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0x3c918a8ef8c379304f744592120cbb4d76149af7

.Y
TRACKEDVPST210 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_copyable|local:god_system_wallets|local:god_system_wallets_api|local:ultimate_addresses_only|local:ultimate_copyable|vps:active_manifest|vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:filter_3.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
+$189.9k
0W / 0L · WR 50.0%
Open exposure (live)
$303.1k
12 open · unrealized +$30.4k
Lifetime turnover
$19.85M
56 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
+$189.9k
Unrealized (local approx)
+$30.4k
Profit capture (brain)
0%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$104.00
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
10
local DB
First → Last trade
2025-09-13
→ 2025-12-20

🟢 Live open positions

12 live · $303,132 current value · unrealized +$30.4k
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by Ju…No96,500$0.906$0.99090.6%99.0%$87,400$95,487$+8,087+9.3%2026-06-30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No94,250$0.707$0.88570.7%88.5%$66,618$83,411$+16,793+25.2%2026-12-31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates afte…Yes58,000$0.932$0.99693.2%99.6%$54,051$57,739$+3,688+6.8%2026-06-17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June…No33,500$0.956$0.99895.6%99.8%$32,039$33,416$+1,377+4.3%2026-06-15
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30…No14,600$0.950$0.99295.0%99.2%$13,872$14,483$+611+4.4%2026-06-30
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No16,000$0.842$0.84584.2%84.5%$13,470$13,520$+50+0.4%2026-12-31
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in …Yes4,800$0.544$0.53554.4%53.5%$2,610$2,568$-42-1.6%1970-01-01
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes3,100$0.420$0.35042.0%35.0%$1,302$1,085$-217-16.7%2026-12-31
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cu…Yes1,000$0.700$0.71570.0%71.5%$700$715$+15+2.1%2026-06-27
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes690$0.692$0.74569.2%74.5%$478$514$+36+7.6%2026-12-31
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican president…Yes400$0.197$0.24219.7%24.2%$79$97$+18+22.9%2028-11-07
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,000$0.097$0.0979.7%9.7%$97$96$-0-0.5%2026-07-20

