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0x02a17a92e6f673129b37d95359c7af628a3cdd72

no username
TRACKEDT33 SOURCES
Sources: vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$98.0k
50 open · unrealized +$20.9k · 💰 13 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
-
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$0.00
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
9
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -

🟢 Live open positions

50 live · $97,957 current value · unrealized +$20.9k
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No24,985$0.818$0.94181.8%94.0%$20,442$23,498$+3,057+15.0%2026-12-31
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2…No15,136$0.505$0.90550.5%90.5%$7,639$13,698$+6,060+79.3%2026-12-31
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 3…No10,000$0.873$0.96987.3%96.9%$8,730$9,685$+955+10.9%2026-06-30
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No11,277$0.644$0.80064.4%80.0%$7,266$9,021$+1,755+24.2%2026-12-31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No7,000$0.700$0.99470.0%99.4%$4,900$6,954$+2,054+41.9%2026-06-30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No7,131$0.894$0.97489.4%97.4%$6,377$6,946$+569+8.9%2026-06-30
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the…Yes10,000$0.581$0.60058.1%60.0%$5,810$6,000$+190+3.3%2026-09-30
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by…Yes5,500$0.334$0.83033.4%83.0%$1,835$4,565$+2,730+148.8%2026-06-30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes4,000$0.640$0.91564.0%91.5%$2,560$3,660$+1,100+43.0%2026-05-15
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by Jun…Yes4,500$0.297$0.63529.7%63.5%$1,335$2,857$+1,523+114.1%2026-06-30
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes2,620$0.493$0.67049.3%67.0%$1,292$1,756$+463+35.8%2026-12-31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes2,000$0.470$0.85047.0%85.0%$940$1,700$+760+80.9%2026-05-15
NATO dissolves before 2027?No1,500$0.900$0.95790.0%95.7%$1,350$1,435$+85+6.3%2026-12-31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister…No1,550$0.364$0.72536.4%72.5%$564$1,124$+559+99.1%2026-12-31
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine bef…Yes6,361$0.262$0.16026.2%16.0%$1,665$1,018$-647-38.9%2026-12-31
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June…No989$0.497$0.95249.7%95.2%$491$941$+449+91.4%2026-06-30
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presiden…Yes800$0.380$0.98238.0%98.2%$304$786$+482+158.4%2026-06-07
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No1,026$0.620$0.73062.0%73.0%$636$749$+113+17.7%2026-12-31
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes7,478$0.104$0.09510.4%9.5%$780$710$-70-8.9%2026-12-31
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the…No651$0.097$0.4009.7%40.0%$63$260$+197+313.8%2026-09-30
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU count…No200$0.110$0.99911.0%99.9%$22$200$+178+807.7%2026-06-30
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation…Yes2,918$0.009$0.0310.9%3.1%$26$90$+64+246.9%2026-09-30
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by …Yes6,096$0.175$0.01517.5%1.5%$1,069$88$-980-91.7%2026-12-31
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russia…Yes29,574$0.002$0.0030.2%0.2%$59$74$+15+25.0%2026-09-30
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the mos…Yes5,651$0.006$0.0050.6%0.5%$35$28$-7-19.8%2026-09-30
European country agrees to give Ukraine security g…Yes2,620$0.144$0.01014.4%1.0%$376$26$-350-93.0%2026-06-30
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in th…Yes10,936$0.003$0.0020.3%0.1%$30$16$-13-44.7%2026-09-30
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by Dec…Yes112$0.446$0.14044.5%14.0%$50$16$-34-68.6%2026-12-31
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by Jun…Yes1,000$0.160$0.01016.0%1.0%$160$10$-150-93.8%2026-12-31
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No10$0.500$0.92950.0%93.0%$5$9$+4+85.9%2026-12-31
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?Yes248$0.160$0.01916.0%1.9%$40$5$-35-88.1%2026-06-30
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela en…Yes604$0.015$0.0071.5%0.7%$9$4$-5-52.8%2026-12-31
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?Yes2,034$0.020$0.0022.0%0.2%$41$4$-37-90.0%2026-06-30
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela e…Yes604$0.015$0.0051.5%0.5%$9$3$-6-62.9%2026-12-31
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end…Yes4$0.015$0.7331.5%73.2%$0$3$+3+4842.5%2026-12-31
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?Yes1,486$0.022$0.0022.2%0.1%$33$2$-31-93.3%2026-06-30
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?Yes1,411$0.020$0.0022.0%0.1%$28$2$-26-92.5%2026-06-30
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end o…Yes604$0.015$0.0041.5%0.4%$9$2$-7-76.4%2026-12-31
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of…Yes257$0.015$0.0051.5%0.5%$4$1$-2-62.9%2026-12-31
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?Yes2,193$0.004$0.0010.4%0.1%$9$1$-8-88.4%2026-06-30
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end …Yes604$0.015$0.0021.5%0.1%$9$1$-8-89.9%2026-12-31
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end o…Yes604$0.015$0.0021.5%0.1%$9$1$-8-89.9%2026-12-31
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2…Yes604$0.015$0.0021.5%0.1%$9$1$-8-89.9%2026-12-31
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of…Yes604$0.015$0.0021.5%0.1%$9$1$-8-89.9%2026-12-31
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venez…Yes604$0.015$0.0021.5%0.1%$9$1$-8-89.9%2026-12-31
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela en…Yes604$0.015$0.0021.5%0.1%$9$1$-8-89.9%2026-12-31
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela en…Yes604$0.015$0.0021.5%0.1%$9$1$-8-89.9%2026-12-31
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela en…Yes4$0.015$0.1751.5%17.5%$0$1$+1+1080.7%2026-12-31
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes1$0.011$0.0041.1%0.4%$0$0$-0-64.3%2026-06-30
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Vene…Yes1$0.015$0.0041.5%0.4%$0$0$-0-69.7%2026-12-31

