0x04b954ec5d65e0a855d31b5e695083f3c4ad79e0
immanuelcan
TRACKEDT31 SOURCES
Sources: local:positions_users
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$13.0k
65 open · unrealized -$3.8k · 💰 435 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
-
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$0.00
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
9
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -
🟢 Live open positions
65 live · $13,029 current value · unrealized -$3.8k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 20… | No | 3,306 | $0.256 | $0.335 | 25.6% | 33.5% | $847 | $1,107 | $+261 | +30.8% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in… | Yes | 907 | $0.903 | $0.915 | 90.3% | 91.5% | $819 | $830 | $+11 | +1.4% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after… | No | 963 | $0.490 | $0.555 | 49.0% | 55.5% | $472 | $534 | $+63 | +13.3% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after … | Yes | 2,910 | $0.145 | $0.175 | 14.5% | 17.5% | $423 | $509 | $+87 | +20.5% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in… | Yes | 533 | $0.926 | $0.947 | 92.6% | 94.7% | $494 | $505 | $+11 | +2.2% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stan… | Yes | 486 | $0.090 | $1.000 | 9.0% | 100.0% | $44 | $485 | $+442 | +1010.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate ra… | Yes | 552 | $0.886 | $0.870 | 88.6% | 87.0% | $489 | $480 | $-9 | -1.8% | 1970-01-01 |
| Ramp IPO before 2027? | No | 499 | $0.819 | $0.895 | 81.9% | 89.5% | $409 | $447 | $+38 | +9.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026… | No | 402 | $0.820 | $1.000 | 82.0% | 100.0% | $330 | $402 | $+72 | +21.9% | 2026-06-02 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat… | Yes | 420 | $0.920 | $0.957 | 92.0% | 95.7% | $386 | $402 | $+15 | +4.0% | 2026-11-03 |
| Vanta IPO before 2027? | No | 454 | $0.842 | $0.865 | 84.2% | 86.5% | $382 | $392 | $+11 | +2.8% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race … | No | 414 | $0.909 | $0.920 | 90.9% | 92.0% | $376 | $380 | $+4 | +1.2% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in … | Yes | 403 | $0.908 | $0.920 | 90.8% | 92.0% | $365 | $370 | $+5 | +1.3% | 1970-01-01 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 834 | $0.560 | $0.425 | 56.0% | 42.5% | $467 | $354 | $-113 | -24.1% | 2026-05-16 |
| Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? | No | 401 | $0.838 | $0.875 | 83.8% | 87.5% | $336 | $351 | $+15 | +4.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds | St. Louis Cardinals | 869 | $0.470 | $0.395 | 47.0% | 39.5% | $409 | $343 | $-65 | -16.0% | 2026-05-31 |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate… | Yes | 421 | $0.798 | $0.815 | 79.8% | 81.5% | $336 | $343 | $+7 | +2.1% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race… | No | 396 | $0.855 | $0.865 | 85.5% | 86.5% | $338 | $342 | $+4 | +1.2% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat… | Yes | 411 | $0.831 | $0.815 | 83.1% | 81.5% | $341 | $335 | $-7 | -2.0% | 2026-11-03 |
| Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? | No | 399 | $0.756 | $0.810 | 75.6% | 81.0% | $302 | $323 | $+22 | +7.2% | 2026-12-31 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 500 | $0.550 | $0.615 | 55.0% | 61.5% | $275 | $308 | $+32 | +11.8% | 2026-05-30 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Se… | Yes | 1,020 | $0.275 | $0.285 | 27.5% | 28.5% | $281 | $291 | $+10 | +3.6% | 2026-10-31 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by Decembe… | No | 593 | $0.305 | $0.475 | 30.5% | 47.5% | $181 | $282 | $+101 | +55.6% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat… | No | 372 | $0.611 | $0.745 | 61.1% | 74.5% | $227 | $277 | $+50 | +21.9% | 2026-11-03 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 1,016 | $0.396 | $0.250 | 39.6% | 25.0% | $403 | $254 | $-149 | -36.