0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855
pivapi
TRACKEDT23 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_copyable|local:god_system_wallets|local:god_system_wallets_api
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$480.8k
84 open · unrealized +$108.9k · 💰 150 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
0%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$4.9k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
220
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -
🟢 Live open positions
84 live · $480,780 current value · unrealized +$108.9k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidenti… | Yes | 331,698 | $0.486 | $0.333 | 48.6% | 33.2% | $161,334 | $110,290 | $-51,044 | -31.6% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican president… | Yes | 295,957 | $0.004 | $0.231 | 0.4% | 23.1% | $1,165 | $68,218 | $+67,053 | +5754.7% | 2028-11-07 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 65,319 | $0.924 | $0.962 | 92.4% | 96.2% | $60,332 | $62,805 | $+2,473 | +4.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 40,040 | $0.847 | $0.940 | 84.7% | 94.0% | $33,934 | $37,617 | $+3,684 | +10.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presid… | Yes | 309,000 | $0.004 | $0.066 | 0.4% | 6.6% | $1,304 | $20,239 | $+18,936 | +1452.5% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential … | No | 15,981 | $0.560 | $0.595 | 56.0% | 59.5% | $8,949 | $9,509 | $+559 | +6.2% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 202… | No | 10,000 | $0.920 | $0.925 | 92.0% | 92.5% | $9,200 | $9,250 | $+50 | +0.5% | 2026-10-10 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presiden… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.029 | 0.4% | 2.9% | $1,197 | $8,664 | $+7,467 | +623.9% | 2028-11-07 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 20,158 | $0.460 | $0.415 | 46.0% | 41.5% | $9,273 | $8,366 | $-907 | -9.8% | 2026-11-03 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | No | 7,853 | $0.646 | $0.987 | 64.6% | 98.7% | $5,074 | $7,751 | $+2,676 | +52.7% | 2026-06-15 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican pres… | Yes | 304,064 | $0.004 | $0.024 | 0.4% | 2.4% | $1,197 | $7,146 | $+5,948 | +496.9% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States … | Yes | 6,522 | $0.363 | $0.993 | 36.3% | 99.2% | $2,365 | $6,473 | $+4,108 | +173.7% | 2026-06-15 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presiden… | Yes | 306,020 | $0.004 | $0.021 | 0.4% | 2.1% | $1,205 | $6,273 | $+5,069 | +420.7% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican preside… | Yes | 319,000 | $0.004 | $0.019 | 0.4% | 1.9% | $1,256 | $6,220 | $+4,965 | +395.3% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican president… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.018 | 0.4% | 1.8% | $1,197 | $5,320 | $+4,123 | +344.5% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential El… | Yes | 8,696 | $0.560 | $0.585 | 56.0% | 58.5% | $4,870 | $5,087 | $+217 | +4.5% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Ele… | Yes | 29,130 | $0.162 | $0.143 | 16.2% | 14.3% | $4,710 | $4,180 | $-530 | -11.3% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presid… | Yes | 304,113 | $0.004 | $0.013 | 0.4% | 1.4% | $1,197 | $4,106 | $+2,908 | +242.9% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presi… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.013 | 0.4% | 1.2% | $1,197 | $3,800 | $+2,603 | +217.5% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican preside… | Yes | 316,141 | $0.004 | $0.011 | 0.4% | 1.1% | $1,245 | $3,636 | $+2,391 | +192.1% | 2028-11-07 |
| Trump on $250 bill this year? | No | 3,927 | $0.900 | $0.915 | 90.0% | 91.5% | $3,534 | $3,593 | $+59 | +1.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presiden… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.011 | 0.4% | 1.1% | $1,197 | $3,192 | $+1,995 | +166.7% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential… | Yes | 314,000 | $0.004 | $0.009 | 0.4% | 0.9% | $1,236 | $2,983 | $+1,747 | +141.3% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republica… | Yes | 308,064 | $0.004 | $0.009 | 0.4% | 0.9% | $1,213 | $2,927 | $+1,714 | +141.3% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidentia… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.009 | 0.4% | 0.9% | $1,197 | $2,888 | $+1,691 | +141.3% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidentia… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.009 | 0.4% | 0.9% | $1,197 | $2,888 | $+1,691 | +141.3% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican president… | Yes | 319,000 | $0.004 | $0.009 | 0.4% | 0.9% | $1,256 | $2,712 | $+1,456 | +115.9% | 2028-11-07 |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 2,890 | $0.890 | $0.905 | 89.0% | 90.5% | $2,572 | $2,615 | $+43 | +1.