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0x023c300ddb1b8931448ff4371be11fce9467805d

no username
TRACKEDT31 SOURCES
Sources: vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
+$2.5k
163W / 9L · WR 94.8%
Open exposure (live)
$4.2k
3 open · unrealized +$83.16
Lifetime turnover
$89.5k
255 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$187.42
−$35.61
Realized
+$2.5k
Unrealized (local approx)
+$83.17
Profit capture (brain)
-
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$0.00
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
6
local DB
First → Last trade
2024-08-31
→ 2026-01-16

🟢 Live open positions

3 live · $4,202 current value · unrealized +$83.16
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No3,814$0.875$0.89587.5%89.5%$3,336$3,414$+77+2.3%2026-12-31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No794$0.984$0.99498.4%99.4%$781$789$+7+0.9%2026-06-30
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?Yes5$0.310$0.01631.0%1.6%$2$0$-1-94.8%2026-06-30

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-12 14:05TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No308$0.870$268.180xc87d08…
2026-06-12 13:46TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No154$0.870$133.850xdb3ac8…
2026-06-12 13:02TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No2$0.870$1.520x32eb0f…
2026-06-12 12:29TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No23$0.870$20.010x7ce98d…
2026-06-12 11:29TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No600$0.870$522.000xa46aaf…
2026-06-12 11:27TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No19$0.870$16.890x3d927a…
2026-06-12 09:31TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No3$0.870$2.420x57a726…
2026-06-12 05:55TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No897$0.870$780.370x350723…
2026-06-12 00:45TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No375$0.984$368.590xf1b73b…
2026-06-12 00:02TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No141$0.984$139.000x4b9b66…
2026-06-11 23:36TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No8$0.984$7.870x9b4b75…
2026-06-11 23:03TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No36$0.984$35.420xb5b2b5…
2026-06-11 22:47TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No36$0.984$35.580x759752…
2026-06-11 21:50TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No1,808$0.880$1.6k0x777c32…
2026-06-11 21:49TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No198$0.985$195.030x261294…
2026-06-11 21:48REDEEM-Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?-0$0.000$0.000x831eca…
2026-06-11 21:48REDEEM-Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second p-153$0.000$153.080x831eca…
2026-06-11 21:48REDEEM-Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is con-566$0.000$565.700x831eca…
2026-06-11 21:48REDEEM-Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place -598$0.000$597.950x831eca…
2026-05-08 11:14TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No3,467$0.966$3.3k0xcdc51d…
2026-05-07 18:28TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No352$0.961$337.970x8ffe05…
2026-05-07 18:27TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No26$0.961$24.640x184ae6…
2026-05-07 18:24TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No26$0.961$24.640xa8f287…
2026-05-07 18:18REDEEM-Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April-0$0.000$0.000x336c23…
2026-05-07 18:18REDEEM-US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?-1,029$0.000$1.0k0x336c23…
2026-05-07 18:18REDEEM-Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?-1,960$0.000$2.0k0x336c23…
2026-05-07 18:18REDEEM-Will there be no change in Fed interest rates af-4,096$0.000$4.1k0x336c23…
2026-04-26 09:18TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No1,029$0.996$1.0k0x5b1c11…
2026-04-26 09:17REDEEM-Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win fewer than 75-334$0.000$334.330x8f6a49…
2026-04-26 09:17REDEEM-Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 75-79-360$0.000$360.000x8f6a49…
2026-04-15 15:32TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place No35$0.710$24.890x7ab481…
2026-04-15 15:32TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place No34$0.710$24.480x9de861…
2026-04-15 15:30TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place No17$0.710$12.240xe76a41…
2026-04-15 15:28TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place No12$0.710$8.660x970b8c…
2026-04-15 15:24TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place No96$0.720$69.080xbb29d2…
2026-04-15 15:23TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place No403$0.720$290.170x7c730d…
2026-04-15 15:23TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second pYes153$0.727$111.290x4c165f…
2026-04-15 14:49TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by AprilYes30$0.090$2.750x267f3d…
2026-04-12 13:45TRADEBUYWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win fewer than 75No72$0.900$65.100x8bda59…
