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0x2029d45f0bc69965c588ed3ab4a85d8d68ea3124

no username
TRACKEDSHARP-ZONET31 SOURCES
Sources: btc-scraper:2026-06-05
PolymarketScan ↗ PolygonScan ↗ Polymarket ↗ 📋 Copy address
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$2.62
1 open · unrealized -$45.93 · 💰 499 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
59%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$86.78
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
3,500
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -

🟢 Live open positions

1 live · $3 current value · unrealized -$45.93
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No54$0.899$0.04989.9%4.9%$49$3$-46-94.6%2026-06-15

💰 Resolved · pending claim

499 markets settled · $0 unclaimed
MarketSideSharesCostValuePnLResolved
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETUp43$1$0$-12026-04-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp116$1$0$-12026-04-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETDown120$1$0$-12026-04-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETDown105$2$0$-22026-04-28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETUp33$2$0$-22026-04-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETUp16$2$0$-22026-04-21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETUp30$2$0$-22026-04-21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown30$2$0$-22026-04-21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETDown46$2$0$-22026-04-21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp50$2$0$-22026-05-01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETUp103$2$0$-22026-04-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETUp116$2$0$-22026-04-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETDown51$3$0$-32026-05-01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETUp215$3$0$-32026-04-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown58$3$0$-32026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown47$3$0$-32026-04-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETDown18$3$0$-32026-04-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp298$4$0$-42026-04-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETDown168$4$0$-42026-04-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown21$4$0$-42026-04-29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETDown141$4$0$-42026-04-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETUp31$4$0$-42026-04-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETUp19$5$0$-52026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETUp18$5$0$-52026-04-28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETUp116$5$0$-52026-04-20

