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0x081a3b357baafc91af26f83f622e2652668c66d0

Sunshine.Smile
TRACKEDT31 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_wallets
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$413.69
78 open · unrealized -$239.38 · 💰 3 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
7%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$256.25
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
1,233
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -

🟢 Live open positions

78 live · $414 current value · unrealized -$239.38
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 20…Yes200$0.150$0.15515.0%15.5%$30$31$+1+3.3%2026-07-20
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second …Down55$0.520$0.52552.0%52.5%$29$29$+0+1.0%1970-01-01
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?No43$0.364$0.56036.4%56.0%$16$24$+8+54.0%2026-06-30
Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the…Yes55$0.570$0.39057.0%39.0%$31$21$-10-31.6%1970-01-01
Will Natus Vincere reach the Grand Final at IEM Co…Yes110$0.220$0.18522.0%18.5%$24$20$-4-15.9%2026-06-21
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio…No20$0.976$0.97197.6%97.0%$20$19$-0-0.6%2026-06-13
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at…No205$0.111$0.09311.1%9.3%$23$19$-4-15.8%2026-06-28
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?No30$0.944$0.62094.4%62.0%$28$19$-10-34.4%2027-01-15
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?No30$0.943$0.58594.3%58.5%$28$18$-11-38.0%2027-01-15
Will Caleb Wilson be the 5th overall pick in the 2…No23$0.978$0.74097.8%74.0%$22$17$-5-24.4%2026-06-24
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No55$0.289$0.29328.9%29.3%$16$16$+0+1.4%2026-12-31
Will Ritual launch a token by December 31, 2026?No40$0.600$0.35060.0%35.0%$24$14$-10-41.7%2027-01-01
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the f…Yes49$0.390$0.25539.0%25.5%$19$13$-7-34.6%2026-08-14
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for S…Yes65$0.250$0.16725.0%16.7%$16$11$-5-33.4%2026-06-16
Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA …No55$0.170$0.18517.0%18.5%$9$10$+1+8.8%2026-07-20
Will South Africa be eliminated in Group Stage sta…No60$0.160$0.16516.0%16.5%$10$10$+0+3.1%2026-07-19
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by Decemb…No25$0.710$0.34571.0%34.5%$18$9$-9-51.4%2027-01-01
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027…Yes30$0.390$0.23039.0%23.0%$12$7$-5-41.0%2027-04-17
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 20…Yes55$0.120$0.12512.0%12.5%$7$7$+0+4.2%2026-06-28
Will Marc Guéhi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA Worl…Yes55$0.180$0.10418.0%10.4%$10$6$-4-41.9%2026-07-20
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?No55$0.100$0.09910.0%9.9%$6$5$-0-1.0%2026-08-01
Will Hyperbeat launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes9$0.680$0.54068.0%54.0%$6$5$-1-20.6%2027-07-01