💰 Resolved · pending claim

13 markets settled · $0 unclaimed
MarketSideSharesCostValuePnLResolved
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes2$0$0$-02026-04-30
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?Yes1,300$97$0$-972025-12-31
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Yes435$100$0$-1002026-05-06
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the St…Yes3,500$112$0$-1122026-05-31
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by Mar…Yes1,965$184$0$-1842026-12-31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes1,000$295$0$-2952026-05-31
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the St…Yes4,438$331$0$-3312026-04-30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States …No800$480$0$-4802026-06-15
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May…Yes5,032$837$0$-8372026-05-31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States …Yes5,119$1,075$0$-1,0752026-06-07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes8,000$2,240$0$-2,2402026-05-15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States …Yes7,052$2,582$0$-2,5822026-05-31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No5,999$3,030$0$-3,0302026-12-31

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-15 00:25REDEEM-Will Donald Trump announce that the United State-13,300$0.000$13.3k0x9be977…
2026-06-15 00:14YIELD--1$0.000$1.350xbde87f…
2026-06-14 10:09TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateNo800$0.600$480.000x6f8399…
2026-06-14 00:10YIELD--1$0.000$1.380x77dd02…
2026-06-13 19:04TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes314$0.420$131.710x28a802…
2026-06-13 19:04TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes187$0.420$78.700x14591d…
2026-06-13 11:16TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes66$0.290$19.230xc35e0c…
2026-06-13 11:16TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes14$0.290$4.110xde33d0…
2026-06-13 11:16TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes52$0.290$14.990x6cf96b…
2026-06-13 11:16TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes517$0.290$149.990x0e51a7…
2026-06-13 11:16TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes351$0.290$101.680x43fd89…
2026-06-13 00:15REWARD--0$0.000$0.360x486b50…
2026-06-13 00:11YIELD--1$0.000$1.370xa683f3…
2026-06-13 00:00REWARD--35$0.000$35.090xeb2af6…
2026-06-12 19:17TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes2,000$0.300$600.000x5344bf…
2026-06-12 10:02TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes22$0.340$7.620xaa5344…
2026-06-12 10:02TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes37$0.340$12.690x731197…
2026-06-12 10:02TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes15$0.340$5.080x97df96…
2026-06-12 10:02TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes3$0.340$1.100x7668cc…
2026-06-12 10:02TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes1,349$0.340$458.680x919a41…
2026-06-12 10:02TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes36$0.340$12.330x0e0ff6…
2026-06-12 10:02TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes373$0.340$126.960x7c5461…
2026-06-12 10:02TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes59$0.340$20.000x73cfa1…
2026-06-12 10:02TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes37$0.340$12.690xaecff3…
2026-06-12 10:02TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes45$0.340$15.220x2336d1…
2026-06-12 10:02TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes22$0.340$7.610xe7dc16…
2026-06-12 10:00TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes329$0.650$214.050xc2c1e6…
2026-06-12 09:55TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes5$0.650$3.250x705545…
2026-06-12 09:55TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes5$0.650$3.250x510b24…
2026-06-12 09:54TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes300$0.650$195.000xe96525…
2026-06-12 09:52TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes5$0.650$3.250x052ee6…
2026-06-12 09:52TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes222$0.650$144.520x9dbe2a…
2026-06-12 09:52TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes1,000$0.320$320.000x655b26…
2026-06-12 09:49TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes5$0.650$3.250x7001a2…
2026-06-12 09:48TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes240$0.650$156.000x17f87f…
2026-06-12 09:48TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes5$0.650$3.250xe4f7f5…
2026-06-12 09:47TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes5$0.650$3.250x3a3a91…
2026-06-12 09:46TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes64$0.650$41.840x9c70a3…
2026-06-12 09:46TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes123$0.650$79.740x78ae30…
2026-06-12 09:33TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes196$0.650$127.170xc06d17…
2026-06-12 09:20TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes42$0.650$27.300x8c32c3…
2026-06-12 09:19TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes329$0.650$214.150x7e8247…
