0x162f6fff88a52864f2ecc9833e58089d5254798d
Casablanca10
TRACKEDT22 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_wallets|local:god_system_wallets_api
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$311.3k
19 open · unrealized +$31.1k · 💰 23 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
10%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$73.9k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
869
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -
🟢 Live open positions
19 live · $311,340 current value · unrealized +$31.1k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 230,791 | $0.368 | $0.555 | 36.8% | 55.5% | $84,953 | $128,089 | $+43,136 | +50.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June … | Yes | 131,297 | $0.265 | $0.365 | 26.5% | 36.5% | $34,810 | $47,923 | $+13,113 | +37.7% | 2026-06-30 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 245,476 | $0.156 | $0.116 | 15.6% | 11.6% | $38,375 | $28,475 | $-9,900 | -25.8% | 2026-06-15 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | Yes | 33,667 | $0.602 | $0.735 | 60.2% | 73.5% | $20,259 | $24,745 | $+4,486 | +22.1% | 2026-06-30 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July… | Yes | 40,847 | $0.463 | $0.515 | 46.3% | 51.5% | $18,898 | $21,036 | $+2,138 | +11.3% | 2026-07-31 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormu… | Yes | 55,865 | $0.325 | $0.345 | 32.5% | 34.5% | $18,130 | $19,268 | $+1,138 | +6.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end … | Yes | 125,488 | $0.315 | $0.145 | 31.5% | 14.5% | $39,499 | $18,196 | $-21,304 | -53.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States … | Yes | 6,259 | $0.640 | $0.665 | 64.0% | 66.5% | $4,006 | $4,162 | $+157 | +3.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15… | Yes | 66,769 | $0.098 | $0.061 | 9.8% | 6.1% | $6,546 | $4,073 | $-2,474 | -37.8% | 2026-06-15 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 5,588 | $0.442 | $0.725 | 44.2% | 72.5% | $2,469 | $4,051 | $+1,582 | +64.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30… | Yes | 25,677 | $0.143 | $0.149 | 14.3% | 14.9% | $3,666 | $3,839 | $+173 | +4.7% | 2026-06-30 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 202… | Yes | 27,238 | $0.080 | $0.113 | 8.0% | 11.3% | $2,183 | $3,078 | $+895 | +41.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | Yes | 12,068 | $0.268 | $0.135 | 26.8% | 13.5% | $3,236 | $1,629 | $-1,607 | -49.6% | 2026-06-14 |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 20… | No | 1,933 | $0.730 | $0.715 | 73.0% | 71.5% | $1,411 | $1,382 | $-29 | -2.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 5,023 | $0.317 | $0.220 | 31.7% | 22.0% | $1,595 | $1,105 | $-490 | -30.7% | 2026-06-16 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.550 | $0.640 | 55.0% | 64.0% | $110 | $128 | $+18 | +16.4% | 2026-07-01 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.380 | $0.535 | 38.0% | 53.5% | $76 | $107 | $+31 | +40.8% | 2026-06-23 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio… | Yes | 80 | $0.560 | $0.560 | 56.0% | 56.0% | $45 | $45 | $+0 | +0.0% | 2026-06-19 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Yes | 33 | $0.330 | $0.255 | 33.0% | 25.5% | $11 | $8 | $-2 | -22.7% | 2026-06-21 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
23 markets settled · $0 unclaimed📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
Sun
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Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-14 19:57:33
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 19:17
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
12 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20… | Yes | 85054 | 0.367 | - | $0.00 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by … | Yes | 96114 | 0.313 | - | $0.00 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through … | Yes | 55864 | 0.325 | - | $0.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | Yes | 0 | 648281.600 | - | $0.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by… | Yes | 23876 | 0.180 | - | $0.00 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 202… | Yes | 5023 | 0.317 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United St… | Yes | 1259 | 0.600 | - | $0.00 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by Ju… | Yes | 26280 | 0.050 | - | $0.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | Yes | 12068 | 0.822 | - | $0.00 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026… | Yes | 0 | 64206.418 | - | $0.00 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 78041 | 0.566 | - | $0.00 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 202… | Yes | 76 | 0.400 | - | $0.00 |
Closed positions
most recent 50| Exit when | Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Exit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 16:49 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United St… | Yes | 1840 | 0.374 | 0.380 | +$11.64 |
| 2026-06-14 14:39 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20… | Yes | 1333 | 8.804 | 0.093 | -$11.6k |
| 2026-06-14 12:15 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | Yes | 2000 | 0.440 | 0.384 | -$111.53 |
| 2026-06-14 12:15 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | Yes | 2205 | 4.319 | 0.294 | -$8.9k |
| 2026-06-14 12:14 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20… | Yes | 3132 | 14.615 | 0.151 | -$45.3k |
| 2026-06-14 07:55 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30… | Yes | 10000 | 0.121 | 0.104 | -$167.01 |
| 2026-06-13 16:45 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026… | Yes | 9926 | 0.083 | 0.050 | -$322.63 |
| 2026-06-13 11:14 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026… | Yes | 1145 | 3.791 | 0.490 | -$3.8k |
| 2026-06-12 21:14 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | Yes | 254 | 14.574 | 0.033 | -$3.7k |
| 2026-06-12 14:53 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | Yes | 1230 | 0.600 | 0.600 | $0.00 |
Recent trades
100 of 869 shownBy category (closed only)
| Category | N closed | Realized PnL |
|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | +$11.64 |
| Other | 9 | -$73.9k |