Will Lionel Messi score 6+ goals during the 2026 F…Yes51$0.130$0.09513.0%9.5%$7$5$-2-26.9%2026-08-03
Will Vinicius Jr. score 5+ goals during the 2026 F…Yes30$0.220$0.16022.0%16.0%$7$5$-2-27.3%2026-08-03
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be at least 8% in Ma…Yes89$0.072$0.0497.2%4.9%$6$4$-2-32.1%2026-06-25
Will Warsh say "Stable" or "Stability" during June…No21$0.400$0.20540.0%20.5%$8$4$-4-48.7%2026-06-18
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.0…Yes100$0.100$0.04010.0%4.0%$10$4$-6-60.0%2026-06-30
Will José Ramírez lead the MLB in stolen bases for…Yes50$0.141$0.07214.1%7.2%$7$4$-3-48.6%2026-09-28
Will Marcus Rashford score a goal at the 2026 FIFA…No8$0.410$0.42041.0%42.0%$3$3$+0+2.4%2026-07-20
Will N'Golo Kanté score a goal at the 2026 FIFA Wo…Yes55$0.120$0.06012.0%6.0%$7$3$-3-50.0%2026-07-20
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League Hank…Yes92$0.163$0.03516.3%3.5%$15$3$-12-78.3%2026-11-13
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Ja…Yes25$0.170$0.12017.0%12.0%$4$3$-1-29.4%2026-10-05
Deel IPO before 2027?Yes65$0.200$0.04520.0%4.5%$13$3$-10-77.5%2026-12-31
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 15?Up22$0.150$0.13015.0%13.0%$3$3$-0-13.3%2026-06-15
Will Konnor Griffin win the 2026 NL Rookie of the …Yes55$0.087$0.0528.7%5.2%$5$3$-2-40.2%2026-12-19
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 3…Yes29$0.090$0.0959.0%9.5%$3$3$+0+5.6%2026-01-31
Will Gunnar Henderson win the 2026 American League…Yes75$0.297$0.03629.7%3.6%$22$3$-20-87.7%2026-11-13
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 6% and 8%…Yes45$0.150$0.05015.0%5.0%$7$2$-4-66.7%2026-06-25
Will the San Francisco Giants clinch a spot in the…Yes30$0.100$0.07310.0%7.3%$3$2$-1-26.5%2026-09-28
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?Yes55$0.031$0.0403.1%4.0%$2$2$+0+27.4%2026-07-20
Will Cameron Brink have the highest blocks per gam…Yes33$0.133$0.06513.3%6.5%$4$2$-2-51.0%2026-09-24
Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 …Yes55$0.047$0.0384.7%3.8%$3$2$-0-19.1%2026-06-25
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $…Yes22$0.100$0.08010.0%8.0%$2$2$-0-20.0%2026-06-19
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin b…Yes50$0.070$0.0357.0%3.5%$4$2$-2-50.7%2026-06-30
Will Paul Skenes lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 …Yes45$0.085$0.0338.5%3.2%$4$1$-2-61.8%2026-09-28
Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the m…Yes50$0.070$0.0267.0%2.6%$4$1$-2-62.1%2026-10-04
Will Natasha Mack have the highest blocks per game…Yes22$0.110$0.05911.0%5.9%$2$1$-1-45.9%2026-09-24
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $185B by June 3…Yes75$0.119$0.01711.9%1.7%$9$1$-8-86.1%2026-07-01
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 60+ times during June P…Yes5$0.230$0.25023.0%25.0%$1$1$+0+8.7%2026-06-18
Will Ritual launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes2$0.760$0.46076.0%46.0%$2$1$-1-39.5%2027-07-01

