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0x1521b47bf0c41f6b7fd3ad41cdec566812c8f23e

alliswell
TRACKEDT26 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_wallets|local:god_system_wallets_api|vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:filter_3.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$258.2k
9 open · unrealized +$6.8k
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
50%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$42.7k
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
175
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -

🟢 Live open positions

9 live · $258,213 current value · unrealized +$6.8k
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
Will the Republican Party control the House after …No150,008$0.800$0.82580.0%82.5%$120,006$123,757$+3,750+3.1%2026-11-03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by Ju…No89,879$0.959$0.99095.9%99.0%$86,149$88,935$+2,786+3.2%2026-06-30
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colomb…Yes30,000$0.879$0.88587.9%88.5%$26,364$26,550$+186+0.7%2026-06-21
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo23,563$0.800$0.80580.0%80.5%$18,851$18,969$+118+0.6%2026-11-03
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No1$0.500$0.87550.0%87.5%$0$1$+0+75.0%2026-12-31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No0$0.690$0.88569.0%88.5%$0$0$+0+28.2%2026-12-31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No0$0.975$0.99497.5%99.4%$0$0$+0+1.8%2026-06-30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end …Yes1$0.340$0.29534.0%29.5%$0$0$-0-13.2%2026-06-30
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes1$0.500$0.12550.0%12.5%$0$0$-0-75.0%2026-12-31

