0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1
Takeshirosoku
TRACKEDT13 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_wallets|local:god_system_wallets_api|local:unique_wallets
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$872.5k
173 open · unrealized -$112.6k · 💰 55 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
20%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$2.3k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
2,009
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -
🟢 Live open positions
173 live · $872,458 current value · unrealized -$112.6k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidenti… | No | 540,000 | $0.500 | $0.668 | 50.0% | 66.8% | $270,000 | $360,990 | $+90,990 | +33.7% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidenti… | Yes | 540,000 | $0.500 | $0.332 | 50.0% | 33.1% | $270,000 | $179,010 | $-90,990 | -33.7% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 103,354 | $0.987 | $0.994 | 98.7% | 99.4% | $102,002 | $102,682 | $+680 | +0.7% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 37,363 | $0.995 | $0.996 | 99.5% | 99.6% | $37,177 | $37,195 | $+19 | +0.1% | 2026-07-20 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayora… | No | 23,746 | $0.994 | $0.991 | 99.4% | 99.1% | $23,596 | $23,520 | $-76 | -0.3% | 2026-06-02 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps af… | No | 17,316 | $0.997 | $0.999 | 99.7% | 99.9% | $17,264 | $17,290 | $+26 | +0.2% | 2026-06-17 |
| Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cu… | No | 17,076 | $0.998 | $0.999 | 99.8% | 99.9% | $17,042 | $17,051 | $+9 | +0.1% | 2026-07-20 |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections … | No | 14,320 | $0.782 | $0.825 | 78.2% | 82.5% | $11,203 | $11,814 | $+610 | +5.4% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 82,219 | $0.017 | $0.097 | 1.7% | 9.7% | $1,370 | $7,934 | $+6,564 | +479.0% | 2026-07-20 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 7,778 | $0.932 | $0.939 | 93.2% | 93.8% | $7,250 | $7,299 | $+50 | +0.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presiden… | Yes | 7,145 | $0.613 | $0.982 | 61.3% | 98.2% | $4,383 | $7,017 | $+2,634 | +60.1% | 2026-06-07 |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 5,555 | $0.870 | $0.905 | 87.0% | 90.5% | $4,833 | $5,027 | $+194 | +4.0% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 30,340 | $0.044 | $0.162 | 4.4% | 16.2% | $1,343 | $4,900 | $+3,557 | +264.9% | 2026-07-20 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 27,368 | $0.017 | $0.161 | 1.7% | 16.1% | $456 | $4,393 | $+3,936 | +863.0% | 2026-07-20 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 49,590 | $0.017 | $0.080 | 1.7% | 8.0% | $826 | $3,942 | $+3,116 | +377.0% | 2026-07-20 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral e… | Yes | 6,234 | $0.263 | $0.595 | 26.3% | 59.5% | $1,642 | $3,709 | $+2,068 | +125.9% | 2026-06-02 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 202… | Yes | 3,615 | $0.922 | $0.972 | 92.2% | 97.2% | $3,335 | $3,512 | $+177 | +5.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after … | Yes | 19,953 | $0.117 | $0.175 | 11.7% | 17.5% | $2,333 | $3,492 | $+1,158 | +49.6% | 2026-11-03 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 3,955 | $0.809 | $0.846 | 81.0% | 84.5% | $3,202 | $3,344 | $+142 | +4.4% | 2026-06-15 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | 3,333 | $0.986 | $0.992 | 98.6% | 99.2% | $3,286 | $3,306 | $+20 | +0.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three dec… | No | 3,229 | $0.970 | $0.997 | 97.0% | 99.7% | $3,132 | $3,220 | $+87 | +2.8% | 2026-06-17 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazil… | Yes | 6,069 | $0.444 | $0.505 | 44.4% | 50.5% | $2,697 | $3,065 | $+368 | +13.6% | 2026-10-04 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presiden… | Yes | 173,954 | $0.007 | $0.018 | 0.8% | 1.8% | $1,306 | $3,044 | $+1,738 | +133.1% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Elec… | No | 3,222 | $0.910 | $0.912 | 91.0% | 91.2% | $2,932 | $2,938 | $+6 | +0.2% | 2026-11-03 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 3,333 | $0.810 | $0.805 | 81.0% | 80.5% | $2,700 | $2,683 | $-17 | -0.6% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? | No | 2,446 | $0.938 | $0.984 | 93.8% | 98.4% | $2,295 | $2,406 | $+110 | +4.