💰 Resolved · pending claim

3 markets settled · $0 unclaimed
MarketSideSharesCostValuePnLResolved
Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" 20…Yes21$0$0$-02026-06-13
NBA Finals: Wemby to Record 20+ Rebounds in a Game…Yes39$6$0$-62026-06-20
Will Cloud9 win LCS 2026 Spring?Yes70$19$0$-192026-06-14

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-15 05:30TRADEBUYWill Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the Yes5$0.120$0.590x3b8d90…
2026-06-15 05:27TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No55$0.289$15.890x06129c…
2026-06-15 05:14TRADEBUYWill Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidYes2$0.130$0.300xed45d2…
2026-06-15 05:11TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the popular vote iYes6$0.014$0.080x62751a…
2026-06-15 05:10TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on SeconDown34$0.520$17.760xf8896d…
2026-06-15 05:09TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the popular vote iYes8$0.014$0.120x56be2a…
2026-06-15 05:01TRADEBUYNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 15?Up22$0.150$3.300x3f4d79…
2026-06-15 05:00TRADEBUYWill Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the Yes11$0.120$1.360x7d647c…
2026-06-15 04:56TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the Yes200$0.150$30.000x7d1cb1…
2026-06-15 04:37TRADEBUYWill South Africa be eliminated in Group Stage sNo60$0.160$9.600xdaef52…
2026-06-15 04:31TRADEBUYWill Switzerland advance to the knockout stages No205$0.111$22.750x6d4fb2…
2026-06-15 04:22TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the popular vote iYes5$0.014$0.080xa16133…
2026-06-15 04:22TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the popular vote iYes7$0.014$0.100x9e13fa…
2026-06-15 04:14TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on SeconDown21$0.520$10.830xcd022a…
2026-06-15 03:58TRADEBUYWill Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFNo55$0.170$9.350xba58d4…
2026-06-15 03:54TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $570No1$0.100$0.110xcd9ed9…
2026-06-15 03:52TRADEBUYWill Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the Yes39$0.120$4.640x50bb77…
2026-06-15 03:41TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW)Yes22$0.100$2.200xa7add7…
2026-06-15 03:39TRADEBUYWill Olivia Miles have the highest steals per gaYes3$0.041$0.130xdd4eee…
2026-06-15 03:35TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week No1$0.100$0.110x5712f4…
2026-06-15 03:07TRADEBUYWill Marcus Rashford score a goal at the 2026 FINo8$0.410$3.390x8b907f…
2026-06-15 03:03TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensNo20$0.976$19.520x948b21…
2026-06-15 02:58TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by DecemberYes29$0.090$2.610x48b991…
2026-06-15 02:57TRADEBUYWill Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA Yes0$0.160$0.070x4867e3…
2026-06-15 02:53TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?Yes55$0.031$1.710xddadcc…
2026-06-15 02:40TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the popular vote iYes12$0.014$0.170x3122f3…
2026-06-15 02:20TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 15?Up21$0.130$2.630x301ee5…
2026-06-15 02:20TRADESELLWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by JuneYes50$0.006$0.290xb81759…
2026-06-15 02:19TRADESELLHugh Jackman as Wolverine?No40$0.130$4.970x2285e7…
2026-06-15 02:19TRADESELLWill Josué Casimir score a goal at the 2026 FIFAYes51$0.100$4.960x729308…
2026-06-15 02:19TRADESELLWill USA be the highest-scoring team in Group D No55$0.145$7.790x56b0ce…
2026-06-15 02:19TRADESELLWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo No55$0.140$7.440x5a291f…
2026-06-15 02:18TRADESELLWill Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA Yes0$0.160$0.060x0bef0c…
2026-06-15 02:18TRADESELLWill Joe Ryan strike out the most batters duringYes55$0.002$0.110xc1e39b…
2026-06-15 02:17TRADESELLWill Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?Yes55$0.130$7.150x8c6b6f…
2026-06-15 02:16TRADESELLWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by JYes50$0.012$0.580xbded2a…
2026-06-15 02:16TRADESELLWill Nico Hoerner lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2Yes35$0.003$0.100x24dc5b…
2026-06-15 02:16TRADESELLWill Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?Yes55$0.097$5.210x6cd16c…