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-15 05:33TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No1,000$0.990$990.000xe4ea74…
2026-06-15 05:29TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No1,329$0.990$1.3k0x794981…
2026-06-15 05:29TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No9,782$0.990$9.7k0x794981…
2026-06-15 05:25TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No218$0.990$216.060x6cb3e4…
2026-06-15 03:35TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo50$0.800$40.000x7cca52…
2026-06-15 03:13TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo500$0.800$400.000x5f6d7e…
2026-06-15 02:50TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes50$0.880$44.100x472bfe…
2026-06-15 02:49TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes200$0.880$176.000x90c401…
2026-06-15 02:47TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo13,850$0.800$11.1k0xd32992…
2026-06-15 02:46TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes200$0.880$176.000x2fedbb…
2026-06-15 02:23TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo100$0.800$80.000x071453…
2026-06-15 02:22TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes450$0.880$395.560x7df4e5…
2026-06-15 02:13TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes8$0.880$7.330xd162c5…
2026-06-15 02:04TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes3,383$0.880$3.0k0x0622d0…
2026-06-15 01:53TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes57$0.880$50.010xa15e59…
2026-06-15 01:44TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo83$0.800$66.650x9315c0…
2026-06-15 01:42TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo8,980$0.800$7.2k0x830479…
2026-06-15 01:40TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes40$0.880$35.000x59bec4…
2026-06-15 01:37TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes32$0.880$28.530xd73808…
2026-06-15 01:35TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes1$0.880$1.290x4a28a2…
2026-06-15 01:10TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes25$0.880$22.000x552618…
2026-06-15 01:09TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes16$0.880$14.080x0b096d…
2026-06-15 01:00TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes5,538$0.880$4.9k0xe31fa5…
2026-06-15 01:00TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes11,385$0.880$10.0k0xe31fa5…
2026-06-15 00:58TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes36$0.880$31.860x0998ce…
2026-06-15 00:54TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes20$0.880$17.600xf880e3…
2026-06-15 00:51TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes74$0.880$64.750x21c891…
2026-06-15 00:45MAKER_REBATE--7$0.000$6.700x86aece…
2026-06-15 00:26TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes216$0.880$190.490x82ddde…
2026-06-15 00:23TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes12$0.880$10.250x157957…
2026-06-15 00:17TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes147$0.880$129.540x078f81…
2026-06-15 00:15REWARD--1$0.000$1.020x57ce2c…
2026-06-15 00:12YIELD--11$0.000$10.990xe2147a…
2026-06-15 00:00REWARD--126$0.000$126.450xa9a158…
2026-06-14 23:53TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes83$0.880$73.040x432a49…
2026-06-14 23:53TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes83$0.880$73.040xc06810…
2026-06-14 23:53TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes346$0.880$304.480x244a74…
2026-06-14 23:53TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes800$0.880$704.000x3b86f2…
2026-06-14 23:53TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes30$0.880$26.400xcffd66…
2026-06-14 23:52TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes63$0.880$55.200xefd703…
2026-06-14 23:51TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes16$0.880$14.190x5649b3…
2026-06-14 23:28TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 ColoYes4,913$0.880$4.3k0xb2a0e5…
2026-06-14 23:27TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No20,000$0.988$19.8k0xb43919…
2026-06-14 22:14TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes12,708$0.860$10.9k0x1476fe…
2026-06-14 22:14TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes2,264$0.860$1.9k0x4d4597…
2026-06-14 22:14TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes1,877$0.860$1.6k0x8fa593…
2026-06-14 22:14TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes17$0.860$14.320x9b6996…
2026-06-14 22:14TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes12$0.860$10.740x612a12…
2026-06-14 22:13TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes24$0.860$20.350x867372…
2026-06-14 22:13TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes3,098$0.860$2.7k0xb07a3d…
2026-06-14 22:11TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes3,305$0.840$2.8k0xc36625…
2026-06-14 22:11TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes735$0.840$617.640xdc32ec…
2026-06-14 22:11TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes658$0.840$552.630xb1538c…
2026-06-14 22:10TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes3,000$0.840$2.5k0xf28a13…
2026-06-14 22:10TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes312$0.840$262.500x4d1446…
2026-06-14 22:10TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes1$0.840$1.100x497512…
2026-06-14 22:10TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes3$0.840$2.130xe1261c…
2026-06-14 22:09TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes1,985$0.840$1.7k0x731544…
2026-06-14 22:09TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes6,977$0.850$5.9k0x3a3643…
2026-06-14 22:09TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes46$0.850$39.350xe8b64a…
2026-06-14 22:09TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes2,977$0.850$2.5k0xc6af35…
2026-06-14 22:01TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes3,834$0.730$2.8k0x763b38…
2026-06-14 22:01TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes26$0.730$19.180x9823d6…
2026-06-14 22:01TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,500$0.730$1.1k0x99e3d5…
2026-06-14 22:01TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes555$0.730$405.150xff1676…
2026-06-14 22:01TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,111$0.730$811.030x60396f…
2026-06-14 22:00TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes12,974$0.730$9.5k0x3a4b2a…
2026-06-14 21:31TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes10,000$0.521$5.2k0x96569f…
2026-06-14 21:30TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes10,000$0.541$5.4k0x365f54…
2026-06-14 21:27TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No10,000$0.977$9.8k0x113174…
2026-06-14 21:24TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House afteNo8$0.810$6.530xde1ea0…
2026-06-14 20:50TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No10,000$0.964$9.6k0x06aee2…
2026-06-14 20:40TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No10,000$0.973$9.7k0x0ddc75…
2026-06-14 18:20MERGE-US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?-20,089$0.000$20.1k0xbd0185…
2026-06-14 18:19TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No7,339$0.550$4.0k0x377ff8…
2026-06-14 18:17TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No3,000$0.550$1.6k0x1e199a…
2026-06-14 18:17TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No9,750$0.550$5.4k0xeebae2…
2026-06-14 17:58TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes9,792$0.470$4.6k0x3692b3…
2026-06-14 17:55TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes208$0.470$97.920xae9828…
2026-06-14 17:43TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes8,619$0.510$4.4k0x922eba…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

-

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat

Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-15 05:32:11
Latest trade ts
2026-06-15 05:25
Backfill
✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.8
0.9

Open positions

7 open
MarketOutcomeSharesEntryLastUnrealized
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo82122.972-$0.00
Will the Republican Party control the House a…No80.810-$0.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20…No200890.550-$0.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20…Yes200891.331-$0.00
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 C…Yes300000.879-$0.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…Yes03989464.500-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes0686.212-$0.00

Closed positions

most recent 50
Exit whenMarketOutcomeSharesEntryExitRealized
2026-06-14 21:27Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control …No100000.9640.977+$130.00
2026-06-14 20:40Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control …No78856.3930.973-$42.7k

