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0x009983e518edb011dd118470ee533f7c3863386e

no username
TRACKEDT31 SOURCES
Sources: vps:wallet_scores_master
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$10.4k
21 open · unrealized +$1.9k · 💰 30 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
20%
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$797.22
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
296
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -

🟢 Live open positions

21 live · $10,382 current value · unrealized +$1.9k
MarketSideSharesAvg priceCur priceEntry oddsCur oddsCostValuePnLPnL %Expires
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 1…No2,000$0.962$0.99296.2%99.2%$1,924$1,984$+60+3.1%2026-06-16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 202…Yes1,425$0.732$0.97273.2%97.2%$1,043$1,385$+342+32.8%2026-12-31
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio…No1,300$0.817$0.97181.7%97.0%$1,062$1,262$+200+18.8%2026-06-13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes1,162$0.421$0.96642.1%96.6%$489$1,123$+633+129.5%2026-08-31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,193$0.838$0.84683.8%84.5%$1,000$1,009$+9+0.9%2026-06-15
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by Jun…No1,875$0.418$0.36541.8%36.5%$784$684$-99-12.7%2026-06-30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes538$0.420$0.92542.0%92.5%$226$497$+271+120.0%2026-05-31
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 202…Yes2,575$0.049$0.1904.9%19.0%$126$489$+363+288.7%2026-06-30
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormu…Yes940$0.131$0.31513.1%31.5%$123$296$+173+141.0%2026-06-30
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes2,032$0.243$0.13524.3%13.5%$495$274$-220-44.5%2026-07-01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July…No700$0.290$0.36029.0%36.0%$203$252$+49+24.1%2026-07-31
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No284$0.412$0.75041.2%75.0%$117$213$+96+82.1%2026-12-31
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes938$0.280$0.22528.0%22.5%$262$211$-52-19.6%2026-07-16
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30…Yes970$0.100$0.19210.0%19.1%$97$186$+89+92.1%2026-06-30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July…Yes265$0.239$0.64023.9%64.0%$63$170$+106+168.2%2026-07-31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No800$0.220$0.15022.0%15.0%$176$120$-56-31.8%2026-05-15
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No99$0.937$0.98993.7%98.9%$93$98$+5+5.5%2026-06-15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end …Yes300$0.127$0.29512.7%29.5%$38$89$+51+133.0%2026-06-30
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15…Yes281$0.045$0.0754.5%7.5%$13$21$+9+67.8%2026-06-15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes1,000$0.119$0.01311.9%1.4%$119$14$-105-88.6%2026-05-15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio…Yes200$0.057$0.0295.7%2.9%$12$6$-6-48.7%2026-06-13

💰 Resolved · pending claim

30 markets settled · $0 unclaimed
MarketSideSharesCostValuePnLResolved
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETDown7$1$0$-12026-03-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETDown25$1$0$-12026-03-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp10$2$0$-22026-03-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETUp10$3$0$-32026-03-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETUp5$3$0$-32026-04-01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown10$4$0$-42026-04-01
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETDown30$4$0$-42026-03-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETDown10$5$0$-52026-03-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown49$5$0$-52026-03-31
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETUp20$6$0$-62026-03-31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETUp42$7$0$-72026-04-01
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETUp80$10$0$-102026-03-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETDown19$10$0$-102026-04-01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio…Yes1,000$30$0$-302026-06-03
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by Ju…No470$51$0$-512026-06-30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio…Yes900$54$0$-542026-06-30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio…Yes1,032$60$0$-601970-01-01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June…No1,000$60$0$-602026-06-10
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini Internat…No1,000$70$0$-702026-07-01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio…Yes2,991$85$0$-852026-06-03
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?No800$104$0$-1042026-07-01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes1,651$113$0$-1132026-05-26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States …No1,100$119$0$-1192026-07-31
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2…No238$150$0$-1502026-04-30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extensio…Yes2,266$157$0$-1571970-01-01