2026-04-08 17:42TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is conNo61$0.940$57.620x0295d4…
2026-04-08 16:54TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is conNo33$0.940$31.330x830399…
2026-04-08 15:24TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is conNo67$0.940$62.670x004dd8…
2026-04-08 15:22TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is conNo17$0.940$15.670xa0fd32…
2026-04-08 13:30TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is conNo17$0.940$15.670xf3679c…
2026-04-08 11:45TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is conNo5$0.940$4.940x9646ed…
2026-04-08 08:07TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is conNo50$0.940$47.000xc6e717…
2026-04-08 07:31TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is conNo15$0.940$13.870xb9e692…
2026-04-08 07:20REDEEM-Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March-633$0.000$632.860x89b0f5…
2026-04-08 06:23TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is conNo17$0.940$15.670x5bf4cc…
2026-04-07 23:37TRADESELLWill there be a US x Iran ceasefire before KevinNo339$0.002$0.550xa90856…
2026-04-05 00:00REWARD--0$0.000$0.120xfaae06…
2026-04-04 23:51TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is conNo17$0.940$15.670x89eb6f…
2026-04-04 22:05TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates afYes4,096$0.984$4.0k0x0389f8…
2026-04-04 22:02TRADEBUYWill there be a US x Iran ceasefire before KevinNo5$0.800$4.000x7dca8c…
2026-04-04 22:02TRADEBUYWill there be a US x Iran ceasefire before KevinNo334$0.799$266.810xeb7ae1…
2026-04-04 22:00TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is conNo268$0.940$251.660x1f785b…
2026-04-04 00:00REWARD--0$0.000$0.130xe4254c…
2026-04-03 21:25TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by MarchNo99$0.992$98.210xeedbee…
2026-04-03 17:49REDEEM-Military action against Iran ends on April 2, 20-99$0.000$99.000xdec0fe…
2026-04-03 17:49REDEEM-Military action against Iran ends on April 1, 20-179$0.000$179.000xdec0fe…
2026-04-03 17:49REDEEM-US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by Mar-398$0.000$398.000xdec0fe…
2026-04-03 16:12TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes500$0.910$455.000x86277c…
2026-04-03 16:08TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes2,095$0.900$1.9k0x415b9c…
2026-04-03 00:00REWARD--2$0.000$2.480xa120f2…
2026-04-02 00:01REWARD--5$0.000$4.850xb63e70…
2026-04-01 05:16TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 2, 20No99$0.900$89.100xa0650c…
2026-04-01 00:00REWARD--5$0.000$5.300xbc8e0a…
2026-03-31 23:55TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 1, 20No179$0.940$168.260xda7554…
2026-03-31 07:24TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by MarchNo288$0.992$285.560x8d101d…
2026-03-31 00:01REWARD--0$0.000$0.400xc1e586…
2026-03-29 15:26TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No435$0.970$422.050xc091d3…
2026-03-28 11:43TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes1,440$0.650$936.160xbebf26…
2026-03-28 11:15TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes1,155$0.660$762.300xf6e2c7…
2026-03-28 11:12TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No1$0.970$0.840xde69e8…
2026-03-28 11:12TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No459$0.970$445.260x5d40a9…
2026-03-28 11:08TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No1,065$0.970$1.0k0x3044ba…
2026-03-28 08:35TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by AprilYes61$0.420$25.620x13f738…
2026-03-28 08:34TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by AprilNo50$0.580$29.000xa68e20…
2026-03-27 22:29TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by AprilNo50$0.730$36.500x6e05f4…
2026-03-27 22:26TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by MarchNo179$0.980$175.420x491cf1…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

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Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat

Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-15 04:02:37
Latest trade ts
2026-06-12 14:05
Backfill
✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])
0.6
0.7
0.8
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0.9

Open positions

1 open
MarketOutcomeSharesEntryLastUnrealized
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No11060.870-$0.00

Recent trades

6 of 6 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-12 14:05BUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027…No3080.870$268.180xc87d08…
2026-06-12 13:46BUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027…No1540.870$133.850xdb3ac8…
2026-06-12 13:02BUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027…No20.870$1.520x32eb0f…
2026-06-12 12:29BUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027…No230.870$20.010x7ce98d…
2026-06-12 11:29BUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027…No6000.870$522.000xa46aaf…
2026-06-12 11:27BUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027…No190.870$16.890x3d927a…