0x0c0e270cf879583d6a0142fc817e05b768d0434e
Niudad
TRACKEDT25 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_copyable|local:god_system_wallets|local:god_system_wallets_api|local:ultimate_addresses_only|local:ultimate_copyable
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$862.2k
137 open · unrealized -$28.5k · 💰 6 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
100%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$0.00
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
195
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -
🟢 Live open positions
137 live · $862,241 current value · unrealized -$28.5k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end … | No | 420,737 | $0.769 | $0.730 | 76.9% | 73.0% | $323,606 | $307,138 | $-16,468 | -5.1% | 2026-06-30 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June… | No | 148,456 | $0.955 | $0.997 | 95.5% | 99.7% | $141,801 | $147,936 | $+6,135 | +4.3% | 2026-06-15 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | No | 114,711 | $0.956 | $0.988 | 95.6% | 98.8% | $109,718 | $113,334 | $+3,616 | +3.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpil… | No | 70,512 | $0.833 | $0.950 | 83.3% | 95.0% | $58,743 | $66,987 | $+8,244 | +14.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July… | No | 127,409 | $0.549 | $0.380 | 54.9% | 38.0% | $69,942 | $48,415 | $-21,526 | -30.8% | 2026-07-31 |
| Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 Calif… | Yes | 32,144 | $0.335 | $0.987 | 33.5% | 98.7% | $10,780 | $31,726 | $+20,946 | +194.3% | 2026-06-02 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September… | No | 32,603 | $0.910 | $0.955 | 91.0% | 95.5% | $29,669 | $31,136 | $+1,467 | +4.9% | 2026-09-30 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31… | No | 32,450 | $0.802 | $0.845 | 80.2% | 84.5% | $26,030 | $27,421 | $+1,391 | +5.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship… | Yes | 11,425 | $0.914 | $0.962 | 91.4% | 96.2% | $10,447 | $10,985 | $+538 | +5.1% | 2026-08-31 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 10,000 | $0.660 | $0.895 | 66.0% | 89.5% | $6,600 | $8,950 | $+2,350 | +35.6% | 2026-12-31 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 14,210 | $0.650 | $0.485 | 65.0% | 48.5% | $9,236 | $6,892 | $-2,345 | -25.4% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presid… | Yes | 592,888 | $0.008 | $0.011 | 0.8% | 1.1% | $4,632 | $6,818 | $+2,187 | +47.2% | 2028-11-07 |
| New Virginia congressional map used in the midterm… | No | 6,056 | $0.931 | $0.964 | 93.1% | 96.4% | $5,639 | $5,838 | $+199 | +3.5% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential El… | Yes | 603,886 | $0.008 | $0.006 | 0.8% | 0.7% | $4,718 | $3,925 | $-792 | -16.8% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Electio… | Yes | 23,470 | $0.500 | $0.150 | 50.0% | 15.0% | $11,735 | $3,532 | $-8,203 | -69.9% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential E… | Yes | 403,886 | $0.008 | $0.007 | 0.8% | 0.8% | $3,155 | $3,029 | $-126 | -4.0% | 2028-11-07 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpil… | No | 3,200 | $0.720 | $0.910 | 72.0% | 91.0% | $2,304 | $2,912 | $+608 | +26.4% | 2026-07-31 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 18,778 | $0.968 | $0.152 | 96.8% | 15.2% | $18,177 | $2,864 | $-15,313 | -84.2% | 2026-06-15 |
| Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms? | No | 2,794 | $0.880 | $0.855 | 88.0% | 85.5% | $2,459 | $2,389 | $-70 | -2.8% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic preside… | Yes | 132,187 | $0.008 | $0.017 | 0.8% | 1.7% | $1,033 | $2,181 | $+1,148 | +111.2% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential… | Yes | 302,751 | $0.008 | $0.006 | 0.8% | 0.7% | $2,365 | $1,968 | $-397 | -16.8% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic president… | Yes | 195,712 | $0.008 | $0.009 | 0.8% | 0.9% | $1,531 | $1,859 | $+328 | +21.4% | 2028-11-07 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | 7,588 | $0.658 | $0.245 | 65.8% | 24.5% | $4,991 | $1,859 | $-3,132 | -62.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July… | No | 3,000 | $0.610 | $0.520 | 61.0% | 52.0% | $1,830 | $1,560 | $-270 | -14.8% | 2026-07-15 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic pres… | Yes | 156,454 | $0.008 | $0.009 | 0.8% | 0.9% | $1,222 | $1,330 | $+108 | +8.8% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Trump endorse any candidate for President bef… | No | 1,350 | $0.860 | $0.880 | 86.0% | 88.0% | $1,161 | $1,188 | $+27 | +2.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidentia… | Yes | 75,148 | $0.008 | $0.015 | 0.8% | 1.5% | $587 | $1,090 | $+503 | +85.6% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential El… | Yes | 19,095 | $0.008 | $0.051 | 0.8% | 5.1% | $149 | $983 | $+834 | +559.2% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end… | Yes | 1,305 | $0.486 | $0.734 | 48.6% | 73.4% | $634 | $958 | $+323 | +50.