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0x08c897e4780c299061fe683120e5bb18cf931da2

0X
TRACKEDT31 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_wallets
Total PnL (lifetime)
+$34.9k
43W / 7L · WR 86.0%
Open exposure (live)
$75.7k
44 open · unrealized +$6.5k · 💰 20 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$8.33M
267 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$1.4k
−$903.98
Realized
+$34.9k
Unrealized (local approx)
+$6.4k
Profit capture (brain)
-
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$0.00
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
5
local DB
First → Last trade
2024-12-25
→ 2025-12-16

🟢 Live open positions

44 live · $75,721 current value · unrealized +$6.5k
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No13,579$0.866$0.98986.6%98.9%$11,761$13,423$+1,662+14.1%2026-06-30
Epstein client list released by June 30?No12,452$0.818$0.98581.8%98.5%$10,185$12,259$+2,073+20.4%2026-06-30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by Ju…No7,401$0.938$0.98993.8%98.9%$6,945$7,316$+372+5.4%2026-06-30
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No6,833$0.819$0.99581.9%99.5%$5,597$6,795$+1,199+21.4%2026-06-30
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes12,753$0.523$0.47552.3%47.5%$6,666$6,058$-608-9.1%2027-01-01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end …No7,520$0.909$0.71590.9%71.5%$6,839$5,377$-1,462-21.4%2026-06-30
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after…Yes6,275$0.548$0.55554.8%55.5%$3,440$3,483$+43+1.2%2026-11-03
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military stri…Yes3,134$0.759$0.99475.9%99.4%$2,378$3,114$+736+31.0%2026-06-30
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?No2,984$0.726$0.99072.6%99.0%$2,168$2,953$+785+36.2%2026-06-30
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes6,799$0.359$0.35535.9%35.5%$2,443$2,414$-29-1.2%2026-11-03
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by Dece…No2,322$0.597$0.90559.7%90.5%$1,386$2,101$+715+51.6%2026-12-31
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo2,775$0.608$0.56560.8%56.5%$1,686$1,568$-118-7.0%2026-11-03
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?No1,288$0.486$0.87048.6%87.0%$626$1,121$+495+79.0%2026-12-31
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 3…No1,045$0.738$0.98973.8%98.9%$771$1,034$+263+34.1%2026-06-30
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes959$0.578$0.99157.8%99.1%$554$949$+395+71.3%2026-06-30
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in …Yes1,437$0.595$0.53559.5%53.5%$856$769$-87-10.2%1970-01-01
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican president…Yes3,058$0.070$0.2327.0%23.2%$216$708$+492+228.3%2028-11-07
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No1,657$0.417$0.41541.8%41.5%$692$688$-4-0.6%2026-12-31
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes669$0.440$0.99444.0%99.4%$295$665$+370+125.6%2026-06-30
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by De…No924$0.601$0.64060.1%64.0%$555$591$+36+6.4%2026-12-31
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presiden…Yes7,541$0.054$0.0515.4%5.1%$410$388$-21-5.2%2028-11-07
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3,989$0.108$0.09710.8%9.7%$432$385$-47-10.9%2026-07-20
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces befor…No372$0.530$0.87553.0%87.5%$197$326$+128+65.1%2026-12-31
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Decemb…Yes1,000$0.430$0.22043.0%22.0%$430$220$-210-48.8%2026-12-31
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presid…Yes3,856$0.069$0.0436.9%4.2%$267$164$-103-38.6%2028-11-07
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIF…Yes194$0.610$0.63561.0%63.5%$118$123$+5+4.1%1970-01-01
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes121$0.520$0.99552.0%99.5%$63$120$+58+91.3%2026-06-30
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3,560$0.028$0.0252.8%2.5%$100$87$-13-12.9%2026-07-20
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition b…Yes668$0.122$0.12512.2%12.5%$81$83$+2+2.4%1970-01-01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpil…Yes2,299$0.160$0.03416.0%3.4%$368$78$-290-78.7%2026-06-30
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General o…No138$0.490$0.52049.0%52.0%$68$72$+4+6.1%2026-02-28
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m ba…Yes85$0.250$0.82525.0%82.5%$21$70$+49+230.0%2027-02-28
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic pres…Yes8,070$0.038$0.0093.8%0.9%$309$69$-241-77.8%2028-11-07
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at ma…Yes824$0.216$0.07621.6%7.6%$178$63$-115-64.6%2026-06-30
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidenti…Yes600$0.030$0.0783.0%7.8%$18$47$+29+160.0%2028-11-07
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic president…Yes3,150$0.014$0.0091.4%0.9%$45$30$-15-33.6%2028-11-07
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes1,237$0.042$0.0054.2%0.5%$52$7$-45-86.9%2026-12-31
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by e…No9$0.600$0.29560.0%29.5%$5$3$-3-50.8%2026-12-31
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes6$0.183$0.19518.3%19.5%$1$1$+0+6.3%2026-11-03
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes271$0.029$0.0042.9%0.4%$8$1$-7-87.9%2026-12-31
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes118$0.043$0.0044.3%0.4%$5$0$-5-91.9%2026-12-31
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes67$0.469$0.00646.9%0.6%$31$0$-31-98.7%1970-01-01
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes100$0.010$0.0021.0%0.1%$1$0$-1-85.0%2026-06-30
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?Yes28$0.109$0.00210.9%0.1%$3$0$-3-98.6%2026-06-30