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-15 01:17TRADESELLWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes58,000$0.004$225.070xb33263…
2026-06-15 00:15YIELD--0$0.000$0.050xc6900b…
2026-06-14 10:32TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,000$0.097$99.630x008a47…
2026-06-14 10:32TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by JuNo100$0.996$99.600xbd5d0a…
2026-06-14 07:49TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes26,000$0.008$214.190xd5af9b…
2026-06-14 07:49TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes470$0.350$168.780xfd7379…
2026-06-14 07:47TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by JuNo400$0.997$398.800x452806…
2026-06-14 07:03REDEEM-Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Fina-0$0.000$0.000x9d4c73…
2026-06-14 00:12YIELD--0$0.000$0.030x5cc579…
2026-06-13 18:01TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes60$0.349$21.480x6ca418…
2026-06-13 08:17TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race iYes200$0.550$111.980xdcbd7c…
2026-06-13 08:16TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by JuNo100$0.997$99.700x3d77dd…
2026-06-13 08:15TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes50$0.378$19.390xcaa659…
2026-06-13 00:12YIELD--0$0.000$0.030x483350…
2026-06-12 00:15YIELD--0$0.000$0.030x78a452…
2026-06-11 14:22TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No200$0.927$185.400x170764…
2026-06-11 14:21TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No200$0.926$185.220x7dd14c…
2026-06-11 14:21TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No300$0.926$277.830xa34cad…
2026-06-11 14:21TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No66$0.925$61.390xe7a69b…
2026-06-11 14:19TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No1$0.923$0.940x85fa79…
2026-06-11 14:18TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No233$0.923$214.700x6b4353…
2026-06-11 14:16TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No800$0.923$738.410xfa4e8e…
2026-06-11 14:15TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by JuNo900$0.994$894.600x675fb9…
2026-06-11 14:14TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by JuNo700$0.994$695.800x94d7bc…
2026-06-11 14:11TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No1,147$0.921$1.1k0xec731d…
2026-06-11 14:09TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No253$0.921$233.160xdb4618…
2026-06-11 14:07TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by JuNo1,400$0.994$1.4k0x4a810f…
2026-06-11 13:27TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No100$0.920$92.000xcafcc9…
2026-06-11 13:27TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No2,100$0.920$1.9k0x2221a7…
2026-06-11 13:26TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates afYes2,000$0.992$2.0k0x733ef0…
2026-06-11 13:24TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No8,800$0.920$8.1k0x518fd4…
2026-06-11 13:24TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates afYes8,200$0.992$8.1k0xf7fd5a…
2026-06-11 13:15TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No200$0.926$185.200x0c61c4…
2026-06-11 13:15TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by JuNo200$0.995$199.000xb2cced…
2026-06-11 13:15TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No100$0.925$92.500x7e69ee…
2026-06-11 13:14TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No100$0.923$92.300x940237…
2026-06-11 13:13TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No100$0.919$91.900xb5d373…
2026-06-11 13:13TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No100$0.924$92.420xd6e6ca…
2026-06-11 13:13TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No1,700$0.924$1.6k0xf50f1a…
2026-06-11 13:13TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by JuNo100$0.995$99.500x2bf1a8…
2026-06-11 13:12TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates afYes1,800$0.992$1.8k0x8f2d2d…
2026-06-11 06:28TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No50$0.780$39.000xf3a7e9…
2026-06-11 06:28TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No400$0.780$312.000x371653…
2026-06-11 06:27TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by JuNo400$0.994$397.600xe79ede…
2026-06-11 00:11YIELD--0$0.000$0.010xb53a49…
2026-06-10 20:54TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes21,000$0.009$194.620xc9e69f…
2026-06-10 20:48TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by JuNo200$0.994$198.800xd8a72e…
2026-06-10 18:40TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,000$0.009$9.270xf10ca2…
2026-06-10 18:39TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,000$0.009$46.340x534293…
2026-06-10 18:36TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by JuNo80$0.994$79.510xeb3b2a…
2026-06-10 17:06TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,000$0.009$46.340x33a34d…
2026-06-10 00:45MAKER_REBATE--1$0.000$1.130xeb3ab3…
2026-06-10 00:10YIELD--0$0.000$0.010x2b8d96…
2026-06-09 20:05TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No100$0.810$81.000x5270d8…
2026-06-09 20:04TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No200$0.810$162.000x20526f…
2026-06-09 19:28TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No280$0.810$226.800x758a11…
2026-06-09 19:23TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No20$0.810$16.200x31a8cc…
2026-06-09 19:20TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No200$0.810$162.000x5109be…
2026-06-09 16:39TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2,000$0.820$1.6k0xef1e7d…
2026-06-09 14:18TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidYes2,000$0.940$1.9k0xa42cf5…
2026-06-09 00:45MAKER_REBATE--6$0.000$6.440x020d66…
2026-06-09 00:12YIELD--0$0.000$0.010x5d3edb…
2026-06-09 00:00REWARD--2$0.000$1.870x502473…
2026-06-08 17:55TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1,000$0.830$830.000xbf6656…
2026-06-08 17:06TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?No3,000$0.850$2.6k0x5e050f…
2026-06-08 17:03TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes90$0.700$63.000xfbc2ee…
2026-06-08 16:57TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes168$0.700$117.590x913746…
2026-06-08 16:39TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidYes3,517$0.790$2.8k0x9333b3…
2026-06-08 12:40TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidYes239$0.780$186.790x89c852…
2026-06-08 12:39TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidYes26$0.780$20.000xc54fab…
2026-06-08 12:38TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidYes64$0.780$50.000x383713…
2026-06-08 12:36TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidYes14$0.780$10.960x5dc428…
2026-06-08 12:36TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidYes10$0.780$7.800x9308dd…
2026-06-08 07:56TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes16$0.660$10.570xfbfb86…
2026-06-08 07:56TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes16$0.660$10.570xd60105…
2026-06-08 05:26TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates afYes1,000$0.991$990.550xa1bd78…
2026-06-08 00:15YIELD--0$0.000$0.010xc86859…
2026-06-07 18:46TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidYes70$0.650$46.140xaa9e7d…
2026-06-07 18:46TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidYes1,440$0.650$949.100x7e49a1…
2026-06-07 18:45TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates afYes1,000$0.991$990.550xc21c66…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

-

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat

Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-15 05:31:54
Latest trade ts
2026-06-15 01:17
Backfill
✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])
0.8

Open positions

3 open
MarketOutcomeSharesEntryLastUnrealized
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes10000.097-$0.00
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate rac…Yes2000.550-$0.00
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December …Yes5800.352-$0.00

Closed positions

most recent 50
Exit whenMarketOutcomeSharesEntryExitRealized
2026-06-15 01:17Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes260000.0080.004-$104.00

Recent trades

10 of 10 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-15 01:17SELLWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup…Yes580000.004$232.000xb33263…
2026-06-14 10:32BUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup…Yes10000.097$97.000x008a47…
2026-06-14 10:32SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No1000.996$99.600xbd5d0a…
2026-06-14 07:49BUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup…Yes260000.008$208.000xd5af9b…
2026-06-14 07:49BUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by Dece…Yes4700.350$164.500xfd7379…
2026-06-14 07:47SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No4000.997$398.800x452806…
2026-06-13 18:01BUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by Dece…Yes600.349$20.940x6ca418…
2026-06-13 08:17BUYWill the Republicans win the Texas Senat…Yes2000.550$110.000xdcbd7c…
2026-06-13 08:16SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…No1000.997$99.700x3d77dd…
2026-06-13 08:15BUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by Dece…Yes500.378$18.920xcaa659…

By category (closed only)

CategoryN closedRealized PnL
Other1-$104.00

Coordinated-buy involvement

events that included this wallet
WhenMarketWalletsNotionalDiversity
2026-06-01 17:48Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by…3$34.4k0.93