0x29d337076f24d135b7b2b08796edfff4e32cb2ed
no username
TRACKEDVPST26 SOURCES
Sources: vps:active_manifest|vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:filter_3.csv|vps:profile_inventory|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
-$6.9k
1W / 0L · WR 100.0%
Open exposure (live)
$68.8k
84 open · unrealized +$2.4k · 💰 1 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$34.4k
10 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$88.00
−$0.00
Realized
-$6.9k
Unrealized (local approx)
+$2.5k
Profit capture (brain)
50%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$87.00
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
33
local DB
First → Last trade
2026-01-28
→ 2026-02-11
🟢 Live open positions
84 live · $68,759 current value · unrealized +$2.4k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayora… | No | 10,200 | $0.797 | $0.991 | 79.7% | 99.1% | $8,132 | $10,103 | $+1,971 | +24.2% | 2026-06-02 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | 9,000 | $0.744 | $0.805 | 74.4% | 80.5% | $6,700 | $7,245 | $+545 | +8.1% | 2026-06-30 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end … | No | 6,000 | $0.787 | $0.775 | 78.7% | 77.5% | $4,720 | $4,650 | $-70 | -1.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 5,000 | $0.840 | $0.905 | 84.0% | 90.5% | $4,200 | $4,525 | $+325 | +7.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organiz… | No | 2,990 | $0.745 | $0.958 | 74.5% | 95.8% | $2,227 | $2,864 | $+637 | +28.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral e… | Yes | 4,500 | $0.633 | $0.600 | 63.3% | 60.0% | $2,850 | $2,700 | $-150 | -5.3% | 2026-06-02 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian pre… | No | 3,000 | $0.670 | $0.885 | 67.0% | 88.5% | $2,009 | $2,655 | $+646 | +32.2% | 2026-06-21 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | No | 10,000 | $0.195 | $0.195 | 19.5% | 19.5% | $1,950 | $1,950 | $+0 | +0.0% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-03 House seat… | Yes | 2,000 | $0.910 | $0.935 | 91.0% | 93.5% | $1,820 | $1,870 | $+50 | +2.7% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French pre… | No | 1,800 | $0.943 | $0.969 | 94.3% | 96.9% | $1,697 | $1,743 | $+46 | +2.7% | 2027-04-30 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | No | 4,000 | $0.347 | $0.355 | 34.7% | 35.5% | $1,389 | $1,420 | $+31 | +2.2% | 2026-05-15 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat… | Yes | 1,500 | $0.911 | $0.935 | 91.1% | 93.5% | $1,367 | $1,402 | $+36 | +2.6% | 2026-11-03 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in Californ… | No | 2,000 | $0.630 | $0.695 | 63.0% | 69.5% | $1,260 | $1,390 | $+130 | +10.3% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French president… | Yes | 5,000 | $0.206 | $0.265 | 20.6% | 26.5% | $1,030 | $1,325 | $+295 | +28.6% | 2027-04-30 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presi… | Yes | 4,500 | $0.287 | $0.266 | 28.7% | 26.6% | $1,290 | $1,195 | $-95 | -7.4% | 2026-10-04 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 2,000 | $0.530 | $0.575 | 53.0% | 57.5% | $1,060 | $1,150 | $+90 | +8.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| Kash Patel out by June 30? | No | 1,179 | $0.460 | $0.945 | 46.0% | 94.5% | $542 | $1,114 | $+572 | +105.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presiden… | Yes | 5,000 | $0.240 | $0.205 | 24.0% | 20.5% | $1,200 | $1,025 | $-175 | -14.6% | 2027-04-30 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6,000 | $0.165 | $0.165 | 16.5% | 16.4% | $993 | $987 | $-6 | -0.6% | 2026-07-20 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6,000 | $0.160 | $0.164 | 16.0% | 16.4% | $960 | $981 | $+21 | +2.2% | 2026-07-20 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2… | No | 1,968 | $0.434 | $0.435 | 43.4% | 43.5% | $854 | $856 | $+2 | +0.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Se… | Yes | 811 | $0.900 | $0.955 | 90.0% | 95.5% | $730 | $774 | $+44 | +6.1% | 2026-05-16 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat… | Yes | 750 | $0.800 | $0.805 | 80.0% | 80.5% | $600 | $604 | $+4 | +0.6% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom … | Yes | 2,835 | $0.224 | $0.205 | 22.4% | 20.5% | $634 | $581 | $-53 | -8.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after… | Yes | 1,000 | $0.500 | $0.555 | 50.0% | 55.5% | $500 | $555 | $+55 | +11.0% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in … | Yes | 1,000 | $0.570 | $0.550 | 57.0% | 55.0% | $570 | $550 | $-20 | -3.5% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for th… | No | 815 | $0.496 | $0.650 | 49.6% | 65.0% | $404 | $530 | $+125 | +31.0% | 2027-04-17 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 3,300 | $0.300 | $0.155 | 30.0% | 15.5% | $990 | $512 | $-478 | -48.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 2,500 | $0.377 | $0.200 | 37.7% | 20.0% | $942 | $500 | $-442 | -46.