💰 Resolved · pending claim

20 markets settled · $0 unclaimed
MarketSideSharesCostValuePnLResolved
Will Robert Lewandowski be the top goal scorer in …Yes30$1$0$-12026-05-30
Nothing Ever Happens: AugustYes13$8$0$-82025-08-31
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?No12$9$0$-92025-10-31
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in…Yes22$12$0$-122025-12-31
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any …Yes65$24$0$-242026-04-30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Swi…Yes859$30$0$-302026-06-30
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes220$33$0$-332026-03-31
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Pri…Yes441$35$0$-352026-05-26
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any …Yes142$56$0$-562026-05-31
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz…No91$67$0$-672026-04-19
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire firs…Leadership Change298$89$0$-892026-12-31
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily tran…Yes935$103$0$-1032026-05-31
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley C…Yes2,033$173$0$-1732026-06-30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pak…No330$201$0$-2012026-06-30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No575$234$0$-2342026-04-30
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz…Yes617$335$0$-3352026-04-12
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No1,110$766$0$-7661970-01-01
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No1,470$1,159$0$-1,1592026-04-07
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No2,090$1,919$0$-1,9192026-04-15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No4,476$3,581$0$-3,5812026-06-30

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-15 00:15YIELD--1$0.000$0.880x4d5025…
2026-06-15 00:00REWARD--3$0.000$2.560x9180b6…
2026-06-14 18:37TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes990$0.097$98.630xf1223d…
2026-06-14 00:15YIELD--1$0.000$0.830x9db19b…
2026-06-14 00:00REWARD--5$0.000$4.580xe29445…
2026-06-13 19:19TRADEBUYWill Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FYes5$0.610$3.050xe9dac8…
2026-06-13 18:51TRADEBUYWill Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FYes149$0.610$91.010x5616e2…
2026-06-13 17:11TRADEBUYWill Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FYes19$0.610$11.850x3681e0…
2026-06-13 17:11TRADEBUYWill Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FYes20$0.610$12.230x7be73e…
2026-06-13 00:13YIELD--1$0.000$0.820x5b811e…
2026-06-12 22:21REDEEM-SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?-2,928$0.000$2.9k0x979821…
2026-06-12 22:20REDEEM-SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?-6,028$0.000$6.0k0xb280f1…
2026-06-12 22:20REDEEM-SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?-3,363$0.000$3.4k0xd799b2…
2026-06-12 22:19REDEEM-SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?-3,527$0.000$3.5k0x539fc9…
2026-06-12 22:19REDEEM-SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?-1,224$0.000$1.2k0x7df0b7…
2026-06-12 22:19REDEEM-SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?-1,220$0.000$1.2k0x560a9d…
2026-06-12 22:18REDEEM-SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?-1,550$0.000$1.6k0x20b324…
2026-06-12 22:18REDEEM-SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?-3,198$0.000$3.2k0xbe6375…
2026-06-12 00:45MAKER_REBATE--4$0.000$4.440xc0de57…
2026-06-12 00:11YIELD--1$0.000$0.840x644705…
2026-06-11 17:21TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo1,900$0.920$1.7k0x3cbb0b…
2026-06-11 17:17TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No2,173$0.930$2.0k0x28a06a…
2026-06-11 17:15TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No117$0.930$108.810xcff20b…
2026-06-11 15:19TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No58$0.910$52.330xf36a29…
2026-06-11 14:16TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No0$0.910$0.460x95f41c…
2026-06-11 14:12TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No22$0.910$20.220x38ed73…
2026-06-11 14:07TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No52$0.910$47.350x337795…
2026-06-11 12:51TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No174$0.910$158.340x0b8784…
2026-06-11 12:46TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No67$0.910$60.920x0ac3cd…
2026-06-11 12:37TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No300$0.910$273.000x543ec5…
2026-06-11 12:33TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No547$0.910$497.570x750775…
2026-06-11 11:32TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes1,229$0.924$1.1k0xe2de51…
2026-06-11 11:07TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?No6,028$0.972$5.9k0x86214b…
2026-06-11 11:06TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?No1,590$0.860$1.4k0x7ceb5a…