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19,991 | $0.035 | $0.107 | 3.5% | 10.8% | $692 | $2,149 | $+1,457 | +210.6% | 2026-07-20 |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 109,590 | $0.017 | $0.019 | 1.7% | 1.9% | $1,826 | $2,137 | $+311 | +17.0% | 2026-07-20 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 2,222 | $0.920 | $0.925 | 92.0% | 92.5% | $2,044 | $2,055 | $+11 | +0.5% | 2026-05-31 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 1,971 | $0.989 | $0.992 | 98.9% | 99.2% | $1,949 | $1,955 | $+5 | +0.3% | 2026-07-20 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military stri… | Yes | 1,892 | $0.988 | $0.994 | 98.8% | 99.4% | $1,868 | $1,879 | $+11 | +0.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpil… | Yes | 6,309 | $0.345 | $0.295 | 34.5% | 29.5% | $2,180 | $1,861 | $-319 | -14.6% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 27,436 | $0.059 | $0.061 | 5.9% | 6.2% | $1,609 | $1,687 | $+78 | +4.9% | 2026-07-20 |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? | Yes | 5,207 | $0.405 | $0.271 | 40.5% | 27.1% | $2,108 | $1,411 | $-697 | -33.1% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 3,817 | $0.200 | $0.355 | 20.0% | 35.5% | $763 | $1,355 | $+592 | +77.5% | 2026-11-03 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,448 | $0.920 | $0.925 | 92.0% | 92.5% | $1,332 | $1,339 | $+7 | +0.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 2,237 | $0.550 | $0.575 | 55.0% | 57.5% | $1,230 | $1,286 | $+56 | +4.5% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18,297 | $0.017 | $0.068 | 1.7% | 6.8% | $305 | $1,235 | $+930 | +305.0% | 2026-07-20 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 49,589 | $0.017 | $0.025 | 1.7% | 2.5% | $826 | $1,215 | $+388 | +47.0% | 2026-07-20 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | No | 1,111 | $0.931 | $0.993 | 93.1% | 99.3% | $1,034 | $1,103 | $+69 | +6.7% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 1,111 | $0.973 | $0.966 | 97.3% | 96.5% | $1,081 | $1,073 | $-8 | -0.8% | 1970-01-01 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | No | 1,086 | $0.889 | $0.982 | 88.9% | 98.2% | $966 | $1,066 | $+101 | +10.4% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1,111 | $0.780 | $0.885 | 78.0% | 88.5% | $867 | $983 | $+117 | +13.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | Yes | 1,111 | $0.880 | $0.885 | 88.0% | 88.5% | $978 | $983 | $+6 | +0.6% | 2026-07-19 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 1,131 | $0.759 | $0.850 | 75.9% | 85.0% | $859 | $961 | $+102 | +11.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Decemb… | No | 1,111 | $0.580 | $0.780 | 58.0% | 78.0% | $644 | $867 | $+222 | +34.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Eps… | No | 858 | $0.729 | $0.992 | 72.9% | 99.2% | $625 | $850 | $+225 | +36.1% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 843 | $0.815 | $0.948 | 81.5% | 94.8% | $687 | $799 | $+112 | +16.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 47,632 | $0.017 | $0.015 | 1.7% | 1.6% | $794 | $738 | $-56 | -7.0% | 2026-07-20 |
| Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Gover… | No | 1,666 | $0.729 | $0.436 | 72.9% | 43.6% | $1,215 | $727 | $-487 | -40.1% | 2026-06-09 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
55 markets settled · $0 unclaimed📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
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Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-15 04:39:32
Latest trade ts
2026-06-15 04:12
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
69 openClosed positions
most recent 50| Exit when | Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Exit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 22:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by… | Yes | 1908 | 1.059 | 0.260 | -$1.5k |
| 2026-06-13 14:58 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 25885 | 0.020 | 0.019 | -$25.88 |
| 2026-06-13 12:59 | US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? | Yes | 130 | 0.580 | 0.630 | +$6.50 |
| 2026-06-12 19:14 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20… | Yes | 11 | 58.921 | 0.167 | -$623.37 |
| 2026-06-12 14:45 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 677 | 0.607 | 0.370 | -$160.68 |
Recent trades
100 of 2,009 shownBy category (closed only)
| Category | N closed | Realized PnL |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 5 | -$2.3k |
Coordinated-buy involvement
events that included this walletAlerts for this wallet
| When | Type | Severity |
|---|---|---|
| - | whale_tracked_wallet | warning |