2026-06-15 02:16TRADESELLWill the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a natioYes40$0.190$7.420xbae9c9…
2026-06-15 02:15TRADESELLWill Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FYes120$0.050$5.850xc6ac18…
2026-06-15 02:01TRADEBUYWill the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a natioYes40$0.200$8.000x2a7170…
2026-06-15 01:53TRADESELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 202Yes9$0.130$1.160x1e153b…
2026-06-15 01:53TRADESELLWill Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick inYes51$0.233$11.620x879020…
2026-06-15 01:51TRADESELLWill Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 202Yes61$0.110$6.720x2e70ec…
2026-06-15 01:25TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 202Yes9$0.130$1.190xc6f9b2…
2026-06-15 01:23TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 202Yes61$0.110$6.720x32d9bd…
2026-06-15 01:06TRADEBUYWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo No55$0.160$8.800x3de5c3…
2026-06-15 00:52TRADEBUYWill Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?Yes7$0.050$0.350x463e41…
2026-06-15 00:49TRADESELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 202Yes38$0.130$4.870xe02d53…
2026-06-15 00:48TRADEBUYWill Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA Yes0$0.160$0.070x24800f…
2026-06-15 00:48TRADEBUYWill Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FYes60$0.060$3.600x37d21e…
2026-06-15 00:47TRADEBUYWill Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FYes60$0.061$3.660x2bebc9…
2026-06-15 00:45MAKER_REBATE--6$0.000$5.500xfb584c…
2026-06-15 00:40TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 202Yes38$0.130$5.000xf07468…
2026-06-15 00:30TRADEBUYWill Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?Yes30$0.140$4.200xcd4450…
2026-06-15 00:25TRADESELLWill 7+ matches be suspended by weather protocolYes51$0.028$1.400xaf70eb…
2026-06-15 00:25TRADESELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 202Yes8$0.130$1.050xc59866…
2026-06-15 00:24TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 202Yes8$0.130$1.080x458557…
2026-06-15 00:22TRADESELLWill Freddy Peralta strike out the most batters Yes55$0.003$0.160x671c9f…
2026-06-15 00:22TRADESELLWill Diogo Costa win the Golden Glove at the 202Yes5$0.058$0.280x0f7dca…
2026-06-15 00:21TRADESELLWill Nick Kurtz win the 2026 American League HanYes8$0.110$0.860xa9e56b…
2026-06-15 00:21TRADEBUYWill George Springer win the 2026 Edgar MartinezYes7$0.015$0.110x493c76…
2026-06-15 00:20TRADESELLWill George Springer win the 2026 Edgar MartinezYes7$0.015$0.110xc413ff…
2026-06-15 00:20TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by DNo25$0.180$4.350xd701e1…
2026-06-15 00:19TRADESELLWill Sonny Gray strike out the most batters duriYes45$0.003$0.130x2b1616…
2026-06-15 00:19TRADESELLWill Nolan McLean strike out the most batters duYes50$0.003$0.150x8b1bda…
2026-06-15 00:19TRADEBUYWill Nick Kurtz win the 2026 American League HanYes8$0.110$0.880x46696b…
2026-06-15 00:18TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at tNo37$0.100$3.520x48ea2d…
2026-06-15 00:18TRADESELLWill Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?Yes2$0.110$0.220x6c0a47…
2026-06-15 00:18TRADESELLWill Panama be eliminated in Group Stage stage oNo33$0.340$11.150x5e0c4c…
2026-06-15 00:18TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at tNo32$0.100$3.150xdee73b…
2026-06-15 00:17TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,000$0.160$311.940x4acee5…
2026-06-15 00:16TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by DNo25$0.220$5.500x2fba6d…
2026-06-15 00:15REWARD--2$0.000$1.510x201a0c…
2026-06-15 00:10TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,000$0.162$324.000xa87bcc…
2026-06-15 00:08TRADEBUYWill Panama be eliminated in Group Stage stage oNo33$0.350$11.710x90a339…
2026-06-15 00:06TRADESELLWill Paul Skenes strike out the most batters durYes45$0.060$2.630x2826d5…
2026-06-15 00:06TRADESELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 202Yes8$0.130$0.970x958c05…
2026-06-15 00:04TRADEBUYWill Nolan McLean strike out the most batters duYes20$0.004$0.080xc82726…
2026-06-15 00:04TRADEBUYWill Sonny Gray strike out the most batters duriYes30$0.005$0.150xfd4165…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