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league cha… | Yes | 9,119 | $0.030 | $0.026 | 3.0% | 2.6% | $272 | $242 | $-31 | -11.2% | 2027-03-31 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential … | Yes | 500 | $0.390 | $0.405 | 39.0% | 40.5% | $195 | $202 | $+8 | +3.8% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June… | Yes | 5,000 | $0.380 | $0.033 | 38.0% | 3.2% | $1,900 | $162 | $-1,738 | -91.4% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French president… | Yes | 572 | $0.220 | $0.265 | 22.0% | 26.5% | $126 | $152 | $+26 | +20.5% | 2027-04-30 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican preside… | Yes | 10,871 | $0.009 | $0.013 | 0.9% | 1.4% | $102 | $147 | $+45 | +43.6% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL leag… | Yes | 3,289 | $0.040 | $0.040 | 4.0% | 4.0% | $130 | $130 | $-0 | -0.1% | 2027-03-31 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presiden… | Yes | 6,298 | $0.020 | $0.021 | 2.0% | 2.1% | $123 | $129 | $+6 | +4.6% | 2028-11-07 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 1,200 | $0.180 | $0.095 | 18.0% | 9.5% | $216 | $114 | $-102 | -47.2% | 2026-06-30 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.167 | $0.210 | 16.7% | 21.0% | $84 | $105 | $+22 | +25.7% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential… | Yes | 10,450 | $0.010 | $0.009 | 1.0% | 0.9% | $109 | $99 | $-10 | -9.2% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic preside… | Yes | 5,500 | $0.020 | $0.017 | 2.0% | 1.7% | $110 | $91 | $-19 | -17.5% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL leag… | Yes | 2,000 | $0.040 | $0.043 | 4.0% | 4.2% | $80 | $85 | $+5 | +6.2% | 2027-03-31 |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World … | Yes | 1,500 | $0.040 | $0.049 | 4.0% | 4.9% | $60 | $73 | $+13 | +21.2% | 2026-10-31 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidenti… | Yes | 4,000 | $0.020 | $0.018 | 2.0% | 1.8% | $80 | $70 | $-10 | -12.5% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps aft… | Yes | 2,092 | $0.032 | $0.032 | 3.2% | 3.1% | $68 | $66 | $-2 | -2.5% | 2026-07-29 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June… | Yes | 3,063 | $0.270 | $0.019 | 27.0% | 1.9% | $827 | $58 | $-769 | -93.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league ch… | Yes | 1,782 | $0.030 | $0.029 | 3.0% | 2.9% | $53 | $53 | $-0 | -0.6% | 2027-03-31 |
| Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League C… | Yes | 430 | $0.016 | $0.109 | 1.6% | 10.9% | $7 | $47 | $+40 | +562.8% | 2026-11-01 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 12,441 | $0.016 | $0.004 | 1.6% | 0.4% | $198 | $44 | $-154 | -78.0% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League… | Yes | 1,651 | $0.037 | $0.026 | 3.7% | 2.6% | $61 | $43 | $-18 | -29.7% | 2026-11-01 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June… | Yes | 2,524 | $0.140 | $0.016 | 14.0% | 1.6% | $353 | $40 | $-313 | -88.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Serie… | Yes | 500 | $0.070 | $0.076 | 7.0% | 7.6% | $35 | $38 | $+3 | +8.6% | 2026-10-31 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 2,707 | $0.043 | $0.011 | 4.3% | 1.1% | $117 | $28 | $-89 | -75.7% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? | Yes | 500 | $0.210 | $0.055 | 21.0% | 5.5% | $105 | $28 | $-78 | -73.8% | 2026-10-11 |
| Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league cha… | Yes | 797 | $0.034 | $0.035 | 3.4% | 3.5% | $27 | $27 | $+1 | +2.3% | 2027-03-31 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
435 markets settled · $0 unclaimed📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
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Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-15 03:03:54
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 19:14
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Recent trades
9 of 9 shown| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Shares | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 19:14 | SELL | Will the Republican Party win the MI-11 … | No | 60 | 0.990 | $59.40 | 0xb2d85b… |
| 2026-06-13 18:43 | SELL | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds | St. Louis Cardinals | 5 | 0.400 | $2.00 | 0xe0aeb6… |
| 2026-06-13 15:23 | SELL | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds | St. Louis Cardinals | 8 | 0.400 | $3.00 | 0x71c938… |
| 2026-06-13 14:22 | SELL | Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) | Cincinnati Reds | 1197 | 0.730 | $873.53 | 0x899038… |
| 2026-06-13 13:35 | SELL | Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | No | 7 | 0.953 | $6.42 | 0xb1e743… |
| 2026-06-13 10:23 | SELL | Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) | Cincinnati Reds | 150 | 0.730 | $109.50 | 0x34f600… |
| 2026-06-13 09:24 | SELL | Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) | Cincinnati Reds | 653 | 0.730 | $476.97 | 0xc589fb… |
| 2026-06-12 23:00 | SELL | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds | St. Louis Cardinals | 8 | 0.400 | $3.00 | 0xed58b2… |
| 2026-06-12 22:54 | SELL | Celonis IPO before 2027? | No | 4 | 0.870 | $3.48 | 0x10c783… |