.195 | 20.1% | 19.5% | $9,777 | $9,503 | $-274 | -2.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 17,333 | $0.323 | $0.395 | 32.3% | 39.5% | $5,595 | $6,846 | $+1,252 | +22.4% | 2026-07-31 |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-elect… | Yes | 8,800 | $0.731 | $0.735 | 73.1% | 73.5% | $6,436 | $6,468 | $+32 | +0.5% | 1970-01-01 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 8,415 | $0.453 | $0.733 | 45.3% | 73.3% | $3,810 | $6,168 | $+2,358 | +61.9% | 2026-06-15 |
| Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June… | No | 5,375 | $0.777 | $0.972 | 77.7% | 97.2% | $4,179 | $5,222 | $+1,043 | +25.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 5,565 | $0.837 | $0.835 | 83.7% | 83.5% | $4,660 | $4,647 | $-13 | -0.3% | 2026-11-03 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July… | Yes | 7,026 | $0.415 | $0.635 | 41.5% | 63.5% | $2,914 | $4,462 | $+1,548 | +53.1% | 2026-07-31 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 5,000 | $0.850 | $0.845 | 85.0% | 84.5% | $4,250 | $4,225 | $-25 | -0.6% | 2026-12-31 |
| Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 1… | No | 4,515 | $0.492 | $0.665 | 49.2% | 66.5% | $2,221 | $3,003 | $+782 | +35.2% | 2026-06-18 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,222 | $0.570 | $0.795 | 57.0% | 79.5% | $1,836 | $2,561 | $+725 | +39.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 6,000 | $0.460 | $0.415 | 46.0% | 41.5% | $2,760 | $2,490 | $-270 | -9.8% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral… | Yes | 5,782 | $0.176 | $0.396 | 17.6% | 39.6% | $1,017 | $2,290 | $+1,273 | +125.2% | 2026-06-02 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 2,623 | $0.864 | $0.861 | 86.4% | 86.1% | $2,266 | $2,257 | $-9 | -0.4% | 2026-12-31 |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,278 | $0.757 | $0.775 | 75.7% | 77.5% | $1,725 | $1,766 | $+41 | +2.3% | 2026-04-30 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 2,267 | $0.371 | $0.755 | 37.1% | 75.5% | $841 | $1,712 | $+871 | +103.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of th… | Yes | 2,663 | $0.567 | $0.623 | 56.7% | 62.3% | $1,509 | $1,659 | $+150 | +9.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after … | No | 2,000 | $0.781 | $0.825 | 78.1% | 82.5% | $1,562 | $1,650 | $+88 | +5.6% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru p… | Yes | 1,512 | $0.320 | $0.939 | 31.9% | 93.9% | $483 | $1,420 | $+936 | +193.9% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end… | Yes | 1,908 | $0.508 | $0.734 | 50.8% | 73.4% | $969 | $1,400 | $+430 | +44.4% | 2026-12-31 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 3,222 | $0.345 | $0.365 | 34.5% | 36.5% | $1,113 | $1,176 | $+63 | +5.6% | 2026-11-03 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 2,500 | $0.426 | $0.430 | 42.6% | 43.0% | $1,065 | $1,075 | $+10 | +0.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 20… | Yes | 1,557 | $0.633 | $0.665 | 63.3% | 66.5% | $986 | $1,036 | $+50 | +5.0% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law t… | Yes | 2,117 | $0.401 | $0.470 | 40.1% | 47.0% | $849 | $995 | $+145 | +17.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before … | No | 1,000 | $0.820 | $0.920 | 82.0% | 92.0% | $820 | $920 | $+100 | +12.2% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic preside… | Yes | 11,072 | $0.073 | $0.073 | 7.3% | 7.3% | $811 | $814 | $+3 | +0.3% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of I… | Yes | 1,642 | $0.198 | $0.371 | 19.8% | 37.1% | $325 | $609 | $+284 | +87.4% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanya… | No | 850 | $0.582 | $0.670 | 58.2% | 67.0% | $495 | $570 | $+75 | +15.1% | 2026-06-30 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? | Yes | 500 | $0.520 | $0.780 | 52.0% | 78.0% | $260 | $390 | $+130 | +50.0% | 2026-07-31 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 20… | Yes | 800 | $0.410 | $0.455 | 41.0% | 45.5% | $328 | $364 | $+36 | +11.0% | 1970-01-01 |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases b… | Yes | 1,000 | $0.360 | $0.340 | 36.0% | 34.0% | $360 | $340 | $-20 | -5.