0x04f77f740822669d8abce04c5fdaf2c1b21d184a
no username
TRACKEDT33 SOURCES
Sources: vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
+$12.9k
61W / 10L · WR 85.9%
Open exposure (live)
$27.28
10 open · unrealized -$2.18 · 💰 7 pending claim ($0.26)
Lifetime turnover
$216.8k
154 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$13.3k
−$720.00
Realized
+$12.9k
Unrealized (local approx)
-$2.18
Profit capture (brain)
-
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$0.00
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
11
local DB
First → Last trade
2026-01-08
→ 2026-04-20
🟢 Live open positions
10 live · $27 current value · unrealized -$2.18| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June… | No | 5 | $0.993 | $0.996 | 99.3% | 99.6% | $5 | $5 | $+0 | +0.2% | 2026-06-15 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 4 | $0.960 | $0.995 | 96.0% | 99.5% | $4 | $4 | $+0 | +3.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative … | No | 4 | $0.990 | $1.000 | 99.0% | 100.0% | $4 | $4 | $+0 | +1.0% | 2026-06-14 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Ele… | No | 3 | $0.982 | $0.985 | 98.2% | 98.5% | $3 | $3 | $+0 | +0.2% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Pre… | No | 3 | $0.984 | $0.984 | 98.4% | 98.4% | $3 | $3 | $-0 | -0.1% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Elec… | No | 2 | $0.983 | $0.994 | 98.3% | 99.4% | $2 | $2 | $+0 | +1.1% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presid… | No | 2 | $0.999 | $1.000 | 99.9% | 100.0% | $2 | $2 | $+0 | +0.0% | 2026-06-21 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian pre… | No | 2 | $0.997 | $0.994 | 99.7% | 99.4% | $2 | $2 | $-0 | -0.3% | 2026-10-04 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential E… | No | 2 | $0.981 | $0.978 | 98.1% | 97.8% | $2 | $2 | $-0 | -0.4% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool? | Yes | 5 | $0.500 | $0.025 | 50.0% | 2.5% | $3 | $0 | $-2 | -94.9% | 1970-01-01 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
7 markets settled · $0 unclaimed| Market | Side | Shares | Cost | Value | PnL | Resolved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end … | No | 0 | $0 | $0 | $+0 | 2026-04-30 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end … | Yes | 0 | $0 | $0 | $-0 | 2026-04-30 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 1 | $1 | $0 | $-1 | 2026-04-07 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-16? | Yes | 2 | $1 | $0 | $-1 | 2026-04-16 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 4 | $1 | $0 | $-1 | 2026-05-31 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 2 | $2 | $0 | $-2 | 2026-04-13 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Thunder | 9 | $5 | $0 | $-5 | 2026-05-31 |
📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-15 05:50:36
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 11:07
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
1 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the No to ten million Switzerland initia… | No | 4 | 0.990 | - | $0.00 |
Recent trades
11 of 11 shown| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Shares | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 11:07 | SELL | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm… | No | 2 | 0.996 | $1.86 | 0xf796b4… |
| 2026-06-14 11:02 | SELL | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm… | No | 0 | 0.996 | $0.01 | 0x17a8fc… |
| 2026-06-14 10:57 | SELL | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm… | No | 0 | 0.996 | $0.13 | 0x961e10… |
| 2026-06-14 10:52 | SELL | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm… | No | 0 | 0.996 | $0.05 | 0x926507… |
| 2026-06-14 10:42 | SELL | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm… | No | 0 | 0.996 | $0.06 | 0xa9dd24… |
| 2026-06-14 10:22 | BUY | Will the No to ten million Switzerland i… | No | 2 | 0.990 | $1.49 | 0x992ca8… |
| 2026-06-14 10:22 | SELL | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm… | No | 2 | 0.996 | $1.66 | 0x0c6f5a… |
| 2026-06-14 10:21 | BUY | Will the No to ten million Switzerland i… | No | 1 | 0.990 | $1.18 | 0x51b1ff… |
| 2026-06-14 10:21 | SELL | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm… | No | 0 | 0.996 | $0.01 | 0x89e7ec… |
| 2026-06-14 10:21 | SELL | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm… | No | 1 | 0.996 | $1.13 | 0xc0d259… |
| 2026-06-14 10:16 | BUY | Will the No to ten million Switzerland i… | No | 1 | 0.990 | $1.09 | 0xe98bd4… |
Coordinated-buy involvement
events that included this wallet| When | Market | Wallets | Notional | Diversity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 00:12 | Spurs vs. Thunder | 7 | $34.2k | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-31 00:05 | Spurs vs. Thunder | 5 | $37.2k | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-31 00:03 | Spurs vs. Thunder | 3 | $34.6k | 1.00 |