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Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat

Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-15 02:40:48
Latest trade ts
2026-06-15 02:20
Backfill
✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])
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Open positions

78 open
MarketOutcomeSharesEntryLastUnrealized
Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Awa…Yes70.050-$0.00
Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FI…Yes07.228-$0.00
Will George Springer win the 2026 Edgar Marti…Yes70.015-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM E…Down30.640-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM E…Down20.980-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM E…Up50.940-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM E…Down0868.809-$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM E…Up60.890-$0.00
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 60+ times during J…Yes50.230-$0.00
Will Caleb Wilson be the 5th overall pick in …No230.978-$0.00
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during J…Yes03112.890-$0.00
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 202…No550.100-$0.00
Will João Cancelo score a goal at the 2026 FI…Yes0916.860-$0.00
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027?No0100.100-$0.00
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal b…Yes01200.817-$0.00
Will N'Golo Kanté score a goal at the 2026 FI…Yes550.120-$0.00
Will Marc Guéhi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA…Yes300.330-$0.00
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be i…Yes04194.371-$0.00
Will Marcus Rashford score a goal at the 2026…No0759.470-$0.00
Will Natus Vincere reach the Grand Final at I…Yes1100.280-$0.00
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA…No01000.178-$0.00
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June P…No051.406-$0.00
Will Fred Pacheco win the Governor of Rio de …Yes02183.021-$0.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T b…Yes0990.522-$0.00
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA Wor…No02504.099-$0.00
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio …Yes250.170-$0.00
Will Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 202…No09105.007-$0.00
Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de…Yes250.200-$0.00
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran dea…Yes01275.109-$0.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T b…Yes010327.272-$0.00
Will José Ramírez lead the MLB in stolen base…Yes500.141-$0.00
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?Yes0238.920-$0.00
Will Mexico finish second in Group A in the 2…Yes01087.000-$0.00
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup …Yes02751.830-$0.00
Will Qatar go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World…No03365.521-$0.00
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by…Yes015134.361-$0.00
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 20…Yes00.370-$0.00
Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the …Yes550.047-$0.00
Will United States go unbeaten in the 2026 FI…No04505.406-$0.00
Will James Rodríguez score a goal at the 2026…No01201.376-$0.00
Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell cerem…Yes200.007-$0.00
Will New Zealand be eliminated in Group Stage…No0452.317-$0.00
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model a…No04683.884-$0.00
Will Warsh say "Stable" or "Stability" during…No210.400-$0.00
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model a…Yes01435.466-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No015795.649-$0.00
Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases…Yes022.125-$0.00
Will Lionel Messi score 6+ goals during the 2…Yes510.130-$0.00
Will Vinicius Jr. score 5+ goals during the 2…Yes300.220-$0.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026…Yes02705.806-$0.00