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by Jun… | No | 1,197 | $0.479 | $0.265 | 47.9% | 26.5% | $573 | $317 | $-256 | -44.7% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of… | Yes | 1,397 | $0.350 | $0.215 | 35.0% | 21.5% | $489 | $300 | $-189 | -38.6% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 20… | No | 383 | $0.565 | $0.730 | 56.5% | 73.0% | $216 | $279 | $+63 | +29.2% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? | Yes | 3,894 | $0.234 | $0.055 | 23.4% | 5.5% | $913 | $214 | $-699 | -76.5% | 2026-07-01 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | Yes | 2,193 | $0.419 | $0.075 | 41.9% | 7.5% | $918 | $165 | $-754 | -82.1% | 2026-07-01 |
| Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30… | No | 169 | $0.834 | $0.951 | 83.4% | 95.0% | $141 | $161 | $+20 | +14.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential El… | Yes | 3,000 | $0.030 | $0.051 | 3.0% | 5.1% | $90 | $154 | $+64 | +71.7% | 2028-11-07 |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 3… | Yes | 3,500 | $0.177 | $0.035 | 17.7% | 3.5% | $620 | $122 | $-498 | -80.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pak… | Yes | 2,476 | $0.193 | $0.047 | 19.3% | 4.7% | $478 | $116 | $-362 | -75.7% | 2026-06-30 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | Yes | 343 | $0.244 | $0.255 | 24.4% | 25.5% | $84 | $88 | $+4 | +4.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15… | Yes | 802 | $0.140 | $0.103 | 14.0% | 10.3% | $112 | $83 | $-30 | -26.4% | 2026-06-15 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by Decemb… | Yes | 673 | $0.212 | $0.110 | 21.2% | 11.0% | $142 | $74 | $-68 | -48.0% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the… | Yes | 24,000 | $0.002 | $0.003 | 0.2% | 0.2% | $48 | $60 | $+12 | +25.0% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor De… | Yes | 92 | $0.157 | $0.596 | 15.7% | 59.6% | $14 | $55 | $+40 | +280.4% | 2026-06-09 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? | Yes | 715 | $0.270 | $0.065 | 27.0% | 6.5% | $193 | $46 | $-146 | -75.9% | 2026-07-01 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru p… | Yes | 875 | $0.198 | $0.038 | 19.8% | 3.8% | $173 | $33 | $-140 | -80.8% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | Yes | 150 | $0.270 | $0.190 | 27.0% | 19.0% | $40 | $28 | $-12 | -29.6% | 2026-03-31 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June… | Yes | 1,492 | $0.269 | $0.015 | 26.9% | 1.6% | $401 | $23 | $-378 | -94.2% | 2026-06-30 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
2 markets settled · $0 unclaimed| Market | Side | Shares | Cost | Value | PnL | Resolved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) | LOS | 1,260 | $1 | $0 | $-1 | 2026-06-12 |
| Another Trump political opponent federally charged… | Yes | 10,000 | $10 | $0 | $-10 | 2026-05-31 |
📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
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Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-14 22:33:33
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 22:22
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
10 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14? | Yes | 0 | 210184.810 | - | $0.00 |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become … | Yes | 278 | 0.440 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | No | 0 | 112137.900 | - | $0.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | Yes | 1000 | 0.560 | - | $0.00 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | Yes | 45 | 0.230 | - | $0.00 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 2500 | 0.426 | - | $0.00 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be i… | Yes | 2476 | 0.207 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister … | Yes | 460 | 0.638 | - | $0.00 |
| Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain recei… | No | 3245 | 0.492 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-… | Yes | 5300 | 1.025 | - | $0.00 |
Closed positions
most recent 50Recent trades
100 of 296 shownBy category (closed only)
| Category | N closed | Realized PnL |
|---|---|---|
| Politics | 2 | -$134.64 |
| Other | 10 | -$9.8k |