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-15 19:05REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET-12$0.000$12.150x4978ca…
2026-06-15 19:02TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp12$0.820$10.090x00fae6…
2026-06-15 17:05REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET-11$0.000$11.260x241808…
2026-06-15 17:01TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETDown11$0.860$9.770x643311…
2026-06-15 16:42TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp11$0.840$9.450x7537b0…
2026-06-15 15:27TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETUp13$0.780$10.110x981eb4…
2026-06-15 12:40REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET-11$0.000$11.130x02dd5d…
2026-06-15 12:37TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETUp11$0.840$9.450xee295d…
2026-06-15 12:05REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET-12$0.000$12.150x51d8c5…
2026-06-15 12:02TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETDown12$0.810$9.970x91a18c…
2026-06-15 10:45REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET-12$0.000$12.300xd5ef3d…
2026-06-15 10:41TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp12$0.800$9.980x73bf6a…
2026-06-15 09:50REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET-12$0.000$11.800xbac59f…
2026-06-15 09:47TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETDown12$0.820$9.800x728671…
2026-06-15 09:45REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET-12$0.000$12.300xe038f7…
2026-06-15 09:41TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp12$0.800$9.980x8f2a7f…
2026-06-15 09:25REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET-11$0.000$11.130x62a69c…
2026-06-15 09:21TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETDown11$0.870$9.770x813bfd…
2026-06-15 09:16REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET-12$0.000$12.300x5aa207…
2026-06-15 09:12TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown12$0.800$9.980x9c64da…
2026-06-15 08:25REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET-11$0.000$11.260xf3887e…
2026-06-15 08:22TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETDown11$0.850$9.670x7522c8…
2026-06-15 06:02TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETDown12$0.810$9.970xd0b3b9…
2026-06-15 05:41TRADESELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No54$0.960$51.840xc1a3d3…
2026-06-15 05:41TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June No52$0.904$47.010x0a276b…
2026-06-15 05:41TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian pNo55$0.880$48.170x635b84…
2026-06-15 05:41TRADESELLWill Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma GoverNo54$0.771$41.230x131ba8…
2026-06-15 04:45REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET-12$0.000$12.300x8a502b…
2026-06-15 04:42TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETDown12$0.800$9.980xe6c251…
2026-06-15 04:05REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET-11$0.000$11.130x65efbc…
2026-06-15 04:02TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETDown11$0.830$9.350xa50997…
2026-06-15 03:30REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET-13$0.000$13.110x02d6df…
2026-06-15 03:27TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETUp13$0.760$10.130xf96397…
2026-06-15 02:46REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET-12$0.000$12.300x3cdb07…
2026-06-15 02:42TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETDown12$0.800$9.980x0673f1…
2026-06-15 02:40REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET-12$0.000$12.300x318d12…
2026-06-15 02:36TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETUp12$0.800$9.980x99735d…
2026-06-15 02:01TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETDown11$0.860$9.770x5aa39f…
2026-06-15 01:50REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET-11$0.000$11.260x835dc9…
2026-06-15 01:47TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETDown11$0.860$9.770x23127b…
2026-06-15 01:42TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETDown11$0.850$9.560x5ab113…
2026-06-15 01:00REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET-12$0.000$12.300xfabeac…
2026-06-15 00:57TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETUp12$0.800$9.980x6dd4e1…
2026-06-14 23:56TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian pNo55$0.880$48.630x4f2b7d…
2026-06-14 23:00TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No54$0.910$49.140x89fed9…
2026-06-14 22:19TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?No53$0.966$51.200x27e648…
2026-06-14 22:09TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No53$0.977$51.780x3f52a9…
2026-06-14 20:48TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETDown17$0.600$10.200x96ffa4…
2026-06-14 20:40REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET-11$0.000$11.260x5a42e5…
2026-06-14 20:37TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp11$0.840$9.570x1ba124…
2026-06-14 20:32TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETDown17$0.600$10.220x0c245d…
2026-06-14 20:20REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET-12$0.000$12.460x70a161…
2026-06-14 20:17TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp12$0.790$9.980x6fd71e…
2026-06-14 20:00REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET-12$0.000$12.300x114286…
2026-06-14 19:56TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETUp12$0.800$9.980x0f36f8…
2026-06-14 19:25REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET-11$0.000$11.270x45d67a…
2026-06-14 19:22TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETDown11$0.820$9.360x8a6a41…
2026-06-14 19:02TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETDown14$0.700$10.150x09876e…
2026-06-14 18:56REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET-11$0.000$11.260x34cd22…
2026-06-14 18:52TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETUp11$0.860$9.770xe876cb…
2026-06-14 18:36REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET-12$0.000$12.000x6097a5…
2026-06-14 18:31TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp12$0.830$10.080x1fb659…
2026-06-14 18:17TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp11$0.860$9.770xacf250…
2026-06-14 18:10REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET-11$0.000$11.260xa77951…
2026-06-14 18:07TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETDown11$0.860$9.770xfa5665…
2026-06-14 17:45REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET-12$0.000$12.300x4b3e67…
2026-06-14 17:41TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETUp12$0.800$9.980x10ed30…
2026-06-14 17:26REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET-14$0.000$14.200x8e1a99…
2026-06-14 17:22TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETDown14$0.700$10.150xb0843f…
2026-06-14 17:17TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETUp11$0.850$9.450xca782b…
2026-06-14 17:16REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET-12$0.000$12.150x1c6b83…
2026-06-14 17:12TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETUp12$0.810$9.970x572db7…
2026-06-14 16:15REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET-11$0.000$11.260x099fb3…
2026-06-14 16:11TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETUp11$0.860$9.770x59a88f…
2026-06-14 16:05REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET-11$0.000$11.130xf49401…
2026-06-14 16:02TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp11$0.840$9.450x3deb87…
2026-06-14 16:00REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET-14$0.000$14.410xb1082c…
2026-06-14 15:57TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETDown14$0.690$10.160xc001be…
2026-06-14 15:45REDEEM-Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET-14$0.000$14.410x5be5c0…
2026-06-14 15:42TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETDown14$0.680$10.020x1c955e…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

-

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat

Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-15 16:57:07
Latest trade ts
2026-06-15 16:42
Backfill
✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.9