Closed positions

most recent 50
Exit whenMarketOutcomeSharesEntryExitRealized
2026-06-15 02:20WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 15?Up210.2900.130-$3.36
2026-06-15 02:19Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?No400.1800.130-$2.00
2026-06-15 02:19Will USA be the highest-scoring team in Group…No550.1900.145-$2.45
2026-06-15 02:19Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Pau…No550.1600.140-$1.10
2026-06-15 02:18Will Joe Ryan strike out the most batters dur…Yes550.0030.002-$0.06
2026-06-15 02:17Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midter…Yes550.1900.130-$3.30
2026-06-15 02:16Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B b…Yes500.0240.012-$0.60
2026-06-15 02:16Will Nico Hoerner lead the MLB in RBIs for th…Yes350.0200.003-$0.59
2026-06-15 02:16Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Awa…Yes550.1300.097-$1.80
2026-06-15 02:16Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a na…Yes400.2000.190-$0.40
2026-06-15 02:15Will Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 202…Yes1200.0610.050-$1.23
2026-06-15 01:53Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the …Yes90.1300.130$0.00
2026-06-15 01:53Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick…Yes510.2600.233-$1.37
2026-06-15 01:51Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, …Yes610.1100.110$0.00
2026-06-15 00:49Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the …Yes380.1300.130$0.00
2026-06-15 00:25Will 7+ matches be suspended by weather proto…Yes510.0600.028-$1.62
2026-06-15 00:25Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the …Yes80.1300.130$0.00
2026-06-15 00:22Will Freddy Peralta strike out the most batte…Yes550.0040.003-$0.06
2026-06-15 00:22Will Diogo Costa win the Golden Glove at the …Yes50.1000.058-$0.21
2026-06-15 00:21Will Nick Kurtz win the 2026 American League …Yes80.1100.110$0.00
2026-06-15 00:20Will George Springer win the 2026 Edgar Marti…Yes70.0150.015$0.00
2026-06-15 00:20Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T b…No250.2200.180-$1.00
2026-06-15 00:19Will Sonny Gray strike out the most batters d…Yes450.0050.003-$0.09
2026-06-15 00:19Will Nolan McLean strike out the most batters…Yes500.0040.003-$0.05
2026-06-15 00:18Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?Yes20.1100.110$0.00
2026-06-15 00:18Will Panama be eliminated in Group Stage stag…No330.3500.340-$0.33
2026-06-15 00:17Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes20000.1620.160-$4.00
2026-06-15 00:06Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters …Yes450.0700.060-$0.44
2026-06-15 00:06Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the …Yes80.1300.130$0.00
2026-06-14 23:57Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 Edgar Martine…Yes70.1800.180+$0.00
2026-06-14 23:56Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 Edgar Martin…Yes70.2100.210$0.00
2026-06-14 23:56Will the official close price for the Nikkei …Yes180.1700.170$0.00
2026-06-14 23:56Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the …Yes460.1300.130$0.00
2026-06-14 23:55Will FURIA make a roster change before July?No20.8600.860$0.00
2026-06-14 23:55Will Yandy Díaz have the highest batting aver…No210.9200.911-$0.19
2026-06-14 23:48Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM E…Down40.5000.040-$1.84
2026-06-14 23:38Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM E…Up40.5000.180-$1.28
2026-06-14 22:42Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minis…Yes60.1240.094-$0.18
2026-06-14 22:33US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31…Yes2010.9100.930+$4.02
2026-06-14 22:31Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi b…Yes300.0400.034-$0.18
2026-06-14 22:20US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026…Yes400.0700.050-$0.80
2026-06-14 22:13Will Algeria go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA Wor…Yes500.1760.175-$0.05
2026-06-14 22:13Will Lionel Messi score 5+ goals during the 2…Yes340.2400.089-$5.14
2026-06-14 22:12Will Gabby Williams have the highest steals p…Yes50.1100.100-$0.05
2026-06-14 22:11Will Uruguay be the highest-scoring team in G…Yes300.1070.100-$0.20
2026-06-14 22:10Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the …Yes960.1300.130$0.00
2026-06-14 22:10Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by J…Yes390.1700.170$0.00
2026-06-14 22:10Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of th…Yes90.1900.190$0.00
2026-06-14 22:09Will Uruguay be the highest-scoring team in G…Yes300.1100.110$0.00
2026-06-14 22:09Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the …Yes300.5600.550-$0.30

