0x000d257d2dc7616feaef4ae0f14600fdf50a758e
0X
TRACKEDT14 SOURCES
Sources: local:god_system_wallets|local:god_system_wallets_api|local:movers_wallets|local:unique_wallets
Total PnL (lifetime)
$0.00
0W / 0L · WR -
Open exposure (live)
$515.4k
44 open · unrealized +$29.4k · 💰 7 pending claim ($0.00)
Lifetime turnover
$0.00
0 unique markets traded
Biggest win / loss
+$0.00
−$0.00
Realized
$0.00
Unrealized (local approx)
$0.00
Profit capture (brain)
-
of peak kept
Giveback (brain)
$0.00
peak minus realized
Trades ingested
39
local DB
First → Last trade
-
→ -
🟢 Live open positions
44 live · $515,385 current value · unrealized +$29.4k| Market | Side | Shares | Avg price | Cur price | Entry odds | Cur odds | Cost | Value | PnL | PnL % | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 202,785 | $0.855 | $0.994 | 85.5% | 99.4% | $173,408 | $201,467 | $+28,058 | +16.2% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after … | Yes | 154,750 | $0.816 | $0.825 | 81.6% | 82.5% | $126,295 | $127,669 | $+1,374 | +1.1% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 20… | Yes | 54,106 | $0.698 | $0.665 | 69.8% | 66.5% | $37,774 | $35,980 | $-1,794 | -4.7% | 1970-01-01 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | 17,634 | $0.908 | $0.990 | 90.8% | 99.0% | $16,022 | $17,457 | $+1,436 | +9.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayora… | No | 15,181 | $0.841 | $0.991 | 84.0% | 99.1% | $12,761 | $15,037 | $+2,276 | +17.8% | 2026-06-02 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 16,602 | $0.589 | $0.875 | 58.9% | 87.5% | $9,780 | $14,526 | $+4,747 | +48.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | No | 14,590 | $0.967 | $0.989 | 96.7% | 98.9% | $14,107 | $14,430 | $+323 | +2.3% | 2026-06-15 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Electi… | No | 14,172 | $0.903 | $0.999 | 90.3% | 99.9% | $12,805 | $14,151 | $+1,346 | +10.5% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral… | Yes | 33,304 | $0.372 | $0.396 | 37.2% | 39.6% | $12,384 | $13,172 | $+788 | +6.4% | 2026-06-02 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 1… | No | 10,000 | $0.960 | $0.992 | 96.0% | 99.2% | $9,600 | $9,920 | $+320 | +3.3% | 2026-06-16 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | No | 8,456 | $0.967 | $0.982 | 96.7% | 98.2% | $8,178 | $8,304 | $+126 | +1.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by Dece… | No | 7,125 | $0.660 | $0.910 | 66.0% | 91.0% | $4,701 | $6,484 | $+1,784 | +37.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor El… | Yes | 7,239 | $0.692 | $0.886 | 69.2% | 88.6% | $5,011 | $6,414 | $+1,402 | +28.0% | 2026-11-03 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | No | 6,402 | $0.977 | $0.989 | 97.7% | 98.9% | $6,252 | $6,329 | $+76 | +1.2% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Sen… | Yes | 5,573 | $0.916 | $0.815 | 91.6% | 81.5% | $5,104 | $4,542 | $-562 | -11.0% | 2026-05-19 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 6,304 | $0.769 | $0.505 | 76.9% | 50.5% | $4,847 | $3,184 | $-1,663 | -34.3% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by J… | No | 2,721 | $0.964 | $0.986 | 96.4% | 98.6% | $2,623 | $2,681 | $+58 | +2.2% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in … | No | 3,348 | $0.680 | $0.655 | 68.0% | 65.5% | $2,277 | $2,193 | $-84 | -3.7% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Ele… | Yes | 13,561 | $0.180 | $0.144 | 18.0% | 14.4% | $2,441 | $1,960 | $-481 | -19.7% | 2028-11-07 |
| State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? | No | 1,626 | $0.879 | $0.955 | 87.9% | 95.5% | $1,430 | $1,553 | $+123 | +8.6% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French preside… | Yes | 35,037 | $0.036 | $0.032 | 3.6% | 3.1% | $1,258 | $1,104 | $-154 | -12.3% | 2027-04-30 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026… | No | 862 | $0.800 | $0.860 | 80.0% | 86.0% | $690 | $741 | $+52 | +7.5% | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Se… | No | 900 | $0.918 | $0.822 | 91.8% | 82.2% | $827 | $740 | $-87 | -10.5% | 2026-05-19 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? | No | 714 | $0.820 | $0.993 | 82.0% | 99.2% | $585 | $708 | $+123 | +21.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presiden… | Yes | 20,798 | $0.025 | $0.026 | 2.5% | 2.6% | $513 | $551 | $+38 | +7.4% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic preside… | Yes | 72,302 | $0.015 | $0.007 | 1.5% | 0.8% | $1,061 | $542 | $-519 | -48.9% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela en… | Yes | 2,720 | $0.366 | $0.175 | 36.6% | 17.5% | $996 | $476 | $-520 | -52.2% | 2026-12-31 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 20… | No | 500 | $0.730 | $0.950 | 73.0% | 95.0% | $365 | $475 | $+110 | +30.1% | 2026-12-31 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Yes | 1,421 | $0.940 | $0.303 | 94.0% | 30.3% | $1,335 | $431 | $-904 | -67.7% | 2027-01-01 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidenti… | Yes | 23,930 | $0.026 | $0.018 | 2.6% | 1.8% | $636 | $419 | $-217 | -34.1% | 2028-11-07 |
| Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Flo… | Yes | 300 | $0.670 | $0.973 | 67.0% | 97.3% | $201 | $292 | $+91 | +45.2% | 2026-08-18 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 2,921 | $0.829 | $0.085 | 82.9% | 8.5% | $2,422 | $248 | $-2,174 | -89.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-0… | Yes | 275 | $0.825 | $0.865 | 82.5% | 86.5% | $227 | $238 | $+11 | +4.8% | 2026-08-11 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 … | No | 231 | $0.950 | $1.000 | 95.0% | 100.0% | $219 | $231 | $+11 | +5.2% | 2026-06-02 |
| Will another candidate win the first round of the … | No | 196 | $0.936 | $1.000 | 93.6% | 100.0% | $183 | $196 | $+12 | +6.8% | 2026-06-02 |
| Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of t… | No | 200 | $0.820 | $0.959 | 82.0% | 95.9% | $164 | $192 | $+28 | +16.9% | 2026-12-31 |
| Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30… | Yes | 7,017 | $0.471 | $0.013 | 47.1% | 1.3% | $3,305 | $91 | $-3,214 | -97.2% | 2026-06-30 |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race… | Yes | 112 | $0.640 | $0.800 | 64.0% | 80.0% | $72 | $90 | $+18 | +25.0% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026… | No | 65 | $0.777 | $1.000 | 77.8% | 100.0% | $50 | $65 | $+14 | +28.5% | 2026-06-02 |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidentia… | Yes | 1,683 | $0.037 | $0.035 | 3.7% | 3.5% | $62 | $60 | $-3 | -4.3% | 2027-04-30 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 92 | $0.530 | $0.355 | 53.0% | 35.5% | $49 | $33 | $-16 | -33.0% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate r… | Yes | 8 | $0.850 | $0.835 | 85.0% | 83.5% | $7 | $7 | $-0 | -1.8% | 1970-01-01 |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Ele… | Yes | 8,434 | $0.353 | $0.001 | 35.3% | 0.1% | $2,980 | $4 | $-2,975 | -99.9% | 2026-11-03 |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Electi… | No | 1 | $0.961 | $0.999 | 96.1% | 99.9% | $1 | $1 | $+0 | +3.9% | 2026-11-03 |
💰 Resolved · pending claim
7 markets settled · $0 unclaimed| Market | Side | Shares | Cost | Value | PnL | Resolved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Aw… | Yes | 407 | $43 | $0 | $-43 | 2026-03-15 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March … | Yes | 428 | $96 | $0 | $-96 | 2026-03-31 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 684 | $306 | $0 | $-306 | 2026-03-31 |
| Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of th… | Yes | 3,339 | $2,620 | $0 | $-2,620 | 2026-03-15 |
| ICE shooter charged by March 31? | Yes | 11,250 | $3,802 | $0 | $-3,802 | 2026-01-31 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | Yes | 35,049 | $17,518 | $0 | $-17,518 | 2026-05-24 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for K… | Yes | 25,379 | $18,879 | $0 | $-18,879 | 2026-05-19 |
📡 Live activity feed
100 most recent · pulled live from Polymarket data-api · works for any walletPerformance breakdown
-1M
Realized + unrealized PnL
Performance calendar
click a day to see trades · navigate months-
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Cumulative realized PnL
per closed-position exit, in chronological orderPolling state
Last polled
2026-06-15 05:28:34
Latest trade ts
2026-06-13 17:13
Backfill
✓ done
Calibration - WR by probability bucket
gold = sharp-zone (n≥10, WR≥85%, edge≥+15pp in [0.65, 0.85])Open positions
5 open| Market | Outcome | Shares | Entry | Last | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | No | 6402 | 0.977 | - | $0.00 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran… | No | 2721 | 0.964 | - | $0.00 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | No | 5205 | 0.970 | - | $0.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | Yes | 3900 | 0.805 | - | $0.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire ext… | Yes | 12839 | 0.768 | - | $0.00 |
Recent trades
39 of 39 shownCoordinated-buy involvement
events that included this wallet| When | Market | Wallets | Notional | Diversity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 05:30 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | 3 | $7.6k | 0.92 |
Alerts for this wallet
| When | Type | Severity |
|---|---|---|
| - | whale_tracked_wallet | info |