Polymarket Monitor

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0x1b5655739e33491a3d831bcb51e2c74e0501715e

no username
TRACKEDVPST25 SOURCES
Sources: vps:active_manifest|vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:filter_3.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$27.9k
13 open · unrealized +$1.6k
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
50%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$2.2k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
405
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -

🟢 Live open positions

13 live · $27,873 current value · unrealized +$1.6k
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?No6,000$0.910$0.82591.0%82.5%$5,460$4,950$-510-9.3%2026-07-01
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 1…No3,000$0.989$0.99398.9%99.2%$2,967$2,978$+11+0.4%2026-06-16
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No3,000$0.980$0.98798.0%98.7%$2,940$2,961$+21+0.7%2026-06-15
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No3,000$0.926$0.93292.6%93.2%$2,778$2,798$+20+0.7%2026-07-20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes3,030$0.662$0.91566.2%91.5%$2,007$2,772$+765+38.1%2026-05-15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes3,000$0.560$0.89556.0%89.5%$1,680$2,685$+1,005+59.8%2026-05-31
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes2,775$0.929$0.90592.9%90.5%$2,578$2,511$-66-2.6%2026-07-19
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes3,000$0.660$0.75566.0%75.5%$1,980$2,265$+285+14.4%2026-06-30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July…Yes3,000$0.504$0.63550.4%63.5%$1,512$1,905$+393+26.0%2026-07-31
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes2,021$0.750$0.89775.0%89.8%$1,516$1,814$+298+19.7%2026-07-01
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes3,087$0.270$0.07527.0%7.5%$833$232$-601-72.2%2026-06-30
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No3$0.930$0.97793.0%97.7%$3$3$+0+5.0%2026-07-01
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No0$0.930$0.91593.0%91.5%$0$0$-0-1.6%2026-07-01

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-14 22:30REDEEM-Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)-200$0.000$200.000xdeddcb…
2026-06-14 22:28TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes2,999$0.998$3.0k0x4b1b23…
2026-06-14 22:17TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensYes1$0.998$1.410xcbe81f…
2026-06-14 22:12TRADESELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes979$0.990$969.220x05c86e…
2026-06-14 21:55TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 14?No2,978$0.999$3.0k0xac2ba3…
2026-06-14 21:52TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes3,000$0.998$3.0k0x03d590…
2026-06-14 21:36TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 14?No22$0.999$21.890xa137ee…
2026-06-14 21:07TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates afYes1,372$0.930$1.3k0x313a6e…
2026-06-14 20:14TRADEBUYSpread: Netherlands (-2.5)Japan200$0.940$188.340x9cf67e…
2026-06-14 18:28TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates afYes1$0.930$0.990x72267b…
2026-06-14 15:29TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates afYes102$0.930$95.230x5a32ec…
2026-06-14 15:09TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No0$0.940$0.140x1b8ee1…
2026-06-14 15:09TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No5$0.940$4.990x687181…
2026-06-14 15:09TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No2$0.940$1.950x058d0e…
2026-06-14 15:09TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No1$0.940$1.340x8a7ffa…
2026-06-14 15:02TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates afYes100$0.930$93.000x0a4dbd…
2026-06-14 14:40TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates afYes1$0.930$1.000xaef690…
2026-06-14 14:14TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates afYes26$0.930$24.000xfd2b1c…
2026-06-14 14:13TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates afYes11$0.930$10.000x0685a5…
2026-06-14 14:09TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No14$0.940$12.750xd0a2fa…
2026-06-14 14:06TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No1$0.940$1.000x7f3f56…
2026-06-14 14:06TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No2$0.940$2.000x67ee08…
2026-06-14 14:06TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No1$0.940$1.000xf3eec5…
2026-06-14 14:05TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No1$0.940$1.090x0c02e4…
2026-06-14 13:42TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates afYes62$0.930$57.550x44e38f…
2026-06-14 12:28TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates afYes323$0.930$300.000x61084f…
2026-06-14 11:30TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No1$0.940$1.000x9da78b…
