0x06d248d4f372601d24192284bff919a2c05dfb27
cheesymm
TRACKEDT31 SOURCES
Sources: local:positions_users
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$5.3k
59 open · unrealized -$457.86 · 💰 14 pending claim ($3.74)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
0%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$241.30
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
113
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -
🟢 Live open positions
59 live · $5,298 current value · unrealized -$457.86| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazil… | No | 1,807 | $0.538 | $0.495 | 53.8% | 49.5% | $973 | $894 | $-78 | -8.1% | 2026-10-04 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Electio… | Yes | 4,422 | $0.163 | $0.151 | 16.3% | 15.1% | $722 | $668 | $-55 | -7.6% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presiden… | Yes | 1,375 | $0.248 | $0.238 | 24.8% | 23.8% | $341 | $328 | $-13 | -3.9% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom … | No | 392 | $0.800 | $0.805 | 80.0% | 80.5% | $314 | $316 | $+2 | +0.6% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 13,854 | $0.019 | $0.021 | 1.9% | 2.1% | $265 | $284 | $+19 | +7.0% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democra… | Yes | 2,728 | $0.092 | $0.102 | 9.2% | 10.2% | $253 | $280 | $+27 | +10.7% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Elec… | Yes | 1,466 | $0.148 | $0.157 | 14.8% | 15.7% | $218 | $229 | $+12 | +5.4% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presiden… | Yes | 403 | $0.674 | $0.530 | 67.5% | 53.0% | $272 | $214 | $-58 | -21.4% | 2026-11-30 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidenti… | No | 203 | $0.931 | $0.918 | 93.1% | 91.8% | $189 | $186 | $-3 | -1.4% | 2028-11-07 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 1,456 | $0.137 | $0.125 | 13.7% | 12.5% | $199 | $182 | $-17 | -8.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Elec… | No | 205 | $0.851 | $0.844 | 85.1% | 84.4% | $174 | $173 | $-2 | -0.9% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister… | Yes | 606 | $0.338 | $0.275 | 33.8% | 27.5% | $205 | $167 | $-38 | -18.6% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of… | No | 204 | $0.759 | $0.765 | 75.9% | 76.5% | $155 | $156 | $+1 | +0.8% | 2026-09-13 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian pre… | Yes | 1,156 | $0.275 | $0.125 | 27.5% | 12.5% | $318 | $144 | $-173 | -54.5% | 2026-06-21 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican president… | Yes | 594 | $0.242 | $0.242 | 24.2% | 24.2% | $144 | $144 | $+0 | +0.0% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presi… | Yes | 496 | $0.279 | $0.274 | 27.9% | 27.4% | $138 | $136 | $-3 | -2.0% | 2026-10-04 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the… | No | 283 | $0.385 | $0.400 | 38.5% | 40.0% | $109 | $113 | $+4 | +3.9% | 2026-09-30 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential El… | No | 234 | $0.420 | $0.415 | 42.0% | 41.5% | $98 | $97 | $-1 | -1.2% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 849 | $0.159 | $0.095 | 15.9% | 9.5% | $135 | $81 | $-54 | -40.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presiden… | Yes | 2,537 | $0.024 | $0.029 | 2.4% | 2.9% | $61 | $72 | $+11 | +18.7% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic preside… | Yes | 739 | $0.077 | $0.073 | 7.8% | 7.3% | $57 | $54 | $-3 | -5.2% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Ministe… | No | 205 | $0.283 | $0.255 | 28.3% | 25.5% | $58 | $52 | $-6 | -9.8% | 2026-09-13 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league … | Yes | 692 | $0.071 | $0.075 | 7.1% | 7.5% | $49 | $52 | $+3 | +5.1% | 2027-03-31 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Ele… | Yes | 334 | $0.167 | $0.144 | 16.7% | 14.4% | $56 | $48 | $-8 | -13.5% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Pres… | Yes | 760 | $0.054 | $0.059 | 5.4% | 5.9% | $41 | $45 | $+4 | +9.2% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presid… | Yes | 1,016 | $0.035 | $0.043 | 3.5% | 4.2% | $36 | $43 | $+7 | +19.8% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom … | Yes | 143 | $0.296 | $0.195 | 29.6% | 19.5% | $42 | $28 | $-15 | -34.2% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presi… | No | 27 | $0.725 | $0.727 | 72.5% | 72.7% | $20 | $20 | $+0 | +0.2% | 2026-10-04 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presiden… | Yes | 380 | $0.061 | $0.051 | 6.1% | 5.1% | $23 | $20 | $-4 | -15.4% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidenti… | Yes | 118 | $0.079 | $0.082 | 7.9% | 8.2% | $9 | $10 | $+0 | +3.2% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presiden… | Yes | 390 | $0.029 | $0.021 | 2.9% | 2.1% | $11 | $8 | $-3 | -29.3% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Elec… | Yes | 1,197 | $0.011 | $0.006 | 1.1% | 0.7% | $14 | $8 | $-6 | -43.4% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential E… | Yes | 1,000 | $0.012 | $0.007 | 1.2% | 0.8% | $12 | $8 | $-5 | -39.3% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Elec… | No | 5 | $0.983 | $0.994 | 98.3% | 99.4% | $5 | $5 | $+0 | +1.1% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presiden… | No | 4 | $0.964 | $0.980 | 96.4% | 98.0% | $4 | $4 | $+0 | +1.6% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian pre… | No | 4 | $0.615 | $0.875 | 61.5% | 87.5% | $3 | $4 | $+1 | +42.2% | 2026-06-21 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French president… | No | 5 | $0.750 | $0.735 | 75.0% | 73.5% | $4 | $4 | $-0 | -1.9% | 2027-04-30 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister… | No | 5 | $0.629 | $0.725 | 62.9% | 72.5% | $3 | $3 | $+0 | +15.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential El… | Yes | 400 | $0.009 | $0.007 | 0.9% | 0.8% | $4 | $3 | $-1 | -16.7% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic preside… | No | 3 | $0.910 | $0.926 | 91.0% | 92.7% | $3 | $3 | $+0 | +1.8% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Ministe… | Yes | 2 | $0.562 | $0.745 | 56.2% | 74.5% | $1 | $2 | $+0 | +32.5% | 2026-09-13 |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local g… | Yes | 2 | $0.850 | $0.815 | 85.0% | 81.5% | $2 | $2 | $-0 | -4.1% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the… | Yes | 3 | $0.530 | $0.600 | 53.0% | 60.0% | $1 | $2 | $+0 | +13.2% | 2026-09-30 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican president… | No | 2 | $0.738 | $0.758 | 73.8% | 75.8% | $1 | $1 | $+0 | +2.7% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 2 | $0.600 | $0.665 | 60.0% | 66.5% | $1 | $1 | $+0 | +10.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local g… | No | 5 | $0.193 | $0.185 | 19.3% | 18.5% | $1 | $1 | $-0 | -4.2% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French president… | Yes | 3 | $0.230 | $0.265 | 23.0% | 26.5% | $1 | $1 | $+0 | +15.3% | 2027-04-30 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 1 | $0.866 | $0.875 | 86.6% | 87.5% | $1 | $1 | $+0 | +1.0% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Pre… | Yes | 34 | $0.018 | $0.018 | 1.8% | 1.8% | $1 | $1 | $+0 | +0.8% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian pr… | Yes | 401 | $0.002 | $0.002 | 0.2% | 0.1% | $1 | $1 | $-0 | -29.0% | 2026-10-04 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
14 markets settled · $4 unclaimed📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
Sun
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Fri
Sat
Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-15 03:03:58
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 22:56
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
11 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian … | No | 25 | 0.727 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazili… | Yes | 399 | 0.002 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minist… | No | 200 | 0.760 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 B… | No | 155 | 1.416 | - | $0.00 |
| Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kin… | No | 390 | 0.862 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minist… | Yes | 17 | 0.490 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Min… | Yes | 601 | 0.546 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presi… | Yes | 116 | 0.080 | - | $0.00 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential El… | Yes | 339 | 0.152 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential… | Yes | 1298 | 0.161 | - | $0.00 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidenti… | No | 232 | 0.420 | - | $0.00 |
Closed positions
most recent 50| Exit when | Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Exit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 20:58 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats i… | No | 10 | 21.966 | 0.390 | -$216.62 |
| 2026-06-13 09:03 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian pre… | No | 7 | 3.789 | 0.460 | -$24.68 |
Recent trades
100 of 113 shownBy category (closed only)
| Category | N closed | Realized PnL |
|---|---|---|
| Politics | 2 | -$241.30 |
Coordinated-buy involvement
events that included this wallet| When | Market | Wallets | Notional | Diversity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 21:38 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian … | 3 | $865.39 | 0.83 |