📡 Live activity feed

100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any wallet
WhenTypeSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-15 05:26TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes712$0.250$178.120xa548e4…
2026-06-15 04:49REDEEM-US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?-400$0.000$400.000x91ad13…
2026-06-15 02:19REDEEM-US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extens-305$0.000$305.040xc5f8b9…
2026-06-15 00:45REDEEM-US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extens-450$0.000$450.000x61b530…
2026-06-15 00:45MAKER_REBATE--3$0.000$3.240x19d373…
2026-06-15 00:36TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2No2,000$0.040$80.000x7c4a60…
2026-06-15 00:25REDEEM-Will Donald Trump announce that the United State-42$0.000$42.340x9be977…
2026-06-15 00:25REDEEM-Will Donald Trump announce that the United State-277$0.000$277.120xaefd0d…
2026-06-15 00:15TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by JNo295$0.420$123.820x489886…
2026-06-15 00:15TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by JNo330$0.420$138.680x2f7138…
2026-06-15 00:08TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 20No108$0.040$4.330x10c9aa…
2026-06-15 00:00REWARD--16$0.000$15.660x9180b6…
2026-06-14 23:55TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 20No198$0.040$7.900x68a466…
2026-06-14 23:53TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 20No2,220$0.040$88.800x45e7e9…
2026-06-14 23:47TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 20No196$0.040$7.860xf475f7…
2026-06-14 23:47TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 20No393$0.040$15.710x9ca993…
2026-06-14 23:34TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2Yes350$0.189$66.150xa4f46a…
2026-06-14 23:30TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2Yes350$0.174$60.900x396894…
2026-06-14 23:27TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 20No435$0.040$17.400x4c6b13…
2026-06-14 23:09TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2Yes750$0.117$87.750x012ec0…
2026-06-14 23:03TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,193$0.838$1000.000x6ad7c8…
2026-06-14 23:00TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 202No3,383$0.030$101.480x7b9ef4…
2026-06-14 23:00TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No3,475$0.040$139.010xad3504…
2026-06-14 22:58TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes500$0.850$425.000x9a0895…
2026-06-14 22:56TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No1,219$0.770$938.610x9d2df3…
2026-06-14 22:56TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 202No783$0.050$39.130xe5af6e…
2026-06-14 22:56TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2No1,353$0.040$54.130x2e0e65…
2026-06-14 22:55TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No265$0.090$23.850x91aa8b…
2026-06-14 22:55TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No6$0.090$0.520xdfe42e…
2026-06-14 22:55TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No1$0.090$0.050x0d239f…
2026-06-14 22:55TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No171$0.090$15.430xa0d44f…
2026-06-14 22:54TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 20No41$0.050$2.060xa6c8f9…
2026-06-14 22:54TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 20No959$0.050$47.940x08661c…
2026-06-14 22:54TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2No647$0.040$25.870xde509a…
2026-06-14 22:54TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No684$0.080$54.750xb40384…
2026-06-14 22:53TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No316$0.080$25.250x82954f…
2026-06-14 22:52TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No119$0.090$10.680xf3f0d4…
2026-06-14 22:44TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 202No1,400$0.070$98.000x6e0d59…
2026-06-14 22:31TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2No2,775$0.070$194.250xad0887…
2026-06-14 22:31TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 20No11$0.090$0.990x71c7e0…
2026-06-14 22:31TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 20No2,026$0.090$182.360xe84959…
2026-06-14 22:31TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 20No38$0.090$3.400x079b9d…
2026-06-14 22:30TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2No925$0.060$55.500xb74a48…
2026-06-14 22:23TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 20No638$0.060$38.300x7b1951…
2026-06-14 22:22TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 20No362$0.060$21.700x041666…
2026-06-14 22:19TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2No2,000$0.050$100.000x313554…
2026-06-14 22:11TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by JNo99$0.360$35.590xdc012f…
2026-06-14 22:11TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by JNo469$0.360$168.750xf7aafa…
2026-06-14 22:11TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by JNo245$0.360$88.060x9d7a26…
2026-06-14 22:05TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by JNo13$0.360$4.520xb85f8a…
2026-06-14 22:05TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by JNo39$0.360$14.060x02c043…
2026-06-14 22:01TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June Yes220$0.311$68.420x0632c1…
2026-06-14 22:00TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June Yes230$0.359$82.570x02378f…
2026-06-14 21:56TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2Yes9$0.147$1.350x03ca5d…
2026-06-14 21:54TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No600$0.130$78.000x42ad48…
2026-06-14 21:54TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2Yes475$0.940$446.550x403346…
2026-06-14 21:53TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No105$0.120$12.590xd4a80d…
2026-06-14 21:53TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No21$0.120$2.560xe09678…
2026-06-14 21:53TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No51$0.120$6.120x850621…
2026-06-14 21:52TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes179$0.840$150.560x679312…
2026-06-14 21:51TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June Yes151$0.450$67.910xabfe8a…
2026-06-14 21:50TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2Yes7$0.147$1.000x8e19b6…
2026-06-14 21:50TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June Yes49$0.450$22.080xc37e0f…
2026-06-14 21:49TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June Yes104$0.420$43.550x366c62…
2026-06-14 21:48TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by JuNo700$0.290$203.000xe92b28…
2026-06-14 21:47TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2Yes659$0.147$96.870x974163…
2026-06-14 21:36TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enYes77$0.360$27.820x45df0f…
2026-06-14 21:36TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enYes7$0.360$2.370x18ac40…
2026-06-14 21:36TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enYes16$0.360$5.810x2cfd74…
2026-06-14 21:35TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes500$0.180$90.000x68151c…
2026-06-14 21:31TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No1$0.140$0.180x70af34…
2026-06-14 21:31TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No426$0.140$59.630x18400c…
2026-06-14 21:31TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No1$0.140$0.180x9df3b5…
2026-06-14 21:31TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No272$0.140$38.010x799ec4…
2026-06-14 21:30TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by JuYes33$0.650$21.720xbb5f2a…
2026-06-14 21:30TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enYes79$0.300$23.650x5ba163…
2026-06-14 21:30TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by JuYes317$0.650$205.780x83dd6c…
2026-06-14 21:30TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by enYes21$0.300$6.350x1c51ca…
2026-06-14 21:30TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 202No55$0.120$6.640x0dab30…
2026-06-14 21:30TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 202No10$0.120$1.200xa84766…