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat… | Yes | 500 | $0.920 | $0.959 | 92.0% | 95.9% | $460 | $479 | $+19 | +4.2% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat… | Yes | 500 | $0.950 | $0.955 | 95.0% | 95.5% | $475 | $478 | $+2 | +0.5% | 2026-11-03 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July… | No | 1,000 | $0.550 | $0.475 | 55.0% | 47.5% | $550 | $475 | $-75 | -13.6% | 2026-07-31 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican president… | Yes | 2,000 | $0.219 | $0.236 | 21.9% | 23.6% | $438 | $473 | $+35 | +8.0% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidenti… | Yes | 6,000 | $0.060 | $0.077 | 6.0% | 7.8% | $360 | $465 | $+105 | +29.2% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic preside… | Yes | 6,000 | $0.085 | $0.073 | 8.5% | 7.3% | $508 | $441 | $-67 | -13.2% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in… | No | 500 | $0.920 | $0.825 | 92.0% | 82.5% | $460 | $412 | $-47 | -10.3% | 2026-10-05 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6,000 | $0.088 | $0.068 | 8.8% | 6.8% | $531 | $405 | $-126 | -23.7% | 2026-07-20 |
| Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Sen… | Yes | 500 | $0.607 | $0.800 | 60.7% | 80.0% | $304 | $400 | $+96 | +31.8% | 2026-05-19 |
| Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Se… | Yes | 433 | $0.913 | $0.920 | 91.3% | 92.0% | $395 | $399 | $+3 | +0.8% | 2026-09-08 |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 20… | No | 500 | $0.600 | $0.685 | 60.0% | 68.5% | $300 | $342 | $+42 | +14.2% | 2027-04-17 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | No | 788 | $0.645 | $0.420 | 64.5% | 42.0% | $508 | $331 | $-177 | -34.9% | 2026-05-29 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by De… | Yes | 600 | $0.550 | $0.550 | 55.0% | 55.0% | $330 | $330 | $+0 | +0.0% | 2027-01-01 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time… | No | 500 | $0.770 | $0.650 | 77.0% | 65.0% | $385 | $325 | $-60 | -15.6% | 2027-12-31 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6,000 | $0.034 | $0.052 | 3.4% | 5.2% | $204 | $315 | $+111 | +54.4% | 2026-07-20 |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race i… | Yes | 400 | $0.750 | $0.760 | 75.0% | 76.0% | $300 | $304 | $+4 | +1.3% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 F… | No | 500 | $0.600 | $0.595 | 60.0% | 59.5% | $300 | $298 | $-3 | -0.8% | 2027-04-17 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June… | No | 298 | $0.970 | $0.997 | 97.0% | 99.7% | $289 | $297 | $+8 | +2.8% | 2026-06-15 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat… | Yes | 400 | $0.750 | $0.720 | 75.0% | 72.0% | $300 | $288 | $-12 | -4.0% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in… | Yes | 500 | $0.470 | $0.540 | 47.0% | 54.0% | $235 | $270 | $+35 | +14.9% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Gov… | No | 400 | $0.200 | $0.650 | 20.0% | 65.0% | $80 | $260 | $+180 | +225.0% | 2026-06-09 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
1 markets settled · $0 unclaimed| Market | Side | Shares | Cost | Value | PnL | Resolved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 200 | $118 | $0 | $-118 | 2026-06-13 |
📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-14 21:14:25
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 21:01
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
10 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Game Master (BO3) … | Yakult Brothers | 100 | 0.560 | - | $0.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons… | Team Falcons | 200 | 0.639 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 300 | 0.470 | - | $0.00 |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Over | 0 | 2591.569 | - | $0.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) -… | Team Falcons | 200 | 0.800 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 200 | 0.590 | - | $0.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | No | 788 | 0.645 | - | $0.00 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | No | 100 | 0.550 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Désiré Doué be in France's Starting 11? | Yes | 103 | 0.620 | - | $0.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Co… | 9z | 164 | 0.610 | - | $0.00 |
Closed positions
most recent 50| Exit when | Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Exit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 21:01 | Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Over | 300 | 0.470 | 0.180 | -$87.00 |
| 2026-06-14 17:41 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | No | 400 | 0.019 | 0.040 | +$8.40 |
Recent trades
33 of 33 shownBy category (closed only)
| Category | N closed | Realized PnL |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | +$8.40 |
| Sports | 1 | -$87.00 |