2026-06-11 11:05TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No1,550$0.760$1.2k0x7f77e1…
2026-06-11 11:05TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes4,756$0.923$4.4k0xcf030f…
2026-06-11 05:41TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by No450$0.600$269.790x3ac1a3…
2026-06-11 02:56TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by No3$0.600$1.690x1d5395…
2026-06-11 00:16YIELD--1$0.000$0.850x9715eb…
2026-06-10 00:11YIELD--1$0.000$0.840x1e462f…
2026-06-09 22:16TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No41$0.930$38.460x25f91a…
2026-06-09 21:02TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes1,224$0.947$1.2k0x761719…
2026-06-09 18:25TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No900$0.930$837.000xf38232…
2026-06-09 18:18TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No52$0.930$48.810x3432ea…
2026-06-09 18:03TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No14$0.930$13.290x021725…
2026-06-09 17:25TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No14$0.930$13.290x3ad906…
2026-06-09 16:52TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by No471$0.602$288.520xb812fe…
2026-06-09 16:33TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No51$0.930$47.430x29c60d…
2026-06-09 16:20TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?No2,928$0.946$2.8k0x4614dd…
2026-06-09 00:14YIELD--1$0.000$0.850xde49ca…
2026-06-08 10:34TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo2,298$0.900$2.1k0x001d1d…
2026-06-08 09:32TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enNo3,322$0.910$3.0k0x86b906…
2026-06-08 00:14YIELD--1$0.000$0.860x482cda…
2026-06-07 22:48TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by No5,392$0.960$5.2k0x02d6a8…
2026-06-07 00:14YIELD--1$0.000$0.840xf500be…
2026-06-06 00:13YIELD--1$0.000$0.840x38aa31…
2026-06-05 00:13YIELD--1$0.000$0.830xf1d771…
2026-06-04 10:43TRADEBUYEpstein client list released by June 30?No1$0.954$0.590x90e96c…
2026-06-04 10:43TRADEBUYEpstein client list released by June 30?No25$0.954$23.850x238919…
2026-06-04 10:40TRADEBUYEpstein client list released by June 30?No430$0.954$410.210x4382cf…
2026-06-04 00:11YIELD--1$0.000$0.830x231948…
2026-06-03 08:30TRADEBUYEpstein client list released by June 30?No143$0.954$136.790xf152d2…
2026-06-03 06:03TRADEBUYTariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?No20$0.910$18.270x695699…
2026-06-03 06:03TRADEBUYTariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?No532$0.903$482.300x21e578…
2026-06-03 05:59REDEEM-Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?-2,257$0.000$2.3k0xdddbe7…
2026-06-03 05:59REDEEM-Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by -15,204$0.000$15.2k0xdddbe7…
2026-06-03 00:11YIELD--1$0.000$0.830x3c2f72…
2026-06-02 00:45MAKER_REBATE--2$0.000$2.390xe78b17…
2026-06-02 00:11YIELD--1$0.000$0.920xf70be7…
2026-06-01 13:32TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?No1,159$0.710$822.890xf41e3d…
2026-06-01 08:11REDEEM-US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?-28,786$0.000$28.8k0x04f05c…
2026-06-01 00:11YIELD--1$0.000$1.000x0e880e…
2026-05-31 00:14YIELD--1$0.000$0.990x5e289d…
2026-05-30 06:35TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,559$0.027$42.090x0e8e95…
2026-05-30 00:14YIELD--1$0.000$0.990x376dbc…
2026-05-29 14:22TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?No449$0.700$314.290xf791ff…
2026-05-29 00:13YIELD--1$0.000$0.950xf0597e…
2026-05-28 22:15TRADEBUYEpstein client list released by June 30?No5$0.921$5.040x0059a8…
2026-05-28 15:40TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,999$0.112$344.840x8ec8bc…
2026-05-28 15:38TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,001$0.029$59.720x4745e7…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

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Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-15 07:34:54
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 18:37
Backfill
✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])
0.1
0.1
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Open positions

2 open
MarketOutcomeSharesEntryLastUnrealized
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9900.097-$0.00
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 202…Yes1940.610-$0.00

Recent trades

5 of 5 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-14 18:37BUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup…Yes9900.097$96.030xf1223d…
2026-06-13 19:19BUYWill Spain reach the Quarterfinals at th…Yes50.610$3.050xe9dac8…
2026-06-13 18:51BUYWill Spain reach the Quarterfinals at th…Yes1490.610$91.010x5616e2…
2026-06-13 17:11BUYWill Spain reach the Quarterfinals at th…Yes190.610$11.850x3681e0…
2026-06-13 17:11BUYWill Spain reach the Quarterfinals at th…Yes200.610$12.230x7be73e…