Performance breakdown

-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL

Performance calendar

click a day to see trades · navigate months

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Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat

Cumulative realized PnL

per closed-position exit, in chronological order

Polling state

Last polled
2026-06-15 05:21:28
Latest trade ts
2026-06-15 00:36
Backfill
✓ done

Calibration - WR by probability bucket

gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.5
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0.9

Open positions

19 open
MarketOutcomeSharesEntryLastUnrealized
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…Yes6931.442-$0.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by…No7000.290-$0.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…No11000.108-$0.00
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes20320.243-$0.00
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes16500.280-$0.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20…Yes5381.209-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes3050.781-$0.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026…No3000.587-$0.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, …No2501.825-$0.00
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets b…No18750.557-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No13000.817-$0.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20…No0142537.160-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No071518.770-$0.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026…Yes5000.202-$0.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No9933.624-$0.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31…Yes3253.908-$0.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes2000.405-$0.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes4001.075-$0.00
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by J…No20000.962-$0.00

Closed positions

most recent 50
Exit whenMarketOutcomeSharesEntryExitRealized
2026-06-15 00:36US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31…No20000.0400.040$0.00
2026-06-14 23:47US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31,…No1230.4050.040-$45.06
2026-06-14 23:00US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 20…No9340.1690.040-$120.65
2026-06-14 22:31US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31…No17750.1750.070-$185.75
2026-06-14 22:31US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31,…No11250.3200.090-$258.75
2026-06-14 21:53US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 20…No118.8970.120-$96.68
2026-06-14 19:30Will Donald Trump announce that the United St…No2810.2450.220-$7.12
2026-06-14 19:04US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No5000.9000.999+$49.50
2026-06-14 13:13US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…No881.5460.600-$83.20
2026-06-13 12:36US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…Yes2000.7700.880+$22.00