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican… | Yes | 304,945 | $0.004 | $0.009 | 0.4% | 0.9% | $1,201 | $2,592 | $+1,391 | +115.9% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican president… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.009 | 0.4% | 0.9% | $1,197 | $2,584 | $+1,387 | +115.9% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presid… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.009 | 0.4% | 0.9% | $1,197 | $2,584 | $+1,387 | +115.9% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidenti… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.009 | 0.4% | 0.9% | $1,197 | $2,584 | $+1,387 | +115.9% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican president… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.009 | 0.4% | 0.9% | $1,197 | $2,584 | $+1,387 | +115.9% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidentia… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.009 | 0.4% | 0.9% | $1,197 | $2,584 | $+1,387 | +115.9% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presiden… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.009 | 0.4% | 0.9% | $1,197 | $2,584 | $+1,387 | +115.9% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidenti… | Yes | 338,288 | $0.008 | $0.007 | 0.8% | 0.8% | $2,834 | $2,537 | $-297 | -10.5% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential… | Yes | 319,000 | $0.004 | $0.007 | 0.4% | 0.8% | $1,256 | $2,392 | $+1,137 | +90.5% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presiden… | Yes | 319,000 | $0.004 | $0.007 | 0.4% | 0.8% | $1,256 | $2,392 | $+1,137 | +90.5% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican preside… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.007 | 0.4% | 0.8% | $1,197 | $2,280 | $+1,083 | +90.5% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presid… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.007 | 0.4% | 0.8% | $1,197 | $2,280 | $+1,083 | +90.5% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidenti… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.007 | 0.4% | 0.8% | $1,197 | $2,280 | $+1,083 | +90.5% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidenti… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.007 | 0.4% | 0.8% | $1,197 | $2,280 | $+1,083 | +90.5% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republica… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.007 | 0.4% | 0.8% | $1,197 | $2,280 | $+1,083 | +90.5% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidenti… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.007 | 0.4% | 0.8% | $1,197 | $2,280 | $+1,083 | +90.5% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 20… | Yes | 5,000 | $0.450 | $0.455 | 45.0% | 45.5% | $2,250 | $2,275 | $+25 | +1.1% | 1970-01-01 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 2,835 | $0.269 | $0.755 | 26.9% | 75.5% | $764 | $2,141 | $+1,377 | +180.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidenti… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.006 | 0.4% | 0.7% | $1,197 | $1,976 | $+779 | +65.1% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican president… | Yes | 304,000 | $0.004 | $0.006 | 0.4% | 0.7% | $1,197 | $1,976 | $+779 | +65.1% | 2028-11-07 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31… | Yes | 10,000 | $0.292 | $0.160 | 29.2% | 16.0% | $2,925 | $1,600 | $-1,325 | -45.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presiden… | Yes | 6,743 | $0.274 | $0.235 | 27.4% | 23.5% | $1,848 | $1,588 | $-260 | -14.1% | 2028-11-07 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
150 markets settled · $0 unclaimed📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
Sun
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Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-14 22:34:09
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 22:22
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
10 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race … | Yes | 5000 | 0.450 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United St… | Yes | 6522 | 0.612 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | No | 594 | 0.701 | - | $0.00 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | No | 5343 | 0.781 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | Yes | 0 | 717781.400 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US custom… | No | 33 | 0.390 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US custom… | Yes | 4801 | 0.149 | - | $0.00 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 341 | 0.160 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US… | Yes | 9239 | 0.053 | - | $0.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20… | Yes | 0 | 8057394.500 | - | $0.00 |
Closed positions
most recent 50| Exit when | Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Exit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 22:22 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20… | Yes | 4231 | 1.595 | 0.852 | -$3.1k |
| 2026-06-14 20:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by… | Yes | 6100 | 0.463 | 0.180 | -$1.7k |
Recent trades
100 of 220 shownBy category (closed only)
| Category | N closed | Realized PnL |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | -$4.9k |