2026-06-14 11:30TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No1$0.940$1.000x10044f…
2026-06-14 11:30TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No2$0.940$1.590x843880…
2026-06-14 11:29TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No2$0.940$2.000x55b74c…
2026-06-14 11:29TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No1$0.940$1.110xe23ba3…
2026-06-14 11:29TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No3$0.940$2.420x58faf5…
2026-06-14 11:29TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No3$0.940$2.730x152ea0…
2026-06-14 10:51TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes539$0.730$393.380xc62703…
2026-06-14 10:47TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by JuneNo3,000$0.989$3.0k0xc76eb0…
2026-06-14 10:44TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No250$0.940$235.000x0dbcac…
2026-06-14 10:38TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by JuYes1,600$0.560$896.000x64b591…
2026-06-14 10:36TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.040x55e450…
2026-06-14 10:36TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.040x2a16fb…
2026-06-14 10:35TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.040xbfe882…
2026-06-14 10:35TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.040xc15cc0…
2026-06-14 10:33TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes3,000$0.750$2.2k0x78f6ec…
2026-06-14 10:33TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 14?No1,983$0.990$2.0k0x6baecd…
2026-06-14 10:26TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes20$0.730$14.600x1f86a8…
2026-06-14 10:24TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.010x2da82e…
2026-06-14 10:24TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.010x1270cf…
2026-06-14 10:24TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.010xd86bfc…
2026-06-14 10:24TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.010xbbc1cc…
2026-06-14 10:23TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes75$0.730$54.750xfff874…
2026-06-14 10:16TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.010x1445d6…
2026-06-14 10:16TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.010x756b53…
2026-06-14 10:16TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.010x90f7c2…
2026-06-14 10:16TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.020x3a077a…
2026-06-14 10:12TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes20$0.730$14.600x05db8f…
2026-06-14 10:12TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No6$0.940$5.410x042984…
2026-06-14 10:10TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.040xcf1738…
2026-06-14 10:10TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.040xca2b7c…
2026-06-14 10:10TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.040x3bf99a…
2026-06-14 10:10TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.040x018157…
2026-06-14 10:10TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.040x5e3a5b…
2026-06-14 10:10TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.010x970d49…
2026-06-14 10:08TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No58$0.940$54.770x0c2cb1…
2026-06-14 10:07TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No46$0.940$43.490x37179b…
2026-06-14 10:07TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.250x3ec0c2…
2026-06-14 10:06TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes1$0.730$0.510xf74bc3…
2026-06-14 10:06TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes86$0.730$62.550x0c1173…
2026-06-14 10:04TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.150xac98bb…
2026-06-14 10:04TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.310xc920d6…
2026-06-14 10:03TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes65$0.730$47.450xb82b62…
2026-06-14 10:03TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes42$0.730$30.660xc47d28…
2026-06-14 10:03TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes52$0.730$37.960x09f8d9…
2026-06-14 10:03TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes47$0.730$34.310xd23329…
2026-06-14 09:59TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes100$0.730$73.000xa888d4…
2026-06-14 09:56TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No171$0.940$161.130x5bfe10…
2026-06-14 09:42TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes39$0.730$28.470x66976c…
2026-06-14 09:40TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes141$0.730$102.930x8303f7…
2026-06-14 09:34TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.060x423ebb…
2026-06-14 09:34TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.130x1de35c…
2026-06-14 09:27TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.730$0.040xbf2bca…
2026-06-14 09:27TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes10$0.730$7.300x54a330…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