2026-06-12 08:52TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes700$0.630$441.000x69ccd6…
2026-06-12 08:37TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes0$0.650$0.080x3afde3…
2026-06-12 08:35TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes29$0.650$18.900x13fb89…
2026-06-12 08:34TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes13$0.650$8.450xab97d0…
2026-06-12 08:31TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes5$0.650$3.250x514145…
2026-06-12 08:29TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes46$0.650$29.900xd5b2ce…
2026-06-12 08:08TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes31$0.650$20.150x8cefd1…
2026-06-12 00:15REWARD--0$0.000$0.330x0149a7…
2026-06-12 00:12YIELD--1$0.000$1.370xb2c60e…
2026-06-12 00:00REWARD--13$0.000$13.080xa650ae…
2026-06-11 23:02TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes2,056$0.270$555.170x138d34…
2026-06-11 23:02TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes1,220$0.270$329.350x7c5aff…
2026-06-11 12:44TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes1,000$0.270$270.000xbf2b43…
2026-06-11 12:44TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes998$0.270$269.580xbf2b43…
2026-06-11 12:22TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes2$0.270$0.420x1a73bb…
2026-06-11 00:16YIELD--1$0.000$1.370x70f013…
2026-06-10 00:11YIELD--1$0.000$1.360x7d8224…
2026-06-09 00:14YIELD--1$0.000$1.350x23c9a1…
2026-06-08 00:11YIELD--1$0.000$1.350xf25a48…
2026-06-07 00:12YIELD--1$0.000$1.350x9ce3a3…
2026-06-06 00:15YIELD--1$0.000$1.350x378e18…
2026-06-05 00:12YIELD--1$0.000$1.370xe59cbf…
2026-06-05 00:00REWARD--10$0.000$10.230x6cd5d9…
2026-06-04 14:40TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes4,000$0.640$2.6k0x67d0a7…
2026-06-04 14:38TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes2,000$0.470$940.000xee466d…
2026-06-04 06:55TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes1,754$0.520$912.090x716819…
2026-06-04 06:55TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes17$0.520$9.050x7dfae2…
2026-06-04 06:55TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes21$0.520$10.830xaffe4d…
2026-06-04 06:55TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes191$0.520$99.330x8a2517…
2026-06-04 06:55TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes20$0.520$10.280xb5ad79…
2026-06-04 06:55TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes6,500$0.520$3.4k0x677b31…
2026-06-04 06:50TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes747$0.520$388.440xae7dd5…
2026-06-04 05:53TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes608$0.520$316.080xa74958…
2026-06-04 05:49TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes21$0.520$10.830x73ba32…
2026-06-04 05:46TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes19$0.520$9.980xbbb495…
2026-06-04 05:45TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes18$0.520$9.430x800643…
2026-06-04 05:45TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes64$0.520$33.180xc7aeb7…
2026-06-04 05:45TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United StateYes20$0.520$10.470x733df1…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

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Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat

Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-14 21:25:22
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 10:09
Backfill
✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])
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Open positions

1 open
MarketOutcomeSharesEntryLastUnrealized
Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…No8000.600-$0.00

Recent trades

9 of 9 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-14 10:09BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…No8000.600$480.000x6f8399…
2026-06-13 19:04SELLWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes3140.420$131.710x28a802…
2026-06-13 19:04SELLWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes1870.420$78.700x14591d…
2026-06-13 11:16SELLWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes660.290$19.230xc35e0c…
2026-06-13 11:16SELLWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes140.290$4.110xde33d0…
2026-06-13 11:16SELLWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes520.290$14.990x6cf96b…
2026-06-13 11:16SELLWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes5170.290$149.990x0e51a7…
2026-06-13 11:16SELLWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes3510.290$101.680x43fd89…
2026-06-12 19:17SELLWill Donald Trump announce that the Unit…Yes20000.300$600.000x5344bf…

Coordinated-buy involvement

events that included this wallet
WhenMarketWalletsNotionalDiversity
2026-06-04 14:39US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026…3$4.6k0.90
2026-06-04 06:55Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…3$5.5k0.66
2026-06-04 06:50Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…3$5.8k0.66
2026-06-01 07:55Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…3$1.3k0.95