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidentia… | Yes | 95,384 | $0.008 | $0.009 | 0.8% | 0.9% | $745 | $906 | $+161 | +21.6% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Ele… | Yes | 53,144 | $0.008 | $0.017 | 0.8% | 1.7% | $415 | $877 | $+462 | +111.2% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidentia… | Yes | 89,558 | $0.008 | $0.009 | 0.8% | 0.9% | $700 | $851 | $+151 | +21.6% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Ele… | Yes | 21,532 | $0.008 | $0.029 | 0.8% | 2.9% | $168 | $635 | $+467 | +277.6% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic preside… | Yes | 83,057 | $0.008 | $0.007 | 0.8% | 0.8% | $649 | $623 | $-26 | -4.0% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Electi… | Yes | 80,144 | $0.008 | $0.007 | 0.8% | 0.8% | $626 | $601 | $-25 | -4.0% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidenti… | Yes | 60,000 | $0.008 | $0.009 | 0.8% | 0.9% | $469 | $570 | $+101 | +21.6% | 2028-11-07 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpil… | No | 778 | $0.590 | $0.685 | 59.0% | 68.5% | $459 | $533 | $+74 | +16.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 7,143 | $0.850 | $0.055 | 85.0% | 5.5% | $6,072 | $393 | $-5,679 | -93.5% | 2026-05-31 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic president… | Yes | 60,000 | $0.008 | $0.006 | 0.8% | 0.7% | $469 | $390 | $-79 | -16.8% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential… | Yes | 60,000 | $0.008 | $0.006 | 0.8% | 0.7% | $469 | $390 | $-79 | -16.8% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Ele… | Yes | 22,504 | $0.008 | $0.015 | 0.8% | 1.6% | $176 | $349 | $+173 | +98.4% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential… | Yes | 30,128 | $0.008 | $0.011 | 0.8% | 1.1% | $235 | $346 | $+111 | +47.2% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela en… | Yes | 2,008 | $0.230 | $0.170 | 23.0% | 17.0% | $462 | $341 | $-120 | -26.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidenti… | Yes | 42,763 | $0.008 | $0.007 | 0.8% | 0.8% | $334 | $321 | $-13 | -4.0% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Elec… | Yes | 30,128 | $0.008 | $0.011 | 0.8% | 1.1% | $235 | $316 | $+81 | +34.4% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Electi… | Yes | 30,128 | $0.008 | $0.009 | 0.8% | 0.9% | $235 | $286 | $+51 | +21.6% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential … | Yes | 34,757 | $0.008 | $0.007 | 0.8% | 0.8% | $272 | $261 | $-11 | -4.0% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential E… | Yes | 30,128 | $0.008 | $0.009 | 0.8% | 0.9% | $235 | $256 | $+21 | +8.8% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Elec… | Yes | 30,128 | $0.008 | $0.009 | 0.8% | 0.9% | $235 | $256 | $+21 | +8.8% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presiden… | Yes | 10,000 | $0.008 | $0.025 | 0.8% | 2.5% | $78 | $254 | $+176 | +225.1% | 2028-11-07 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
6 markets settled · $0 unclaimed| Market | Side | Shares | Cost | Value | PnL | Resolved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 20… | No | 1 | $1 | $0 | $-1 | 2027-01-01 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Pr… | Yes | 34 | $4 | $0 | $-4 | 2026-05-26 |
| Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate P… | Yes | 113 | $13 | $0 | $-13 | 2026-05-26 |
| Will another outcome occur in the Texas Republican… | Yes | 442 | $49 | $0 | $-49 | 2026-05-26 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | No | 1,642 | $1,157 | $0 | $-1,157 | 2026-07-01 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | No | 12,528 | $11,879 | $0 | $-11,879 | 2026-05-31 |
📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
Sun
Mon
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Thu
Fri
Sat
Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-14 23:01:40
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 22:36
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
3 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citize… | Yes | 968 | 0.962 | - | $0.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by… | No | 3000 | 0.610 | - | $0.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by… | No | 46054 | 1.189 | - | $0.00 |
Closed positions
most recent 50| Exit when | Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Exit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 13:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by… | No | 3350 | 0.993 | 0.998 | +$16.75 |
Recent trades
100 of 195 shownBy category (closed only)
| Category | N closed | Realized PnL |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | +$16.75 |
Coordinated-buy involvement
events that included this wallet| When | Market | Wallets | Notional | Diversity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 03:39 | Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 … | 3 | $1.8k | 0.60 |
| 2026-06-02 22:28 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 3… | 3 | $44.9k | 0.66 |
| 2026-06-02 22:19 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 3… | 3 | $45.0k | 0.66 |
| 2026-06-01 02:33 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 202… | 3 | $393.9k | 0.83 |
| 2026-05-31 22:02 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 3… | 3 | $3.2k | 0.77 |
| 2026-05-29 21:45 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United St… | 4 | $4.9k | 0.93 |
Alerts for this wallet
| When | Type | Severity |
|---|---|---|
| - | whale_tracked_wallet | warning |