Recent trades

100 of 296 shown
WhenSideMarketOutcomeSharesPriceUSDTx
2026-06-15 00:36SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Decemb…No20000.040$80.000x7c4a60…
2026-06-15 00:15SELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian ass…No2950.420$123.820x489886…
2026-06-15 00:15SELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian ass…No3300.420$138.680x2f7138…
2026-06-15 00:08SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Octobe…No1080.040$4.330x10c9aa…
2026-06-14 23:55SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Octobe…No1980.040$7.900x68a466…
2026-06-14 23:53SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Octobe…No22200.040$88.800x45e7e9…
2026-06-14 23:47SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Octobe…No1960.040$7.860xf475f7…
2026-06-14 23:47SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Octobe…No3930.040$15.710x9ca993…
2026-06-14 23:34SELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by Ju…Yes3500.189$66.150xa4f46a…
2026-06-14 23:30SELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by Ju…Yes3500.174$60.900x396894…
2026-06-14 23:27SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Octobe…No4350.040$17.400x4c6b13…
2026-06-14 23:09SELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by Ju…Yes7500.117$87.750x012ec0…
2026-06-14 23:03BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes11930.838$1.0k0x6ad7c8…
2026-06-14 23:00SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August…No33830.030$101.480x7b9ef4…
2026-06-14 23:00SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 3…No34750.040$139.010xad3504…
2026-06-14 22:58SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 1…Yes5000.850$425.000x9a0895…
2026-06-14 22:56SELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No12190.770$938.610x9d2df3…
2026-06-14 22:56BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August…No7830.050$39.130xe5af6e…
2026-06-14 22:56BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Decemb…No13530.040$54.130x2e0e65…
2026-06-14 22:55SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 3…No2650.090$23.850x91aa8b…
2026-06-14 22:55SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 3…No60.090$0.520xdfe42e…
2026-06-14 22:55SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 3…No10.090$0.050x0d239f…
2026-06-14 22:55SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 3…No1710.090$15.430xa0d44f…
2026-06-14 22:54BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Octobe…No410.050$2.060xa6c8f9…
2026-06-14 22:54BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Octobe…No9590.050$47.940x08661c…
2026-06-14 22:54BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Decemb…No6470.040$25.870xde509a…
2026-06-14 22:54BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 3…No6840.080$54.750xb40384…
2026-06-14 22:53BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 3…No3160.080$25.250x82954f…
2026-06-14 22:52SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 3…No1190.090$10.680xf3f0d4…
2026-06-14 22:44BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August…No14000.070$98.000x6e0d59…
2026-06-14 22:31SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Decemb…No27750.070$194.250xad0887…
2026-06-14 22:31SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Octobe…No110.090$0.990x71c7e0…
2026-06-14 22:31SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Octobe…No20260.090$182.360xe84959…
2026-06-14 22:31SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Octobe…No380.090$3.400x079b9d…
2026-06-14 22:30SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Decemb…No9250.060$55.500xb74a48…
2026-06-14 22:23BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Octobe…No6380.060$38.300x7b1951…
2026-06-14 22:22BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Octobe…No3620.060$21.700x041666…
2026-06-14 22:19BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Decemb…No20000.050$100.000x313554…
2026-06-14 22:11BUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian ass…No990.360$35.590xdc012f…
2026-06-14 22:11BUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian ass…No4690.360$168.750xf7aafa…
2026-06-14 22:11BUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian ass…No2450.360$88.060x9d7a26…
2026-06-14 22:05BUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian ass…No130.360$4.520xb85f8a…
2026-06-14 22:05BUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian ass…No390.360$14.060x02c043…
2026-06-14 22:01SELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal …Yes2200.311$68.420x0632c1…
2026-06-14 22:00SELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal …Yes2300.359$82.570x02378f…
2026-06-14 21:56SELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by Ju…Yes90.147$1.350x03ca5d…
2026-06-14 21:54BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 3…No6000.130$78.000x42ad48…
2026-06-14 21:54SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by Decemb…Yes4750.940$446.550x403346…
2026-06-14 21:53SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 3…No1050.120$12.590xd4a80d…
2026-06-14 21:53SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 3…No210.120$2.560xe09678…

By category (closed only)

CategoryN closedRealized PnL
Politics1-$7.12
Other9-$718.59

Coordinated-buy involvement

events that included this wallet
WhenMarketWalletsNotionalDiversity
2026-06-05 16:34Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?3$8.0k1.00
2026-06-04 15:43Iran closes its airspace by June 15?3$411.960.92
2026-06-03 15:13US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?3$3.8k0.69
2026-06-02 23:25Iran closes its airspace by June 15?3$688.700.76
2026-05-31 22:29US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 20…3$2.0k0.70
2026-05-31 20:53US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31…3$640.620.75
2026-05-31 20:52US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 20…3$694.130.73
2026-05-30 14:12US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…3$467.420.33
2026-05-30 12:36US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 202…3$143.160.73
2026-05-30 04:56US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…3$875.720.33
2026-05-30 00:41US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…3$310.180.47
2026-05-29 22:06US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…3$673.250.71
2026-05-29 18:40US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…3$1.9k0.33
2026-05-29 18:39US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext…4$915.950.58