Recent trades

100 of 175 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-15 05:25SELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian con…No2180.990$216.060x6cb3e4…
2026-06-15 03:35BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo500.800$40.000x7cca52…
2026-06-15 03:13BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo5000.800$400.000x5f6d7e…
2026-06-15 02:50BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes500.880$44.100x472bfe…
2026-06-15 02:49BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes2000.880$176.000x90c401…
2026-06-15 02:47BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo138500.800$11.1k0xd32992…
2026-06-15 02:46BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes2000.880$176.000x2fedbb…
2026-06-15 02:23BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo1000.800$80.000x071453…
2026-06-15 02:22BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes4500.880$395.560x7df4e5…
2026-06-15 02:13BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes80.880$7.330xd162c5…
2026-06-15 02:04BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes33830.880$3.0k0x0622d0…
2026-06-15 01:53BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes570.880$50.010xa15e59…
2026-06-15 01:44BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo830.800$66.650x9315c0…
2026-06-15 01:42BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo89800.800$7.2k0x830479…
2026-06-15 01:40BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes400.880$35.000x59bec4…
2026-06-15 01:37BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes320.880$28.530xd73808…
2026-06-15 01:35BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes10.880$1.290x4a28a2…
2026-06-15 01:10BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes250.880$22.000x552618…
2026-06-15 01:09BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes160.880$14.080x0b096d…
2026-06-15 01:00BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes55380.880$4.9k0xe31fa5…
2026-06-15 01:00BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes113850.880$10.0k0xe31fa5…
2026-06-15 00:58BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes360.880$31.860x0998ce…
2026-06-15 00:54BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes200.880$17.600xf880e3…
2026-06-15 00:51BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes740.880$64.750x21c891…
2026-06-15 00:26BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes2160.880$190.490x82ddde…
2026-06-15 00:23BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes120.880$10.250x157957…
2026-06-15 00:17BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes1470.880$129.540x078f81…
2026-06-14 23:53BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes830.880$73.040x432a49…
2026-06-14 23:53BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes830.880$73.040xc06810…
2026-06-14 23:53BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes3460.880$304.480x244a74…
2026-06-14 23:53BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes8000.880$704.000x3b86f2…
2026-06-14 23:53BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes300.880$26.400xcffd66…
2026-06-14 23:52BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes630.880$55.200xefd703…
2026-06-14 23:51BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes160.880$14.190x5649b3…
2026-06-14 23:28BUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2…Yes49130.880$4.3k0xb2a0e5…
2026-06-14 23:27SELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian con…No200000.988$19.8k0xb43919…
2026-06-14 22:14SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes127080.860$10.9k0x1476fe…
2026-06-14 22:14SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes22640.860$1.9k0x4d4597…
2026-06-14 22:14SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes18770.860$1.6k0x8fa593…
2026-06-14 22:14SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes170.860$14.320x9b6996…
2026-06-14 22:14SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes120.860$10.740x612a12…
2026-06-14 22:13SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes240.860$20.350x867372…
2026-06-14 22:13SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes30980.860$2.7k0xb07a3d…
2026-06-14 22:11BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes33050.840$2.8k0xc36625…
2026-06-14 22:11BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes7350.840$617.640xdc32ec…
2026-06-14 22:11BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes6580.840$552.630xb1538c…
2026-06-14 22:10BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes30000.840$2.5k0xf28a13…
2026-06-14 22:10BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes3120.840$262.500x4d1446…
2026-06-14 22:10BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes10.840$1.100x497512…
2026-06-14 22:10BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 3…Yes30.840$2.130xe1261c…

By category (closed only)

CategoryN closedRealized PnL
Other2-$42.6k

Coordinated-buy involvement

events that included this wallet
WhenMarketWalletsNotionalDiversity
2026-06-05 16:15Iran closes its airspace by June 8?3$5.8k0.93
2026-06-03 23:54MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…6$356.6k0.72
2026-06-03 23:52MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…5$354.4k0.74
2026-06-03 21:04MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…3$62.8k0.97
2026-06-03 20:03Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?3$17.2k0.59
2026-06-02 20:38MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…5$106.0k0.85
2026-06-02 19:50MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…7$345.2k0.66
2026-06-02 19:48MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…7$352.2k0.75
2026-06-02 19:45MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…4$211.9k0.45
2026-06-02 19:40MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…5$173.1k0.72
2026-06-02 19:40MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…6$228.8k0.76
2026-06-02 19:18MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…5$153.8k0.83
2026-06-02 19:16MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…5$166.8k0.83
2026-06-02 19:13MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…5$251.8k0.83
2026-06-02 18:24MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…4$384.3k0.75
2026-06-02 14:15MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…3$3.3k0.94
2026-06-02 14:07MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…4$9.8k0.97
2026-06-02 14:05MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…3$9.8k0.97
2026-06-02 13:59MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20…3$6.6k0.97
2026-06-02 13:05US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 202…3$4.6k0.63