Open positions

2937 open
MarketOutcomeSharesEntryLastUnrealized
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM…Up110.840-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM…Up130.780-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM E…Up110.840-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM E…Down120.810-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM E…Up120.800-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM E…Down120.820-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM E…Up120.800-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM E…Down110.870-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM E…Down120.800-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM E…Down110.850-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM E…Down120.810-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM…Down120.800-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM…Down110.830-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM…Up130.760-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM…Down120.800-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM…Up120.800-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM…Down110.860-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM E…Down110.860-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM E…Down110.850-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM E…Up120.800-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM E…Down170.600-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM E…Up110.840-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM E…Down170.600-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM E…Up120.790-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM E…Up120.800-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM E…Down110.820-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM E…Down140.700-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM E…Up110.860-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM E…Up120.830-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM E…Up110.860-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM E…Down110.860-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM E…Up120.800-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM E…Down140.700-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM E…Up110.850-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM E…Up120.810-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM…Up110.860-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM…Up110.840-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM…Down140.690-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM…Down140.680-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM…Down140.660-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM…Down170.600-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM…Down140.670-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM…Down140.690-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM E…Up120.820-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM E…Up120.800-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM E…Up110.850-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM E…Down110.860-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM E…Down270.746-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM E…Up120.800-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM E…Up120.800-$0.00

Closed positions

most recent 50
Exit whenMarketOutcomeSharesEntryExitRealized
2026-06-15 05:41US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 202…No540.9100.960+$2.70
2026-06-15 05:41Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by Ju…No520.9400.904-$1.87
2026-06-15 05:41Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombia…No550.8800.880$0.00
2026-06-15 05:41Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Go…No540.9040.771-$7.22
2026-06-14 22:19Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?No530.9130.966+$2.81
2026-06-14 22:09Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No530.9300.977+$2.49
2026-06-13 05:48Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No520.9500.970+$1.04
2026-06-12 07:41Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?No520.9360.961+$1.27
2026-06-11 17:37GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No570.8500.926+$4.34
2026-06-11 06:10Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?No550.8670.989+$6.69
2026-06-10 20:48US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…No530.9200.972+$2.76
2026-06-08 05:45GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No491.0000.992-$0.41
2026-06-06 06:28Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…No520.9400.976+$1.87
2026-06-03 18:24Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayor…No560.8600.978+$6.60
2026-06-03 02:14Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral …No540.9100.840-$3.78
2026-06-02 05:31Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles ma…No550.8800.870-$0.55
2026-06-01 19:58Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral …No540.9000.890-$0.54
2026-06-01 19:10Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles ma…No550.8800.870-$0.55
2026-06-01 05:32Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam…No550.8980.884-$0.76
2026-05-31 11:48Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam…No540.9160.858-$3.10
2026-05-31 09:10Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles ma…No560.8700.860-$0.56
2026-05-31 07:18Will any presidential candidate win outright …No550.8910.920+$1.59
2026-05-30 08:48US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No560.8900.940+$2.80
2026-05-30 08:48US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No570.8540.945+$5.19
2026-05-30 00:53Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of …No520.9450.960+$0.78
2026-05-29 05:34US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No560.8700.900+$1.68
2026-05-27 22:38Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by Ma…No540.9030.981+$4.19
2026-05-27 18:49Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31,…No520.9390.975+$1.89
2026-05-27 05:50Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?No560.8750.903+$1.57
2026-05-26 21:26Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by Ma…No520.9450.910-$1.82
2026-05-26 09:19US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 202…No520.9200.940+$1.04
2026-05-26 06:32Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31,…No560.8790.901+$1.23
2026-05-24 22:20Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31,…No530.9200.919-$0.05
2026-05-24 06:06Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May …Yes520.9500.961+$0.57
2026-05-22 06:26US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 202…No540.8900.910+$1.08
2026-05-21 03:53Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republica…No520.9500.940-$0.52
2026-05-21 03:53US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 202…No520.9430.950+$0.36
2026-05-20 19:12Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republica…No520.9400.950+$0.52
2026-05-20 19:12Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No520.9300.950+$1.04
2026-05-18 07:53Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No530.9040.973+$3.66
2026-05-15 22:06Iran closes its airspace by May 18?No530.9100.900-$0.53
2026-05-15 06:57Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 202…Yes0240.8870.973-$28.79
2026-05-15 06:54Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No520.9430.841-$5.30
2026-05-15 06:54Iran closes its airspace by May 18?No530.9260.840-$4.55
2026-05-15 06:54Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 1…No540.9100.840-$3.78
2026-05-15 06:54Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1…No520.9310.931-$0.00
2026-05-15 06:54Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…No540.8900.890$0.00
2026-05-15 06:54Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No560.8600.940+$4.48
2026-05-14 18:38Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during e…No530.9400.975+$1.85
2026-05-14 18:18Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 …No520.9400.971+$1.62

