0x35bbbad2415fe5e39b12da9a316cdc80b022009b
TheBall
TRACKEDT22 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_wallets|local:god_system_wallets_api
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$73.9k
40 open · unrealized +$857.48 · 💰 11 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
16%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$249.5k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
1,677
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -
🟢 Live open positions
40 live · $73,947 current value · unrealized +$857.48| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayora… | No | 9,520 | $0.934 | $0.992 | 93.4% | 99.2% | $8,891 | $9,439 | $+548 | +6.2% | 2026-06-02 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-e… | No | 9,000 | $0.974 | $0.988 | 97.4% | 98.8% | $8,770 | $8,887 | $+117 | +1.3% | 1970-01-01 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | No | 7,525 | $0.934 | $0.935 | 93.4% | 93.5% | $7,026 | $7,036 | $+10 | +0.1% | 2026-06-30 |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 7,170 | $0.880 | $0.895 | 88.0% | 89.5% | $6,310 | $6,417 | $+108 | +1.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Özgür Özel arrested by June 30? | No | 6,342 | $0.867 | $0.974 | 86.7% | 97.4% | $5,501 | $6,174 | $+672 | +12.2% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Ro… | No | 5,700 | $0.957 | $0.963 | 95.7% | 96.2% | $5,455 | $5,486 | $+31 | +0.6% | 2026-05-31 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 1… | No | 5,482 | $0.976 | $0.998 | 97.6% | 99.8% | $5,351 | $5,468 | $+117 | +2.2% | 2026-06-16 |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections … | No | 5,000 | $0.750 | $0.835 | 75.0% | 83.5% | $3,750 | $4,175 | $+425 | +11.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,220 | $0.949 | $0.965 | 94.9% | 96.5% | $4,007 | $4,073 | $+66 | +1.6% | 2026-05-15 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | No | 3,074 | $0.985 | $0.996 | 98.5% | 99.6% | $3,027 | $3,061 | $+33 | +1.1% | 2026-06-13 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpil… | No | 2,500 | $0.962 | $0.943 | 96.2% | 94.2% | $2,405 | $2,356 | $-49 | -2.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before… | No | 2,500 | $0.840 | $0.800 | 84.0% | 80.0% | $2,100 | $2,000 | $-100 | -4.8% | 2026-12-31 |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? | No | 1,803 | $0.910 | $0.925 | 91.0% | 92.5% | $1,641 | $1,668 | $+27 | +1.6% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplom… | No | 1,245 | $0.911 | $0.950 | 91.1% | 95.0% | $1,134 | $1,183 | $+49 | +4.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colomb… | Yes | 1,285 | $0.862 | $0.895 | 86.2% | 89.5% | $1,108 | $1,150 | $+42 | +3.8% | 2026-06-21 |
| Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran … | Yes | 1,252 | $0.717 | $0.870 | 71.7% | 87.0% | $898 | $1,089 | $+191 | +21.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch? | No | 1,623 | $0.740 | $0.555 | 74.0% | 55.5% | $1,201 | $901 | $-300 | -25.0% | 2027-01-01 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 24,143 | $0.028 | $0.027 | 2.8% | 2.7% | $673 | $652 | $-21 | -3.1% | 2026-06-15 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before… | No | 609 | $0.820 | $0.840 | 82.0% | 84.0% | $499 | $511 | $+12 | +2.4% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2… | No | 532 | $0.906 | $0.934 | 90.6% | 93.5% | $482 | $497 | $+15 | +3.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | No | 500 | $0.840 | $0.935 | 84.0% | 93.5% | $420 | $468 | $+48 | +11.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? | Yes | 1,036 | $0.680 | $0.365 | 68.0% | 36.5% | $704 | $378 | $-326 | -46.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? | No | 540 | $0.697 | $0.555 | 69.7% | 55.5% | $376 | $300 | $-77 | -20.4% | 2027-01-01 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 336 | $0.770 | $0.855 | 77.0% | 85.5% | $259 | $287 | $+29 | +11.0% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Ho… | Yes | 500 | $0.050 | $0.175 | 5.0% | 17.5% | $25 | $88 | $+62 | +250.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | Yes | 1,603 | $0.279 | $0.043 | 27.9% | 4.2% | $448 | $68 | $-380 | -84.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the … | Yes | 287 | $0.049 | $0.175 | 4.9% | 17.5% | $14 | $50 | $+36 | +259.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire… | Yes | 494 | $0.260 | $0.064 | 26.0% | 6.4% | $128 | $32 | $-97 | -75.4% | 2026-06-30 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.720 | $0.755 | 72.0% | 75.5% | $14 | $15 | $+1 | +4.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.752 | $0.755 | 75.2% | 75.5% | $15 | $15 | $+0 | +0.4% | 2026-12-31 |
| UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2… | No | 8 | $0.870 | $0.956 | 87.0% | 95.5% | $7 | $7 | $+1 | +9.8% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oma… | Yes | 4,298 | $0.016 | $0.001 | 1.6% | 0.1% | $71 | $4 | $-66 | -93.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the… | Yes | 8,509 | $0.042 | $0.001 | 4.2% | 0.1% | $356 | $4 | $-352 | -98.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.700 | $0.775 | 70.0% | 77.5% | $3 | $4 | $+0 | +10.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by Decemb… | No | 3 | $0.690 | $0.665 | 69.0% | 66.5% | $2 | $2 | $-0 | -3.6% | 2026-12-31 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.620 | $0.155 | 62.0% | 15.5% | $3 | $1 | $-2 | -75.0% | 2026-12-31 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 1 | $0.903 | $0.962 | 90.3% | 96.2% | $1 | $1 | $+0 | +6.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | No | 12 | $0.670 | $0.037 | 67.0% | 3.7% | $8 | $0 | $-8 | -94.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? | Yes | 10 | $0.500 | $0.043 | 50.0% | 4.2% | $5 | $0 | $-5 | -91.5% | 2026-03-31 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 0 | $0.650 | $0.725 | 65.0% | 72.5% | $0 | $0 | $+0 | +11.5% | 2026-01-31 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
11 markets settled · $0 unclaimed| Market | Side | Shares | Cost | Value | PnL | Resolved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | No | 37 | $6 | $0 | $-6 | 2026-06-30 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 26 | $15 | $0 | $-15 | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? | Yes | 500 | $24 | $0 | $-24 | 2026-05-31 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | No | 45 | $32 | $0 | $-32 | 2026-06-15 |
| Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men… | Yes | 500 | $64 | $0 | $-64 | 2026-06-08 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by M… | Yes | 1,949 | $298 | $0 | $-298 | 2026-05-31 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | 2,225 | $530 | $0 | $-530 | 2026-06-30 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | Yes | 11,493 | $667 | $0 | $-667 | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros M… | No | 2,994 | $1,317 | $0 | $-1,317 | 2026-06-08 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second pla… | No | 11,249 | $4,532 | $0 | $-4,532 | 2026-04-12 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States … | Yes | 17,764 | $9,125 | $0 | $-9,125 | 2026-05-31 |
📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
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Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-16 07:41:48
Latest trade ts
2026-06-16 07:13
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
30 openClosed positions
most recent 50Recent trades
100 of 1,677 shownBy category (closed only)
| Category | N closed | Realized PnL |
|---|---|---|
| Politics | 2 | -$10.2k |
| Other | 23 | -$239.1k |