Recent trades

100 of 1,233 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-15 02:20SELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1…Up210.130$2.730x301ee5…
2026-06-15 02:20SELLWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B…Yes500.006$0.300xb81759…
2026-06-15 02:19SELLHugh Jackman as Wolverine?No400.130$5.200x2285e7…
2026-06-15 02:19SELLWill Josué Casimir score a goal at the 2…Yes510.100$5.100x729308…
2026-06-15 02:19SELLWill USA be the highest-scoring team in …No550.145$8.000x56b0ce…
2026-06-15 02:19SELLWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 Sã…No550.140$7.700x5a291f…
2026-06-15 02:18SELLWill Neymar score 2+ goals during the 20…Yes00.160$0.070x0bef0c…
2026-06-15 02:18SELLWill Joe Ryan strike out the most batter…Yes550.002$0.110xc1e39b…
2026-06-15 02:17SELLWill Grahm Platner drop out before the M…Yes550.130$7.150x8c6b6f…
2026-06-15 02:16SELLWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $2…Yes500.012$0.600xbded2a…
2026-06-15 02:16SELLWill Nico Hoerner lead the MLB in RBIs f…Yes350.003$0.100x24dc5b…
2026-06-15 02:16SELLWill Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Youn…Yes550.097$5.360x6cd16c…
2026-06-15 02:16SELLWill the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be…Yes400.190$7.600xbae9c9…
2026-06-15 02:15SELLWill Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at th…Yes1200.050$6.020xc6ac18…
2026-06-15 02:01BUYWill the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be…Yes400.200$8.000x2a7170…
2026-06-15 01:53SELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at…Yes90.130$1.190x1e153b…
2026-06-15 01:53SELLWill Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall…Yes510.233$11.890x879020…
2026-06-15 01:51SELLWill Russia capture Orikhiv by September…Yes610.110$6.720x2e70ec…
2026-06-15 01:25BUYWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at…Yes90.130$1.190xc6f9b2…
2026-06-15 01:23BUYWill Russia capture Orikhiv by September…Yes610.110$6.720x32d9bd…
2026-06-15 01:06BUYWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 Sã…No550.160$8.800x3de5c3…
2026-06-15 00:52BUYWill Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Youn…Yes70.050$0.350x463e41…
2026-06-15 00:49SELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at…Yes380.130$5.000xe02d53…
2026-06-15 00:48BUYWill Neymar score 2+ goals during the 20…Yes00.160$0.070x24800f…
2026-06-15 00:48BUYWill Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at th…Yes600.060$3.600x37d21e…
2026-06-15 00:47BUYWill Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at th…Yes600.061$3.660x2bebc9…
2026-06-15 00:40BUYWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at…Yes380.130$5.000xf07468…
2026-06-15 00:30BUYWill Grahm Platner drop out before the M…Yes300.140$4.200xcd4450…
2026-06-15 00:25SELLWill 7+ matches be suspended by weather …Yes510.028$1.440xaf70eb…
2026-06-15 00:25SELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at…Yes80.130$1.080xc59866…
2026-06-15 00:24BUYWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at…Yes80.130$1.080x458557…
2026-06-15 00:22SELLWill Freddy Peralta strike out the most …Yes550.003$0.160x671c9f…
2026-06-15 00:22SELLWill Diogo Costa win the Golden Glove at…Yes50.058$0.290x0f7dca…
2026-06-15 00:21SELLWill Nick Kurtz win the 2026 American Le…Yes80.110$0.880xa9e56b…
2026-06-15 00:21BUYWill George Springer win the 2026 Edgar …Yes70.015$0.110x493c76…
2026-06-15 00:20SELLWill George Springer win the 2026 Edgar …Yes70.015$0.110xc413ff…
2026-06-15 00:20SELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1…No250.180$4.500xd701e1…
2026-06-15 00:19SELLWill Sonny Gray strike out the most batt…Yes450.003$0.140x2b1616…
2026-06-15 00:19SELLWill Nolan McLean strike out the most ba…Yes500.003$0.150x8b1bda…
2026-06-15 00:19BUYWill Nick Kurtz win the 2026 American Le…Yes80.110$0.880x46696b…
2026-06-15 00:18SELLWill Anthropic have the third best AI mo…No370.100$3.650x48ea2d…
2026-06-15 00:18SELLWill Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 3…Yes20.110$0.220x6c0a47…
2026-06-15 00:18SELLWill Panama be eliminated in Group Stage…No330.340$11.380x5e0c4c…
2026-06-15 00:18BUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI mo…No320.100$3.150xdee73b…
2026-06-15 00:17SELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes20000.160$320.000x4acee5…
2026-06-15 00:16BUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1…No250.220$5.500x2fba6d…
2026-06-15 00:10BUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes20000.162$324.000xa87bcc…
2026-06-15 00:08BUYWill Panama be eliminated in Group Stage…No330.350$11.710x90a339…
2026-06-15 00:06SELLWill Paul Skenes strike out the most bat…Yes450.060$2.710x2826d5…
2026-06-15 00:06SELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at…Yes80.130$1.000x958c05…

By category (closed only)

CategoryN closedRealized PnL
Crypto5-$3.12
Sports30-$11.09
Politics78-$37.10
Other316-$189.73

Coordinated-buy involvement

events that included this wallet
WhenMarketWalletsNotionalDiversity
2026-06-05 13:27Will Gianluca Tittarelli win the 2026 Macerat…3$29.850.67
2026-06-04 21:45Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino by June 30…3$388.180.44
2026-06-01 12:13Will RISE launch a token by June 30, 2027?3$147.500.57
2026-05-31 14:49Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?3$286.780.64