-

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat

Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-14 22:33:33
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 22:28
Backfill
✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])
0.8
0.8
0.9

Open positions

18 open
MarketOutcomeSharesEntryLastUnrealized
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Japan2000.940-$0.00
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by J…No30000.989-$0.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by…Yes16000.560-$0.00
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 202…Yes20211.113-$0.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No30000.926-$0.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026…Yes25000.650-$0.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No18715.681-$0.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20…Yes24000.700-$0.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes30000.660-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes0659966.000-$0.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates…Yes075512.990-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No50049.652-$0.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium sto…No0112561.170-$0.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?No0589599.060-$0.00
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by J…No0108987.740-$0.00
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No018612.350-$0.00
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?No06511.195-$0.00
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes1000.900-$0.00

Closed positions

most recent 50
Exit whenMarketOutcomeSharesEntryExitRealized
2026-06-14 21:52Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…Yes22050.6930.998+$671.97
2026-06-13 03:14Israel closes its airspace by June 12?No10000.9910.998+$7.00
2026-06-12 20:01Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium sto…No10862.5700.940-$1.8k
2026-06-12 18:56Israel closes its airspace by June 12?No2812.6600.996-$467.95

Recent trades

100 of 405 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-14 22:28SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes29990.998$3.0k0x4b1b23…
2026-06-14 22:17SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefir…Yes10.998$1.410xcbe81f…
2026-06-14 22:12SELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30…Yes9790.990$969.220x05c86e…
2026-06-14 21:55SELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 14?No29780.999$3.0k0xac2ba3…
2026-06-14 21:52SELLWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes30000.998$3.0k0x03d590…
2026-06-14 21:36SELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 14?No220.999$21.890xa137ee…
2026-06-14 21:07SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest …Yes13720.930$1.3k0x313a6e…
2026-06-14 20:14BUYSpread: Netherlands (-2.5)Japan2000.940$188.000x9cf67e…
2026-06-14 18:28SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest …Yes10.930$0.990x72267b…
2026-06-14 15:29SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest …Yes1020.930$95.230x5a32ec…
2026-06-14 15:09SELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No00.940$0.140x1b8ee1…
2026-06-14 15:09SELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No50.940$4.990x687181…
2026-06-14 15:09SELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No20.940$1.950x058d0e…
2026-06-14 15:09SELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No10.940$1.340x8a7ffa…
2026-06-14 15:02SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest …Yes1000.930$93.000x0a4dbd…
2026-06-14 14:40SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest …Yes10.930$1.000xaef690…
2026-06-14 14:14SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest …Yes260.930$24.000xfd2b1c…
2026-06-14 14:13SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest …Yes110.930$10.000x0685a5…
2026-06-14 14:09SELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No140.940$12.750xd0a2fa…
2026-06-14 14:06SELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No10.940$1.000x7f3f56…
2026-06-14 14:06SELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No20.940$2.000x67ee08…
2026-06-14 14:06SELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No10.940$1.000xf3eec5…
2026-06-14 14:05SELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No10.940$1.090x0c02e4…
2026-06-14 13:42SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest …Yes620.930$57.550x44e38f…
2026-06-14 12:28SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest …Yes3230.930$300.000x61084f…
2026-06-14 11:30SELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No10.940$1.000x9da78b…
2026-06-14 11:30SELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No10.940$1.000x10044f…
2026-06-14 11:30SELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No20.940$1.590x843880…
2026-06-14 11:29SELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No20.940$2.000x55b74c…
2026-06-14 11:29SELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No10.940$1.110xe23ba3…
2026-06-14 11:29SELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No30.940$2.420x58faf5…
2026-06-14 11:29SELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No30.940$2.730x152ea0…
2026-06-14 10:51BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes5390.730$393.380xc62703…
2026-06-14 10:47BUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over…No30000.989$3.0k0xc76eb0…
2026-06-14 10:44SELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No2500.940$235.000x0dbcac…
2026-06-14 10:38BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm…Yes16000.560$896.000x64b591…
2026-06-14 10:36BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes00.730$0.040x55e450…
2026-06-14 10:36BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes00.730$0.040x2a16fb…
2026-06-14 10:35BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes00.730$0.040xbfe882…
2026-06-14 10:35BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes00.730$0.040xc15cc0…
2026-06-14 10:33BUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30…Yes30000.750$2.2k0x78f6ec…
2026-06-14 10:33BUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 14?No19830.990$2.0k0x6baecd…
2026-06-14 10:26BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes200.730$14.600x1f86a8…
2026-06-14 10:24BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes00.730$0.010x2da82e…
2026-06-14 10:24BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes00.730$0.010x1270cf…
2026-06-14 10:24BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes00.730$0.010xd86bfc…
2026-06-14 10:24BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes00.730$0.010xbbc1cc…
2026-06-14 10:23BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes750.730$54.750xfff874…
2026-06-14 10:16BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes00.730$0.010x1445d6…
2026-06-14 10:16BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes00.730$0.010x756b53…

By category (closed only)

CategoryN closedRealized PnL
Politics1+$671.97
Other3-$2.2k

Coordinated-buy involvement

events that included this wallet
WhenMarketWalletsNotionalDiversity
2026-06-05 16:25US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…3$5.8k0.94
2026-06-05 16:15Iran closes its airspace by June 8?3$5.8k0.93
2026-06-05 15:48Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?3$13.9k0.90
2026-06-05 15:45Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?3$13.9k0.91
2026-06-05 09:14Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium sto…3$27.7k0.83
2026-06-05 06:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by…3$46.2k0.70
2026-06-05 00:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…3$21.5k0.74
2026-06-04 18:46Israel closes its airspace by June 15?3$6.5k0.85
2026-06-04 14:10Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?4$6.1k0.87
2026-06-03 22:26Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by Ju…3$4.9k0.77
2026-06-03 22:20Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by Ju…3$4.9k0.77
2026-06-03 20:14US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…3$15.8k0.80
2026-06-03 20:13US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 202…4$30.1k0.86
2026-06-03 20:13US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…3$10.0k0.92
2026-06-03 20:08US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 202…4$30.1k0.86
2026-06-03 10:12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by…3$7.9k0.86
2026-06-02 23:18Israel closes its airspace by June 15?3$4.2k0.74
2026-06-02 23:16Israel closes its airspace by June 15?3$4.3k0.74
2026-06-02 23:09Israel closes its airspace by June 15?3$4.1k0.74
2026-06-02 09:15US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 202…3$4.9k0.76