Recent trades

100 of 3,500 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-15 16:42BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12…Up110.840$9.350x7537b0…
2026-06-15 15:27BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11…Up130.780$9.960x981eb4…
2026-06-15 12:37BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:4…Up110.840$9.350xee295d…
2026-06-15 12:02BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:0…Down120.810$9.840x91a18c…
2026-06-15 10:41BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:4…Up120.800$9.840x73bf6a…
2026-06-15 09:47BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:5…Down120.820$9.680x728671…
2026-06-15 09:41BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:4…Up120.800$9.840x8f2a7f…
2026-06-15 09:21BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:2…Down110.870$9.680x813bfd…
2026-06-15 09:12BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:1…Down120.800$9.840x9c64da…
2026-06-15 08:22BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:2…Down110.850$9.570x7522c8…
2026-06-15 06:02BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:0…Down120.810$9.840xd0b3b9…
2026-06-15 05:41SELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15…No540.960$51.840xc1a3d3…
2026-06-15 05:41SELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal …No520.904$47.010x0a276b…
2026-06-15 05:41SELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Col…No550.880$48.400x635b84…
2026-06-15 05:41SELLWill Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklaho…No540.771$41.620x131ba8…
2026-06-15 04:42BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12…Down120.800$9.840xe6c251…
2026-06-15 04:02BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12…Down110.830$9.240xa50997…
2026-06-15 03:27BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11…Up130.760$9.960xf96397…
2026-06-15 02:42BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10…Down120.800$9.840x0673f1…
2026-06-15 02:36BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10…Up120.800$9.840x99735d…
2026-06-15 02:01BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10…Down110.860$9.680x5aa39f…
2026-06-15 01:47BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:5…Down110.860$9.680x23127b…
2026-06-15 01:42BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:4…Down110.850$9.460x5ab113…
2026-06-15 00:57BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:0…Up120.800$9.840x6dd4e1…
2026-06-14 23:56BUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Col…No550.880$48.400x4f2b7d…
2026-06-14 23:00BUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15…No540.910$49.140x89fed9…
2026-06-14 22:19SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?No530.966$51.200x27e648…
2026-06-14 22:09SELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?No530.977$51.780x3f52a9…
2026-06-14 20:48BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:5…Down170.600$9.920x96ffa4…
2026-06-14 20:37BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:4…Up110.840$9.460x1ba124…
2026-06-14 20:32BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:3…Down170.600$9.940x0c245d…
2026-06-14 20:17BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:2…Up120.790$9.840x6fd71e…
2026-06-14 19:56BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:0…Up120.800$9.840x0f36f8…
2026-06-14 19:22BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:2…Down110.820$9.240x8a6a41…
2026-06-14 19:02BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:0…Down140.700$9.940x09876e…
2026-06-14 18:52BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:5…Up110.860$9.680xe876cb…
2026-06-14 18:31BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:3…Up120.830$9.960x1fb659…
2026-06-14 18:17BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:2…Up110.860$9.680xacf250…
2026-06-14 18:07BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:1…Down110.860$9.680xfa5665…
2026-06-14 17:41BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:4…Up120.800$9.840x10ed30…
2026-06-14 17:22BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:2…Down140.700$9.940xb0843f…
2026-06-14 17:17BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:2…Up110.850$9.350xca782b…
2026-06-14 17:12BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:1…Up120.810$9.840x572db7…
2026-06-14 16:11BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12…Up110.860$9.680x59a88f…
2026-06-14 16:02BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12…Up110.840$9.350x3deb87…
2026-06-14 15:57BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12…Down140.690$9.940xc001be…
2026-06-14 15:42BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11…Down140.680$9.800x1c955e…
2026-06-14 15:28BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11…Down140.660$9.520xe62c34…
2026-06-14 15:08BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11…Down170.600$9.920xebaab0…
2026-06-14 14:27BUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10…Down140.670$9.660x8646d9…

By category (closed only)

CategoryN closedRealized PnL
Other46+$49.60
Crypto48+$13.24
Politics15-$4.65

Coordinated-buy involvement

events that included this wallet
WhenMarketWalletsNotionalDiversity
2026-06-15 16:36Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM…18$1.4k0.88