0x0260366a9add43c25d4f4d35d2210526c6750d88
no username
TRACKEDT33 SOURCES
Sources: vps:filter_1.csv|vps:filter_2.csv|vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$31.6k
7 open · unrealized +$1.0k
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
50%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$234.67
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
118
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -
🟢 Live open positions
7 live · $31,642 current value · unrealized +$1.0k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15… | No | 13,548 | $0.981 | $0.997 | 98.0% | 99.7% | $13,283 | $13,500 | $+217 | +1.6% | 2026-06-15 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 202… | Yes | 7,881 | $0.944 | $0.985 | 94.4% | 98.5% | $7,439 | $7,763 | $+324 | +4.4% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia bef… | No | 4,918 | $0.830 | $0.845 | 83.0% | 84.5% | $4,082 | $4,156 | $+74 | +1.8% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 3,287 | $0.858 | $0.875 | 85.8% | 87.5% | $2,821 | $2,877 | $+56 | +2.0% | 2026-12-31 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | $0.735 | $0.848 | 73.5% | 84.8% | $1,470 | $1,695 | $+225 | +15.3% | 2026-06-15 |
| Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall … | No | 1,828 | $0.840 | $0.900 | 84.0% | 90.0% | $1,536 | $1,645 | $+109 | +7.1% | 2027-01-01 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | No | 6 | $0.971 | $0.988 | 97.1% | 98.8% | $6 | $6 | $+0 | +1.7% | 2026-06-30 |
📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-14 17:56:50
Latest trade ts
2026-06-14 17:28
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
8 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control … | No | 4044 | 0.962 | - | $0.00 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 3… | No | 10006 | 0.971 | - | $0.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20… | No | 0 | 224282.720 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | Yes | 0 | 891379.060 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian pre… | Yes | 0 | 350588.560 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russi… | No | 1933 | 0.830 | - | $0.00 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by Ju… | No | 1500 | 0.989 | - | $0.00 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? | No | 2000 | 0.984 | - | $0.00 |
Closed positions
most recent 50| Exit when | Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Exit | Realized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 16:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by… | Yes | 981 | 0.489 | 0.250 | -$234.67 |
| 2026-06-13 10:09 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 3… | No | 8559 | 0.972 | 0.979 | +$59.00 |
Recent trades
100 of 118 shownBy category (closed only)
| Category | N closed | Realized PnL |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | -$175.66 |
Coordinated-buy involvement
events that included this wallet| When | Market | Wallets | Notional | Diversity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 04:16 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | 3 | $4.6k | 0.91 |
| 2026-06-04 13:48 | Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension … | 3 | $40.0k | 0.97 |
| 2026-06-03 21:51 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 4 | $1.50M | 0.88 |
| 2026-06-02 18:35 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 8 | $156.3k | 0.60 |
| 2026-06-02 18:35 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 8 | $161.5k | 0.60 |
| 2026-06-02 12:47 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 3 | $273.0k | 0.73 |
| 2026-06-02 12:28 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 5 | $571.3k | 0.85 |
| 2026-06-02 10:28 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 4 | $20.0k | 0.96 |
| 2026-06-02 09:32 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 4 | $22.6k | 0.91 |
| 2026-06-02 09:26 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 4 | $109.0k | 0.94 |
| 2026-06-02 09:23 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 5 | $256.3k | 0.84 |
| 2026-06-02 07:43 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 3 | $392.3k | 0.39 |
| 2026-06-02 07:34 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 20… | 3 | $113.5k | 0.88 |